Tower Posted January 26, 2016 Author Share Posted January 26, 2016 Great opening for The Revenant, beating Django and Inception by 15 and 18%, respectively: Film OW Total Multiplier The Revenant 418,641 Django 364,300 2,183,456 6 Inception 354,526 3,669,899 10.4 Shutter Island 229,063 1,230,486 5.4 Gatsby 193,281 558,886 2.9 Body Of Lies 162,952 651,213 4 J. Edgar 88,076 247,960 2.8 I expect The Revenant not to match Inceptions legs, but if it can have the same multiplier as Django, that would mean 2.5M, which would be great. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted January 26, 2016 Author Share Posted January 26, 2016 (edited) January 21-24: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release The Revenant 418,641 418,641 1 Ride Along 2 153,329 153,329 1 Daddy's Home 109,250 560,611 -41% 3 Star Wars 7 101,641 3,126,871 -35% 6 Spotlight 53,218 57,385 1 Capture The Flag 48,885 786,630 34% 8 The Good Dinosaur 47,249 1,577,993 38% 9 Joy 31,410 608,906 -50% 5 Creed 30,450 322,681 -51% 4 Bridge Of Spies 29,978 1,718,263 -41% 9 Hotel Transylvania 2 5,773 2,187,449 44% 18 The Night Before 4,415 737,244 -77% 8 As I said in the previous post great opening for The revenant for a new record for Dicaprio. Hard to predict from OW, but it should make at least 2M. Also a really good opening for RA2, especially considering the original wasn't even released in theatres. SW7 is still holding very well, and has now passed Ted 2 for 4th biggest 2015 release (where it will remain), aiming for a 3.4-3.5M total. TGD has also had good enough legs so that it is no longer the lowest grossing Pixar release, passing Cars 2 despite a smaller opening weekend. Edited January 27, 2016 by Tower Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 (edited) January 28-31: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release The Revenant 312,625 731,287 -25% 2 Ride Along 2 143,408 296,745 -6% 2 The Big Short 115,686 115,686 1 Daddy's Home 70,354 688,413 -36% 4 The Finest Hours 68,364 68,364 1 Star Wars 7 57,175 3,225,643 -43% 7 Spotlight 44,738 123,090 -16% 2 Capture The Flag 38,353 834,100 -22% 9 The Good Dinosaur 36,935 1,623,478 -22% 10 Bridge Of Spies 23,434 1,764,598 -22% 10 Hotel Transylvania 2 3,848 2,191,363 -33% 19 The Night Before 3,719 742,241 -16% 9 Great hold for Ride Along 2, but I was expecting better from the Revenant. That is a pretty good opening for The Big Short, but a bad one for The Finest Hours (but in line with its DOM opening). Edited February 2, 2016 by Tower Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 February 4-7: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release The Revenant 213,235 1,086,897 -32% 3 Ride Along 2 138,020 482,840 -4% 3 The Big Short 110,603 265,956 -4% 2 Brooklyn 84,085 84,085 1 Daddy's Home 54,496 767,985 -23% 5 Star Wars 7 51,228 3,301,178 -10% 8 Capture The Flag 49,939 892,064 30% 10 The Good Dinosaur 46,103 1,676,258 25% 11 Spotlight 30,603 175,893 -32% 3 The Finest Hours 28,226 96,757 -59% 2 The Night Before 247 743,349 -94% 10 Low drops for most films this week which make The Revenant's -32% look mediocre in comparison, might finish with 1.7M. RA2 and The Big Short on he other hand with great holds but from low enough bases that they shouldn't make that much. Brooklyn has another of those films that aren't suposed to make that much and end with Middling numbers. SW7 is still sticking around with small drops and a great total, at this point it can lose it's showtimes and quickly disappear, but it ha already done its job. Next week has Deadpool which should do well and How To Be Single. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted February 17, 2016 Author Share Posted February 17, 2016 February 11-14: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Deadpool 662,028 662,028 1 How To Be Single 154,914 154,914 1 The Revenant 120,221 1,363,968 -44% 4 Ride Along 2 116,369 646,597 -16% 4 Brooklyn 94,380 178,910 12% 2 The Big Short 70,810 386,096 -36% 3 Capture The Flag 32,030 933,516 -36% 11 Daddy's Home 29,832 819,041 -45% 6 Star Wars 7 29,717 3,346,916 -42% 9 The Good Dinosaur 25,002 1,709,749 -46% 12 Spotlight 18,131 207,812 -41% 4 Hotel Transylvania 2 3,240 2,202,736 21 Just like elsewhere, a great opening for Deadpool. amongst Superhero films It has already passed the totals of Green Lantern, all 3 Fantastic Fours, 3 X-Mens (2, 3 and Wolverine) and the original Iron Man. As for its ranking for its OW: Film OW Total Multiplier Avengers: AOU 0.763 2.021 2.6 Avengers 0.75 2.45 3.3 IM3 0.703 2.152 3.1 TASM2 0.701 1.606 2.3 Deadpool 0.662 TASM 0.594 2.351 4 TDKR 0.535 2.712 5.1 TDK 0.52 2.522 4.9 MOS 0.489 1.216 2.5 DOFP 0.485 1.657 3.4 Spiderman 3 0.418 1.408 3.4 Thor 2 0.406 1.15 2.8 Spiderman 2 0.402 1.331 3.3 So Deadpool is the fifth biggest opening for a superhero film, and those above it are all MCU films not known for good legs. An average Multiplier of 3.4 would take it to 2.25M total. Also opening this weekend was How To Be Single, which had a good opening. The Revenant continues with its mediocre drops and Ride Along with its great holds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted February 23, 2016 Author Share Posted February 23, 2016 February 18-21: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Deadpool 476,074 1,138,356 -28% 2 How To Be Single 109,591 263,593 -29% 2 Hail, Caesar! 105,954 105,954 1 The Revenant 92,487 1,472,539 -23% 5 Ride Along 2 81,847 769,865 -30% 5 Brooklyn 79,735 311,751 -16% 3 The Big Short 49,356 478,341 -30% 4 Capture The Flag 33,841 980,870 6% 12 The Good Dinosaur 30,842 1,750,747 23% 13 Star Wars 7 27,203 3,385,097 -8% 10 Spotlight 11,108 226,005 -39% 5 Hotel Transylvania 2 4,686 2,207,471 45% 22 Deadpool's hold suggests that it will end up with a bit over 2M. Hail, Caesar! opens about as well as Domestic, maybe a little bit better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted March 3, 2016 Author Share Posted March 3, 2016 February 25-28: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Deadpool 268,140 1,609,306 -44% 3 The Brothers Grimsby 156,908 157,131 1 How To Be Single 71,512 384,747 -35% 3 Hail, Caesar! 67,801 173,900 -36% 2 Brooklyn 64,348 433,314 -19% 4 Ride Along 2 58,568 85,777 -28% 6 The Revenant 55,881 1,574,352 -40% 6 The Big Short 31,668 537,427 -36% 5 Capture The Flag 26,161 1,015,271 -23% 13 The Good Dinosaur 19,721 1,778,341 -36% 14 Spotlight 3,735 235,083 -66% 6 The brothers Grimsby performs much worse than the other Sacha Baron Cohen releases, as expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted March 8, 2016 Author Share Posted March 8, 2016 (edited) March 3-6: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Deadpool 158,487 1,899,996 -41% 4 The Brothers Grimsby 93,222 294,922 -41% 2 The Revenant 53,296 1,656,949 -5% 7 How To Be Single 48,666 474,925 -32% 4 Brooklyn 47,863 534,898 -26% 5 Hail, Caesar! 41,323 258,639 -39% 3 Ride Along 2 40,594 926,255 -31% 7 Spotlight 31,846 281,359 753% 7 The Big Short 27,328 585,250 -14% 6 Capture The Flag 25,356 1,048,680 -3% 14 Hotel Transylvania 2 3,083 2,213,879 24 No new openers being tracked, drops were mostly average except for the better holds for the Oscar films, with an expansion and big percent jump for Spotlight, though it still won't make much money in the end. Deadpool should be the first $2M film of 2016 next weekend and will eventually become the biggest superhero film since TASM in 2012. Next weekend is another calm weekend with just zoolander 2 being tracked, but after the big stuff will come quickly. in two weeks we get KFP3 and a week after that Zootopia and BVS opening on the same day. Edited March 15, 2016 by Tower Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted March 15, 2016 Author Share Posted March 15, 2016 March 10-13: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Deadpool 99,248 2,070,541 -37% 5 The Brothers Grimsby 56,580 380,277 -39% 3 Zoolander 2 44,861 44,861 1 Brooklyn 38,508 615,800 -20% 6 The Revenant 36,432 1,722,718 -32% 8 How To Be Single 34,564 530,735 -29% 5 Ride Along 2 30,345 971,867 -25% 8 Spotlight 25,541 329,944 -20% 8 Hail, Caesar! 21,978 302,106 -47% 4 Capture The Flag 18,339 1,072,026 -28% 15 Hotel Transylvania 2 2,037 2,216,082 -34% 25 Zoolander 2 flops as expected, Deadpool has now passed Avengers: AOU, and is close to passing IM3. Grimsby, while bad for a Sacha Baron Cohen film, is still doing much better than Domestic. Next week finally brings in a new blockbuster with the opening of KFP3. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted March 22, 2016 Author Share Posted March 22, 2016 March 17-20: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release Kung Fu Panda 3 250,091 250,091 1 Deadpool 76,887 2,199,391 -23% 6 The Brothers Grimsby 37,520 432,737 -34% 4 Brooklyn 27,091 682,567 -30% 7 How To Be Single 26,719 582,847 -23% 6 The Revenant 24,978 1,766,569 -31% 9 Zoolander 2 23,542 70,402 -48% 2 Ride Along 2 19,996 1,002,323 -34% 9 Spotlight 18,259 362,264 -29% 9 Hail, Caesar! 15,368 334,822 -30% 5 Hotel Transylvania 2 495 2,216,969 -76% 26 Kung Fu Panda 3 opens significantly below the the second film, but it is also releasing at a different time so it's not really comparable. Maybe more comparable is Rio that had a similar opening before passover (but holidays don't really align either). KFP3 is a second sequel and has Zootopia and and BVS opening on Wednesday and doesn't seem to have very good WOM, so It's legs could suffer. I don't think it ends with much more than 2M, which would be a significant drop from the last two that both made about 3M Deadpool has a good hold and has now passed IM3, will be interesting to see how it holds in the face of BVS to see how far it can still go. Next weekend should be huge with BVS and Zootopia opening on Wednesday in time for the Purim Holiday (Wednesday-Friday). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted March 29, 2016 Author Share Posted March 29, 2016 March 24-27: Film Weekend Gross Total gross drop weeks in release BVS 1,076,566 1,076,566 1 Zootopia 558,877 558,877 1 Kung Fu Panda 3 390,965 738,886 +56% 2 Deadpool 49,214 2,277,150 -36% 7 Brooklyn 29,418 740,569 +9% 8 The Brothers Grimsby 19,053 462,045 -49% 5 Spotlight 17,746 391,254 -3% 10 Ride Along 2 14,334 1,024,538 -28% 10 The Revenant 12,196 1,795,146 -51% 10 How To Be Single 10,254 608,143 -62% 7 Massive Purim holiday Weekend. BVS beats AOU by 41% to easily set a new superhero opening weekend record. it also just barely edges out SW opening for the new fourth place amongst all openers. Even with really bad legs like MOS had it would still become at least number 3 amongst all superhero films and would mean the top 3 would all include Batman in them. even with mediocre legs It would still become the biggest superhero film. Zootopia also has a fine opening, and is well ahead of all the previous WDAS films. this opening puts it in the middle between last years animated openers Inside Out (423K OW, 4.9M total) and Minions (616K OW, 5.57 total). Those films didn't have an inflated OW and long summer legs, so Zootopia shouldn't match those films, but if it takes advantage of the Passover holiday (the most important holiday of the year) in three weeks then it should still get big blockbuster numbers. KFP3 uses the holiday to get a 56% increase from its OW, but this should be the high water mark, and unless it has a great passover holiday still expect a total around 2M. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heat Vision Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 That Gal Gadot effect? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted March 29, 2016 Author Share Posted March 29, 2016 9 hours ago, Heat Vision said: That Gal Gadot effect? That is definitely an important part of the opening, I was seeing a lot of stuff about her lately because of this film. Batman was already popular but this film opened way more than those. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jj99 Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Yess Gal. Wonder Wonder will kill it next year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 (edited) I made lists from BOM of all the $1M+ films for each year. 2009: Rank Film gross ($M) 1 Avatar 13.098 2 Up 3.599 3 Ice Age 3 3.518 4 2012 2.676 5 Inglorious Basterds 2.256 6 Harry Potter 6 2.148 7 The Hangover 1.737 8 Fast And Furious 1.564 9 Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs 1.529 10 Monsters Vs. Aliens 1.498 11 The Proposal 1.242 12 Angels & Demons 1.148 13 G-Force 1.07 Edited April 1, 2016 by Tower Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 2010: Rank Film gross ($M) 1 Alice In Wonderland 4.928 2 Shrek 4 4.517 3 Toy Story 3 4.424 4 Inception 3.67 5 Harry Potter 7 2.458 6 Tangled 2.401 7 Despicable Me 1.704 8 Prince Of Persia 1.522 9 Eat Pray Love 1.467 10 Megamind 1.34 11 The Princess And The Frog 1.333 12 Sex And The City 2 1.271 13 Due Date 1.27 14 The Social Network 1.257 15 Shutter Island 1.23 16 Salt 1.19 17 Sherlock Holmes 1.179 18 The Town 1.174 19 Robin Hood 1.144 20 It's Complicated 1.081 21 Grown Ups 1.005 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 2011: Rank Film gross ($M) 1 The Smurfs 6.473 2 Harry Potter 8 3.35 3 The Hangover 2 3.168 4 Pirates Of The Caribbean 4 3.094 5 Kung Fu Panda 2 2.995 6 Fast 5 2.955 7 Rio 2.686 8 Mission Impossible 4 2.15 9 Puss In Boots 2.031 10 Just Go With It 1.729 11 Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes 1.593 12 Black Swan 1.554 13 Cars 2 1.543 14 Johnny English Reborn 1.514 15 Transformers 3 1.494 16 Bridesmaids 1.463 17 The Tourist 1.456 18 Horrible Bosses 1.36 19 Tower Heist 1.253 20 No Strings Attached 1.133 21 Happy Feet 2 1.095 22 X-Men: First Class 1.049 23 The Muppets 1.04 24 Jack And Jill 1.002 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 2012: Rank Film gross ($M) 1 Skyfall 4.819 2 Madagascar 3 4.513 3 Ice Age 4 3.465 4 Ted 3.386 5 The Dark Knight Rises 2.712 6 The Hobbit 2.627 7 Taken 2 2.493 8 The Avengers 2.45 9 The Dictator 2.39 10 The Amazing Spiderman 2.351 11 Wreck-It Ralph 1.746 12 Brave 1.736 13 MIB 3 1.678 14 Life Of Pi 1.633 15 American Reunion 1.456 16 Arbitrage 1.4 17 Rise Of The Guardians 1.385 18 The Lorax 1.304 19 The Descendants 1.292 20 Hotel Transyvania 1.279 21 21 Jump Street 1.069 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 2013: Rank Film gross ($M) 1 The Smurfs 2 4.944 2 Fast & Furious 6 4.634 3 Hunger Games 2 3.74 4 Despicable Me 2 2.996 5 Argo 2.868 6 We're The Millers 2.78 7 Gravity 2.62 8 Frozen 2.338 9 Grown Ups 2 2.298 10 The Croods 2.223 11 Django Unchained 2.183 12 Monsters University 2.171 13 Iron Man 2 2.152 14 The Hobbit 2 2.062 15 Turbo 1.697 16 Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs 2 1.688 17 The Hangover 3 1.581 18 Oz The Great And Powerful 1.368 19 Man Of Steel 1.216 20 Planes 1.191 21 Thor 2 1.15 22 The Wolverine 1.016 23 Captain Phillips 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 2014: Rank Film gross ($M) 1 How To Train Your Dragon 2 2.473 2 22 Jump Street 2.412 3 The Hunger Games 3 2.41 4 Let's Be Cops 2.16 5 Rio 2 2.105 6 Noah 2.09 7 Guardians Of The Galaxy 1.901 8 Penguins Of Madagascar 1.887 9 The Hobbit 3 1.887 10 Blended 1.872 11 Gone Girl 1.851 12 Big Hero 6 1.838 13 Maleficent 1.782 14 X-Men: Days Of Future Past 1.657 15 Exodus 1.629 16 The Amazing Spiderman 2 1.606 17 The Maze Runner 1.465 18 300: ROAE 1.445 19 Neighbours 1.434 20 Lucy 1.421 21 Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes 1.401 22 The Lego Movie 1.371 23 Captain America 2 1.224 24 Horrible Bosses 2 1.17 25 Mr. Peabody & Sherman 1.152 26 Planes 2 1.15 27 Hercules 1.111 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...