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A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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Whoa!! That would be huge.

And around 2-2.2x multiplier from 7-day, right?

2X should be doable. TDKR got only 1.6x, but that is an exception.

Given how is the market is going right now, I would say $40~50m 7 days opening, and $80~110M finish.

I mean, even Jackie Chan's CZ12 is heading to $100M against LiT. SKyfall should be on the same leve, though CZ12 got better release date, Dec 20.

However, Hobbit release date (late Feb) is the worst.

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Ok, 2012 top 10 should be like this:

1. Lost in Thailand 1280M $205M

2. Titanic 3D 975M $155M

3. CZ12 770M $123M

4. Painted Skin 2 726M $115M

5. Mission Impossible 4 679M $107M

6. The Avengers 575M $91M

7. Life of Pi 570M $91M

8. Men in Black 3 519M $82M

9. Ice Age 4 457M $72M

10. Journey 2 387M $61M

Three local films in top 5/10.

You would need at least 400M $65M to get into 2013 top 10.

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Ok, 2012 top 10 should be like this:

1. Lost in Thailand 1280M $205M

2. Titanic 3D 975M $155M

3. CZ12 770M $123M

4. Painted Skin 2 726M $115M

5. Mission Impossible 4 679M $107M

6. The Avengers 575M $91M

7. Life of Pi 570M $91M

8. Men in Black 3 519M $82M

9. Ice Age 4 457M $72M

10. Journey 2 387M $61M

Three local films in top 5/10.

You would need at least 400M $65M to get into 2013 top 10.

How are the chances of LIT passing Avatar's dollar gross? It's going to be very close, one way or the other. I can't even imagine what TF4 or Avatar 2 will make. They both could push 350M or even 400M.
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