mexico Mexico Box Office | D&W repeats on top; solid opening by It Ends With Us; Trap meh, Borderlands flops

[todos]

4 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

For DM4? I think $40-45M is more reasonable, but then again animation is overperforming these days and ER is falling, so...

Not too bad but makes $1B tricky. Do you think IO2 will benefit now from the improved ER or still finish below $100M? 

[Purple Minion]

IO2 is now at $94.9M, a $2.9M T-S weekend. About 1.725B lc. $100M should happen.

 

 

Edited July 14 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

24 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

IO2 is now at $94.9M, a $2.9M T-S weekend. About 1.725B lc. $100M should happen.

 

 

Closer to $1.74B Admissions-wise should be just o/u Coco and only behind Toy Story 4 and Endgame. 

[Purple Minion]

Good $3.3M OW for Twisters, 58M lc.

[Jiffy]

Hoping $100m for IO2 happens for symbolic reasons.

[Purple Minion]

DM4 reached $24.167M, #1 OS market. About 430-435M lc.  AQP: Day One reached $11.2M.

 

 

 

Edited July 15 by Purple Minion

[Purple Minion]

I am hearing 1.735B lc and 23.5M tickets for IO2, plus 432M lc total for DM4.

Edited July 15 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

16 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

23.5M

That's more like it. ATP is now settling down.

[Carlangonz]

JULY 11-14 WEEKEND.

 

1. Despicable Me 4 - $121.4M/$432.2M (-47.13%)

2. Twisters - $57.5M 

3. Inside Out 2 - $50.3M/$1,735.7M (-44.85%)

4. A Quiet Place: Day One - $23.1M/$203.5M (-47.26%)

5. Fly Me to the Moon - $9.7M 

6. Bad Boys: Ride or Die - $3.6M/$278.4M (-54.43%)

7. Blue Lock: Episode Nagi - $2.7M

8. Maxxxine - $1.9M/$9.6M (-62.75%)

9. Jeanne du Barry - $1.1M/$3.9M (-42.11%)

10. The Godfather (Re-issue) - $0.76M

 

Perhaps a combo of screen loss and competition but weak holds across the board but nothing too dramatic; even for Maxxxine which was always poised to be front-loaded.

Despicable Me 4 is running a bit ahead compared to Despicable Me 3 -2.6%- and depending on Deadpool & Wolverine screen count, aims somewhere between $650M-$700M by the end of its run. Summer break is just starting and will get an empty August -along Inside Out 2- so has that going for it.

Riley keeps increasing its advantage from the Peters and Mario/Luigi as Inside Out 2 stabilizes after last weekend and shall get another good drop this weekend as there's no major competition. In admissions; it has surpassed No Way Home and will top Coco by the moment Pool & Logan arrive. $100M USD and 25M admissions will be a long and slow road so hold up your breath.

Twisters has an okay opening; it's got another week for itself to enjoy PLFs, IMAX and 4DX which are getting a boost from a positive WOM. We'll see if it can leg to $200M+.

[Carlangonz]

On 7/11/2024 at 11:06 AM, Carlangonz said:

DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE - WEDNESDAY NIGHT PREVIEWS (T-14 DAYS)

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth
Deadpool & Wolverine	10949	19844	55.18%	+5.76%

 

Comps at T-0

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Comp in %	Comp in lc
Fast X	10139	16907	59.97%	107.99%	$39.96M
The Flash	5353	12348	43.35%	204.54%	$32.73M
Guardians 3	6643	12606	52.7%	164.82%	$39.06M

DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE - WEDNESDAY NIGHT PREVIEWS (T-9 DAYS)

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth
Deadpool & Wolverine	12098	20004	60.48%	+10.49%

 

Comps at T-0
 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Comp in %	Comp in lc
Fast X	10139	16907	59.97%	119.32%	$44.15M
The Flash	5353	12348	43.35%	226%	$36.16M
Guardians 3	6643	12606	52.7%	182.12%	$43.16M

Couldn't get data on T-12 but increase from these past 5 days seems okay. Occupancy now the highest among comps and two individual locations already surpass 70%. Compared to Freddy's is lagging behind; occupancy for that one at this same point was at 74%.

Shows still being added but just a couple at separated locations; hopefully we get a 4%-5% increase on allocation by the end. 

As for individual locations I used to track for Wakanda Forever, Way of Water, Love & Thunder and Multiverse of Madness; they have already surpassed Wakanda and are very close to Avatar and Thor. Will be a toss-up with Multiverse of Madness but tbf allocation was higher for that one.

Previews shall be around same as Multiverse of Madness' $70M but we're on uncharted territory for overall weekend as this is a first for C-Rating; going with $350M for the 4-Day.

[Purple Minion]

Updated IO2 USD total by Disney: $94,896,590.

[keysersoze123]

BOR is saying 95.3

 

 

[Carlangonz]

32 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

BOR is saying 95.3

 

 

Shall be $1.785B/$97.7M the whole week. ER has improved the past week; very good if late legs hold up.

[keysersoze123]

100m before Deadpool opens?

[Carlangonz]

5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

100m before Deadpool opens?

Would requiere a superb hold this weekend, pretty much stay flat so $100M won't come until August.

Edited July 16 by Carlangonz

[charlie Jatinder]

Did $4.53M in last 7 days. 

 

MON is $350-400K, weekdays may be $1.1M+ vs $1.65M last week, aka 34% drop. Weekend drop may be 30% ish for $2M.

 

So $98M by SUN.

 

May be another $700K till DP opens on WED? Would need $1.3M after that. 

[Carlangonz]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Did $4.53M in last 7 days. 

 

MON is $350-400K, weekdays may be $1.1M+ vs $1.65M last week, aka 34% drop. Weekend drop may be 30% ish for $2M.

 

So $98M by SUN.

 

May be another $700K till DP opens on WED? Would need $1.3M after that. 

Yes, in lc I'm expecting 20M weekdays and 35M weekend.

 

Then 12M upcoming weekdays and another 12M on D&W's opening weekend. ER is stable atm but with US Presidential campaigns just starting will be volatile.

 

Summer break will help it but after the 24th will lose not only screens but theaters as well.

 

Will be an interesting race to $100M.

[Purple Minion]

Meanwhile, in the all-time lc rankings...

 

15    818,648,034    Minions: Rise of Gru (2022)

21    724,799,241    Minions (2015)

32    625,965,616    Despicable Me 3 (2017)

34    612,219,624    Despicable Me 2 (2013)

---

70    435,599,543    Transformers; Age of Extrinction (2014)

71    432,200,000    Despicable Me 4 (2024)
72    428,366,014    The Jungle Book (2016)

[Purple Minion]

IO2 total is $96.1M up to Wednesday. Slowly but surely.

[Carlangonz]

On 7/15/2024 at 9:46 PM, Carlangonz said:

DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE - WEDNESDAY NIGHT PREVIEWS (T-9 DAYS)

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth
Deadpool & Wolverine	12098	20004	60.48%	+10.49%

 

Comps at T-0
 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Comp in %	Comp in lc
Fast X	10139	16907	59.97%	119.32%	$44.15M
The Flash	5353	12348	43.35%	226%	$36.16M
Guardians 3	6643	12606	52.7%	182.12%	$43.16M

DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE - WEDNESDAY NIGHT PREVIEWS (T-7 DAYS)

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth
Deadpool & Wolverine	12604	20004	63.01%	+4.18%

 

Comps at T-0
 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Comp in %	Comp in lc
Fast X	10139	16907	59.97%	124.31%	$45.99M
The Flash	5353	12348	43.35%	226%	$36.16M
Guardians 3	6643	12606	52.7%	182.12%	$43.16M

Still growing on par with the past week but seems like there won't be any additional allocation; spillover shall go to smaller locations and smaller chains that have the capacity to extend fan rush.

 

Has been officially rated as C by the local censor due to strong and explicit violence and language as well as drug-consumption references. Only the second time for the franchise after Logan. Previous Deadpool pics were B-15.

Among other popular titles with such ratings are The Passion of Christ and John Wick: Parabellum. 

Edited July 19 by Carlangonz