el sid Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 The Monday update (yes, MM2 wins but it's much closer than in the third trend): #1 MM2 205k/820k #2 HT3 200k/935k #3 Ant-Man and the Wasp 200k/225k #4 First Purge 40k/485k #5 JW2 37.5k/2.235M #6 Catch Me! 35k/40k #7 Skyscraper 35k/285k #8 Adrift 25k/205k #9 Sicario2 20k/115k 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fastclock Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 2 hours ago, el sid said: The Monday update (yes, MM2 wins but it's much closer than in the third trend): #1 MM2 205k/820k #2 HT3 200k/935k #3 Ant-Man and the Wasp 200k/225k #4 First Purge 40k/485k #5 JW2 37.5k/2.235M #6 Catch Me! 35k/40k #7 Skyscraper 35k/285k #8 Adrift 25k/205k #9 Sicario2 20k/115k How much will Mamma Mia make? The first one made $39M? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted July 30, 2018 Share Posted July 30, 2018 (edited) 30 minutes ago, fastclock said: How much will Mamma Mia make? The first one made $39M? The first one had 4.3M admissions, so the average ticket price was ca. 9 US$. Mark_G's forecast last Tuesday was 2M total for MM2 but the hold this weekend is worse than predicted (he predicted -30% and it looks like -40%). So 2M are definitely in danger, maybe close to 1.5M? Would be 13.5M US$, probably a bit more due to higher ticket prices now. But our last weekend was much too sunny for really good holds and maybe it develops better legs on the following weekends? Edited July 30, 2018 by el sid 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted July 31, 2018 Author Share Posted July 31, 2018 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Mamma Mia! 2 205.697 804 256 821.971 7.070.593 -40 2 2 Hotel Transylvania 3 199.789 723 276 934.929 7.086.276 -44 2 3 Ant-Man 2 198.890 548 363 223.346 2.397.529 - 1 4 The First Purge 39.576 426 93 486.976 4.209.302 -49 4 5 Jurassic World 2 38.331 458 84 2.239.015 24.271.260 -48 8 6 Tag 34.520 254 136 48.292 366.718 - 1 7 Skyscraper 34.176 517 66 282.845 2.914.564 -57 3 8 Adrift 25.552 403 63 203.815 1.659.731 -51 3 9 Sicario 2 19.733 386 51 112.499 962.039 -61 2 10 Ocean's 8 18.617 278 67 686.788 5.743.827 -51 6 11 Papillon 17.996 308 58 22.159 180.884 - 1 12 303 12.549 118 106 47.210 394.954 -42 2 13 Meine teuflisch gute Freundin 11.843 437 27 209.159 1.405.194 -47 5 14 Papst Franziskus 10.466 368 28 364.840 2.803.089 -53 7 15 Jim Knopf & Lukas 9.842 431 23 1.660.659 11.272.353 -53 18 16 Coexister 9.773 200 49 23.592 157.538 - 1 17 Deadpool 2 8.344 167 50 2.202.002 19.968.973 -46 11 18 Hotel Artemis 6.439 175 37 14.460 98.142 - 1 19 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 6.097 27 165 747.081 5.956.248 +457 27 20 Love, Simon 5.192 211 25 211.259 1.509.188 -54 5 Nothing noteworthy happend this weekend, the openers stayed on the low side of expectations, holdovers dropped hard and it's no fun commenting the BO this year. Next weekend: While overall numbers will continue to disappoint, at least we will see a new nr.1 - the latest Mission: Impossible movie should open somewhere in the 300k area. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Rambo Posted July 31, 2018 Share Posted July 31, 2018 3 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said: Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Mamma Mia! 2 205.697 804 256 821.971 7.070.593 -40 2 2 Hotel Transylvania 3 199.789 723 276 934.929 7.086.276 -44 2 3 Ant-Man 2 198.890 548 363 223.346 2.397.529 - 1 4 The First Purge 39.576 426 93 486.976 4.209.302 -49 4 5 Jurassic World 2 38.331 458 84 2.239.015 24.271.260 -48 8 6 Tag 34.520 254 136 48.292 366.718 - 1 7 Skyscraper 34.176 517 66 282.845 2.914.564 -57 3 8 Adrift 25.552 403 63 203.815 1.659.731 -51 3 9 Sicario 2 19.733 386 51 112.499 962.039 -61 2 10 Ocean's 8 18.617 278 67 686.788 5.743.827 -51 6 11 Papillon 17.996 308 58 22.159 180.884 - 1 12 303 12.549 118 106 47.210 394.954 -42 2 13 Meine teuflisch gute Freundin 11.843 437 27 209.159 1.405.194 -47 5 14 Papst Franziskus 10.466 368 28 364.840 2.803.089 -53 7 15 Jim Knopf & Lukas 9.842 431 23 1.660.659 11.272.353 -53 18 16 Coexister 9.773 200 49 23.592 157.538 - 1 17 Deadpool 2 8.344 167 50 2.202.002 19.968.973 -46 11 18 Hotel Artemis 6.439 175 37 14.460 98.142 - 1 19 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 6.097 27 165 747.081 5.956.248 +457 27 20 Love, Simon 5.192 211 25 211.259 1.509.188 -54 5 Nothing noteworthy happend this weekend, the openers stayed on the low side of expectations, holdovers dropped hard and it's no fun commenting the BO this year. Next weekend: While overall numbers will continue to disappoint, at least we will see a new nr.1 - the latest Mission: Impossible movie should open somewhere in the 300k area. 300k for MI6 means close to 3.5-4m USD gross? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted July 31, 2018 Author Share Posted July 31, 2018 5 hours ago, John Rambo said: 300k for MI6 means close to 3.5-4m USD gross? With 3D, it might rather come close to 5mil including previews 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 The worst first: It's still hot and sunny here. So M: I 6 comes a bit too early but is at least anticipated by many fans. The Thursday estimates for the whole country look like that: The new releases:Mission: Impossible – Fallout (released in 600 theaters, mostly very good reviews; M: I had 1.181M in its first week/3.31M total admissions (#7 of the year) and M: I II 1.762M in its first week/4.448M total admissions (#2 of the year). Mission: Impossible III decreased with 441k in its first week/1.246M total admissions, Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (a winter release) could again improve with 324k OW/1.585M total admissions and Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation had 288k OW/1.418M total admissions): 65.5k - would be in line with expectations Destination Wedding (ca. 65 theaters, mixed reviews but overall pretty ok): 1k The holdovers: Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 32.5k (actuals last Thursday 45k) Ant-Man and the Wasp: 22.5k (50k) Hotel Transylvania 3: 5.5k evening only (5k evening only, 40k whole day) - maybe the holidays everywhere helped The First Purge: 4k (estimated 7k) Catch Me!: 3k (actual 6k) Skyscraper: 3k (estimated 6.5k) JW2: 2.5k (estimated 4k) Papillon: 2.5k (actual 3k) Unfortunately exactly today we get no South-West report as surveillance of these estimates, so this is very thin. And Mark_G from insidekino.de didn't give us his opinion of the OW of M: I 6 either. In his monthly evaluation he predicted a total of 1.6M for M: I 6 which would mean an OW of a bit more than 300k admissions like IndustriousAngel already guessed. Of course the summer weather could make an impact on that but OTOH cause a better multiplier. The other new movies will very probably stay under 50k. He thinks Ant-Man and the Wasp could hold quite well with -30% and MM2 and HT3 even better with a minus of only 20%. By the way his forecast for MM2 is still 2M admissions. All remaining movies could drop harder, namly 50%. 100% of the federal republic have school holidays. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 2, 2018 Author Share Posted August 2, 2018 (edited) Thursday numbers - MI6 in the expected range, AntMan2 gets hit hard, MM2 with a good hold. edit: just saw that you posted the report already in longer form, tyvm! Edited August 2, 2018 by IndustriousAngel Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 3, 2018 Author Share Posted August 3, 2018 First weekend estimates ... not so good: #1: MI6-275k (incl previews) #2/3: MM2 and HT3 175k each #4: Ant2 - 125k (-37%) 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Some Thursday actuals from Blickpunkt:Film: The new releases:Mission: Impossible – Fallout: 50k/662 US $ - this summer destroys every movie, not really much fun to report Destination Wedding (88 theaters): 2k The holdovers (with the exeption of Ant-Man very nice holds): Hotel Transylvania 3: 42k (actuals last Thursday 40k whole day) - very good Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 41k (45k) - same Ant-Man and the Wasp: 25k (actuals last Thursday 50k) JW 2: 6.5 k (estimated 4k) - also good→ Blickpunkt:Film predicts an OW of 40k but they aren't the best projectors 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 4, 2018 Author Share Posted August 4, 2018 Saturday estimates even lower except MM2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted August 5, 2018 Share Posted August 5, 2018 17 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said: Saturday estimates even lower except MM2 If the weather predictions hold the holds next weekend could be really good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted August 5, 2018 Share Posted August 5, 2018 (edited) The final trend (almost no change from the second trend, MM2 a bit down): #1 M: I 6 still 260k #2 MM2 160k #3 HT3 150k #4 Ant-Man 110k #5 The First Purge 27.5k #6 JW 25k The weather predictions look promising as Taruseth already mentioned, at least compared to this weekend. More clouds and often much colder temperatures. Holds should be good and The Meg gets a chance. By the way, it looks like The Meg is often playing in the biggest cinema halls (I saw advertisement for it) but M: I 6 has a really good WOM and the competition overall isn't that big as you can see when you look at our measly charts. Edited August 5, 2018 by el sid 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 6, 2018 Author Share Posted August 6, 2018 Actuals tomorrow but it seems estimates were too pessimistic. Still not a good weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted August 6, 2018 Share Posted August 6, 2018 Still not too great but I'm always glad to report some improvement .The Monday update: #1 M: I 6 245k/280k - up 20k from yesterday #2 MM2 175k - up 15k #3 HT3 175k - up 25k #4 Ant-Man and the Wasp 120k - up 10k #5 The First Purge 30k #6 JW 2 30k #7 Catch Me! 25k #8 Adrift 20k 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 7, 2018 Author Share Posted August 7, 2018 (edited) Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Mission: Impossible 6 253.482 600 422 287.735 3.282.269 - 1 2 Mamma Mia! 2 179.358 832 216 1.153.055 9.788.043 -13 3 3 Hotel Transyvania 3 176.142 742 237 1.251.354 9.424.606 -12 3 4 Ant-Man 2 118.677 547 217 438.381 4.555.287 -40 2 5 Jurassic World 2 31.020 372 83 2.293.458 24.802.164 -19 9 6 The First Purge 30.221 375 81 531.094 4.594.033 -24 5 7 Ocean's 8 27.703 205 135 724.961 6.045.273 +49 7 8 Tag 24.725 263 94 90.688 707.432 -28 2 9 Adrift 20.769 388 54 242.572 1.970.573 -19 4 10 Skyscraper 16.002 352 45 316.266 3.230.345 -53 4 11 Jim Knopf & Lukas 14.548 407 36 1.686.216 11.436.450 +48 19 12 Meine teuflisch gute Freundin 11.406 398 29 231.720 1.554.962 -4 6 13 Papst Franziskus 10.436 333 31 383.896 2.946.756 -0 8 14 Sicario 2 10.306 373 28 131.818 1.130.363 -48 3 15 303 10.086 122 83 65.350 544.665 -20 3 16 Papillon 8.145 312 26 39.187 317.360 -55 2 17 Coexister 7.237 177 41 37.748 262.058 -26 2 18 Egal was kommt 6.873 110 62 10.218 87.166 - 1 19 Destination Wedding 6.244 92 68 16.329 123.666 - 1 20 Deadpool 2 5.376 108 50 2.213.830 20.068.522 -36 12 Not a good weekend - despite a big opener only slightly above last weekend. M:I6 should have a good run over the next weeks however. Next weekend: Domestic comedy Sauerkrautkoma might take the top spot, the series has shown a high degree of consistence over the years, with openings getting bigger and drops harder. And for the water fans, Meg will try to generate some splash - maybe there's some demand for it, but I would be surprised if it made it into the Top3. With weather being predicted a bit rainier, holds should be good once more. Edited August 7, 2018 by IndustriousAngel 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted August 8, 2018 Share Posted August 8, 2018 23 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said: Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Mission: Impossible 6 253.482 600 422 287.735 3.282.269 - 1 2 Mamma Mia! 2 179.358 832 216 1.153.055 9.788.043 -13 3 3 Hotel Transyvania 3 176.142 742 237 1.251.354 9.424.606 -12 3 4 Ant-Man 2 118.677 547 217 438.381 4.555.287 -40 2 5 Jurassic World 2 31.020 372 83 2.293.458 24.802.164 -19 9 6 The First Purge 30.221 375 81 531.094 4.594.033 -24 5 7 Ocean's 8 27.703 205 135 724.961 6.045.273 +49 7 8 Tag 24.725 263 94 90.688 707.432 -28 2 9 Adrift 20.769 388 54 242.572 1.970.573 -19 4 10 Skyscraper 16.002 352 45 316.266 3.230.345 -53 4 11 Jim Knopf & Lukas 14.548 407 36 1.686.216 11.436.450 +48 19 12 Meine teuflisch gute Freundin 11.406 398 29 231.720 1.554.962 -4 6 13 Papst Franziskus 10.436 333 31 383.896 2.946.756 -0 8 14 Sicario 2 10.306 373 28 131.818 1.130.363 -48 3 15 303 10.086 122 83 65.350 544.665 -20 3 16 Papillon 8.145 312 26 39.187 317.360 -55 2 17 Coexister 7.237 177 41 37.748 262.058 -26 2 18 Egal was kommt 6.873 110 62 10.218 87.166 - 1 19 Destination Wedding 6.244 92 68 16.329 123.666 - 1 20 Deadpool 2 5.376 108 50 2.213.830 20.068.522 -36 12 Not a good weekend - despite a big opener only slightly above last weekend. M:I6 should have a good run over the next weeks however. Next weekend: Domestic comedy Sauerkrautkoma might take the top spot, the series has shown a high degree of consistence over the years, with openings getting bigger and drops harder. And for the water fans, Meg will try to generate some splash - maybe there's some demand for it, but I would be surprised if it made it into the Top3. With weather being predicted a bit rainier, holds should be good once more. MM2 and HT3 holding so well are basically saving these weekends, with help first from Ant-Man and now from MI6. I really look forward to tomorrow, finally a cooler day again. We had like 37 °C yesterday and at 8 pm it was still 34.6 °C outside. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 9, 2018 Author Share Posted August 9, 2018 (edited) At my theater, Sauerkrautkoma, MM2 and M:I6 are the biggest movies tonight (about head-to-head), while Meg's opening night is looking like a disaster despite having the biggest screen. Edited August 9, 2018 by IndustriousAngel 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 (edited) The Thursday estimates for the whole country look like that: The new releases:The Meg (to my disappointment it gets only 333 theaters; the reviews are very mixed, some are really bad, some ok (e.g. from the biggest moviewebsite) and some critics liked it): 21k, at least slightly above Skyscraper and that with far less screens The Guernsey Literary And Potato Peel Pie Society (319): 6.5kSauerkrautkoma (197 because it's only released in the South of Germany like all of these local color crime comedies based on books of Rita Falk): 28.5k – good number and bad weather already now and tomorrow in Bavaria, fits . Duck Duck Goose (373): ?k The holdovers:Mission: Impossible – Fallout: 41.5k (actuals last Thursday 50k) - very nice Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 20.5k (41k) - seems a bit low, was underestimated last Thursday Ant-Man and the Wasp: 13k (25k) The First Purge: 3.5k (estimated 4k) Hotel Transylvania 3: 3k evening only (5.5k evening only, 42k whole day) JW2: 2.5k (6.5k) Catch Me!: 2k (estimated 3k)The South-West report was missing last week, so now I have no comparisons. The new releases had in the selected theaters 612 (Sauerkrautkoma) and 798 (The Meg) admissions (e.g. Skyscraper had only 292 on its first day, The First Purge 1.059). Strange, here The Meg looks much better than Skyscraper. I hope the actuals will go up a bit. And the holdovers: M:I 6 had today 1.065 admissions (1.767 last Friday, so I guess that number too shows a good hold), MM2 697, Ant-Man and the Wasp 415, The First Purge 123 abd JW2 91. Mark_G from insidekino.de predicts 150k admissions for Sauerkrautkoma and 100k admissions for The Meg. I hope both will come in a bit higher. Despite that the weather is only tomorrow and only in the South predicted to become bad the holds should be nice with only -20% for M:I 6, MM2, HT3, JW2 and -30% for Ant-Man and the Wasp. 73% of the federal republic have school holidays. Edited August 9, 2018 by el sid 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 10, 2018 Author Share Posted August 10, 2018 First weekend estimates from insidekino.de: #1: M:I6 with 175k admissions (-30%) #2-5 not sure, a lot of releases with around 130-140k incl. new opener Sauerkrautkoma #6: Meg with 125k (better than expected I have to admit) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...