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Mexico Box Office | Inside Out 2 now #3 all-time, $82M; loud $4.7M OW for A Quiet Place: Day One

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México (6-9) July

  1. Insidious - $99.6M 
  2. Elemental - $41.4M / $231.9M
  3. Indiana Jones -$20M / $72.3M
  4. Transformers - $13.9M / $326.2M
  5. The Flash - $13.1M / $313.8M
  6. Teenage Kraken - $11.9M / $39.6M
  7. Spider-Man - $8M / $483.7M 
  8. Misanthrope - $5.3M
  9. No Hard Feelings - $4.8M / $42.5M
  10. Summit Fever - $2.5M 

 

Super Mario made little less than 800K this weekend and reached $1541M~

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4 hours ago, across the Jat verse said:

For MI they are previews or OD? I suppose previews, so something like

4
6
9
15

15 // 50?

Yes. Previews only, I haven't checked Thu.

 

I already have Mon update and pace for both Dead Reckoning and Barbie is amazing! I'll post later because I haven't checked comps and I'll add First Slam Dunk numbers as well.

Edited by Carlangonz
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On 7/7/2023 at 7:30 PM, Carlangonz said:

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-5 DAYS

 

 

Title

Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-7 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc
Mission: Impossible 7 26 563 5274 73.77% 10.68%    
Fast X 96 5098 17153 28.41% 29.72% 8.16%

$4.08M

 

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING (PREVIEWS) - T-2 DAYS

 

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-5 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc
Mission: Impossible 7
26 854 5274 51.69% 16.19%    
Fast X 96 6500 17153 27.5% 37.89% 24.65% $4.86M
Transformers 38 1293 5407 na 23.91% 66.05% $6.08M

 

Tremendous increase. Remains particularly strong on premium formats which is somewhat upseting some of the lack of 3D. I'm still hesitant on each comp being spot on because still is leaning towards major markets unlike something like John Wick 4. Main increases in the sample did came from Metro Area theatres so is encouraging for walk-ins.

 

Edited by Carlangonz
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On 7/7/2023 at 7:30 PM, Carlangonz said:

BARBIE - T-13 DAYS

 

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-15 Occupancy
Barbie 105 6734 23036 31.94% 29.23%

 

Once again an impressive jump in sales. Bodes well for the final days.

BARBIE OPENING DAY - T-10 DAYS

 

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-13 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Adjusted comp
Barbie 105 8740 23117 29.79% 37.81%      
The Little Mermaid 70 778 15285 73.27% 5.09% 1123.39% $265.12M $254.78M
Spiderverse 84 6663 19284 35.65% 34.55% 131.17% $57.71M $57.71M

 

Yeah, I'm dropping that Little Mermaid's comp because it'll remain completely useless. Spiderverse is an interesting one because pace is similar even though Spiderverse was on its first weekend of sales so it had reason to hold better.

We're definitely in uncharted territory that still pends on allocation so not dropping any numbers probably until next week that Oppenheimer is on sale as well and there's a clear picture.

Also I'm thinking ATP won't be as low as expected because from looks this is definitely more adult-heavy and PLFs are selling better than traditional in locations where there's both of them. And of course VIPs are the ones packed from first to last show.

THE FIRST SLAM DUNK OPENING DAY - T-18 DAYS

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-21 Occupancy
The First Slam Dunk 48 580 8382 43.92% 6.92%


For any future reference

Edited by Carlangonz
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I messed up the formula for the Fast X comp in the MI7 sheet but is now fixed. Is quite on par with my current expectations if walk-ins live up to hype in smaller markets. $5M or so for previews including early access and $60M+ opening weekend.

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Shows are up and tickets ready to go on Thursday for Oppenheimer. Modest initial show count which is really on par with previous Nolan titles. 

 

This might be the final week in several theatres for everything from The Little Mermaid until Ruby Gillman except for Elemental. Indy is being already dropped in smaller markets. 

Edited by Carlangonz
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CANACINE's figures seem to include Monday: Insidious 5 is up to 111.7M lc, Elements 237.5M lc, Flash 315.6M lc, Transformers ROTB 328.1M lc and ATSV 484.8M lc.

 

Speaking of which...

 

All Times Movies lc

54    485,214,286    Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017)

55    484,800,000    Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse (2023)

 

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Mission Impossible BO performance. No data on the first movie since it's pre-1998.

 

Movie  OW lc   OW aud   Total lc   Total aud 
MI: Fallout  $       76,035,677       1,245,656  $     222,602,128       3,975,850
MI: Rogue Nation  $       67,351,665       1,238,155  $     201,416,969       4,117,568
MI: Ghost Protocol  $       27,341,425         518,713  $     167,663,859       3,422,144
MI: 3  $       31,845,717         766,140  $     100,463,707       2,635,845
MI: 2  $       24,013,610         693,621  $       97,422,964       3,136,696

 

Fallout has the better opening and total, but Rogue Nation is #1 in tickets sold. Let's see if Dead Reckoning I tops any.

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Dead Reckoning continues to improve pace over comps but still coming from big cities whereas smaller markets are slower. 

 

Barbie remains stronger in pace against Spiderverse. If today's ER holds until next week then $15M+ is on

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On 7/10/2023 at 8:16 PM, Carlangonz said:

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING (PREVIEWS) - T-2 DAYS

 

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-5 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc
Mission: Impossible 7
26 854 5274 51.69% 16.19%    
Fast X 96 6500 17153 27.5% 37.89% 24.65% $4.86M
Transformers 38 1293 5407 na 23.91% 66.05% $6.08M

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING (PREVIEWS) - T-6 HOURS

 

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-2 Days Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc
Mission: Impossible 7
27 1491 5346 71.08% 27.33%    
Fast X 96 10139 17153 55.98% 59.97% 14.41% $5.33M
Transformers 38 2160 5407 67.05%

39.95%

76.41% $7.03M
Insidious 5 19 1540 2614 106.99% 58.91% 96.82% $7.16M

 

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING (PREVIEWS) - T-0.5 HOURS

 

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-6 Hours Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc
Mission: Impossible 7
27 2103 5346 43.94% 39.34%    
Transformers 38 2657 17153 23.01% 49.14% 79.15% $7?3M
Insidious 5 19 2153 2614 39.81% 82.36% 97.68% $7.23M

 

Once again great increases across the board which includes strong walk-ins in Metro Area theatres. I do think comps are still somewhat off and the best one is Fast X which talks on the difference between audiences in 1st tier markets with premium formats and 2nd/3rd tier markets with regular showings only and a handful of PLFs/VIPs.

Bad news is coming for TFSS where allocation for each day is 22k; way below ROTB's 31k or even last week's Insidious 5 which was at 27k. FWIW is above Indy's 14k with actual sales at 68% of Beasts and 86% ahead of Dial of Destiny.

Going with $5.5M-$6M in previews but ultimately a lower performance in mid/small markets and low screen count compared to holdovers like Insidious and even Elemental will drag the IM to a weekend of $55M-$65M. Good news is ER which puts it at $3.2M-$3.8M in USD.

Edited by Carlangonz
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On 7/10/2023 at 8:28 PM, Carlangonz said:

BARBIE OPENING DAY - T-10 DAYS

 

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-13 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Adjusted comp
Barbie 105 8740 23117 29.79% 37.81%      
The Little Mermaid 70 778 15285 73.27% 5.09% 1123.39% $265.12M $254.78M
Spiderverse 84 6663 19284 35.65% 34.55% 131.17% $57.71M $57.71M

BARBIE OPENING DAY - T-8 DAYS

 

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-10 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc
Barbie 105 10456 23117 19.63% 45.23%    
Spiderverse 84 7558 19284 13.43% 39.19% 138.34% $60.87M

 

Just marvelous considering how Barbie is already capping in limitations with allocation at prime shows. I said it before but $250M+ here we go.

Edited by Carlangonz
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On 7/10/2023 at 8:28 PM, Carlangonz said:

THE FIRST SLAM DUNK OPENING DAY - T-18 DAYS

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-21 Occupancy
The First Slam Dunk 48 580 8382 43.92% 6.92%

 

THE FIRST SLAM DUNK OPENING DAY - T-15 DAYS

 

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-18 Occupancy
The First Slam Dunk 49 670 8462 15.52% 7.92%

 

Don't know how front-loaded may be but definitely looks on its way to make at least Suzume numbers. Something to notice is that dubbed shows are outpacing by far subtitled ones which has been rare now for a while when it comes to similar comps like Demon Slayer releases, Suzume and One Piece: Red.

Edited by Carlangonz
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Oppenheimer off to a great start in IMAX.

 

Surprisingly no 4DX which probably means shows will be split with Barbie.

 

Also in smaller markets is taking only mid-size screens so even if a theatre has 2+ auditoriums with 300+ seats that means Barbie is taking most or all of them.

 

Dead Reckoning likely gonna take a bigger hit than Insidious and Elemental.

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10 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Oppenheimer off to a great start in IMAX.

For the record; 341 on first 12 hours with over 6 days to go which is on par with Indy's T-3 Days. 

 

IMAX figures not included since they'll skew a lot but out of three screens in the sample this is the best PS for an IMAX release I've seen and likely the biggest IMAX release since NWH. Already at 50% occupancy between 12 shows which are starting as early as 10AM.

 

Barbenheimer is here. $300M+ combined.

 

Extra. I don't track Cinemex like I used to because I don't have comps except for 2019 titles. However I'm seeing an expansion on shows for Barbie that really is having me thinking if Cinépolis follows suit then allocation is not going to be an issue anymore.

Edited by Carlangonz
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On 7/12/2023 at 9:08 PM, Carlangonz said:

BARBIE OPENING DAY - T-8 DAYS

 

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-10 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc
Barbie 105 10456 23117 19.63% 45.23%    
Spiderverse 84 7558 19284 13.43% 39.19% 138.34% $60.87M

BARBIE OPENING DAY - T-6 DAYS

 

Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-13 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc
Barbie 105 12557 23117 20.09% 54.32%    
Spiderverse 84 8692 19284 15% 45.07% 144.47% $65.01M

 

Nothing stops this train. Occupancy is now above that of Spiderverse's final count looking to keep growing with morning shows filling up now.

 

I have to note that increase is a bit muted to to removal of 4 shows in the sample that should get back anyway next week.

 

Hopefully screen count lives up to hype if so then we're aiming at $300M+ with ER improving day after day.

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