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baumer

BSG KITIK WINS!!

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GU2 definitely will, PR depends on drops and how the films that haven't been released yet do.

 

IYO, what would be the gross that a film has to hit to be in the top 15?

 

Let's say PR opens to 37 mill.  It should get a 3X imo. That's 111 mill.  Do you think that will be enough to get into the top 15?

 

Last year Campaign would have been the 15th spot with 79 mill.

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Yeah, well, some consolation at least  :lol:

 

How about you B, do you have them in your Top 15?

 

 

Yes, but I will miss a few as well.  I came so close to putting Gatsby and put Epic instead.  

 

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BAUMER

 

Top 15
1. Despicable Me 2 – $381.5M  locked for top 15
2. IM3: – $349.5M locked for top 15
3. Man of Steel – $2750M locked for top 15
4. Monster's University – $255.2M locked for top 15
5. Star Trek: 235.5M locked for top 15
6. Fast & Furious 6 – $220M locked for top 15
7. The Hangover Part III – $215M unknown
8. White House Down – $170M doubtful
9. The Wolverine – $155.1M unknown
10. The Smurfs 2 - $155M unknown
11. Grown Ups 2: 135.6M locked for top 15
12. Pacific Rim – $135M unknown
13. World War Z: $131.9M locked for top 15
14. The Heat – $131.8M locked for top 15
15. Epic – $115.5M unknown
16. The Great Gatsby – $112.1M

Edited by baumer
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IYO, what would be the gross that a film has to hit to be in the top 15?

 

Let's say PR opens to 37 mill.  It should get a 3X imo. That's 111 mill.  Do you think that will be enough to get into the top 15?

 

Last year Campaign would have been the 15th spot with 79 mill.

 

We currently have 10 films that have made 111M.

add the Heat and GU2 that will pass this is 12.

 

which means that you need 3 more films to make that number from the rest of the summer. Smurfs made over 140M so Smurfs 2 will probably make it. After that you have 2 Guns, Turbo and Elysium as contenders, if two of those pass 111M than that's the mark that PR will need to pass.

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my top 15

1. Iron Man 3 415m L

2. Despicable Me 2 315m L

3.  Star Trek: Into Darkness 290m L

4.  Man of Steel  275m L

5. Monster University 270m L

6. Fast and Furious 245m L

​7. Pacific Rim 195m UK

8. Smurfs 2 180m  UK

9.  White House Down 170m D

10. The Wolverine 165m UK

11.  The Hangover 3 150m UK

12. World War Z 127m UK

13.  This is the End  120m D

14.  Grown Ups 2 115m L

15. Elysium 105mUK

 

 

L:  Locked for Top 15

UK:  UnKnown

d: Doubtful

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We currently have 10 films that have made 111M.

add the Heat and GU2 that will pass this is 12.

 

which means that you need 3 more films to make that number from the rest of the summer. Smurfs made over 140M so Smurfs 2 will probably make it. After that you have 2 Guns, Turbo and Elysium as contenders, if two of those pass 111M than that's the mark that PR will need to pass.

 

Wow, this summer is killing last summer.  I didn't realize there were ten films over 110 mill already.

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Yes, but I will miss a few as well.  I came so close to putting Gatsby and put Epic instead.  

 

Posted Image

Yeah, me too. I'm even worse in that I was hesitating between TGG and AE  :mellow:

 

With some movies underperforming or flopping this summer, I think 2 Guns and The Conjuring has a shot in Top 15.

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my top 15

1. Iron Man 3 415m

2. Despicable Me 2 315m

3.  Star Trek: Into Darkness 290m

4.  Man of Steel  275m

5. Monster University 270m

6. Fast and Furious 245m

​7. Pacific Rim 195m 

8. Smurfs 2 180m

9.  White House Down 170m

10. The Wolverine 165m

11.  The Hangover 3 150m

12. World War Z 127m

13.  This is the End  120m

14.  Grown Ups 2 115m 

15. Elysium 105m

Wow, Dex, looks like you nailed some of the top 6 in gross. Very impressive.

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Wow, this summer is killing last summer.  I didn't realize there were ten films over 110 mill already.

 

Last year was far more top heavy, nothing from this year will come within 200M of The Avenger, but the films lower down that list definitely were much weaker.

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