Renaissance | Beyonce Concert Movie | Releasing December 1st

[PrinceRico]

What is up with RT. All these rave reviews and still no score. 

[Taylor89]

2 hours ago, XXR Delayed Until 2025 said:

Hard to see this opening with a number that’s starts with a 2…

 

Pencil me in for $14-17M.

 

You think 20m can't happen?

[RyneOh1040]

https://deadline.com/2023/11/renaissance-a-film-by-beyonce-box-office-preview-1235641798/

 

Looks like 20 stateside and internationally would be on the higher end.

Edited November 29, 2023 by RyneOh1040

[XXR vs XXR]

1 hour ago, Taylor89 said:

 

You think 20m can't happen?

Im not saying it definitely can’t, I’m just saying that’s not where I’m seeing it get to.

[Taylor89]

1 hour ago, XXR Delayed Until 2025 said:

Im not saying it definitely can’t, I’m just saying that’s not where I’m seeing it get to.

 

I was't seeing it from beginning either but I thought her walk ups would be great since her fans are older and wait until last day.  

[imbruglia]

 

 

 

 

 

[RyneOh1040]

what a gift this film was. 

[SchumacherFTW]

1 hour ago, imbruglia said:

 

 

 

 

 

So that's why I couldn't go to either of my preferred theaters yesterday 😑

[BOfficeStats]

Final Thursday preview tracking predictions/comps for Renaissance:

 

Average Prediction: $4.29M

 

- abracadabra1998 ($3.7M-$4.3M)

- keysersoze123 ($4.3M-$4.5M)

- Porthos ($3.5M-$4.5M)

- TheFlatLannister ($4.5M-$5.0M)

 

Average Comp: $4.52M

 

- abracadabra1998 ($3.73M)

- jeffthehat ($5.5M)

- Porthos ($3.7M)

- TheFlatLannister ($5.14M)

Edited December 1, 2023 by BOfficeStats

[BOfficeStats]

My original OW prediction was 20%-25% of The Eras Tour OW but it might not even come close to 20% ($18.6M) if this is very frontloaded and walkups are terrible like they were for The Eras Tour.

Edited December 1, 2023 by BOfficeStats

[BOfficeStats]

https://deadline.com/2023/12/box-office-renaissance-a-film-by-beyonce-godzilla-minus-one-hunger-games-1235647651/

 

Key takeaways: 

 

- ~$5M Thursday previews

 

- Could have the best opening weekend for a movie during the first weekend of December (The Last Samurai with $24.2M in 2003).

 

- 100% All/Top Critics (17 All reviews, 12 Top reviews) AND Verified Audience score on Rotten Tomatoes (100+ VA reviews)

 

- Early Posttrak Thursday score (5 stars, 99% positive, and 90% definite recommend).

 

- 70% female

 

- 51% Black, 20% Caucasian, 20% Latino and Hispanic and 6% Asian.

 

- The biggest demo were those 25-34 which repped 45% of the audience. Over 25 showed up at 53%

[Wandavisionlover0924]

41 minutes ago, BOfficeStats said:

https://deadline.com/2023/12/box-office-renaissance-a-film-by-beyonce-godzilla-minus-one-hunger-games-1235647651/

 

Key takeaways: 

 

- ~$5M Thursday previews

 

- Could have the best opening weekend for a movie during the first weekend of December (The Last Samurai with $24.2M in 2003).

 

- 100% All/Top Critics (17 All reviews, 12 Top reviews) AND Verified Audience score on Rotten Tomatoes (100+ VA reviews)

 

- Early Posttrak Thursday score (5 stars, 99% positive, and 90% definite recommend).

 

- 70% female

 

- 51% Black, 20% Caucasian, 20% Latino and Hispanic and 6% Asian.

 

- The biggest demo were those 25-34 which repped 45% of the audience. Over 25 showed up at 53%

Is 25M highly likely at this point?  If it does 12M today like the article suggests and has 5M previews.  It would need to do 8M on Sat+Sun combined. 

[XXR vs XXR]

38 minutes ago, Wandavisionlover0924 said:

Is 25M highly likely at this point?  If it does 12M today like the article suggests and has 5M previews.  It would need to do 8M on Sat+Sun combined. 

 

$11-12M is with previews. True Friday is in the $5-6M range. Sat+Sun will combine for about $10M. 

[PrinceRico]

100 on RT with an 8.5 rating and 89 metacritic score. Bee has a bright future in directing.

[Jake4]

1 hour ago, XXR Delayed Until 2025 said:

 

$11-12M is with previews. True Friday is in the $5-6M range. Sat+Sun will combine for about $10M. 

so what do you predict for the OW

[XXR vs XXR]

13 minutes ago, Jake4 said:

so what do you predict for the OW

 

20-22

[imbruglia]

 

A+ Cinemascore

 

RT 

Critics : 100% / 8.5 from 17 reviews

Verified Audience : 99% / avg 5/5 from +250 reviews

[Jake4]

Its funny how this thread was looking like doom and gloom that bey would do 15m or less OW. 

[BOfficeStats]

4 hours ago, Jake4 said:

Its funny how this thread was looking like doom and gloom that bey would do 15m or less OW. 

The earlier weak tracker numbers were alarming but we should have accounted for them underindexing.  The Thursday tracker comps increased by the final day (compared to the previous days and weeks) but Renaissance still outperformed them by 12% ($5.06M vs $4.52M).  

[Jake4]

18 minutes ago, BOfficeStats said:

The earlier weak tracker numbers were alarming but we should have accounted for them underindexing.  The Thursday tracker comps increased by the final day (compared to the previous days and weeks) but Renaissance still outperformed them by 12% ($5.06M vs $4.52M).  

True. What is your final prediction?