Juby
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Posts posted by Juby
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15 hours ago, Coneilg93 said:
400M still on the radar?
It depends on how the audience will react on HBO Max premiere. If Warner will drop all theaters for Batman to focus on the new Fantastic Beasts movie and if they would remind everyone about their streaming platform, than chances for $400m are zero. If they don't, and people would still want to go to see The Batman on the big screen, than it might touch $400m after all. But the chances are very small right now. Around $385m is where the film's heading.
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15 hours ago, Saul Goodman said:
Still among 2022 releases according to this, hasn't moved "yet".
No one says Disney will push Thor to 2023. They might push it to November 2022.
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12 hours ago, AnDr3s said:
how much it needs to do more profit than BvS?
I think The Batman probably already have more profit than BvS. With $185-200m production budget vs. $250-300m BvS budget, and smaller P&M costs (BvS was $150-165m - record for WB) Matt Reeves film must be bigger succes for the studio.
Covided China and South Korea, no Russia, Ukraine, Belarus - The Batman could have +$100m more with early February release date.
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The Batman is still around $2.3m behind Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 at te same point, but the Guardians had advantage during the 4th weekend because it was Memmorial Day Weekend (great Sunday and bigger-than-normal Monday). Their fifth weekend wasn't very good (53% drop), I think Batman will handle next weekend(s) much better. It will be over $339m on Thursday and add at least $11 next weekend for +$350m till April 3rd. If not HBO Max premiere on April 19th, I think Batman would catch the Guardians and finish with +$390m domestically, but for now... I'm not so sure. $382-385m for the Bat in total. Overseas should be +400m, so $800m is still in the game. <fingers crossed>
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So, the 4th Joker in 6 years (Leto, Phoenix, Gotham-tv-series, and now this one).
I stopped waiting for the sequel. Terrible, fan-fiction feel scene and bad casting choice.
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On 3/22/2022 at 1:11 AM, KnucklesXXR said:
Not really news or anything but I'm curious HOW it's going to top the first. Especially given the circumstances.
Not so hard to do. Black Panther isn't a very good movie.
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$300.4m OS after the weekend.
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No Ukraine release, no Belarus release, no Russia release. Terrible covid situation in South Korea and China. This Batman really didn't have much luck, did he? Will be lucky to cross $400m OS. Month ago it would have gross maybe +100 million more.
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The Batman once again is underestimated. No way Sunday was smaller than Friday, 3rd weekend will be over $37 million.
After 17 days:
- The Batman +$300.09m
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 $301.39m
- Captain Marvel $320.75m
The Bat has better weekend holds and better 3rd weekend than GotG2 and CM. I think $390m is locked at this point with still good shot for $400m.
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https://deadline.com/2022/03/the-batman-china-box-office-1234981966/
$30.5m in China? Damn, it should be like x3 more.
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The same portal 2 days ago predicted $339m final for The Batman, and now they're predicting the movie will be about $310m this Sunday? Wtf?
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16 hours ago, Hatebox said:
Me too.
SpoilerThe greatness of Batman Begins scene is undeniable. It was just a small tease at the very end of the character that hasn't appeared in any Batman movie in the last 16 years! Now, after Ledger, Leto and Phoenix there are more movie interpretations of the Joker than Batman himself! No one, and I mean NO ONE wanted another Joker, not in this film. No one except Warner Bros. who kinda have to...
And the scene itself is too long, bad written and overacted. Very fan-fiction feel.
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2 hours ago, DAJK said:
Why would Thor be delayed?
Because there's no trailer (or even one promotional photo) released yet and the third re-shoots are underway. And because Disney won't finish BP2 for this November. They'll move Thor for Nov 4th or nov 11th and start marketing with Strange, mark my words.
My current counter-predictions for the-numbers list:
Jurassic World: Dominion $340m
The Batman $390m
Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness $410m
Thor: Love and Thunder $410m
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever(probably Feb 2023)Lightyear $320m
Minions: The Rise of Gru $210m
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse $270m
Avatar 2 $500m (Dec 16th - Jan 1st)
Top Gun: Maverick $210m
I don't see any other +$200m in 2022, but Morbius, Sonic 2, Black Adam and Shazam! 2 might surprise me.
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Predicting $339m for The Batman at the moment is ridiculous. The movie will be around $300m this Sunday, and $340m by the end of March. Even funnier thing is that he's predicted only $200m for The Batman before its release (that's why Batman wasn't included in previous 2022 forecasts on the list with +$230m domestic grossers).
I don't feel the hype for another Jurassic film, but without Black Adam this summer and after delaying Thor (which I believe is a matter of days) I think +500m isn't impossible after all.
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It's still hard to say. If the 3rd weekend ends up over $35 million (which I believe it will) and The Batman domestic gross will be over $301.4m (very probable) after 17 days, than he'll be ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (= $389.8m DOM) with better holds during week days and weekends. So +$390m seems locked at this point, but we can't be sure how much HBO Max premiere will effect on film's legs.
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On 2/18/2022 at 10:54 AM, Juby said:
For me:
1. Batman Begins
2. The Dark Knight
3. Batman (1989)
4. Batman Returns
5. Batman: Mask of the Phantasm
6. The Dark Knight Rises
7. The LEGO Batman Movie
8. Batman Forever
9. Batman & Robin
10. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (Ultimate Edition is better version of this sh**y film)
11. Batman: The Movie (1966) - I'm not a fan of this camp version although I love Adam West as Batman
The best SH films are Begins, TDK and Infinity War.
I need to re-watch Matt Reeves' film (probably two times, one with director's commentary), but for now :
1. Batman Begins (still the best)
2. The Dark Knight
3. Batman (1989)
4. Batman Returns / The Batman
. . .
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Amazing hold! The Batman 2nd weekend is bigger than every opening weekend of all previous Batman films. It will beat TDK on Monday.
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Current trajectory for The Batman is $380-410m. I hope HBO Max release won't effect on film's run that much and this new Batman will pass Wonder Woman as the third highest grossig film for WB (right behind two Dark Knight movies).
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Damn, Asia really don't feel Batman + covid will kill $1bn dream. I don't see even $900m ww at this point.
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15 hours ago, KnucklesXXR said:
Looking at 'Black Panther' for inspiration, 'The Batman' 2nd weekend is very close to BP's 3rd weekend. If it follows those drops, we'd be looking at a finish around $435M. I don't expect it to hold quite that well (4x the equivalent weekend). I do think $400M is in the cards though, going 3.5x this weekend and hitting 3x overall. A major win all around.
Batman's 2nd weekend will be very close to Captain Marvel 2nd weekend (+$66m to $68m/-55,7%). CM add almost $162 million to its domestic gross after that. The Batman would finish at $400.5m with another $162m, but I don't think it will do that well. CM had a great boost due to Avengers: Endgame release, while The Batman will drop harder than ever after HBO Max premiere in April, or May 6th when Doctor Strange hits the theaters. $400m would be very, very hard to achieve, but I believe Batman has a good shot to beat last Potter film ($381m).
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9 hours ago, poweranimals said:
Why the heck would they do that?
The third re-shoots are on the way. Zero marketing at this point (with less than 4 months to release date). I think Disney will move it to the previous The Flash release date and BP:WF to 2023.
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Don't be surprise if Disney push Thor to November 4th or 11th release date and move Wakanda Forever to 2023.
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With good legs, i think it might finish over $400m in those markets. Lets hope Japan and Chine will add to that another +100m.
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Can someone change the name of the topic? If The Batman tops It Chapter One OW then it is NOT the biggest WB opening since IT, it is the biggest since Suicide Squad (2016). And how The Batman can be the first +100m non-Disney opener? Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony!) OW was $260m 3 months ago.
Anyway, great domestic opening for The Batman. Shame the rest of the world didn't add that much. Maybe Japan and China will help.
I stopped waiting for the sequel. Terrible, fan-fiction feel scene and bad casting choice.
And the scene itself is too long, bad written and overacted. Very fan-fiction feel.
THE BATMAN OS THREAD - 745M WW so far
in International Box Office
Posted
The Batman is now the biggest Batman film in Poland and 3rd DC film of all time (only behind Joker and Superman III).