JarJarBinks

WB's WED Estimates: The Hobbit 2: $4.875 m (-22.6%) Her: $60,000 (tech. looks like $59,892 given their listed per-location average of $9,982).

If WB sends an early estimate for that before I take off in a bit, I'll mention it on here.

I tend to think the late night TUE gross being such a high percentage of the overall opening day gross (for a midweek opener), could be a sign of more general audiences not being aware of the date change. If $8.0 m is the number, the percentage would be 28.75% as opposed to the more typical 20% - 27% range for midweek openers of this size. But we'll see.

Maybe everyone's at home watching Lone Ranger on Blu-Ray instead of going to the movies... yeah that must be it!!

I don't know in general, but at my local theater here in NorCal there was a 9pm and a midnight showing last night. I don't think there's anything 'wrong' with the late night # for Anchorman 2. I'm personally still higher than the low-ball #s out there for this weekend and still expect it to be the #2 film of December by a comfortable margin, but that late night # also doesn't scream massive break-out to me either (i.e. $200 m+ total). In saying that, obviously extremely early.

Thinking the late release date change is/will prob. have an effect on Anchorman 2 WED/THU. That said, still not crazy about that late night # being closer to This Is the End than Hangover III, when it comes to break-out potential.

Not sure if it has been posted yet, but $6.26 m is WB's Tue estimate for Hobbit 2.

The new American Hustle # is also a revised estimate. Homefront was down just 28.5% on SUN, so def. looking like SAT was deflated by the weather.

Some actuals for smaller films are starting to come in: http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_numbers/actual_estimate/2013-12-16

Yeah, it's a revised estimate from WB this morning. WB's revised weekend estimates are almost always very close to actuals, but usually change slightly with actuals.

This will prob. change slightly with actuals later, but WB's revised estimate this morning is: $73.66 m (so almost no change from yesterday) FRI: $31.135 m SAT: $24.425 m SUN: $18.100 m

For what it's worth, Lionsgate is now saying $16.0 m for A Madea Christmas instead of $16.16 m. The .16 was prob. just a typo on their part.

$690K for American Hustle

Male/Female split was 60/40 as opposed to 57/43 for Hobbit 1.Over 25 was 64%, compared to 58% for Hobbit 1.3D was 49%, same as Hobbit 1.

IMAX% currently at 12.5%, was at 11.9% last time around over OW.

$73.675 M is WB's weekend estimate. FRI: $31.235 M SAT: $24.515 M SUN: $17.925 M

Based on those #s, Frozen and Catching Fire weekends could both be about $1 m lower than I was thinking this morning (and was already factoring in the weather a bit at the time), so looks like there was some overall slowing on SAT to me.

$5.74 m for Madea Christmas $4.1 m for Catching Fire

Yeah.

$31.15 m for Smaug.

$563,000 for Philomena.

1. X-Men: Days of Future Past2. The Wolf of Wall Street3. American Hustle4. The Wind Rises5. Her6. Saving Mr. Banks7. Grudge Match8. Interstellar9. Dumb and Dumber To10. Muppets Most Wanted

9.0 / A-1. The Great Gatsby (Baz Luhrmann)2. No (Pablo Larraín)3. Fruitvale Station (Ryan Coogler)4. Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón)5. From Up on Poppy Hill (Goro Miyazaki)8.5 / B+6. Mud (Jeff Nichols)7. Blue Jasmine (Woody Allen)8. Only God Forgives (Nicolas Winding Refn)9. The Wolverine (James Mangold)10. Oz the Great and Powerful (Sam Raimi)11. Star Trek Into Darkness (J.J. Abrams)8.0 / B12. Upstream Color (Shane Carruth)13. Side Effects (Steven Soderbergh)14. This Is The End (Evan Goldberg/Seth Rogen)15. 42 (Brian Helgeland)16. Out of the Furnace (Scott Cooper)17. The Place Beyond the Pines (Derek Cianfrance)18. Monsters University (Dan Scanlon)19. After Earth (M. Night Shyamalan)20. Pacific Rim (Guillermo del Toro)21. Thor: The Dark World (Alan Taylor)7.5 / B-22. The Lone Ranger (Gore Verbinski)23. Gangster Squad (Ruben Fleischer)24. Kick-Ass 2 (Jeff Wadlow)25. Evil Dead (Fede Alvarez)26. Now You See Me (Louis Leterrier)27. Elysium (Neill Blomkamp)28. Iron Man 3 (Shane Black)29. The Croods (Kirk De Micco/Chris Sanders)30. Oblivion (Joseph Kosinski)7.0 / C+31. Machete Kills (Robert Rodriguez)32. G.I. Joe: Retaliation (Jon M. Chu)33. Riddick (David Twohy)34. Dead Man Down (Niels Arden Oplev)35. John Dies at the End (Don Coscarelli)6.5 / C36. Spring Breakers (Harmony Korine)

1. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug2. X-Men: Days of Future Past3. The Wolf of Wall Street 4. American Hustle 5. The Wind Rises 6. Saving Mr. Banks 7. Her 8. Interstellar9. Dumb and Dumber To10. Grudge Match

$123,340 for Inside Llewyn Davis from 4 locations.