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Purple Minion

Mexico Box Office | Inside Out 2 close to $72M; will Day One create much noise?

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Posted (edited)

Recap of all Pixar movies with more than 10M tickets sold. Worth pointing out that OW increased to 4 or 5-day in recent years, but nonetheless, Inside Out 2 is aiming to become a new lc opening champion. Audience-wise, that's a different story: 7M OW and 20M final would be a fantastic achievement.

 

Movie  OW lc   OW Aud   Total lc   Total Aud 
Toy Story 4 $458,711,125 7,466,348 $1,375,619,677 25,200,946
Coco $178,460,551 3,403,670 $1,132,277,291 24,145,540
Toy Story 3 $200,071,420 3,628,618 $777,482,842 14,826,134
Incredibles 2 $239,478,997 4,396,249 $749,605,717 15,249,092
Monsters University $165,100,066 3,227,488 $491,293,348 10,608,951
Inside Out $132,246,902 2,622,501 $485,893,407 10,839,062
Finding Dory $178,445,112 3,383,810 $460,011,839 10,167,369
Edited by Purple Minion
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Final allocation from the sample is looking like will finish with 64k-65k seats available; that's close to 20% above Barbenheimer and would translate on 5,000+ screens. Shows starting as early as 10:00AM for the whole weekend.

Edited by Carlangonz
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On 6/10/2024 at 8:37 PM, Carlangonz said:

INSIDE OUT 2 (OPENING DAY) - T-3 DAYS

 

Title Seats sold Total available Occupancy Growth from T-6

 

Inside Out 2

 

12,135 56,930 21.32% +60.88%

 

Comps at the same point before release

 

Title Seats sold Total available Occupancy Growth from T-6 Comp in % Comp in lc
Little Mermaid 1,949 17,685 11.02% +39.91% 622.63% $146.94M
Spiderverse 9,797 19,284 50.8% +12.71% 123.86% $54.5M
Barbie 15,226 23,117 65.86 +21.26% 79.7% $84.48M

INSIDE OUT 2 (OPENING DAY) - T-17 HOURS

 

Title Seats sold Total available Occupancy Growth from T-3

 

Inside Out 2

 

21,351 65,448 32.62% +75.67%

 

Comps at the same point before release

 

Title Seats sold Total available Occupancy Growth from T-3 Comp in % Comp in lc
Little Mermaid 3,618 30,163 11.99% +85.63% 590.13% $139.27M
Spiderverse 13,954 33,397 41.78% +42,43 153.01% $67.32M
Barbie 23,370 45,283 51.61% +53.49% 91.36% $96.84M

 

Significant final push before opening. Behind Little Mermaid's last increase but not that it was needed after the massive weekend it had and still was way ahead of Spiderverse and Barbie's.

Still holding out some reservations because I'm seeing early afternoon and late night shows barely growing unlike what I had seen for Toy Story 4 for its final days. At Perisur; its T-17 hours number was ahead of Mario's T-14 hours which is a great sign.

This is the biggest animated presaller since Toy Story 4 beating both Mario and Rise of Gru so huge weekend incoming. Expecting less walk-ups and more front-loadness than the latter two but should still deliver Disney its biggest opening since 2022's Multiverse of Madness.

Sadly ER is taking a big hit and it'll get worse in a few hours right before the opening.


Opening Day: $100M-$110M ($5.2M-$5.7M)
Opening Weekend: $470M-$520M ($24.7M-$27.3M)

Edited by Carlangonz
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All-Time Top OW (lc)

Cannot find the audience for DS2 and Mario yet.

 

Movie  OW lc   OW Aud 
Avengers: Endgame  $   609,428,316 9,376,943
Spider-Man: No Way Home  $   508,317,309 6,905,247
Avengers: Infinity War  $   466,452,015 8,226,506
Toy Story 4  $   458,711,125 7,466,348
Doctor Strange 2  $   419,000,000  
Super Mario Bros Movie  $   395,400,000  

 

Disclaimer: Mario opened on Wed, 5-day OW is 502.9M lc.

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$105M/$5.7M as per BOR. On par with Mario and aiming $470M/$25M.

Second best OD for Pixar and best for Disney since Multiverse of Madness. Expecting the following trend: 105-110-120-135

Edited by Carlangonz
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On 6/13/2024 at 12:49 PM, Purple Minion said:

All-Time Top OW (lc)

Cannot find the audience for DS2 and Mario yet.

 

Movie  OW lc   OW Aud 
Avengers: Endgame  $   609,428,316 9,376,943
Spider-Man: No Way Home  $   508,317,309 6,905,247
Avengers: Infinity War  $   466,452,015 8,226,506
Toy Story 4  $   458,711,125 7,466,348
Doctor Strange 2  $   419,000,000  
Super Mario Bros Movie  $   395,400,000  

 

Disclaimer: Mario opened on Wed, 5-day OW is 502.9M lc.

Arent you counting the 5-day for No Way Home? It was released on a wednesday (I remember )

Edited by Bob-omb
typo
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2 minutes ago, Bob-omb said:

Arent you counting the 5-day for No Way Home? It was released on a wednesday (I remember )

 

You are right, it opened on a Wednesday... the spreadsheet from CANACINE still counts the 508M lc figures as opening weekend. Maybe they were considered as previews? I just don't know anymore 🙃

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12 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

 

You are right, it opened on a Wednesday... the spreadsheet from CANACINE still counts the 508M lc figures as opening weekend. Maybe they were considered as previews? I just don't know anymore 🙃

It is the 4-Day opening weekend. Wednesday adds up to $697M or so I remember.

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Deadline: Mexico is already the biggest grossing market of the pack for IO2, taking $5.7M yesterday and scoring the 3rd highest animated opening day of all time, and 9th industry debut day overall. The launch day was 2x higher than the first Inside Out, 3x bigger than Kung Fu Panda 4 and 2.6x over Minions: The Rise of Gru. IO2 came in with a 90% market share.

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Cinemex is facing issues and long queues with their services due to overwhelming demand throughout this weekend.

 

Last time I remember they issued an statement like this for a similar problem was for No Way Home.

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Friday figure is the 4th largest day this decade after No Way Home's Wednesday, Saturday and Sunday.

 

Saturday and Sunday for Joy and Co. shall challenge those of the Peters.

Edited by Carlangonz
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