Purple Minion Posted June 4 Author Share Posted June 4 TOP MOVIES 2024 (lc) Based on latest CANACINE figures 01 606,200,000 Kung Fu Panda 4 02 562,700,000 Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire 03 325,000,000 The Garfield Movie 04 301,100,000 Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes 05 197,643,523 Dune: Part Two 06 142,226,062 Anyone But You 07 141,583,438 Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire 08 132,100,000 IF 09 110,033,036 Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba - To the Hashira Training 10 99,728,219 Poor Things 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyJPHer Posted June 4 Share Posted June 4 9 hours ago, Purple Minion said: TOP MOVIES 2024 (lc) Based on latest CANACINE figures 01 606,200,000 Kung Fu Panda 4 02 562,700,000 Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire 03 325,000,000 The Garfield Movie 04 301,100,000 Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes 05 197,643,523 Dune: Part Two 06 142,226,062 Anyone But You 07 141,583,438 Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire 08 132,100,000 IF 09 110,033,036 Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba - To the Hashira Training 10 99,728,219 Poor Things Inside Out 2 should easily get into this list. I wonder if it’ll beat Kung Fu Panda 4 though? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 5 Share Posted June 5 23 hours ago, Carlangonz said: Taking allocation for Inside Out 2 and is massive! Easily the biggest of the year and biggest for Disney since Multiverse of Madness. For Pixar, it should be the second widest release ever only behind Toy Story 4. They're going all in. 55.3k total seats available for opening day across the sample. Barbenheimer (yes, combined) was at 55.1k. 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leoh Posted June 5 Share Posted June 5 35 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: 55.3k total seats available for opening day across the sample. Barbenheimer (yes, combined) was at 55.1k. Do you know how bad boys 4 pré Sales is doing in Mexico? Any projection? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 5 Author Share Posted June 5 8 hours ago, AnthonyJPHer said: Inside Out 2 should easily get into this list. I wonder if it’ll beat Kung Fu Panda 4 though? I think so, and has a good chance to top it. Comparison is Incredibles 2 which did 750M lc back in 2018. The battle royale is with Despicable Me 4. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 5 Author Share Posted June 5 Bad Boys saga performance, the first movie was released before tracking started. BB4 should do better than BB2 in audience, but may not reach BB3's gross. Movie OW lc OW Aud Total lc Total Aud Bad Boys For Life $72,608,565 1,226,428 $235,734,314 4,373,492 Bad Boys II $8,098,658 210,684 $35,140,373 1,039,140 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 5 Share Posted June 5 7 hours ago, Purple Minion said: Bad Boys saga performance, the first movie was released before tracking started. BB4 should do better than BB2 in audience, but may not reach BB3's gross. Movie OW lc OW Aud Total lc Total Aud Bad Boys For Life $72,608,565 1,226,428 $235,734,314 4,373,492 Bad Boys II $8,098,658 210,684 $35,140,373 1,039,140 I'm not taking data but opening should top For Life. Legs will be hard to follow tho. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 (edited) INSIDE OUT 2 (OPENING DAY) - T-8 DAYS Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Inside Out 2 5,645 56,067 10.07% Comps at the same point before release. Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-10 Comp in % Comp in lc Little Mermaid 1,092 17,685 6.17% +40.36% 516.94% $122M Spiderverse 7,558 19,284 39.19% +13,43% 74.69% $32.86M Barbie 10,456 23,117 45.23% +19.63% 53.99% $57.23M Excellent first week for Inside Out as it looms to open on 5,000+ screens next weekend making it the third widest release for Disney this decade only behind The Way of Water and Multiverse of Madness. For animation overall, it'll get the largest screen count since Toy Story 4. I'll keep the Little Mermaid comp just to see how pace adjusts but the truth is that IO2's at this point is over 50% above of Ariel's numbers at T-1. At the end I think will be the most reliable comp because doesn't have the same rush as Barbie or Spiderverse. To be honest I'm not sure walk-ins could be as strong as Toy Story 4 or Mario (huge presales, even more spectacular walk-ins) but if somehow manages to stay close to them we could really bet on a second $100M+ OD for Pixar; Disney is clearly betting on it based on allocation. Something that prevents me from walk-ins blowing out of proportion is the fact that it opens right on a regular Thursday that's not a holiday like Mario had or even in the middle of a break like Barbie. If anything it could be another Toy Story 4 that didn't get any of those boosts either and still broke the animation record. Going with $80M OD/$350M OW. Edited June 6 by Carlangonz 2 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 Btw, I'm thinking Bad Boys is aiming up to $90M+ opening weekend. Sony is promoting the hell out of it, Will and Martin are everywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 39 minutes ago, Carlangonz said: INSIDE OUT 2 (OPENING DAY) - T-8 DAYS Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Inside Out 2 5,645 56,067 10.07% Comps at the same point before release. Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-10 Comp in % Comp in lc Little Mermaid 1,092 17,685 6.17% +40.36% 516.94% $122M Spiderverse 7,558 19,284 39.19% +13,43% 74.69% $32.86M Barbie 10,456 23,117 45.23% +19.63% 53.99% $57.23M Excellent first week for Inside Out as it looms to open on 5,000+ screens next weekend making it the third widest release for Disney this decade only behind The Way of Water and Multiverse of Madness. For animation overall, it'll get the largest screen count since Toy Story 4. I'll keep the Little Mermaid comp just to see how pace adjusts but the truth is that IO2's at this point is over 50% above of Ariel's numbers at T-1. At the end I think will be the most reliable comp because doesn't have the same rush as Barbie or Spiderverse. To be honest I'm not sure walk-ins could be as strong as Toy Story 4 or Mario (huge presales, even more spectacular walk-ins) but if somehow manages to stay close to them we could really bet on a second $100M+ OD for Pixar; Disney is clearly betting on it based on allocation. Something that prevents me from walk-ins blowing out of proportion is the fact that it opens right on a regular Thursday that's not a holiday like Mario had or even in the middle of a break like Barbie. If anything it could be another Toy Story 4 that didn't get any of those boosts either and still broke the animation record. Going with $80M OD/$350M OW. If you tracked Rise of Gru I think that would be a good comp both pure numbers and pace wise Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 6 Share Posted June 6 9 hours ago, Flip said: If you tracked Rise of Gru I think that would be a good comp both pure numbers and pace wise Sadly I don't have data for it. Aside from first Minions the DM franchise is way less presale-heavy compared to Mario or Disney franchises. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 8 Share Posted June 8 (edited) On 6/5/2024 at 9:49 PM, Carlangonz said: INSIDE OUT 2 (OPENING DAY) - T-8 DAYS Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Inside Out 2 5,645 56,067 10.07% Comps at the same point before release. Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-10 Comp in % Comp in lc Little Mermaid 1,092 17,685 6.17% +40.36% 516.94% $122M Spiderverse 7,558 19,284 39.19% +13,43% 74.69% $32.86M Barbie 10,456 23,117 45.23% +19.63% 53.99% $57.23M INSIDE OUT 2 (OPENING DAY) - T-6 DAYS Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth from T-8 Inside Out 2 7,543 56,930 13.25% +33.62% Comps at the same point before release Title Seats sold Seats available Occupancy Growth Comp in % Comp in lc Little Mermaid 1,393 17,685 7.88% +27.56% 541.49% $127.79M Spiderverse 8,692 19,284 45.07% +15% 86.78% $38.18M Barbie 12,557 23,117 54.32% +20.09% 60.07% $63.67M Quite impressive its growth is bigger than what Little Mermaid did. Some more screenings were added at one location boosting its allocation. The biggest increase came from locations with premium formats especially VIP and Junior rooms. This weekend should start delivering better results for traditional shows that will give us better perspective on the likeliness of $100M OD. Edited June 8 by Carlangonz 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 9 Author Share Posted June 9 $4.2M OW for Ride or Die, about 78M lc. ER is up about 8% from last week. The Watchers opened to $0.5M. Furiosa reached $5.7M, Garfield $20.3M, Apes $19.2M and IF $9.4M. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 10 Author Share Posted June 10 $33.7M total for Kongzilla, 2nd largest OS market. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 11 Share Posted June 11 JUNE 06-09 WEEKEND. THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM. 1. Bad Boys for Life - $84.1M 2. If - $19.2M/$158.4M (-38.46%) 3. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes - $14.5M/$324.1M (-54.11%) 4. Garfield - $12.8M/$343.5M (-45.3%) 5. Immaculate - $11.5M/$50.6M (-59.93%) 6. The Watchers - $10.9M 7. Furiosa - $8.8M/$96.9M (-66.15%) 8. Something in the Water - $4.4M 9. Tarot - $3M/$54.3M (-64.71%) 10. Ordinary Angels - $2.5M/$14.3M (-70.93%) Bad Boys increases from estimates and becomes the highest opening of the franchise in lc and stays on par in admissions. It can work as a perfect counter-programming for upcoming family monsters; its main obstacle may be American and European football tournaments. Holdovers see strong dips; adult oriented like Furiosa and Planet of the Apes affected by Will and Martin as Garfield sees the effect of upcoming competition next weekend but should cross $350M still. If survives another good weekend and now crosses $150M as it ends up decently its run. In a dread moment for horror, Immaculate drops hard signaling a poor WOM and Watchers straight out dissapoint and looking like is going to fade out quickly. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 11 Share Posted June 11 On 6/7/2024 at 10:39 PM, Carlangonz said: INSIDE OUT 2 (OPENING DAY) - T-6 DAYS Title Seats sold Total available Occupancy Growth from T-8 Inside Out 2 7,543 56,930 13.25% +33.62% Comps at the same point before release Title Seats sold Total available Occupancy Growth Comp in % Comp in lc Little Mermaid 1,393 17,685 7.88% +27.56% 541.49% $127.79M Spiderverse 8,692 19,284 45.07% +15% 86.78% $38.18M Barbie 12,557 23,117 54.32% +20.09% 60.07% $63.67M INSIDE OUT 2 (OPENING DAY) - T-3 DAYS Title Seats sold Total available Occupancy Growth from T-6 Inside Out 2 12,135 56,930 21.32% +60.88% Comps at the same point before release Title Seats sold Total available Occupancy Growth from T-6 Comp in % Comp in lc Little Mermaid 1,949 17,685 11.02% +39.91% 622.63% $146.94M Spiderverse 9,797 19,284 50.8% +12.71% 123.86% $54.5M Barbie 15,226 23,117 65.86 +21.26% 79.7% $84.48M Well, it just won't stop! It has now surpassed Spiderverse and in matter of hours will beat its final tally. It shouldn't be far off from Mario as well. I'm still preventing myself when it comes to early shows as well as late night because is still a Thursday and there's no rush that can't wait until the weekend. However afternoon shows between 4-9PM shall be as strong if not stronger than those of Barbie and Mario considering the massive screen count. Toy Story 4 opening day adjust to around $140M so $100M OD for Inside Out 2 is likelier than not but we should be careful as well and understand reasons if in the end doesn't. The biggest opening weekend in a year is coming with a potential $450M+ opening weekend. 1 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 11 Share Posted June 11 TS4 did 125 + 155 + 176 = 456 IO2 with 100M THU OD should be more than 450 no? Something like 100 + 100 + 125 + 150. and if it does 125M OD then probably 575M+ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted June 11 Share Posted June 11 Gotta beat KFP by sun or flop 😛 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted June 11 Share Posted June 11 2 hours ago, Carlangonz said: INSIDE OUT 2 (OPENING DAY) - T-3 DAYS Title Seats sold Total available Occupancy Growth from T-6 Inside Out 2 12,135 56,930 21.32% +60.88% Comps at the same point before release Title Seats sold Total available Occupancy Growth from T-6 Comp in % Comp in lc Little Mermaid 1,949 17,685 11.02% +39.91% 622.63% $146.94M Spiderverse 9,797 19,284 50.8% +12.71% 123.86% $54.5M Barbie 15,226 23,117 65.86 +21.26% 79.7% $84.48M Well, it just won't stop! It has now surpassed Spiderverse and in matter of hours will beat its final tally. It shouldn't be far off from Mario as well. I'm still preventing myself when it comes to early shows as well as late night because is still a Thursday and there's no rush that can't wait until the weekend. However afternoon shows between 4-9PM shall be as strong if not stronger than those of Barbie and Mario considering the massive screen count. Toy Story 4 opening day adjust to around $140M so $100M OD for Inside Out 2 is likelier than not but we should be careful as well and understand reasons if in the end doesn't. The biggest opening weekend in a year is coming with a potential $450M+ opening weekend. Would this be a top 10 OW of all time? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 11 Author Share Posted June 11 (edited) Recap of all Pixar movies with more than 10M tickets sold. Worth pointing out that OW increased to 4 or 5-day in recent years, but nonetheless, Inside Out 2 is aiming to become a new lc opening champion. Audience-wise, that's a different story: 7M OW and 20M final would be a fantastic achievement. Movie OW lc OW Aud Total lc Total Aud Toy Story 4 $458,711,125 7,466,348 $1,375,619,677 25,200,946 Coco $178,460,551 3,403,670 $1,132,277,291 24,145,540 Toy Story 3 $200,071,420 3,628,618 $777,482,842 14,826,134 Incredibles 2 $239,478,997 4,396,249 $749,605,717 15,249,092 Monsters University $165,100,066 3,227,488 $491,293,348 10,608,951 Inside Out $132,246,902 2,622,501 $485,893,407 10,839,062 Finding Dory $178,445,112 3,383,810 $460,011,839 10,167,369 Edited June 11 by Purple Minion 2 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...