China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[POTUS 2020]

If it really does 30M+ OD than TA2 would be at or near 200M by Sunday. At that point I would think it 350M is the low end with a shot at 400M. 

FF7 made 30m its first Monday the day after its 64m opener. It was at 251m on sunday after a remarkable 89m weekend.

How can TA2 make 200m, 13m more, mon-sun with less screens.

 

The way I look at it FF7 has the "extra" weekend day advantage in the run by starting on sunday. they have the same amount of weekends going forward and I assume Ta2 will lose screens as fast along the way. It would have to pick up some serious ground in week 2 with 50% or better holds

 

Edit: with tues opener I doubt it can get anywhere near 200m by sunday

Edited May 4, 2015 by M F Lawrence

[druv10]

But it's super difficult to make 150M+ yuan on a work day, TF4 made a bit over 30M on a Friday

 

I think 25M OD would give it a shot at 300M. 30M+ we're looking at another FF7 situation.

[POTUS 2020]

		TA2								FF7
Day	Yuan	% +/-	Last Week	Total	$ Tot		Yuan	% +/-	Last Week	TF4 vs FF7	Total	$ Tot	% Cume
Fri
Sat							51	- MN
Sun							347				398	64
Mon							185	-46.7%		#DIV/0!	583	94
Tues	200			200	33		167	-9.7%		-16.5%	750	121	269.0%
Wed	160	-20.0%		360	59		137	-18.0%		-14.4%	887	143	142.4%
Thur	130	-18.8%		490	80		115	-16.1%		-11.5%	1002	162	101.2%
Fri	142	9.2%		632	104		142	23.8%		0.3%	1144	185	78.2%
Sat	226	59.2%		858	141		226	59.0%		0.2%	1371	221	57.2%
Sun	185	-18.1%		1043	171		185	-18.1%	-46.6%	0.2%	1556	251	46.8%
Mon	95	-57.96%		1138	187		73	-60.6%	-60.5%	-23.2%	1629	263	40.9%
Tue	90	-5.26%	-55.0%	1228	201		64	-11.8%	-61.4%	-28.4%	1694	273	35.7%
Wed	75	-16.67%	-53.1%	1303	214		52	-18.6%	-61.8%	-30.1%	1746	282	31.8%
Thu	60	-20.00%	-53.8%	1363	223		45	-14.1%	-60.9%	-25.0%	1791	289	29.3%
Fri	71	18.33%	-50.0%	1434	235		59	31.1%	-58.6%	-16.9%	1850	298	26.9%
Sat	113	59.15%	-50.0%	1547	254		92	55.1%	-59.6%	-19.0%	1942	313	23.5%
Sun	92	-18.58%	-50.3%	1639	269		69	-24.6%	-62.8%	-25.0%	2011	324	20.7%
Mon	47	-48.91%	-50.5%	1686	276		26	-62.3%	-64.4%	-44.7%	2037	328	18.8%
Tue	45	-4.26%	-50.0%	1731	284		26	0.0%	-59.6%	-42.2%	2063	333	17.2%
Wed	38	-15.56%	-49.3%	1769	290		24	-8.8%	-54.8%	-37.6%	2086	336	16.0%
Thu	30	-21.05%	-50.0%	1799	295		31	32.5%	-30.2%	4.7%	2118	342	15.8%
Fri	35	16.67%	-50.7%	1834	301		67	114.6%	14.2%	92.6%	2185	352	17.2%
Sat	56	60.00%	-50.4%	1890	310		66	-2.1%	-27.9%	17.9%	2251	363	17.2%
Sun	46	-17.86%	-50.0%	1936	317		39	-40.9%	-43.5%	-15.2%	2290	369	16.4%
Mon	23	-50.00%	-51.1%	1959	321
Tue	22	-4.35%	-51.1%	1981	325
Wed	20	-9.09%	-47.4%	2001	328

 

 

 

Here you go. If it could replicate FF7s tues-sun then it would have to hold 50% week over week which TF4 was able to do much of its run just to barely beat TF4. It would have to hold 40-45% to get close to to FF7 which consistently fell 60% until the holiday week hit.

Edited May 4, 2015 by M F Lawrence

[POTUS 2020]

But it's super difficult to make 150M+ yuan on a work day, TF4 made a bit over 30M on a Friday

Yeah but FF7 did Mon, Tues and nearly wed after its huge opener.

[Olive]

Monday(5/4/2015) estimates

#/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($)

1.Silent Separation: 16.1M~250M ~$40.3M

2. Furious 7: 15.1M~2315M~$372.9M #1 all time grosser

3.Helios: 12.5M~141M~$22.7M

4.The Left Ear: 10.3M~410M~$66M

5.Home: 2M~ 134M~$21.6M

[Olive]

Yeah but FF7 did Mon, Tues and nearly wed after its huge opener.

TA2 opens on Tuesday, not Monday.

TA2 OD could match FF7's first Monday or Tuesday, but not locked.

[Infernus]

I wouldn't take this as a good news if I were you, more like another over-estimation.

AOU would be lucky to get anywhere close to 300m let alone surpassing it. The movie has no appeal to the older generation unlike FF7.

Yeah and Transformers had? Sorry but avengers 2 appeals to a much larger audience than FF7 even if not a very varied audience. Its much more of what the Chinese like and they have loved most Marvel movies. There was a reason we were already expecting this to gross between 200-250m when we were expecting something close to 150m for FF7. Maybe this is a little over-estimation but its definitely gonna come close to this.

[Olive]

It seems that Audi has bought all midnights IMAX tickets of Wanda Cinemas and sells for 1 cent per ticket for some self-promotion.

[Infernus]

It seems that Audi has bought all midnights IMAX tickets of Wanda Cinemas and sells for 1 cent per ticket for some self-promotion.

In other words, all midnight IMAX shows of Wanda Cinemas are sold?

[Sam]

With that release date, I'm just hoping for 200M. That should be good enough.

Edited May 4, 2015 by Sam

[POTUS 2020]

With that release date, I'm just hoping for 200M. That should be good enough.

if that's the case it falls well short of 1B OS and possibly 1.4B WW

[Silentknifezz]

if that's the case it falls well short of 1B OS and possibly 1.4B WW

wait and see 

[Olive]

In other words, all midnight IMAX shows of Wanda Cinemas are sold?

right

[Olive]

AOU is probably the most heavily-promoted movie by Disney, a lot of online advertisement and merchandise selling everywhere.

[POTUS 2020]

Just a 45% drop for FF7 on Monday. Nice hold but too little too late. could've used that last week. $2.5m Monday and itll close next week. would've made it to 400m if it were allowed to run out like in DOM

[POTUS 2020]

		TF4								FF7
Day	Yuan	% +/-	Last Week	Total	$ Tot		Yuan	% +/-	Last Week	TF4 vs FF7	Total	$ Tot	% Cume
Fri	195			195	32
Sat	223	14.4%		418	69		51	- MN
Sun	213	-4.6%		631	103		347			63.1%	398	64	-37.9%
Mon	123	-42.1%		754	124		185	-46.7%		50.3%	583	94	-23.9%
Tues	112	-8.9%		866	142		167	-9.7%		48.8%	750	121	-14.8%
Wed	95	-15.7%		961	157		137	-18.0%		44.8%	887	143	-9.2%
Thur	84	-11.0%		1045	171		115	-16.1%		36.6%	1002	162	-5.6%
Fri	87	3.4%	-55.3%	1132	186		142	23.8%		63.5%	1144	185	-0.5%
Sat	130	48.8%	-41.9%	1262	207		226	59.0%		74.7%	1371	221	6.9%
Sun	118	-9.0%	-44.6%	1379	226		185	-18.1%	-46.6%	57.3%	1556	251	11.0%
Mon	54	-58.33%	-56.1%	1433	235		73	-60.6%	-60.5%	35.2%	1629	263	11.8%
Tue	53	-1.85%	-52.8%	1486	244		64	-11.8%	-61.4%	21.5%	1694	273	12.1%
Wed	43	-18.87%	-54.5%	1529	251		52	-18.6%	-61.8%	21.9%	1746	282	12.3%
Thu	39	-9.30%	-53.7%	1568	257		45	-14.1%	-60.9%	15.4%	1791	289	12.4%
Fri	42	7.69%	-51.8%	1610	264		59	31.1%	-58.6%	40.5%	1850	298	13.0%
Sat	62	47.62%	-52.2%	1672	274		92	55.1%	-59.6%	47.6%	1942	313	14.2%
Sun	58	-6.45%	-50.8%	1730	284		69	-24.6%	-62.8%	19.0%	2011	324	14.3%
Mon	26	-55.17%	-51.9%	1756	288		26	-62.3%	-64.4%	0.0%	2037	328	14.1%
Tue	28	7.69%	-47.2%	1784	293		26	0.0%	-59.6%	-7.1%	2063	333	13.7%
Wed	23	-17.86%	-46.5%	1807	296		24	-8.8%	-54.8%	3.0%	2086	336	13.6%
Thu	18	-21.74%	-53.8%	1825	299		31	32.5%	-30.2%	74.4%	2118	342	14.1%
Fri	16.7	-7.22%	-60.2%	1842	302		67	114.6%	14.2%	303.6%	2185	352	16.7%
Sat	15.5	-7.19%	-75.0%	1858	305		66	-2.1%	-27.9%	325.8%	2251	363	19.2%
Sun	25.3	63.23%	-56.4%	1883	309		39	-40.9%	-43.5%	54.2%	2290	369	19.7%
Mon	12	-52.57%	-53.8%	1895	311		15	-61.3%	-41.9%	25.8%	2305	372	19.7%
Tue	13	8.33%	-53.6%	1908	313	p	15	-0.7%	-42.3%	15.4%	2320	374	19.6%
Wed	11	-15.38%	-52.2%	1919	315	p	15	0.0%	-36.7%	36.4%	2335	377	19.7%
Thu	6				316	p	15	0.0%	-52.2%	150.0%	2350	379	20.0%
Fri	6				317	p	19	26.7%	-71.8%	216.7%	2369	382	20.5%
Sat	6				318	p	30	57.9%	-54.5%	400.0%	2399	387	21.7%
Sun	6				319	p	23	-23.3%	-41.0%	283.3%	2422	391	22.5%
Mon	6				319	p	15	-34.8%	-0.7%	150.0%	2437	393	23.2%

Now that I look at it. Normally the last week drops off 70-90%.

42% drop for Monday is remarkable considering it follows a 3 day holiday and big hold. Shows there are a lot still out there that want to see it. If the week continues to hold strong and the weekend plays out like weekend 2 and 3 percentage wise, it looks like yhis.

 

Any new openers this weekend? I wonder how many screens it could keep, It could get interesting if tuesday surprises us.  >15

[Olive]

[Dementeleus]

It seems that Audi has bought all midnights IMAX tickets of Wanda Cinemas and sells for 1 cent per ticket for some self-promotion.

 

So Audi is the Walmart of 2015!

[druv10]

It seems that Audi has bought all midnights IMAX tickets of Wanda Cinemas and sells for 1 cent per ticket for some self-promotion.

How does the gross get counted?

[Fake]

So.... it will finish with 2.4B+ (around 390M)..... an awesome result.

Wonder what would be the first movie to hit 400m? or 500m?