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firedeep

China Box Office: General Discussion Thread

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Olive    23,510

Tuesday estimates
Our Times: 18.8M/146M
Transporter Refueled:10.4M/91.2M

Spectre: 8.15M/511M
Mockingjay - Part 2:8.1M/119M

The Martian: 4.1M midnights

 

Another dreadful drop for Katniss.

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TigerPaw    405
9 minutes ago, firedeep said:

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Could be released later IMO. Purposely making it end on CNY, so the local movies can earn I guess. If it comes out Mid or End January, it will gross more. 

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firedeep    6,583

Why would Martian need to do 100m OD ....... even 60m OD would be good. 100m+ OD this time of year on Wed = 1B pretty much locked, given normal legs.

 

Interstellar (2014.11.12) 35m OD, 754m total. For TM, even 60m OD should eye on 700m.

Edited by firedeep

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firedeep    6,583
9 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

 If it comes out Mid or End January, it will gross more. 

Nope, it would be a disaster for SW7 if it was opened in end Jan. CNY movies would kill it on 2.8. So the earlier the better. 1.8 is better than 1.9, 1.9 is better than 1.10, 1.10 better than 1.11 ...

Edited by firedeep
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POTUS    4,358
40 minutes ago, firedeep said:

Why would Martian need to do 100m OD ....... even 60m OD would be good. 100m+ OD this time of year on Wed = 1B pretty much locked, given normal legs.

 

Interstellar (2014.11.12) 35m OD, 754m total. For TM, even 60m OD should eye on 700m.

60-70m is what its shaping up to be, but with HLWD legs lately 700m+ could be tough.

MI5 did 107m on a Monday and did 855m

TM may not hold like IS. That had great legs for a "lack of action" movie

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firedeep    6,583
18 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

60-70m is what its shaping up to be, but with HLWD legs lately 700m+ could be tough.

MI5 did 107m on a Monday and did 855m

TM may not hold like IS. That had great legs for a "lack of action" movie

You know there is big room between the legs of IS (great WOM, 35m/754m) and MI5 (108m/855m, weak WOM) ... also, Sep is different to Nov. TM legs should fall somewhere inbetween.

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Olive    23,510

Wednesday estimates

The Martian: 53.3M/57M

Our Times: 15.6M/161M
Transporter Refueled:5.1M/96.4M

Spectre: 3.7M/515M
Mockingjay - Part 2:3.45M/123M

 

The Martian OD is not as big as I expected,WOM is great, HOpe it can leg it  to 700M yuan.

Great hoLd for OT,  Martian opening nearly had no effect.

Spectre won't hit 550M, Katniss can kiss goodbye to 150M.

 

Edited by The Good Olive
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firedeep    6,583

this years movies legs overall have been terrible  !! worst year ever.

Edited by firedeep

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TigerPaw    405
15 hours ago, firedeep said:

Peng You Quan ...

从朋友的信息, is Skiptrace confirmed to be on CNY? And Mermaid confirmed to be out of CNY?

 

Anyway the competiton in December is crazy, while Ip Man 3 is shaking grounds almost everywhere with its trailer, IMDB top 49 now in terms of popularity, highest for an Asian Movie, there seems to be 0 publicity of Ip Man 3 in China.

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firedeep    6,583
27 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

从朋友的信息, is Skiptrace confirmed to be on CNY? And Mermaid confirmed to be out of CNY?

 

Anyway the competiton in December is crazy, while Ip Man 3 is shaking grounds almost everywhere with its trailer, IMDB top 49 now in terms of popularity, highest for an Asian Movie, there seems to be 0 publicity of Ip Man 3 in China.

Both moves are confirmed.

 

12.31 is not a good window for IM3 but they chose to stick on it. Shi Jianxiang, the buyer of Expendables 4, his Dayinmu Film (aka Lanteam) is handling the action sequel.

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TigerPaw    405
5 hours ago, firedeep said:

Both moves are confirmed.

 

12.31 is not a good window for IM3 but they chose to stick on it. Shi Jianxiang, the buyer of Expendables 4, his Dayinmu Film (aka Lanteam) is handling the action sequel.

 

i guess because CTHD2 is coming out on CNY, so they don't want 2 Donnie Yen movies to clash. Shi JianXiang is good at talking but 0 action. How is Da Yin Mu as a distributor? Can Ip Man 3 even get 20% of the no of screens in China in its opening day?

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