Juby
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Posts posted by Juby
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The Polish distributor confirmed today that the official Polish title will be Avatar: Istota wody - which means the official title of the film in fact IS Avatar: The Way of Water. You can change the name of this topic.
Shame. I don't like "Title: subtitle" kind of titles in films.
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1 hour ago, interiorgatordecorator said:
Where do you have it ending up? 1 was at 283 by january 1
It depends on how great the movie is going to be. If it's great (as all previous Cameron sequels) I think it might have a shot to beat TFA as #1 all-time domestic. Worst case scenario - $625m.
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$13.4m to $400 million. I hope HBO Max premiere won't ruin that goal.
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My updated counter-predictions for the-numbers list (after Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse delay)
Avatar 2 $500m (Dec 16th - Jan 1st)
Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness $450m (+40m)
Thor: Love and Thunder $410m
The Batman $375m (-15m)
Jurassic World: Dominion $340m
Lightyear $320m
Top Gun: Maverick $210m
Minions: The Rise of Gru $210m
I don't see any other +200m films in 2022. Sonic 2 won't do it, Black Adam and the second Shazam! have very small chances, and Wakanda won't be released in 2022 Imo.
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Officials:
INTERNATIONAL (51.2%)
$377,200,000Only $22.8m left to $400m mark. If Easter weekend helps and if HBO Max premiere / 1080p copy everywhere won't hurt the film much, I think The Batman will be over $400m OS when it's all done.
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$790 million ($190m from China)
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HBO Max premiere on April 18th confirmed (at least in Europe).
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18 hours ago, BruiseCruise said:
Is 380m now out of the question for Batman?
It depends on this and the next weekend. So far, The Batman is still ahead of Revenge of the Sith ($380.27m) at the same time.
But RotS had the advantage with better week days in July / August. With good holds in April, Batman could still be on track to crack the $380m mark. With his current condition, he probably won't beat The Return of the King ($378.25m).
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5/6/2022 Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness $165,000,000 – $205,000,000 NEW $400,000,000 – $535,000,000 -
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5/6/2022 Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness $165,000,000 – $205,000,000 NEW $400,000,000 – $535,000,000 -
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22 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:
FFH more sensible to use like low 140 probably, so less than +100
If FFH OW would have been $140m or more, than NWH increase was smaller than Civil War's. That means if the second Strange will open over $161 million than it will be a record breaking increase for MCU sequel.
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The biggest OW increases in MCU so far:
The Avengers = 161.9% of Iron Man 2 opening
Captain America: Civil War = 188.5% of The Winter Soldier opening
No Way Home = 281% of Far From Home (Friday-Sunday weekend)
First Doctor Strange ow is $85.06m. With Civil War's increase, Multiverse of Madness will open over $160m. With NWH $239m.
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It's never accurate. It's basing only on average ticket price for all movies the whole year, but The Batman atp is much higher than Encanto atp for sure, because of kids/family discounts. I rememebr Ray Subers article about that on old Mojo, Toy Story 2 admission was bigger than Toy Story 3 even if adjusted domestic gross on their site says otherwise (TS3 had 3D and IMAXes).
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16 hours ago, BruiseCruise said:
No chance to top Batman Forever admission. The Batman has the advantage of 3D, IMAXes, ScreenX, 4DX, etc, Average ticket price for the film's opening weekend was close to $12.90, ATP in 2021 was $9.56 (probably is higher now) and in 1995 Forever was only released in traditional theaters with ATP $4.35 (maybe higher during OW). Today, Batman Forever would have grossed $440-450 million and if not 2 re-issues of Toy Story in 1996, it would have remained as the biggest hit of 1995. The Batman won't be in 2022 Top3.
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Officials:
DOMESTIC (49.1%)
$349,203,396With GotG2 and Deadpool legs from now on, The Batman will finish with around $383-384m domestic (that's an optimistic scenario - it needs better drops in the next few weekends to do so, not in -44/47% range). OS should be over $390m.
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Another big drop this weekend (-46.4%). I don't see any chances for $800m worldwide anymore, even No Time to Die final numbers seems a very hard target at this point. $760-770m final for The Batman ($375m domestic and a little bit more OS).
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Warner Bros.’ The Batman continues to chug on its way to a final $400M+ endgame stateside. Three other Warner Bros. movies, all DC titles, have clicked past $400M: Dark Knight ($534.9M), Dark Knight Rises ($448.1M) and Wonder Woman ($412.8M).
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Good hold for The Batman. Seems to aiming $11.5m 5th weekend.
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Great essay! Agree 100%!
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10 hours ago, grim22 said:
No streaming date mentioned for The Batman in this ad, just a "Stream after theaters", everything else has a date attached
It's unofficial: They moved The Batman HBO Max premiere to May 22nd (at least in Europe).
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$1.3m for The Batman on Thursday, $338.2m after 4 weeks in release. It needs really great hold this weekend to cross $350m on Sunday. If it won't, even $380m might be dead.
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My final predictions before tickets go on sale:
opening weekend $160.7m
domestic $410-430m
overseas $550m (without China, I don't think it would get green light there)
OS won't be as great as I thought 3 months ago. No China, no Russia, no Ukraine, no Belarus, and covid situation in South Korea. First Strange did around $336m overseas, The Winter Soldier did $339m OS-China two years earlier. Even with similiar jump to Civil War, Strange 2 would get around $564m os, but under today's conditions I would be surprised if Strange makes more than the last Bond (OS-C).
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1 minute ago, Torontofan said:
black panther was a bit weak on the action and cgi front but likely one of the strongest MCU film in themes and story.
I mostly agree (not about the story - it was average on the first Thor level). Unfortunately, Black Panther is an action film full of cgi. 😕
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The Batman | March 4, 2022 | Warner Bros. | Certified Fresh on RT | 7th Most Profitable Movie of 2023
in Box Office Discussion
Posted · Edited by Juby
I think this is the worst HISHE yet. Too long, not funny at all, and the authors should watch the film more focused next time. 1) Batman covered his face before the explosion; 2) Martinez wasn't in The Riddler's apartment when they've found a tucker, he was taking Nashton to Arkham.
HISHE for this film should be so easy. Just show the scene where Batman and Gordon find thumb-drive, and when they see photos of the Mayor with Annika they go to see where those pictures where taken from. They catch The Riddler, the end after 35 minutes of the film.