POTUS 2020 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 (edited) If it really does 30M+ OD than TA2 would be at or near 200M by Sunday. At that point I would think it 350M is the low end with a shot at 400M. FF7 made 30m its first Monday the day after its 64m opener. It was at 251m on sunday after a remarkable 89m weekend. How can TA2 make 200m, 13m more, mon-sun with less screens. The way I look at it FF7 has the "extra" weekend day advantage in the run by starting on sunday. they have the same amount of weekends going forward and I assume Ta2 will lose screens as fast along the way. It would have to pick up some serious ground in week 2 with 50% or better holds Edit: with tues opener I doubt it can get anywhere near 200m by sunday Edited May 4, 2015 by M F Lawrence Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 But it's super difficult to make 150M+ yuan on a work day, TF4 made a bit over 30M on a Friday I think 25M OD would give it a shot at 300M. 30M+ we're looking at another FF7 situation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 (edited) TA2 FF7 Day Yuan % +/- Last Week Total $ Tot Yuan % +/- Last Week TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot % Cume Fri Sat 51 - MN Sun 347 398 64 Mon 185 -46.7% #DIV/0! 583 94 Tues 200 200 33 167 -9.7% -16.5% 750 121 269.0% Wed 160 -20.0% 360 59 137 -18.0% -14.4% 887 143 142.4% Thur 130 -18.8% 490 80 115 -16.1% -11.5% 1002 162 101.2% Fri 142 9.2% 632 104 142 23.8% 0.3% 1144 185 78.2% Sat 226 59.2% 858 141 226 59.0% 0.2% 1371 221 57.2% Sun 185 -18.1% 1043 171 185 -18.1% -46.6% 0.2% 1556 251 46.8% Mon 95 -57.96% 1138 187 73 -60.6% -60.5% -23.2% 1629 263 40.9% Tue 90 -5.26% -55.0% 1228 201 64 -11.8% -61.4% -28.4% 1694 273 35.7% Wed 75 -16.67% -53.1% 1303 214 52 -18.6% -61.8% -30.1% 1746 282 31.8% Thu 60 -20.00% -53.8% 1363 223 45 -14.1% -60.9% -25.0% 1791 289 29.3% Fri 71 18.33% -50.0% 1434 235 59 31.1% -58.6% -16.9% 1850 298 26.9% Sat 113 59.15% -50.0% 1547 254 92 55.1% -59.6% -19.0% 1942 313 23.5% Sun 92 -18.58% -50.3% 1639 269 69 -24.6% -62.8% -25.0% 2011 324 20.7% Mon 47 -48.91% -50.5% 1686 276 26 -62.3% -64.4% -44.7% 2037 328 18.8% Tue 45 -4.26% -50.0% 1731 284 26 0.0% -59.6% -42.2% 2063 333 17.2% Wed 38 -15.56% -49.3% 1769 290 24 -8.8% -54.8% -37.6% 2086 336 16.0% Thu 30 -21.05% -50.0% 1799 295 31 32.5% -30.2% 4.7% 2118 342 15.8% Fri 35 16.67% -50.7% 1834 301 67 114.6% 14.2% 92.6% 2185 352 17.2% Sat 56 60.00% -50.4% 1890 310 66 -2.1% -27.9% 17.9% 2251 363 17.2% Sun 46 -17.86% -50.0% 1936 317 39 -40.9% -43.5% -15.2% 2290 369 16.4% Mon 23 -50.00% -51.1% 1959 321 Tue 22 -4.35% -51.1% 1981 325 Wed 20 -9.09% -47.4% 2001 328 Here you go. If it could replicate FF7s tues-sun then it would have to hold 50% week over week which TF4 was able to do much of its run just to barely beat TF4. It would have to hold 40-45% to get close to to FF7 which consistently fell 60% until the holiday week hit. Edited May 4, 2015 by M F Lawrence Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 But it's super difficult to make 150M+ yuan on a work day, TF4 made a bit over 30M on a Friday Yeah but FF7 did Mon, Tues and nearly wed after its huge opener. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Monday(5/4/2015) estimates #/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($) 1.Silent Separation: 16.1M~250M ~$40.3M 2. Furious 7: 15.1M~2315M~$372.9M #1 all time grosser 3.Helios: 12.5M~141M~$22.7M 4.The Left Ear: 10.3M~410M~$66M 5.Home: 2M~ 134M~$21.6M 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Yeah but FF7 did Mon, Tues and nearly wed after its huge opener. TA2 opens on Tuesday, not Monday. TA2 OD could match FF7's first Monday or Tuesday, but not locked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 I wouldn't take this as a good news if I were you, more like another over-estimation. AOU would be lucky to get anywhere close to 300m let alone surpassing it. The movie has no appeal to the older generation unlike FF7. Yeah and Transformers had? Sorry but avengers 2 appeals to a much larger audience than FF7 even if not a very varied audience. Its much more of what the Chinese like and they have loved most Marvel movies. There was a reason we were already expecting this to gross between 200-250m when we were expecting something close to 150m for FF7. Maybe this is a little over-estimation but its definitely gonna come close to this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 It seems that Audi has bought all midnights IMAX tickets of Wanda Cinemas and sells for 1 cent per ticket for some self-promotion. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 It seems that Audi has bought all midnights IMAX tickets of Wanda Cinemas and sells for 1 cent per ticket for some self-promotion. In other words, all midnight IMAX shows of Wanda Cinemas are sold? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 (edited) With that release date, I'm just hoping for 200M. That should be good enough. Edited May 4, 2015 by Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 With that release date, I'm just hoping for 200M. That should be good enough. if that's the case it falls well short of 1B OS and possibly 1.4B WW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silentknifezz Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 if that's the case it falls well short of 1B OS and possibly 1.4B WW wait and see Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 In other words, all midnight IMAX shows of Wanda Cinemas are sold? right Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 AOU is probably the most heavily-promoted movie by Disney, a lot of online advertisement and merchandise selling everywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Just a 45% drop for FF7 on Monday. Nice hold but too little too late. could've used that last week. $2.5m Monday and itll close next week. would've made it to 400m if it were allowed to run out like in DOM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 TF4 FF7 Day Yuan % +/- Last Week Total $ Tot Yuan % +/- Last Week TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot % Cume Fri 195 195 32 Sat 223 14.4% 418 69 51 - MN Sun 213 -4.6% 631 103 347 63.1% 398 64 -37.9% Mon 123 -42.1% 754 124 185 -46.7% 50.3% 583 94 -23.9% Tues 112 -8.9% 866 142 167 -9.7% 48.8% 750 121 -14.8% Wed 95 -15.7% 961 157 137 -18.0% 44.8% 887 143 -9.2% Thur 84 -11.0% 1045 171 115 -16.1% 36.6% 1002 162 -5.6% Fri 87 3.4% -55.3% 1132 186 142 23.8% 63.5% 1144 185 -0.5% Sat 130 48.8% -41.9% 1262 207 226 59.0% 74.7% 1371 221 6.9% Sun 118 -9.0% -44.6% 1379 226 185 -18.1% -46.6% 57.3% 1556 251 11.0% Mon 54 -58.33% -56.1% 1433 235 73 -60.6% -60.5% 35.2% 1629 263 11.8% Tue 53 -1.85% -52.8% 1486 244 64 -11.8% -61.4% 21.5% 1694 273 12.1% Wed 43 -18.87% -54.5% 1529 251 52 -18.6% -61.8% 21.9% 1746 282 12.3% Thu 39 -9.30% -53.7% 1568 257 45 -14.1% -60.9% 15.4% 1791 289 12.4% Fri 42 7.69% -51.8% 1610 264 59 31.1% -58.6% 40.5% 1850 298 13.0% Sat 62 47.62% -52.2% 1672 274 92 55.1% -59.6% 47.6% 1942 313 14.2% Sun 58 -6.45% -50.8% 1730 284 69 -24.6% -62.8% 19.0% 2011 324 14.3% Mon 26 -55.17% -51.9% 1756 288 26 -62.3% -64.4% 0.0% 2037 328 14.1% Tue 28 7.69% -47.2% 1784 293 26 0.0% -59.6% -7.1% 2063 333 13.7% Wed 23 -17.86% -46.5% 1807 296 24 -8.8% -54.8% 3.0% 2086 336 13.6% Thu 18 -21.74% -53.8% 1825 299 31 32.5% -30.2% 74.4% 2118 342 14.1% Fri 16.7 -7.22% -60.2% 1842 302 67 114.6% 14.2% 303.6% 2185 352 16.7% Sat 15.5 -7.19% -75.0% 1858 305 66 -2.1% -27.9% 325.8% 2251 363 19.2% Sun 25.3 63.23% -56.4% 1883 309 39 -40.9% -43.5% 54.2% 2290 369 19.7% Mon 12 -52.57% -53.8% 1895 311 15 -61.3% -41.9% 25.8% 2305 372 19.7% Tue 13 8.33% -53.6% 1908 313 p 15 -0.7% -42.3% 15.4% 2320 374 19.6% Wed 11 -15.38% -52.2% 1919 315 p 15 0.0% -36.7% 36.4% 2335 377 19.7% Thu 6 316 p 15 0.0% -52.2% 150.0% 2350 379 20.0% Fri 6 317 p 19 26.7% -71.8% 216.7% 2369 382 20.5% Sat 6 318 p 30 57.9% -54.5% 400.0% 2399 387 21.7% Sun 6 319 p 23 -23.3% -41.0% 283.3% 2422 391 22.5% Mon 6 319 p 15 -34.8% -0.7% 150.0% 2437 393 23.2% Now that I look at it. Normally the last week drops off 70-90%. 42% drop for Monday is remarkable considering it follows a 3 day holiday and big hold. Shows there are a lot still out there that want to see it. If the week continues to hold strong and the weekend plays out like weekend 2 and 3 percentage wise, it looks like yhis. Any new openers this weekend? I wonder how many screens it could keep, It could get interesting if tuesday surprises us. >15 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 It seems that Audi has bought all midnights IMAX tickets of Wanda Cinemas and sells for 1 cent per ticket for some self-promotion. So Audi is the Walmart of 2015! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 It seems that Audi has bought all midnights IMAX tickets of Wanda Cinemas and sells for 1 cent per ticket for some self-promotion. How does the gross get counted? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 So.... it will finish with 2.4B+ (around 390M)..... an awesome result. Wonder what would be the first movie to hit 400m? or 500m? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...