Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted August 19, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted August 19, 2013 (edited) Kitik is right, Shawn. And like you said you said, within 5% of actuals; that means our predictions need to be within 95-105% of actuals. For example, with Wolvie, your prediction has to be 105% of whatever actual it is. So 105% = 135.2 (your prediction) 100% = Actuals Cross multiply, you get 128.76 I know that. I misspoke originally. The thing is that that part of the question does not specify the actual or the prediction--only the first part of the question does. We're all technically right here. Edited August 19, 2013 by ShawnMR Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 I know that. I misspoke originally. The thing is that that part of the question does not specify the actual or the prediction--only the first part of the question does. We're both right. Well, I don't mind. If it's within prediction, then the goal will be less, I'm totally in support of that 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted August 19, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted August 19, 2013 It's up to Baumer, of course, but it may be necessary to accept both methods as correct answers. There's admittedly some ambiguity in the phrasing of the bonus question and the method I went with was consistent with similar questions in the past. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 for my guess to be within 5% of the actual total on September 2, I need it to hit $129,142,858 for the actual to be within 5% of my guess, I need it to hit $128.82M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted August 19, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted August 19, 2013 Well, scoring for that question just became twice as complicated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 If it's within 5% of actuals, then scoring won't be hard cause there will only be one range for each movie. But if it's within 5% of each person's prediction though.... I don't envy B Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 If it's within 5% of actuals, then scoring won't be hard cause there will only be one range for each movie. But if it's within 5% of each person's prediction though.... I don't envy B not necessarily using a hypothetical total of 128.9, instead of multiplying by 1.05 (meaning anyone under 135.345 would be correct), you'd simply divide by 0.95 (meaning anyone under 135.684 would be correct) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Math! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted August 19, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted August 19, 2013 I'm curious to hear what Baumer originally intended the math to be. Either way, I think both ranges should be considered correct answers under the circumstances, but I'm sure he'll clear it up when he gets time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Butler was overestimated. Damn it!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted August 19, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted August 19, 2013 Butler was overestimated. Damn it!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 I did horrible last week, only got 9 out of 15 questions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Butler was overestimated. Damn it!! Oh yeah, awesome, I forgot about that question. That's one right at least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 9/15 + THE BUTLER placement = 11k. Yuck, but at least everyone else did lousy too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 13k for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Regarding preseason 15A: Wolverine is at 35.1M after a 1.37M weekend and needs 4.4M in two weeks, that isn't going to happen so no is the correct answer. Only Baumer, Schumacher and myself answered this right then, which means that we gain 40,000 points on almost everyone, and 20,000 on a couple who abstained. I'm not sure it's a lock just yet. Last Monday Wolverine was at 30.8. If it's up to 35.1 today that means it made 4.3 over the last 7 days. Seems to me that 4.4 over the next 15 days is still possible. What happens if it's at 39.4 as of September 1st? Since the deadline for the game is September 2nd, can we just assume it'll cover that last bit of ground on Monday the 2nd? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted August 19, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted August 19, 2013 14k for me excluding bonuses (which I don't think I got any) + 15k individuals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted August 19, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted August 19, 2013 laguy also got his individuals right. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 I'm not sure it's a lock just yet. Last Monday Wolverine was at 30.8. If it's up to 35.1 today that means it made 4.3 over the last 7 days. Seems to me that 4.4 over the next 15 days is still possible. What happens if it's at 39.4 as of September 1st? Since the deadline for the game is September 2nd, can we just assume it'll cover that last bit of ground on Monday the 2nd? This is gonna come down to the wire as well isn't it? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
