Rsyu Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Sk frozen admission (Thu) Daily: 55,405 Tot: 9.23m Considering the daily average this week was around 75-80k it's a bit of a drop. new releases "pompei", "american hustle" and "jjirashi" are impacting admission numbers. Frozen should reclaim number one spot over the weekend though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ball Lightning Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Our new acapella cover of Let It Go from Disney's Frozen is here! We filmed this in the middle of the Australian summer on some salt pans. The video isn't as good as we wanted, but its more about the music! It would mean so much to us if you could share the video around on other forums/social networking sites, and you can also upvote us on Reddit here. Feedback is very welcome! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cAEE6PkgGpA 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 SK friday box office Frozen daily admissions: 65,487Total admission: 9.3mTotal gross $69.58mNumbers up by around 10k from yesterday. Presales are #1 for the weekend. I think 200k on sat and another 200k on sunday will set things up nicely for 10m admissions 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 SK friday box office Frozen daily admissions: 65,487 Total admission: 9.3m Total gross $69.58m Numbers up by around 10k from yesterday. Presales are #1 for the weekend. I think 200k on sat and another 200k on sunday will set things up nicely for 10m admissions 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 By the following Sunday, sure. Can hold and do 11m is the question. Still very possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 (edited) By the following Sunday, sure. Can hold and do 11m is the question. Still very possible.Nonstop, 12 years a slave and monuments men releasing next week, added to the 3 new releases this week makes that unlikely as much as I'd like it to happen. Edited February 21, 2014 by Rsyu Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Nonstop, 12 years a slave and monuments men releasing next week, added to the 3 new releases this week makes that unlikely as much as I'd like it to happen. All 3in a completly different demographic. Shouldn't affect it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 All 3in a completly different demographic. Shouldn't affect it. Well I'm not sure about monuments men or 12 years a slave but non stop at least is expected to do well. Also a key part of frozen's success here in SK is based on how well it's doing among adults not just among movie going family size units. that part of the demography will be hit quite hard. Pompei, american hustle and jjirashi(local) aren't really frozen's demographic either but they hit admission numbers noticeably this past couple of days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Yea predicting 100m minimum for a Hollywood movie in Japan is just crazy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 (edited) Yea predicting 100m minimum for a Hollywood movie in Japan is just crazy. 100m for a non pixar movie in japan is optimistic to say the least. I'd say anything close to MU numbers in japan would be a huge success! I expect it to do better than SK if possible though Edited February 22, 2014 by Rsyu Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 (edited) Yea predicting 100m minimum for a Hollywood movie in Japan is just crazy.Well what's your number then? Easy to go around and talk trash. Sounds knowledgable. Give me a number and see who is closer. My prediction is based on a set of statistical facts. Whats "crazy" based on? Edited February 22, 2014 by mfantin65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Well what's your number then? Easy to go around and talk trash. Sounds knowledgable. Give me a number and see who is closer. My prediction is based on a set of statistical facts. Whats "crazy" based on? What statistical facts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 What statistical facts?What's your prediction? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 What's your prediction? Japanese grosses are so unpredictable for original films that I prefer not to even try, keeping in mind that often go in a completely different direction than the entire rest of the world or even past Japanese precedent. If I really had to guess I'd say 55M, but there is basically no gross that would truly surprise me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 (edited) Japanese grosses are so unpredictable for original films that I prefer not to even try, keeping in mind that often go in a completely different direction than the entire rest of the world or even past Japanese precedent. If I really had to guess I'd say 55M, but there is basically no gross that would truly surprise me.55m is your prediction then. Very well.No gross will surprise you but 100 is crazy. Using statistics and trends you can predict, albeit uncanny at times. To not try as you say gets you nothing.I predicted 50m for china and most thought that was impossible. Its happeningTesla going to 200 is crazy, but i predicted it. Thats my job. Edited February 22, 2014 by mfantin65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 (edited) 55m is your prediction then. Very well.No gross will surprise you but 100 is crazy.Using statistics and trends you can predict, albeit uncanny at times. To not try as you say gets you nothing.Tesla going to 200 is crazy, but i predicted it. Thats my job. I never said 100M is crazy, I basically said the opposite, and that almost no Japanese grosses surprise me any more. If Frozen made either 20M or 130M in the UK I would be shocked, but in Japan I could see either happen. And you still haven't mentioned what any of those facts or statistics are. Edited February 22, 2014 by Tower Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Japanese grosses are so unpredictable for original films that I prefer not to even try, keeping in mind that often go in a completely different direction than the entire rest of the world or even past Japanese precedent. If I really had to guess I'd say 55M, but there is basically no gross that would truly surprise me.What do u think Lego does DOM? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 I never said 100M is crazy, I basically said the opposite, and that almost no Japanese grosses surprise me any more. If Frozen made either 20M or 130M in the UK I would be shocked, but in Japan I could see either happen. And you still haven't mentioned what any of those facts or statistics are.Confused posts. My badPast and current data and trends. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 (edited) Facts Japanese box office for recent WDAS releases Tangled: $31M WiR: $29M princess and the frog: $4M winnie the pooh: $4M For a country with a film-going population as big as Japan those numbers aren't really a good performance. Pixar is way more popular than disney there. MU grossed $90M finding nemo did $102M and even cars 2 managed $38M So going on past facts, 100M for frozen is a bit optimistic. I'm not saying that it won't happen (before frozen disney was really unpopular in SK too and just look what happened) but it isn't what you'd call a lock. There's no way of knowing to what extent frozen will break out in the Japanese market. How did you come up with 100m anyway? Edited February 22, 2014 by Rsyu Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Japan has a huge range. I'd probably put the lower bound at about 45 million, equal to what it's likely to earn in China. The upper bound is probably 130 million, on par with Toy Story 3. It probably needs about 60 million to get to 1.1 billion WW. But that's actually in line with other territories, at double Tangled/WiR. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
