IndustriousAngel Posted April 30, 2017 Author Share Posted April 30, 2017 Final estimates a bit up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 1, 2017 Author Share Posted May 1, 2017 And with preliminary final we numbers, we're up again: #1: GotG2 - 740k admissions #2: F&F8 - 270k (-52%) #3: BossBaby - 80k (-63%) #4: BatB - 70k (-54%) #5: Smurfs - 60k (-68%) Actuals might be late this week with Monday a holiday but those should be very close. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted May 1, 2017 Share Posted May 1, 2017 (edited) On 1.5.2017 at 8:09 AM, IndustriousAngel said: And with preliminary final we numbers, we're up again: #1: GotG2 - 740k admissions #2: F&F8 - 270k (-52%) #3: BossBaby - 80k (-63%) #4: BatB - 70k (-54%) #5: Smurfs - 60k (-68%) Actuals might be late this week with Monday a holiday but those should be very close. Monday will be hugecfor family-movies I think! Weather is pretty bad. Maybe for some as much as they made the whole weekend? Guardians II 745 F&F8 270/2740 Boss Baby 77,5/1515 BATB 72,5/3165 Smurfs 60/970 Going in Style 50/315Burnout 45/52,5 Bye Bye Man 30/85 C&C II 25/120 Dorf 22,5/55 The Shack 22,5/165 I'm still unsure which movie will win, F&F8 or BatB... But as for GOTG2 it's the biggest OW for an SH-movie since 5 years (TDKR 857.332) and the best for Marvel since 10 years! (Spider Man 3 857.370) It's 60% bigger than GOTG1 (463.016). That is great I don't know what it can make on Monday, maybe it'll be between 850k and 900k. Edited May 2, 2017 by Aristis 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 1, 2017 Author Share Posted May 1, 2017 4 hours ago, Aristis said: I'm still unsure which movie will win, F&F8 or Guardians... in what respect? Guardians have won the weekend but in the end, F&F8 will end up with nearly double the admissions I guess. Even with stellar legs (for a SH movie) I can't see Guardians approaching 3mil; 2mil would be a nice increase from part 1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted May 1, 2017 Share Posted May 1, 2017 Seems like Sunday was very strong for GotG2 despite generally good weather. IMO that bodes well for its legs going forward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted May 1, 2017 Share Posted May 1, 2017 I think that has more to do with Monday being a holiday and thus Sunday not acting like it normally would. I wouldn't see any indication of the movie's future legs in that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 1, 2017 Author Share Posted May 1, 2017 At least Monday is extremely strong ... and weather for next weekend doesn't look too promising so let's wait, could well be we'll see some really really fine holds! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted May 1, 2017 Share Posted May 1, 2017 8 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said: At least Monday is extremely strong ... and weather for next weekend doesn't look too promising so let's wait, could well be we'll see some really really fine holds! Hopefully. This movie deserves all the success it can get. As long as it cracks 2m admissions, I'll be satisfied. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted May 2, 2017 Share Posted May 2, 2017 (edited) On 1.5.2017 at 3:01 PM, IndustriousAngel said: in what respect? Guardians have won the weekend but in the end, F&F8 will end up with nearly double the admissions I guess. Even with stellar legs (for a SH movie) I can't see Guardians approaching 3mil; 2mil would be a nice increase from part 1. I meant BatB... According to InsideKino: 750k for GotG2 in 4 and 940k in 5 days - that's huge Nearly 200k on Monday. Maybe 1,5M after Sunday? Edited May 2, 2017 by Aristis 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 2, 2017 Share Posted May 2, 2017 biggest MCU movie in play? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted May 2, 2017 Share Posted May 2, 2017 2m admissions are locked with these numbers, and 2.5m and biggest MCU movie is looking likely, too. That's was I was hoping for. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted May 2, 2017 Share Posted May 2, 2017 1 hour ago, Olive said: biggest MCU movie in play? Would have to be bigger than Ultron (2.422.568) Of course it's possible. We'll know better after next weekend (Deadpool (2.711.055) isn't included in MCU, is it?) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 3, 2017 Share Posted May 3, 2017 7 hours ago, Aristis said: Would have to be bigger than Ultron (2.422.568) Of course it's possible. We'll know better after next weekend (Deadpool (2.711.055) isn't included in MCU, is it?) Deadpool is Fox ,not MCU 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 3, 2017 Author Share Posted May 3, 2017 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Guardians of the Galaxy 2 749.797 686 1.093 749.797 8.538.018 - 1 2 Fast & Furious 8 273.611 700 391 2.743.742 25.778.923 -52 3 3 The Boss Baby 79.094 695 114 1.516.304 11.386.912 -64 5 4 Beauty and the Beast 72.137 583 124 3.161.346 30.695.658 -53 7 5 The Smurfs 3 59.489 704 85 971.575 7.035.430 -68 4 6 Going in Style 50.860 413 123 314.041 2.669.276 -37 3 7 Happy Burnout 44.944 202 222 67.706 513.357 - 1 8 The Bye Bye Man 29.813 185 161 84.320 723.595 -25 2 9 Conni & Co 2 26.308 535 49 119.270 782.091 -67 2 10 Bienvenue à Marly-Gomont 22.656 129 176 65.087 493.749 -11 2 11 The Shack 21.646 288 75 164.943 1.403.736 -25 4 12 Ghost in the Shell 18.694 360 52 551.512 6.031.643 -55 5 13 Lommbock 8.606 215 40 326.212 2.650.805 -58 6 14 Moonlight 7.594 179 42 391.873 3.113.967 -47 8 15 Débarquement immédiat 7.546 190 40 49.995 349.877 -64 2 16 Les Châteaux de sable 7.456 56 133 9.391 71.433 - 1 17 The Founder 7.240 114 64 47.339 342.005 -53 2 18 Toivon tuolla puolen 7.213 130 55 108.494 837.645 -40 5 19 Lion 7.121 154 46 503.020 4.109.446 -42 10 20 Bibi & Tina 4 6.922 303 23 1.603.268 10.332.860 -73 10 That was an excellent opening for GotG2, especially if you consider the harsh drops all around. 2mil total are a given by now and 2,5mil should be possible - let's keep those fingers crossed. Next weekend: No really big openers, but Get Out comes with some positive buzz and good reviews and should be able to make it to #3 or maybe even #2 if F&F8 falls hard again. Weather will be a major factor, if forecasts hold it will be cloudy to rainy, excellent for family films which might increase after this weekend's drops. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted May 4, 2017 Share Posted May 4, 2017 I hope A Monster calls can do better than expected... 130 cinemas only Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 4, 2017 Share Posted May 4, 2017 (edited) Some Thursday estimates from insidekino.de/forum: New Releases: Get Out: 23k (released in 500 theaters – a surprisingly big start, not that this wouldn't be a clever decision IMO but I'm surprised that the theaters indeed noticed the buzz around this film, good and very good reviews) – a pretty good start Expedition Happiness: 28.5k (a docu, 225 theaters, a very good result but not every theater shows it daily) A Monster Calls: ?k (130, very good reviews) Victoria - Männer & andere Missgeschicke: ?k (94, good and very good reviews) Shin Godzilla: ?k (ca. 80, ok to very good reviews, it doesn't get everywhere daily showtimes or several showtimes/day) Einsamkeit und Sex und Mitleid: ?k (77, mixed reviews between 3.5 and 8/10) Rules Don't Apply: ?k (50, ok to good reviews) Holdovers: GotG2: 40k (last Thursday/first day of release 120k) – mmh, not so great but with mixed weather and since GotG was also always a little bit underestimated in these estimates it still could have an ok hold Fast 8: 13k (25.5k) BatB: 3.5k (7k) Going in Style: 2.5k (5.2k) Happy Burnout: 3k (6.5k) @Aristis I hope so too but I think the sad theme causes that people tend to rent it or buy it instead of watching it in theaters. For sure it will have a good WOM and maybe the legs are better than the start. And it could have a successful home-video-life. Edited May 4, 2017 by el sid 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrGlass2 Posted May 4, 2017 Share Posted May 4, 2017 Thanks for the hard work everyone. But I wonder: is weather that important for the box office in Germany/Austria compared to other countries? I understand it is a factor everywhere, but in this subthread it gets mentioned very often. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted May 4, 2017 Share Posted May 4, 2017 8 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said: Thanks for the hard work everyone. But I wonder: is weather that important for the box office in Germany/Austria compared to other countries? I understand it is a factor everywhere, but in this subthread it gets mentioned very often. It really is. Theatre visits per capita are much lower here than in the U.S, France and other countries, so when it's warm and sunny, going to the movies is often only the 3rd or 4th option behind outdoor activities. Also we don't have nice weather as often as say California, so we want to enjoy it while we can, if you know what I mean. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 4, 2017 Author Share Posted May 4, 2017 2 hours ago, el sid said: Expedition Happiness: 28.5k (a docu, 225 theaters, a very good result but not every theater shows it daily) That's quite the number, wow - I mean, a weekend PTA of, say, 400 doesn't look that impressive but if you consider the low number of screenings, those must be packed. Never heard about that movie at all Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 4, 2017 Share Posted May 4, 2017 30 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said: That's quite the number, wow - I mean, a weekend PTA of, say, 400 doesn't look that impressive but if you consider the low number of screenings, those must be packed. Never heard about that movie at all I didn't hear about it either. I read that it's a documentary about a guy and his girlfriend travelling from North America to South America. Obviously his first film about visiting Canada was well liked... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...