Juby

$1B is dead. TFA will finish with around $930-940 mln DOM.

TFA under $40 mln in it's fourth weekend! Big drop. I hope Revenant will win!

$940 mln DOM + $1,020 mln OS + $210 mln China = $2,170 mln WW Beating Titanic still ins't locked!

Yes, but av. ticket price were diffrent in each year. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/about/adjuster.htm

GONE WITH THE WIND (Budget $3.977 mln) ......... /ADJUSTED FOR INFLATION/ (ATP $8.34, Dec. 2015) 1939 .......... $20,000,000 ...................................... /$695 mln/ 1941 .......... $11,000,000 ........... $31,000,000 ..... /$366.96 mln/ 1942 .......... $4,000,000 ............. $35,000,000 ..... /$123.56 mln/ 1947 .......... $??? 1954 .......... $??? 1961 .......... $??? 1967 .......... $??? 1974 .......... $??? ............ $189,523,031 1989 .......... $2,403,316 ............ $191,926,347 .... /$5.05 mln/ 1998 .......... $6,750,112 ............ $198,676,459 .... /$12 mln/ ALL ........... $198,676,459 .................................... /$??/ Over $1.2 mld DOM adjusted only from 6 of 10 releases! Mojo has wrong data, adjusted number for Gone with the Wind should be more than $1.7 mld, and today average ticket price is $8,61 not $8,34 when I calculate this!

Mine to. Next to BvS. Matt looks grat. I want trailer!

$850 mln DOM? After this weekend i will say $900 mln is locked! DOM - $900 mln +OS - $1.2 mld =WW - $2,1 mld

Thanks for answer. So, $850-900 mln from current markets + $150-200 mln from China = $1-1,1 mld OS?

How far this can go OS? $900 mln in current markets (locked?) +$300 mln China = over $1,2 mld OS? Less / More ??

With $247 mln OW it needs only Jurasshit World legs to beat Avatar!

It will finish with $215-235 mln OW.

I was wrong. Star Wars (1977) original run wasn't precisely $220 mln. According to IMDb the movie had $234,629,663 on July 23rd 1978. 21-23 July weekend (1st re-release opening weekend) was $10,166,336, so SW original run (till July 20th 1978) was $224,463,327. About $200-201 mln were from 1977, the rest from January 1st - July 20th 1978. Average ticket price in 1997 was $2.23, in 1978 - $2.34. It means that original Star Wars theatrical run adjusted is between $835-840 mln, and TFA cannot exceed this numbers, no chance! STAR WARS THEATRICAL RUNS (forget about shitty mojo numbers) 1977 - $224,463,327 ($839.46 mln adjusted) 1978 (1st re-release) - $33,908,317 ($120.82 mln adjusted) 1979 (2nd re-release) - $10,345,657 ($34.38 mln adjusted) 1981 (3rd re-release) - $38,546,556 ($115.64 adjusted) 1982 (4th re-release) - $15,476,285 ($43.9 mln adjusted) 1997 (Special Edition) - $138,257,865 ($251.22 mln adjusted) all = $460,998,007 ($1,405.42 mln adjusted - 2nd of all time!) boxoffice.com weekend forecast - $229 mln OW! http://pro.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2015-12-weekend-forecast-star-wars-the-force-awakens-alvin-and-the-chipmunks-the-road-chip-sisters

Great news! I've never saw T2 on a big screen (it's my favourite movie of all time!), and 3D re-release means new blu-ray transfer (current blu-ray transfers are pretty bad = just old HD DVD transfers + DNR in Skynet Edition). I hope for new look of the movie like Cameron did with The Terminator, Aliens and Titanic (better contrast, new color-timing, much more details). I think $630 mln WW is in the game. About $35 mln DOM + $60-65 mln China + more than $10 mln from the rest of markets. It might finish under $600M of course, but it also might go much higher thanks to China.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/terminator-2-3d-release-set-849272 How big this can be in China? $50 mln? $100 mln? $150 mln? T2 was the first (or second, dependent on source) movie in history with over $300 mln OS, but never was released in China! Titanic made there $145 mln in 3D version, Terminator: Genisys $112,8 mln! I think +$100 mln is possible. $30-35 mln DOM + $10-15 mln rest of the markets. I'm so excited!!

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-preview-star-wars-848331 +4100 theaters in December!!

As I said, the very first Star Wars original run adjusted is only about $820 mln, after that there was 5 more Star Wars movies and none of them, even with the re-releases, got close to that. TFA might go little big higher than TPM* adjusted thanks to 3D and IMAXes, but will not exceed SW'77 original run. *TPM had pretty good reviews and WOM (great legs). It was the most anticipated movie of all time, remember that!

I change my predictions: OW: $219,8 mln DOM: 776 mln (OW x3,53) +OS: $1230 mln =WW: $2.006 bln

Nope! Jaws were re-relesed in 1979 ($26,860,259 according to IMDb). In 1975 Spielberg's hit made $191,741,308 (according to IMDb), so: $260 mln (all) minus $191,74 mln (1975), minus $26,86 mln (1979) = $41,4 mln in 1976! $191,74 mln + $41,4 mln = about $233,14 mln in film's first theatrical run. It's $942,3 mln adjusted ($1,031.5 mln all - still less than Titanic did in 1997-1998)! I've done my research, and as I said, only two films would cross $1 billion domestically with today's ticket prices in their first theatrical run (Titanic and E.T.)!

I repeat. Only 2 movies in the history crossed one billion in domestic box office (adjusted) in their first theatrical releases! Titanic (1997) - $1,072.7 mln, and E.T. (1982) - $1,010.6 mln (according to my calculation). TFA won't be THAT big!! I think Avatar adjusted ($811,1 mln) is a huge challenge. First Star Wars original run ($220 mln before July 1978 re-release) adjusted is 'only' about $820 mln (biggest in the history of the series). I'm afraid that even with 3D and IMAX TFA won't beat that.

I remind you that only 2 movies in the history crossed one billion in domestic box office (adjusted) in their first theatrical releases!! 1. Titanic (1997) - $1,072.7 mln 2. E.T. (1982) - $1,010.6 mln ^ According to my calculation. TFA won't be THAT big!! I think Avatar adjusted ($811,1 mln) is a challenge. First Star Wars original run ($220 mln before July 1978 re-release) adjusted is 'only' about $820 mln (biggest in the history of the series). I'm afraid that even with 3D and IMAX TFA won't beat that!

Yes. The Force is strong in this one.

Today, I say it's not missing $700 mln! I think TPM adjusted ($707,45 mln) is the minimum.

First change - 27th November Second change - yesterday

First Long Range Forecast for TFA was - 215/762, two weekend ago it was 220/780, now is 223/790 (OW is alway DOM's 28,2%).

boxoffice.com new long range forecast Star Wars: The Force Awakens Dec 18, 2015 Disney $223,000,000 $790,000,000