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Tropical cyclone warning #1 signal has been issued. Deteriorating conditions expected Friday night into Saturday.

Update #2 (Opening day admissions @ Palace APM)
 

Palace APM                  
  The Amazing Spider-Man 3D         The Amazing Spider-Man 2D      
Day Time Seats sold Seats available % filled Day Time Seats sold Seats available % filled
Jun. 29 9:00 AM 59 286 20.6% Jun. 29 10:00 AM 93 114 81.6%
  9:30 AM 27 167 16.2%   12:30 PM 16 114 14.0%
  10:15 AM 44 112 39.3%   4:50 PM 23 112 20.5%
  11:35 AM 143 286 50.0%   7:40 PM 78 98 79.6%
  12:00 PM 6 167 3.6%   12:20 AM 20 112 17.9%
  1:00 PM 6 98 6.1%          
  2:10 PM 30 286 10.5%          
  2:20 PM 4 112 3.6%          
  2:30 PM 7 167 4.2%          
  3:00 PM 6 114 5.3%          
  3:30 PM 10 98 10.2%          
  4:40 PM 40 286 14.0%          
  5:00 PM 6 167 3.6%          
  5:30 PM 12 114 10.5%          
  6:40 PM 4 98 4.1%          
  7:10 PM 103 286 36.0%          
  7:20 PM 13 112 11.6%          
  7:30 PM 53 167 31.7%          
  8:00 PM 51 114 44.7%          
  9:15 PM 42 98 42.9%          
  9:40 PM 115 286 40.2%          
  9:50 PM 21 112 18.8%          
  10:00 PM 15 167 9.0%          
  10:30 PM 18 114 15.8%          
  11:45 PM 8 98 8.2%          
  12:10 AM 29 286 10.1%          
  12:30 AM 5 167 3.0%          
  1:00 AM 4 114 3.5%          
Total   881 4679 18.8% Total   230 550 41.8%

Not much change. I expected stronger sales than that. Disappointing.
 

  Thursday adm.     June 28
Rank Title LW TW % chg
1 Motorway -- 10,287 --
2 The Bounty -- 2,986 --
3 The Dictator -- 2,961 --
4 Prometheus 3D -- 2,731 --
5 The Raven -- 2,662 --

Very good for Motorway. Bad for The Bounty. Good for The Dictator. Ok for Prometheus. Poor for The Raven.
 

  Friday adm. (so far)     June 29
Rank Title LW TW WKD % chg QD % chg
1 The Amazing Spider-Man 3D -- 27,614 -- --
2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2D -- 4,966 -- --
3 Motorway -- 2,034 -- --
4 The Dictator -- 488 -- --
5 The Bounty -- 400 -- --

OK-ish for Amazing Spider-Man. That is really good for Motorway.
The Amazing Spider-Man will lead off with 592 showtimes on Friday (does not include showtimes after midnight). If midnight shows after 12 are added in, it will have over 600 showtimes on Friday.

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Updates needed ! :)

Given this typhoon I'm not very optimistic for this OW in HK, but I'm sure it will have a great hold :)

The typhoon will enhance OW. It happened last time with Johnny English Reborn opening last September. I'm not really sure by how much though.My weekend prediction right now is 3.8m. Even though pre-sales were nothing special, walk-ins have been brisk. The typhoon might even boost it to 4m.UPDATE: #3 warning signal soon to be in force.
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Amazing Spider-Man is doing well with walk-ins.

#8 signal is going up tonight. That means all public transportation is suspended but there will be no showings overnight so we won't have to worry about that. The worst of the weather could be over by the first morning show tomorrow.

I also updated the first post with July and August movie release schedules. Check the first post if you want to see which movies are coming out in August. I will only focus on July's movies for now.
 

Release Date Movie Title
July 5 Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter
Painted Skin: The Resurrection
Hotaru the Movie: It's Only A Little Light In My Life
Elles
Late Autumn
July 7 The Flying Machine
July 12 W.E.
Ice Age: Continental Drift
The Four
July 19 The Dark Knight Rises
When Pigs Have Wings
July 26 Step Up Revolution
Beloved
The Pirates! Band of Misfits
One Piece 3D: Mugiwara Chase/Toriko 3D: Gourmet Adventure
Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles - Animal Adventure
Wu Dang

Next weekend will be pretty bland. Painted Skin 2 seems like a dud. Abraham Lincoln looks bad and vampire movies never do well here. And it's sandwiched between Spider-Man and Dark Knight. The only good thing that will come out of next weekend is Ice Age 4's special screenings. Elles and Late Autumn are limited-semi limited release movies. Amazing Spider-Man will easily repeat on top.

July 12 will be Ice Age 4's only week on top. The previous Ice Age movie opened to 1.9m. At the time, it broke animation records. Even though Ice Age 4 is getting advanced screenings the weekend before, I could still see it making 2m OW. It will be virtually unchallenged and a lot of demand for Spider-Man will have dried up. Amazing Spider-Man will still keep screens though so it won't breakout and exceed 3m. 2.5m is a possibility. Other movies that week are a mainland-catering film and an arthouse flick.

July 19 is the biggie. The Dark Knight Rises will steal the show and I believe it will break 2D records. 3.5m OW is my prediction at this point. When Pigs Have Wings seems like a limited engagement film.

July 26 will be interesting to watch because you've got 3 animation flicks. 2 steady Japanese anime movies (One Piece/Toriko and Doraemon) then you've got Pirates! Band of Misfits in there too. The anime movies won't make a lot of money but I could see Pirates eking out a $200,000 weekend. Step Up Revolution is looking to build on the 3rd movie's success. There doesn't seem to be a lot of demand for this one though. I see only a $500,000 weekend for it. The Dark Knight Rises will reign supreme once again.

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