Carlangonz Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Impressive weekend for Barbie on sales. I'm not going to do comps this week just to see how pace moves before keeping up with Little Mermaid and Spiderverse. We're pointing towards a $40M+ OD. Insidious 5 also had a great jump over the weekend. Looking like $5M in previews which is great considering a low allocation and aims a potential $70M across the whole weekend. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 (edited) INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - T-2 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-5 Occupancy Insidious 5 15 744 1884 161.05% 39.49% Was off earlier because allocation is going to limit it but still looking like $2M-$3M in previews MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-9 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-12 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Mission: Impossible 7 25 240 5193 93.55% 4.62% Fast X 95 3045 17085 98.89% 17.82% 7.88% $2.92M I'll get a Rise of the Beasts comp on Wednesday because I don't have T-9 for the one but it'll probably throw similar numbers as Fast X. Similar previews as John Wick 4 but don't think IM is going to be as high. Also, for comps I'm not considering early access because they skew a lot. But I do count them; they'll add something like $0.5MBARBIE - T-17 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-20 Occupancy Barbie 97 4023 22440 53.14% 17.93% As I said earlier; great jump over the weekend. Allocation also grew and now is above Spiderverse's 19k. Curious to see how it'll place at the end. Edited July 4, 2023 by Carlangonz 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted July 4, 2023 Author Share Posted July 4, 2023 TOP MOVIES 2023 (lc) Latest figures by CANACINE 01 1,541,000,000 The Super Mario Bros. Movie 02 664,500,000 Fast X 03 640,100,000 Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 3 04 470,900,000 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 05 363,000,000 The Little Mermaid (2023) 06 330,055,000 Ant Man & The Wasp: Quantumania 07 305,100,000 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts 08 292,500,000 The Flash 09 259,000,000 John Wick IV 10 192,000,000 Shazam: Fury of the Gods Elemental will break into the Top 10 by next Monday. Audience-wise, Indy barely made it over the half-million tickets sold, 509.3K to be precise. Flash reached 4M and Fast X ends up at 9.7M. And in the all-time lc, ATSV is up to #57. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted July 5, 2023 Author Share Posted July 5, 2023 Movie OW LC OW Aud Total LC Total Aud Insidious 4 57,748,493 1,106,487 162,511,660 3,435,265 Insidious 3 27,222,006 570,892 73,352,015 1,705,733 Insidious 2 14,935,634 354,206 50,195,247 1,367,405 Insidious 8,024,909 168,152 43,033,918 986,135 Insidious hasn't had as much impact in the local box office as other horror franchises. The last entry should aim to beat Insidious 4 in OW and total, but again audience will be a challenge. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 6 hours ago, Purple Minion said: Movie OW LC OW Aud Total LC Total Aud Insidious 4 57,748,493 1,106,487 162,511,660 3,435,265 Insidious 3 27,222,006 570,892 73,352,015 1,705,733 Insidious 2 14,935,634 354,206 50,195,247 1,367,405 Insidious 8,024,909 168,152 43,033,918 986,135 Insidious hasn't had as much impact in the local box office as other horror franchises. The last entry should aim to beat Insidious 4 in OW and total, but again audience will be a challenge. I think the lack of a horror film since the Evil Dead-Pope's Exorcist combo is going to benefit it. Boogeyman was there but didn't have as much impact as those two. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 On 7/3/2023 at 6:52 PM, Carlangonz said: INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - T-2 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-5 Occupancy Insidious 5 15 744 1884 161.05% 39.49% INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - T-6 HOURS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-2 Occupancy Insidious 5 19 1540 2614 106.99% 58.91% INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - 0.5 HOURS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-6 Hours Occupancy Insidious 5 19 2153 2614 39.81% 82.36% Great walk-ups as expected considering this is a horror title with only a few seats left on the front rows at the late night shows. Considering this won't get more shows for the rest of the day it bodes well for it to surpass $3M and may even $4M. Didn't get data for Thursday because sales went live only until yesterday for it but allocation stands at 27k seats. Not far from previous major releases such as Rise of the Beasts or The Little Mermaid focusing mostly on 2nd and 3rd tier markets. Sony betting on $80M+ opening which is definitely on the cards with such previews. ER is insane! Today is at the same level as it was during The Force Awaken's opening weekend. Benefiting from it; Insidious aims o/u $4.5M across 4 days plus previews.Elemental is losing some PLFs to The Red Door as well as the bussiest screens but remains ahead of everything else in shows and screens. Indy and Ruby already down in both screens and shows with Spiderverse and Transformers still holding well. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 On 7/3/2023 at 6:52 PM, Carlangonz said: MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-9 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-12 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Mission: Impossible 7 25 240 5193 93.55% 4.62% Fast X 95 3045 17085 98.89% 17.82% 7.88% $2.92M BARBIE - T-17 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-20 Occupancy Barbie 97 4023 22440 53.14% 17.93% MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-7 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-9 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Mission: Impossible 7 26 324 5274 35% 6.14% Fast X 95 3970 17085 30.38% 23.14% 8.16% $3.02M Transformers 38 857 5407 na 15.85% 37.81% $3.48M As expected, Transformers comp started with a similar result as the Fast X comp. Don't think there's going to be any significant growth that puts it on par with John Wick 4 or even Insidious 5. Unfourtunately this may play like Indy with 1st tier cities completely dominating smaller cities. Early access will push it close to those ones but not feeling opening over $60M atm.BARBIE - T-15 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-17 Occupancy Barbie 105 5104 23036 26.87% 22.16% Holding with an excellent pace and now adding more shows and seats in some VIP theatres. I'm thinking final allocation is going over 40k seats which could bode well for $50M+ opening day. We'll see if tomorrow's pink carpet is having any effect on sales because Wed-Fri usually gets the worst jumps. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rayjulio Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 26 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - T-6 HOURS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-2 Occupancy Insidious 5 19 1540 2614 106.99% 58.91% INSIDIOUS: THE RED DOOR - 0.5 HOURS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-6 Hours Occupancy Insidious 5 19 2153 2614 39.81% 82.36% Great walk-ups as expected considering this is a horror title with only a few seats left on the front rows at the late night shows. Considering this won't get more shows for the rest of the day it bodes well for it to surpass $3M and may even $4M. Didn't get data for Thursday because sales went live only until yesterday for it but allocation stands at 27k seats. Not far from previous major releases such as Rise of the Beasts or The Little Mermaid focusing mostly on 2nd and 3rd tier markets. Sony betting on $80M+ opening which is definitely on the cards with such previews. ER is insane! Today is at the same level as it was during The Force Awaken's opening weekend. Benefiting from it; Insidious aims o/u $4.5M across 4 days plus previews.Elemental is losing some PLFs to The Red Door as well as the bussiest screens but remains ahead of everything else in shows and screens. Indy and Ruby already down in both screens and shows with Spiderverse and Transformers still holding well. how much do you think barbie and oppenheimer can open in 2 weeks ? do you think barbie can open in 15m-20m usd range ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 55 minutes ago, rayjulio said: how much do you think barbie and oppenheimer can open in 2 weeks ? do you think barbie can open in 15m-20m usd range ? I don't think it'll go as high. It can but is tough because it doesn't have previews like Fast X or Guardians and doesn't have an extra day like Mario. It doesn't have IMAX, 4DX nor 3D like any of those. Screens has been an issue as well. Even Mario *only* opened to 4500 screens out of 7000+ in the country. The days where a single release could suck >85% of screens are gone with a very few exceptions. Closest comp in most aspects is Spiderverse which barely went over $200M ($11.6M at today's rates). It could definitely squeeze some 2-3 extra millions but I'm cautious on it. Oppenheimer feels like could be another Creed III or even breakout like The Whale. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flamengo81 Posted July 6, 2023 Share Posted July 6, 2023 Even with very strong numbers in Mexico, seeing the kind of numbers from tracking in Brazil, this might be the first blockbuster in a long time to open bigger in Brazil than in Mexico. What was even the last one? Top Gun Maverick? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 7, 2023 Share Posted July 7, 2023 3 hours ago, Flamengo81 said: Even with very strong numbers in Mexico, seeing the kind of numbers from tracking in Brazil, this might be the first blockbuster in a long time to open bigger in Brazil than in Mexico. What was even the last one? Top Gun Maverick? Not sure about Maverick because early access messed up numbers. Probably SW/HP related but not sure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted July 7, 2023 Author Share Posted July 7, 2023 Pink carpet for Barbie in Mexico City. Buzz is huge. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flamengo81 Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 22 hours ago, Carlangonz said: Not sure about Maverick because early access messed up numbers. Probably SW/HP related but not sure. I am not sure on SW, it's a relatively weak IP in Brazil. But maybe from the exchange rates alone it could be the case, given that it was much better for Brazil when the new trilogy released. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 (edited) On 7/5/2023 at 8:27 PM, Carlangonz said: MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-7 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-9 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Mission: Impossible 7 26 324 5274 35% 6.14% Fast X 95 3970 17085 30.38% 23.14% 8.16% $3.02M Transformers 38 857 5407 na 15.85% 37.81% $3.48M BARBIE - T-15 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-17 Occupancy Barbie 105 5104 23036 26.87% 22.16% MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-5 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-7 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Mission: Impossible 7 26 563 5274 73.77% 10.68% Fast X 96 5098 17153 28.41% 29.72% 8.16% $4.08M Significant growth. Although I'm still cautious because most of the growth comes from major theatres and formats while Metro Area theatres are barely adding anything. Still leaning to low $3M. ATP is going to be high tho BARBIE - T-13 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-15 Occupancy Barbie 105 6734 23036 31.94% 29.23% Once again an impressive jump in sales. Bodes well for the final days. Edited July 8, 2023 by Carlangonz 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Train Posted July 8, 2023 Share Posted July 8, 2023 On 7/6/2023 at 6:33 PM, Flamengo81 said: Even with very strong numbers in Mexico, seeing the kind of numbers from tracking in Brazil, this might be the first blockbuster in a long time to open bigger in Brazil than in Mexico. What was even the last one? Top Gun Maverick? I think Puss in Boots 2 had a larger opening in Brazil than Mexico 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 22.730.954 admits ~ Mario 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted July 9, 2023 Share Posted July 9, 2023 $5.8M #1 OS Market for Insidious Rest (Total) - $27.8M ATSV / $4.2M Jones / $13.5M Elemental 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted July 9, 2023 Author Share Posted July 9, 2023 (edited) Great 100M lc for the last Insidious, should easily become the highest in the franchise. Deadline reports it's the highest horror opening for Sony. Indy had a sub-50% drop. Edited July 9, 2023 by Purple Minion 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Amazing for Insidious and Sony which once again scores high with horror; their biggest hits since No Way Home. Warner and Universal must be salivating expecting to release Nun 2 and Five Nights At Freddy's. Whatever Dead Reckoning does in previews effectively should add around $0.5M from IMAX limited early access. Can't wait for Barbieheimer; there's definitely nothing else scheduled for July 20th. Barbie is right there with Spiderman 3 and Minions as some of the buzziest and biggest marketing campaigns I've seen. Oppenheimer for a while has been trending on par with some of the biggest adult-oriented titles of the last years; could surprise in a good way too. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 On 7/8/2023 at 7:00 AM, Carlangonz said: MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING - T-5 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-7 Occupancy % of comp Comp in lc Mission: Impossible 7 26 563 5274 73.77% 10.68% Fast X 96 5098 17153 28.41% 29.72% 8.16% $4.08M Significant growth. Although I'm still cautious because most of the growth comes from major theatres and formats while Metro Area theatres are barely adding anything. Still leaning to low $3M. ATP is going to be high tho BARBIE - T-13 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Growth from T-15 Occupancy Barbie 105 6734 23036 31.94% 29.23% Once again an impressive jump in sales. Bodes well for the final days. For MI they are previews or OD? I suppose previews, so something like 4 6 9 15 15 // 50? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...