85th Academy Awards (24/2/13) Official Thread- TONIGHT!! NOMINEES IN THE FIRST POST

[Jack Nevada]

Still in Team Chastain/Riva, though neither of them is winning

[CoolioD1]

LA times did an article on why Argo shouldn't win. I liked it (even if I don't think it would be a bad choice), especially this bit:

 

For though "Argo" is undeniably an accomplished piece of work, there was a time within the memory of those living when turning out films like this was what the studios did for a living. It used to be that smart, entertaining adult vehicles like "Argo" were simply business as usual for Hollywood, the bread and butter of a busy industry that consistently delivered adult entertainments in genres without number. In those days a film like "Argo" would in no way stand out far enough from the crowd to be the favorite for the best picture Oscar.

[Jack Nevada]

Yeah, if Argo were made in 1976 it wouldn't have been nearly as big of a deal as it is today.

[acsc1312]

I've come to terms with Argo winning since the alternative was Lincoln. Still not in my top 10, though.

[Jack Nevada]

Its a good movie, but I'm not fine with it winning.

[fishstick]

JL is a good actress,but not amazing.

 

Riva's performance is in another level!

 

They had different roles. JLaw cannot play the same role Riva does until she`s 70. But she amazing stuff with her take on Tiffany.

[The Stingray]

LA times did an article on why Argo shouldn't win. I liked it (even if I don't think it would be a bad choice), especially this bit:

I agree with that dude.

[Alpha]

Predictions of Percentages Of Oscar Voters (from EW):

 

BEST PICTURE

Argo - 20%

Lincoln - 16%

Silver Linings Playbook - 15%

Life Of Pi - 14%

Beasts Of The Southern Wild - 12%

Les Miserables - 10%

Zero Dark Thirty - 8%

Django Unchained - 3%

Amour - 2%

 

BEST ACTRESS

Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook) - 30%

Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty) - 25%

Emmanuelle Riva (Amour) - 25%

Naomi Watts (The Impossible) - 15%

Quvenzhane Wallis (Beasts Of The Southern Wild) - 5%

 

BEST ACTOR

Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln) - 60%

Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables) - 15%

Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook) - 10%

Joaquin Phoenix (The Master) - 10%

Denzel Washington (Flight) - 5%

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables) - 40%

Sally Field (Lincoln) - 35%

Helen Hunt (The Sessions) - 10%

Amy Adams (The Master) - 10%

Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook) - 5%

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook) - 31%

Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln) - 30%

Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Master) - 20%

Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained) - 10%

Alan Arkin (Argo) - 9%

 

BEST DIRECTOR

Steven Spielberg (Lincoln) - 27%

Ang Lee (Life Of Pi) - 25%

David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook) - 22%

Michael Haneke (Amour) - 21%

Benh Zeitlin (Beasts Of The Southern Wild) - 5% 

[Michael Gary Scott]

Its a good movie, but I'm not fine with it winning.

Great movie and im happy its winning.

[fishstick]

Argo should win because it has been winning all the way. If anything else wins it`ll be forever tainted by Affleck snub. Just let it happen. Sometimes it`s better to lose than win. Awards are never clean cut and it`s never about what`s the best and this year is no exception and so far it`s been all about a ridiculous snub and vindication and that`s what it`ll be remembered no matter who and what wins. So just let Argo win and close the circle. It`s Argo/Affleck year anyway you slice it.

Edited February 23, 2013 by fishnets

[Michael Gary Scott]

Predictions of Percentages Of Oscar Voters (from EW):BEST PICTUREArgo - 20%Lincoln - 16%Silver Linings Playbook - 15%Life Of Pi - 14%Beasts Of The Southern Wild - 12%Les Miserables - 10%Zero Dark Thirty - 8%Django Unchained - 3%Amour - 2%BEST ACTRESSJennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook) - 30%Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty) - 25%Emmanuelle Riva (Amour) - 25%Naomi Watts (The Impossible) - 15%Quvenzhane Wallis (Beasts Of The Southern Wild) - 5%BEST ACTORDaniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln) - 60%Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables) - 15%Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook) - 10%Joaquin Phoenix (The Master) - 10%Denzel Washington (Flight) - 5%BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESSAnne Hathaway (Les Miserables) - 40%Sally Field (Lincoln) - 35%Helen Hunt (The Sessions) - 10%Amy Adams (The Master) - 10%Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook) - 5%BEST SUPPORTING ACTORRobert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook) - 31%Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln) - 30%Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Master) - 20%Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained) - 10%Alan Arkin (Argo) - 9%BEST DIRECTORSteven Spielberg (Lincoln) - 27%Ang Lee (Life Of Pi) - 25%David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook) - 22%Michael Haneke (Amour) - 21%Benh Zeitlin (Beasts Of The Southern Wild) - 5%

No way waltz is that low

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Hollywood's toughest spot: The VIP Oscar green room

http://www.usatoday.com/story/life/movies/2013/02/23/architectural-digest-greenroom-85-academy-awards/1940797/?

[The Stingray]

I don't think they'll give Waltz a second one so soon. Its between De Nero and TLJ imo.

[Jack Nevada]

lol DeNiro is so not winning

[The Stingray]

lol DeNiro is so not winning

You never know.

[Michael Gary Scott]

Waltz has momentum after bafta thats why i picked him

[The Stingray]

Waltz has momentum after bafta thats why i picked him

that's true.

[fishstick]

No way waltz is that low

 

Why not? Actors above him are among the most respected in the industry. he`s still a newcomer from QT movies type of a deal. So sample (not all AMPAS voters) that EW polled went with tried and true. See how close Field is to Hathaway? same thing.

[Michael Gary Scott]

Why not? Actors above him are among the most respected in the industry. he`s still a newcomer from QT movies type of a deal. So sample (not all AMPAS voters) that EW polled went with tried and true. See how close Field is to Hathaway? same thing.

His bafta win shows there is support for him

[riczhang]

So media has resigned to Riva win or they are trying to influence it? Ever since BAFTA they are chanting in unision.

The media seems to want a Riva win. They want a win for the ages because it'd make good stories, as Jennifer Lawrence winning won't sell papers. (her target demo diesn't buy papers or listen to the news)