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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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MH going to do 44m today -45% w/o/w, nice little bump even though it dropped to 17% showtimes. running at 32% of ticket sales.  Yesterday was 20/31. the more they drop it the higher the tickets per screen average. most movies tend to drop with the ST count. Its a big sign of strength and WOM. 2.2b locked at this point. If these idiots wake up and smell the catfood and give it a proper %, it may have a shot FF7.

LD 30m up a little

WC 18m big drop

TMK 12m beating JB today for the first time

JB 11m fading fast

 

FF7           TF4         MH   -40% Proj    
Day Yn % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot  
Thur                     165     165 27  
Fri           195     195 32 132     297 48  
Sat 51 - MN       223 14.4%   418 69 188 42.4%   485 78  
Sun 347     398 64 213 -4.6%   631 103 184 -2.1%   669 108  
Mon 185 -46.7%   583 94 123 -42.1%   754 124 110 -40.2%   779 125  
Tues 167 -9.7%   750 121 112 -8.9%   866 142 103 -6.4%   882 142  
Wed 137 -18.0%   887 143 95 -15.7%   961 157 85 -17.5%   967 156  
Thur 115 -16.1%   1002 162 84 -11.0%   1045 171 83 -2.4% -49.7% 1050 169  
Fri 142 23.8%   1144 185 87 3.4% -55.3% 1132 186 81 -2.4% -38.6% 1131 182  
Sat 226 59.0%   1371 221 130 48.8% -41.9% 1262 207 121 49.4% -35.6% 1252 202  
Sun 185 -18.1% -46.6% 1556 251 118 -9.0% -44.6% 1379 226 125 3.3% -32.1% 1377 222  
Mon 73 -60.6% -60.5% 1629 263 54 -58.3% -56.1% 1433 235 65 -48.0% -40.9% 1442 232  
Tue 65 -11.0% -61.1% 1694 273 53 -1.9% -52.8% 1486 244 62 -4.6% -39.8% 1504 242  
Wed 52 -19.4% -61.8% 1747 282 43 -18.9% -54.5% 1529 251 55 -11.3% -35.3% 1559 251  
Thu 45 -14.1% -60.9% 1792 289 39 -9.3% -53.7% 1568 257 40 -27.3% -51.8% 1599 257  
Fri 59 31.1% -58.6% 1851 298 42 7.7% -51.8% 1610 264 44 10.0% -45.7% 1643 265 est
Sat 92 55.1% -59.6% 1942 313 62 47.6% -52.2% 1672 274 66 50.0% -45.5% 1709 275 proj
Sun 69 -24.2% -62.6% 2012 324 58 -6.45% -50.8% 1730 284 63 -4.55% -49.6% 1772 285 proj
Mon 27 -61.4% -63.3% 2038 329 26 -55.2% -51.9% 1756 288 36 -42.9% -44.6% 1808 291 proj
Tue 26 -1.5% -59.4% 2065 334 28 7.7% -47.2% 1784 293 34 -5.6% -45.2% 1842 297 proj
Wed 24 -10.2% -54.8% 2088 337 23 -17.9% -46.5% 1807 296 32 -5.9% -41.8% 1874 302 proj
Thu 31 32.5% -30.2% 2120 342 18 -21.7% -53.8% 1825 299 24 -25.0% -40.0% 1898 306 proj
Fri 67 114.6% 14.2% 2187 353 18 0.0% -57.1% 1843 302 27 12.5% -38.6% 1925 310 proj
Sat 67 -0.6% -26.8% 2254 364 24 33.3% -61.3% 1867 306 40 48.1% -39.4% 1965 316 proj
Sun 39 -41.8% -43.8% 2293 370 20 -16.67% -65.5% 1887 309 38 -5.00% -39.7% 2003 323 proj
Mon 15 -61.3% -43.7% 2308 373 10 -50.0% -61.5% 1897 311 22 -42.1% -38.9% 2025 326 proj
Tue 14 -9.3% -48.1% 2322 375 10 0.0% -64.3% 1907 313 21 -4.5% -38.2% 2046 329 proj
Wed 12 -13.9% -50.2% 2334 377 10 0.0% -56.5% 1917 314 20 -4.8% -37.5% 2066 333 proj
Thu 10 -11.9% -66.9% 2344 379 9 -10.0% -50.0% 1926 316 17 -15.0% -29.2% 2083 335 proj
Fri 14 31.7% -79.7% 2358 381 11 22.2% -38.9% 1937 318 18 5.9% -33.3% 2101 338 proj
Sat 24 71.5% -64.9% 2381 385 11 0.0% -54.2% 1948 319 25 38.9% -37.5% 2126 342 proj
Sun 20 -15.3% -49.0% 2401 388           23 -8.00% -39.5% 2149 346 proj
Mon 10 -49.7% -33.8% 2411 390           13 -43.5% -40.9% 2162 348 proj
Tue                     12 -7.7% -42.9% 2174 350 proj
        2411 390       1948 319       2300 360 -380

 

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if cbo and maoyan aren't screwed up again, it looks like MH could get to 50m. down less than 40%. That causes a big ripple effect in the projections. FF7 in play

Yes, F7 is not totally out of reach at this point.

 

It's crazy just to think it. Who knows what will happen in the next few months ...

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Friday(7.31.2015) Estimates
 
Daily total 124M yuan 
1). Monster Hunt ¥46M/cume: 1651M($266M) 
2). Lady Of The Dynasty ¥21M/cume: 50M($8.1M) 
3). Wild City   ¥17.6M/cume:48.4M($7.8M) 
4). JianBingMan : 12.1M/cume:975M($157M)
5). TMK : Hero is backSeer 5 ¥9.6M/cume: 740M($119.2M) 
6). TheCrossingPart2 ¥7.55M/cume:13.8M($2.2M)
 
Pathetic performance for TC2 
Edited by Kylin Zhang
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Friday(7.31.2015) Estimates
 
Daily total 124M yuan 
1). Monster Hunt ¥46M/cume: 1651M($266M) 
2). Lady Of The Dynasty ¥21M/cume: 50M($8.1M) 
3). Wild City   ¥17.6M/cume:48.4M($7.8M) 
4). JianBingMan : 12.1M/cume:975M($157M)
5). TMK : Hero is backSeer 5 ¥9.6M/cume: 740M($119.2M) 
6). TheCrossingPart2 ¥7.55M/cume:13.8M($2.2M)
 
Pathetic performance for TC2 

 

Pathetic +1

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MH at 15m this am. a shot at 70m, They upped the theaters back to 21%. The most of all releases

Its getting stronger as other movies(except TMK) are fading fast and they are gravitating toward the big hit

TMK looking to take 3rd behind LD as JB and WC continue to slip

 

FF7           TF4         MH   -40% Proj    
Day Yn % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot  
Thur                     165     165 27  
Fri           195     195 32 132     297 48  
Sat 51 - MN       223 14.4%   418 69 188 42.4%   485 78  
Sun 347     398 64 213 -4.6%   631 103 184 -2.1%   669 108  
Mon 185 -46.7%   583 94 123 -42.1%   754 124 110 -40.2%   779 125  
Tues 167 -9.7%   750 121 112 -8.9%   866 142 103 -6.4%   882 142  
Wed 137 -18.0%   887 143 95 -15.7%   961 157 85 -17.5%   967 156  
Thur 115 -16.1%   1002 162 84 -11.0%   1045 171 83 -2.4% -49.7% 1050 169  
Fri 142 23.8%   1144 185 87 3.4% -55.3% 1132 186 81 -2.4% -38.6% 1131 182  
Sat 226 59.0%   1371 221 130 48.8% -41.9% 1262 207 121 49.4% -35.6% 1252 202  
Sun 185 -18.1% -46.6% 1556 251 118 -9.0% -44.6% 1379 226 125 3.3% -32.1% 1377 222  
Mon 73 -60.6% -60.5% 1629 263 54 -58.3% -56.1% 1433 235 65 -48.0% -40.9% 1442 232  
Tue 65 -11.0% -61.1% 1694 273 53 -1.9% -52.8% 1486 244 63 -3.1% -38.8% 1505 242  
Wed 52 -19.4% -61.8% 1747 282 43 -18.9% -54.5% 1529 251 56 -11.1% -34.1% 1561 251  
Thu 45 -14.1% -60.9% 1792 289 39 -9.3% -53.7% 1568 257 43 -23.2% -48.2% 1604 258  
Fri 59 31.1% -58.6% 1851 298 42 7.7% -51.8% 1610 264 46 7.0% -43.2% 1650 266  
Sat 92 55.1% -59.6% 1942 313 62 47.6% -52.2% 1672 274 70 52.2% -42.1% 1720 277 est
Sun 69 -24.2% -62.6% 2012 324 58 -6.45% -50.8% 1730 284 67 -4.29% -46.4% 1787 288 proj
Mon 27 -61.4% -63.3% 2038 329 26 -55.2% -51.9% 1756 288 40 -40.3% -38.5% 1827 294 proj
Tue 26 -1.5% -59.4% 2065 334 28 7.7% -47.2% 1784 293 37 -7.5% -41.3% 1864 300 proj
Wed 24 -10.2% -54.8% 2088 337 23 -17.9% -46.5% 1807 296 35 -5.4% -37.5% 1899 306 proj
Thu 31 32.5% -30.2% 2120 342 18 -21.7% -53.8% 1825 299 27 -22.9% -37.2% 1926 310 proj
Fri 67 114.6% 14.2% 2187 353 18 0.0% -57.1% 1843 302 28 3.7% -39.1% 1954 315 proj
Sat 67 -0.6% -26.8% 2254 364 24 33.3% -61.3% 1867 306 42 50.0% -40.0% 1996 321 proj
Sun 39 -41.8% -43.8% 2293 370 20 -16.67% -65.5% 1887 309 40 -4.76% -40.3% 2036 328 proj
Mon 15 -61.3% -43.7% 2308 373 10 -50.0% -61.5% 1897 311 22 -45.0% -45.0% 2058 331 proj
Tue 14 -9.3% -48.1% 2322 375 10 0.0% -64.3% 1907 313 21 -4.5% -43.2% 2079 335 proj
Wed 12 -13.9% -50.2% 2334 377 10 0.0% -56.5% 1917 314 19 -9.5% -45.7% 2098 338 proj
Thu 10 -11.9% -66.9% 2344 379 9 -10.0% -50.0% 1926 316 16 -15.8% -40.7% 2114 340 proj
Fri 14 31.7% -79.7% 2358 381 11 22.2% -38.9% 1937 318 17 6.3% -39.3% 2131 343 proj
Sat 24 71.5% -64.9% 2381 385 11 0.0% -54.2% 1948 319 25 47.1% -40.5% 2156 347 proj
Sun 20 -15.3% -49.0% 2401 388           23 -8.00% -42.5% 2179 351 proj
Mon 10 -49.7% -33.8% 2411 390           13 -43.5% -40.9% 2192 353 proj
Tue                     12 -7.7% -42.9% 2204 355 proj
        2411 390       1948 319       2350 365 -390

It'll be behind FF7 this weekend but gain ground with summer weekdays. Next weekend FF7 had a holiday. Its on track to be 35-40m short of FF7 at 30 days.

Can it make 10% more after 30 days like Lost in Thailand? which would get it close.

With openers and JB fading hard it may be able to keep it showtimes at 20% next weekend and give it a chance

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Is it still possible for TMK to hit ¥850m?

It should. will be at 770m tomorrow,  after a 40m+ weekend and great legs im thinking 875 - 900m

with 50% drops, its held better than that at times. might come in second today

800m by Thursday.

820-25m next sunday

850m the following Sunday

Alltime #1 animated should run for a while after, until minions show up

Edited by M F Lawrence
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Saturday(8.1.2015) Estimates
 
Daily total 189M yuan 
1). Monster Hunt ¥78M/cume: 1731M($278.8M) 
2). Lady Of The Dynasty ¥22.8M/cume: 73.4M($11.8M) 
3). Wild City   ¥21.1M/cume:70M($11.3M) 
4). JianBingMan : 21.3M/cume:997M($160.5M)
5). TMK : Hero is backSeer 5 ¥20M/cume: 760M($122.4M) 
6). TheCrossingPart2 ¥9.3M/cume:23.2M($3.7M)
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Other estimates put MH Sat over 80m. Next week only To the Force, one major release, thinking 10m/18m/29m/28m = 85m 3.5 days for TtF. MH #1 for 28 days.

 

F7 is probably going down ...

 

If MH continues its sub 40% weekend drops for the next few weeks, it would total 2.5B+. There are also Chinese Valentine Day bump and Sep holiday (9.3~9.5) bump in its favor. so ...  :mellow:

Edited by firedeep
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