China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Olive]

Sunday showtimes nationwide(%)Monkey 25.96Dad 24.99Macau 19.2Frozen 12.5

[iceroll]

Sunday showtimes nationwide(%)Monkey 25.96Dad 24.99Macau 19.2Frozen 12.5

Didn't you say Frozen's showtimes were increasing?  It looks like it stayed flat/tiny decrease from Wednesday.

[alee7915]

Didn't you say Frozen's showtimes were increasing?  It looks like it stayed flat/tiny decrease from Wednesday.

 

Olive lie  lol...

[A Marvel Fanboy]

10%-ish screening count (that's more than 10000 shows daily) for Frozen was perfectly fine (It has 14.5% on Sunday which is well enough). It's not like Frozen has been unfairly treated by the market. Frozen fans just want more (and more), but pls keep expectations in check.  Sure, the overal tastes of general Chinese movie audience are not excellent (of course they are not, as 90% of them just began going to movies in past few years.) However, the taste was not shitty when they powered movies like Avatar, Incepetion and Pacific Rim as the biggest oversea market ? Tradtionally animated movies are simply not big in China since there are still not enough family audience. Frozen is currently trippling the pace of WiR ($10m total, which was already the biggest Disney animation release in this region before Frozen) in China, just like most other oversea markets. Everything is all right. The limited animation audience can only contribute this much to Frozen. So it's not "Chinese audience do not support Frozen".

 

In film market, China has Pleasant Goats, Tiny Times, Dad Where Are We Going; America has Twilight, Jackass and Adam Sandler craps ...... choices of millions audience.

 

Realisticly, Frozen has always been expected to gross $30~40m. And that's exactly where it is heading right now. Nothing ever wrong with its showtimes. Frozen had per screening attendance of 35 people on Saturday, still falling behind Macau (43 people, 19.5% screening count), TMK (39, 25.6%) and Dad (36, 23.5%). So there is absolutely no need to signaficently change (+ or - ) its number of showtimes.

 

(Surprisingly,) Macau has the best legs out of all holiday releases. Its daily gross:

1.31 --- 25m --- holiday

2.1  --- 22m --- holiday

2.2  --- 22m --- holiday

2.3  --- 24m --- holiday

2.4  --- 27m --- holiday

2.5 --- 28m --- holiday

2.6  --- 30m --- holiday

2.7  --- 26m --- workday

2.8  --- 27m --- workday --- 236m cume.

no sign of slowing down. At this rate, even 350m total is possible.

 

JTTW: TMK (not a sequel to last Spring's JTTW: CTD)should do more than 1B, surpassing most expectations by 200~300m. It broke tons of records, including biggest OD and biggest day (126m) of all time

 

Dad is a totally shocker. The theatrical cut of a popular TV show cost less than $1m to produce and shot (they did shoot ?) for only 5 days. It's probably heading to 650m+. We will see more and more TV adapations (aka Dad wannabe).

 

Chinese Spring Festival (7-days holiday, as always) 2014 box office totaled 1.41B, +81% from 2013's 780m (which is former record-holder). In admissions and screenings, the increases are 95% and 55%, respectively. In terms of per show attendance, 2014 also increased 25.6%, while the average ticket price decreased 7% at the same time, which is a good thing.

 

Total gross by day:

1.31 --- 258.1m -- all time #1, record

2.1  --- 253.1m -- all time 2nd

2.2  --- 205.8m -- all time 3rd

2.3  --- 193.7m --- all time 5th

2.4  --- 189.7m --- all time 7th

2.5 --- 182.5m

2.6  --- 171m

 

Meanwhile, 2014 week 6 (2.3~2.9) total gross should do more than 1.1B (the first 6 days gross is nearly 1B), which will break all time record (May holiday week 2013 when IM3 led with 920m).

 

Febuary should be record-breaking too.

Edited February 9, 2014 by firedeep

[Olive]

Welcom back, firedeep.

[alee7915]

Finally, firedeep has been released by the China government...  lol 

[Dingdong123]

So Frozen is still on track for about $30M? Yasss i'll be fine and contented with that!

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Looking at Frozen daily gross:

 

2.5 --- 16.5m --- holiday

2.6  --- 18m --- holiday

2.7  --- 13.5m --- workday

2.8  --- 16m --- workday 

2.9  --- 22m (EST) --- weekend --- 86.5m $14.1m 5-days opening

 

2.10  --- ? --- workday (Mon)

 

How could it only do $20m ? Factly, I dont see how it misses $30m. If it can stay above 10m on Monday, $40m+ is well much in play. Probably, It should near $30m already with next week's VD boost.

 

2.9 is also Macau's biggest day since release. Its daily take surpassed Dad.

 

Almost all holiday releases sort of surpassed expectations, except maybe EX. The rom-com did 63m after 10 days. 

 

Six new releases for coming VD week, only one major, Beijing Love Story.

Edited February 9, 2014 by firedeep

[Incarnadine]

Over 30m now, with 40m in play? Has it been given an extension past 10 days?

That seems like a lot if it's at 14.1 after 5 days if it's only playing 10 days.

[Olive]

Over 30m now, with 40m in play? Has it been given an extension past 10 days?

That seems like a lot if it's at 14.1 after 5 days if it's only playing 10 days.

If it holds strong , it wont lose many screens.If it stays until it gets Oscar award it could get an extension beyond one month rule.

[Incarnadine]

If it holds strong , it wont lose many screens.If it stays until it gets Oscar award it could get an extension beyond one month rule.

Ah, so it is playing more than 10 days, which would have been Feb. 13. Oscars are March 2, I wasn't expecting Frozen to be playing anywhere near that long.

[Olive]

Ah, so it is playing more than 10 days, which would have been Feb. 13. Oscars are March 2, I wasn't expecting Frozen to be playing anywhere near that long.

It will survive the new releases on VD.

 

Sunday est":

Monkey 48m  766m

Dad 31m  571m

Macau 30m 267m

Frz  21m  85.5m/$14.1M(Disney reported 13.7M)

[A Marvel Fanboy]

China Mulls Upping Film Quota by 10 (Exclusive)

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-mulls-upping-film-quota-678697

Yealy quota lifted from 34 to 44 (?) 

 

Great news if true.

[bapi]

China Mulls Upping Film Quota by 10 (Exclusive)

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-mulls-upping-film-quota-678697

Yealy quota lifted from 34 to 44 (?) 

 

Great news if true.

Lego?

[alee7915]

Lego?

Lego...

[Olive]

Monday est":

Monkey 30m  797m

Macau 20m 288m

Dad 17m  589m

Frz  12m  97.6m

[Olive]

DM2 finished its run with 325M yuan, very impressive considering half of a year's delay.

[Olive]

[Alex Bennett]

I've had enough of these 'monkey business' movies.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

 

Monday est":

Monkey 30m  797m

Macau 20m 288m

Dad 17m  589m

Frz  12m  97.6m

 

Estimates has become more and more accurate.

 

[*]Cumes by 2.10 Mon:

#Monkey 798m #Macau 291m #Dad 593m #Frozen 98.6m. Mon total was 92m, huge for a workday (except students are still on holiday).

 

[*]Week 6 (2.3~2.9) did 1.15B, all time biggest by more than 200m, first week ever crossing the historical 1B mark and first week ever to have more than 30 million movie goers (32m). Chart as Olive posted.

 

ATP, 1B is easy for Monkey, 700m is possible for Dad, 400m will get done by Macau and IMO $40M is safe for Frozen. Even Ex Files looks to make it to 100m.

 

[*]It is funny that just three weeks ago, I was worrying about a slow Febuary and a slow 2014. Feb 2-14 has become so epic that everyone is shocked and probably few have seen it coming. The first 10 days of Feb already produced 1.7B. Feb 2014 will competely overshadow 2013's 2.12B.

 

For more than 10 years (2002~2012), December had been the best time to release the biggest local tentpoles. And the third week of the month, which was always considered to be a better slot than Chinese New Year week, had been the slot the most powerful Chinese blockbusters chose. It changed in 2013. JTTW: Conquring, released in CNY holiday, was 2013's biggest movie. Before that, CNY releases seldomly cracked yearly top 10, let alone win the year. Meanwhile, December started to lose its charm. Dec 2013 performed so pethetic compared with previous years ----- check previous posts regarding this. CNY week (1.41B) 2014 destroyed the combination (1.1B) of Dec 2013 third week and following Xmas week. CNY week 2013 was epic as well.

 

[*]When the workday gross stays high at 92m, it is hard to imagine coming VD doing less than 200m. VD2013 broke all time daily record with 205m. Chinese New Year's Day (1.31) daily record of 258m will be hard to break though.

 

Super VD 2014.0214 forecast (go bold):

 

1. Beijing Love Story --- 80m

2. Monekey -------------- 40m

3. Macau ----------------- 30m

4. Frozen ----------------- 25m

5. Dad --------------------  20m

others -------------------- 35m

Total ---------------------- 230m

 

BLS opens 14pm 2.13. Frozen should cross $30m by Sunday.

Edited February 11, 2014 by firedeep