Mexico Box Office | Furiosa #1 with $2.4M, lower than Fury Road; Apes #2, $15.5M total; Garfield reaches $17.4M.

[Carlangonz]

Impressive weekend for Barbie on sales. I'm not going to do comps this week just to see how pace moves before keeping up with Little Mermaid and Spiderverse. We're pointing towards a $40M+ OD.

 

Insidious 5 also had a great jump over the weekend. Looking like $5M in previews which is great considering a low allocation and aims a potential $70M across the whole weekend.

[Carlangonz]

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - T-2 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-5	Occupancy
Insidious 5	15	744	1884	161.05%	39.49%

 

Was off earlier because allocation is going to limit it but still looking like $2M-$3M in previews

 

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-9 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-12	Occupancy	% of comp	Comp in lc
Mission: Impossible 7	25	240	5193	93.55%	4.62%
Fast X	95	3045	17085	98.89%	17.82%	7.88%	$2.92M

 

I'll get a Rise of the Beasts comp on Wednesday because I don't have T-9 for the one but it'll probably throw similar numbers as Fast X. Similar previews as John Wick 4 but don't think IM is going to be as high.

Also, for comps I'm not considering early access because they skew a lot. But I do count them; they'll add something like $0.5M

BARBIE - T-17 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-20	Occupancy
Barbie	97	4023	22440	53.14%	17.93%

 

As I said earlier; great jump over the weekend. Allocation also grew and now is above Spiderverse's 19k. Curious to see how it'll place at the end.

Edited July 4, 2023 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

TOP MOVIES 2023 (lc)

Latest figures by CANACINE

01     1,541,000,000  The Super Mario Bros. Movie

02        664,500,000  Fast X

03        640,100,000  Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 3

04        470,900,000  Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

05        363,000,000  The Little Mermaid (2023)

06        330,055,000  Ant Man & The Wasp: Quantumania

07        305,100,000  Transformers: Rise of the Beasts

08        292,500,000  The Flash

09        259,000,000  John Wick IV

10        192,000,000  Shazam: Fury of the Gods

 

Elemental will break into the Top 10 by next Monday.

 

Audience-wise, Indy barely made it over the half-million tickets sold, 509.3K to be precise. Flash reached 4M and Fast X ends up at 9.7M.

 

And in the all-time lc, ATSV is up to #57.

 

 

[Purple Minion]

Movie	OW LC	OW Aud	Total LC	Total Aud
Insidious 4	57,748,493	1,106,487	162,511,660	3,435,265
Insidious 3	27,222,006	570,892	73,352,015	1,705,733
Insidious 2	14,935,634	354,206	50,195,247	1,367,405
Insidious	8,024,909	168,152	43,033,918	986,135

 

Insidious hasn't had as much impact in the local box office as other horror franchises. The last entry should aim to beat Insidious 4 in OW and total, but again audience will be a challenge.

 

[Carlangonz]

6 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Movie	OW LC	OW Aud	Total LC	Total Aud
Insidious 4	57,748,493	1,106,487	162,511,660	3,435,265
Insidious 3	27,222,006	570,892	73,352,015	1,705,733
Insidious 2	14,935,634	354,206	50,195,247	1,367,405
Insidious	8,024,909	168,152	43,033,918	986,135

 

Insidious hasn't had as much impact in the local box office as other horror franchises. The last entry should aim to beat Insidious 4 in OW and total, but again audience will be a challenge.

I think the lack of a horror film since the Evil Dead-Pope's Exorcist combo is going to benefit it. Boogeyman was there but didn't have as much impact as those two.

[Carlangonz]

On 7/3/2023 at 6:52 PM, Carlangonz said:

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - T-2 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-5	Occupancy
Insidious 5	15	744	1884	161.05%	39.49%

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - T-6 HOURS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-2	Occupancy
Insidious 5	19	1540	2614	106.99%	58.91%

 

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - 0.5 HOURS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-6 Hours	Occupancy
Insidious 5	19	2153	2614	39.81%	82.36%

 

Great walk-ups as expected considering this is a horror title with only a few seats left on the front rows at the late night shows. Considering this won't get more shows for the rest of the day it bodes well for it to surpass $3M and may even $4M. 

Didn't get data for Thursday because sales went live only until yesterday for it but allocation stands at 27k seats. Not far from previous major releases such as Rise of the Beasts or The Little Mermaid focusing mostly on 2nd and 3rd tier markets. Sony betting on $80M+ opening which is definitely on the cards with such previews. 

ER is insane! Today is at the same level as it was during The Force Awaken's opening weekend. Benefiting from it; Insidious aims o/u $4.5M across 4 days plus previews.

Elemental is losing some PLFs to The Red Door as well as the bussiest screens but remains ahead of everything else in shows and screens. Indy and Ruby already down in both screens and shows with Spiderverse and Transformers still holding well.

[Carlangonz]

On 7/3/2023 at 6:52 PM, Carlangonz said:

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-9 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-12	Occupancy	% of comp	Comp in lc
Mission: Impossible 7	25	240	5193	93.55%	4.62%
Fast X	95	3045	17085	98.89%	17.82%	7.88%	$2.92M

BARBIE - T-17 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-20	Occupancy
Barbie	97	4023	22440	53.14%	17.93%

 

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-7 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-9	Occupancy	% of comp	Comp in lc
Mission: Impossible 7	26	324	5274	35%	6.14%
Fast X	95	3970	17085	30.38%	23.14%	8.16%	$3.02M
Transformers	38	857	5407	na	15.85%	37.81%	$3.48M

 

As expected, Transformers comp started with a similar result as the Fast X comp. Don't think there's going to be any significant growth that puts it on par with John Wick 4 or even Insidious 5. Unfourtunately this may play like Indy with 1st tier cities completely dominating smaller cities. Early access will push it close to those ones but not feeling opening over $60M atm.


BARBIE - T-15 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-17	Occupancy
Barbie	105	5104	23036	26.87%	22.16%

 

Holding with an excellent pace and now adding more shows and seats in some VIP theatres. I'm thinking final allocation is going over 40k seats which could bode well for $50M+ opening day. We'll see if tomorrow's pink carpet is having any effect on sales because Wed-Fri usually gets the worst jumps.

[rayjulio]

26 minutes ago, Carlangonz said:

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - T-6 HOURS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-2	Occupancy
Insidious 5	19	1540	2614	106.99%	58.91%

 

INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - 0.5 HOURS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-6 Hours	Occupancy
Insidious 5	19	2153	2614	39.81%	82.36%

 

Great walk-ups as expected considering this is a horror title with only a few seats left on the front rows at the late night shows. Considering this won't get more shows for the rest of the day it bodes well for it to surpass $3M and may even $4M. 

Didn't get data for Thursday because sales went live only until yesterday for it but allocation stands at 27k seats. Not far from previous major releases such as Rise of the Beasts or The Little Mermaid focusing mostly on 2nd and 3rd tier markets. Sony betting on $80M+ opening which is definitely on the cards with such previews. 

ER is insane! Today is at the same level as it was during The Force Awaken's opening weekend. Benefiting from it; Insidious aims o/u $4.5M across 4 days plus previews.

Elemental is losing some PLFs to The Red Door as well as the bussiest screens but remains ahead of everything else in shows and screens. Indy and Ruby already down in both screens and shows with Spiderverse and Transformers still holding well.

how much do you think barbie and oppenheimer can open in 2 weeks ? do you think barbie can open in 15m-20m usd range ? 

[Carlangonz]

55 minutes ago, rayjulio said:

how much do you think barbie and oppenheimer can open in 2 weeks ? do you think barbie can open in 15m-20m usd range ? 

I don't think it'll go as high. It can but is tough because it doesn't have previews like Fast X or Guardians and doesn't have an extra day like Mario. It doesn't have IMAX, 4DX nor 3D like any of those. 

 

Screens has been an issue as well. Even Mario *only* opened to 4500 screens out of 7000+ in the country. The days where a single release could suck >85% of screens are gone with a very few exceptions.

 

Closest comp in most aspects is Spiderverse which barely went over $200M ($11.6M at today's rates). It could definitely squeeze some 2-3 extra millions but I'm cautious on it. 

 

Oppenheimer feels like could be another Creed III or even breakout like The Whale.

[Flamengo81]

Even with very strong numbers in Mexico, seeing the kind of numbers from tracking in Brazil, this might be the first blockbuster in a long time to open bigger in Brazil than in Mexico. What was even the last one? Top Gun Maverick?

[Carlangonz]

3 hours ago, Flamengo81 said:

Even with very strong numbers in Mexico, seeing the kind of numbers from tracking in Brazil, this might be the first blockbuster in a long time to open bigger in Brazil than in Mexico. What was even the last one? Top Gun Maverick?

Not sure about Maverick because early access messed up numbers. Probably SW/HP related but not sure. 

[Purple Minion]

Pink carpet for Barbie in Mexico City. Buzz is huge.

 

[Flamengo81]

22 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Not sure about Maverick because early access messed up numbers. Probably SW/HP related but not sure. 

I am not sure on SW, it's a relatively weak IP in Brazil. But maybe from the exchange rates alone it could be the case, given that it was much better for Brazil when the new trilogy released.

[Carlangonz]

On 7/5/2023 at 8:27 PM, Carlangonz said:

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-7 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-9	Occupancy	% of comp	Comp in lc
Mission: Impossible 7	26	324	5274	35%	6.14%
Fast X	95	3970	17085	30.38%	23.14%	8.16%	$3.02M
Transformers	38	857	5407	na	15.85%	37.81%	$3.48M

BARBIE - T-15 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-17	Occupancy
Barbie	105	5104	23036	26.87%	22.16%

 

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-5 DAYS

 

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-7	Occupancy	% of comp	Comp in lc
Mission: Impossible 7	26	563	5274	73.77%	10.68%
Fast X	96	5098	17153	28.41%	29.72%	8.16%	$4.08M

  

Significant growth. Although I'm still cautious because most of the growth comes from major theatres and formats while Metro Area theatres are barely adding anything. Still leaning to low $3M. ATP is going to be high tho

 

BARBIE - T-13 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-15	Occupancy
Barbie	105	6734	23036	31.94%	29.23%

 

Once again an impressive jump in sales. Bodes well for the final days.

Edited July 8, 2023 by Carlangonz

[Bob Train]

On 7/6/2023 at 6:33 PM, Flamengo81 said:

Even with very strong numbers in Mexico, seeing the kind of numbers from tracking in Brazil, this might be the first blockbuster in a long time to open bigger in Brazil than in Mexico. What was even the last one? Top Gun Maverick?

I think Puss in Boots 2 had a larger opening in Brazil than Mexico

[Issac Newton]

22.730.954 admits ~ Mario

[Issac Newton]

$5.8M #1 OS Market for Insidious

 

Rest (Total) - $27.8M ATSV / $4.2M Jones / $13.5M Elemental

[Purple Minion]

Great 100M lc for the last Insidious, should easily become the highest in the franchise. Deadline reports it's the highest horror opening for Sony.

 

Indy had a sub-50% drop.

Edited July 9, 2023 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

Amazing for Insidious and Sony which once again scores high with horror; their biggest hits since No Way Home. Warner and Universal must be salivating expecting to release Nun 2 and Five Nights At Freddy's.

 

Whatever Dead Reckoning does in previews effectively should add around $0.5M from IMAX limited early access.

 

Can't wait for Barbieheimer; there's definitely nothing else scheduled for July 20th. Barbie is right there with Spiderman 3 and Minions as some of the buzziest and biggest marketing campaigns I've seen. 

 

Oppenheimer for a while has been trending on par with some of the biggest adult-oriented titles of the last years; could surprise in a good way too.

[charlie Jatinder]

On 7/8/2023 at 7:00 AM, Carlangonz said:

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-5 DAYS

 

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-7	Occupancy	% of comp	Comp in lc
Mission: Impossible 7	26	563	5274	73.77%	10.68%
Fast X	96	5098	17153	28.41%	29.72%	8.16%	$4.08M

  

Significant growth. Although I'm still cautious because most of the growth comes from major theatres and formats while Metro Area theatres are barely adding anything. Still leaning to low $3M. ATP is going to be high tho

 

BARBIE - T-13 DAYS

 

Title	Number of shows	Sold	Total Available	Growth from T-15	Occupancy
Barbie	105	6734	23036	31.94%	29.23%

 

Once again an impressive jump in sales. Bodes well for the final days.

For MI they are previews or OD? I suppose previews, so something like

4
6
9
15

15 // 50?