LonePirate

The daily gross for Blockers was corrected in that tweet but the total gross is still inflated by $200K. Not that it really matters as it will be corrected tomorrow. Regardless, the film has already grossed almost twice what I thought it would. I am almost wondering if Universal is thinking about a sequel, although I have no idea how that would be possible.

Tully is the second film in the past couple of months in which its studio is releasing it at the wrong time of the year. Undoubtedly Focus/Universal are banking on Mother's Day to help this film tremendously. However, that is only one day/weekend. Given the reviews for the film, it should have been released in the fall with the raves for Theron's performance and Cody's script being at the forefront of the marketing campaign. It could have played well over several weeks in the autumn/winter. As it stands now, the film will be dead come June. With the low theater count this weekend and probably not a huge (if any) increase next weekend, Tully will probably top out around $25M for a final domestic gross. It could have made double that in the fall. I'll be seeing it this weekend as it is my most anticipated release of May. Hopefully it can find an audience amidst the blockbusters.

I gave the film a 5/10 score in the Review thread because I really disliked the events of the final 1/3 of the film. That being said, I can easily envision viewers enjoying the film if they do not react as negatively to the final third as I did. It definitely is better than Snatched. There are some amusing moments in the film and the characters are likeable, except for the guy playing the brother to Michelle Williams’ character. Speaking of which, Williams is fascinating. Her character and performance alone are enough for me to recommend the film to anyone seeking some light, comedic fare.

PRU’s domestic multiplier is now (a rounded up) 2.10. Compared to Super Troopets 2, it’s not so bad, though.

What do you consider a good comedy? There have been a couple of good ones so far year but there have also been some stinkers as well.

Phantom Thread was definitely not a good fit for your theater but I, Tonya should have drawn some eyeballs - familiar subject matter with comedy and caper elements to go along with some Oscar buzz. It was one of the better awards movies from last year. The fur coat scene alone was worth the price of admission.

Is that Blockers number a typo? $488K on Monday would be just -37% from Sunday and -7% from a week ago Monday.

That is exceptionally short-sighted of you. Every genre waxes and wanes. Westerns were once king in Hollywood. Now look at them. Rom coms were everywhere 10-20 years ago. Now look at them. Superhero stories will fall out of favor someday as well. Just give it time.

It's still three weekends away. If someone wants to see the film on opening weekend, do you think they are going to turn down an IMAX screen that is not sold out if all non-Imax screens are sold out? There will certainly be more people wanting to see DP2 on any screen that weekend than people wanting to see AIW only on an IMAX screen.

I attend double features quite regularly, especially when two or more films I want to see open on the same weekend. I caught one this past weekend although I did walk over to a neighboring restaurant for a meal between the two movies due to their start times.

It's a good thing both of you do not manage a theater (presumably) as that is simply a poor business decision. A very rosy, almost best case scenario for AIW's 4th weekend would be in the $40M-$50M range. DP2 should gross at least $120M-$150M that weekend. DP2 will sell far more seats in an IMAX theater that weekend than AIW will. Sure maybe the 7:00 PM Friday night and Saturday night shows could sell out for AIW; but other showings, especially the first couple of showings and the last show of the night will sell far more tickets for DP2 than AIW.

Ticket prices on the coasts are almost double what they are in the midwest. It's very difficult for even a city like Houston to crack the top 20, let alone a much smaller market like OKC. Heck, Chicago is not even present in Rth's list. Here is tonight's 7:00 PM RPX showing at the Irvine (CA) Spectrum with almost two hours until showtime. Each of these seats sells for $19.70. There is no doubt this screen was sold out all weekend and it probably played 6+ times a day on this screen. It's also playing on several other screens at this cineplex. This is how the cineplexes in the LA and NYC areas rack up such massive grosses.

Here is a post I can appreciate. Effort was put forth to collect some numbers and crunch them to derive a result to frame an opinion. The absolute best thing working in AIW's favor is the complete lack of competition for the next two weekends. It will be able to maintain a very high percentage of its screens in its third weekend and it will be the #1 alternative for moviegoers confronting Deadpool sellouts during its fourth weekend. It won't lose a huge chunk of theaters until Solo arrives and theaters are still obligated to run Deadpool for another week. I may think the movie is mediocre and wildly overrated on these forums; but there is nothing standing in its way from a likely final gross of at least $750-800M, if not more. I don't think it will come close to $900M; but barring some front loaded behavior which so far has been unnoticeable, a 3x multiplier seems to be in the bag.

You're seriously not trying to pass off website user ratings as a legitimate tool to assess a film's quality or box office performance, are you? We all know the reason for that RT difference is the same reason as why IMDB shows AIW as having a user rating of 9.0 and BP having a user rating of 7.7. I am one of the least CBM-friendly people on this site and even I thought BP was a better movie than AIW. Try a little harder next time, please.

So this weekend both BP and AWIT registered their biggest Saturday to Sunday percentage drops of their runs so far despite both having their best weekend holds to date. Yeah, nothing fishy about those numbers at all.

Those weekend drops for Blockers and (especially) Truth or Dare could have been much worse. Both of them dropping less than 60% is pretty amazing actually. They obviously received some spillover business.

Release a film that can make TFA’s PTA with AIW’s theater count and presto: new OW record!

I don’t know how anyone could call Iron Man the most popular Avenger if they saw the same AIW movie that I did this weekend.

That somewhat suggests it is playing like a family film.

I continue to be puzzled by the Overboard marketing given how Faris is the star of a hit TV show in the US and is seemingly the star of this movie. She is certainly more well known than Derbez is to most US audiences. I have no idea if the film is any good but the marketing is very weird. It’s hard to say for sure if Tully is being dumped as it is being positioned for its best possible release date outside of the awards season. The strong reviews so far make the release date even more puzzling since it could be an awards contender. That being said, it is about the best counter programming possible to the AIW juggernaut. It just may not play in enough theaters to make any impression apart from the tiniest of blips. As for Life of the Party, its trailers have played well in front of A Quiet Place, I Feel Pretty and AIW which have had three different audiences. Yet it faces direct competition from IFP and Tully despite its good release date. Will people be ready for a wide comedy in two weekends? I have no idea; but the bar is not spectacularly high for it to be the biggest comedy OW of the year.

Do you honestly think Grey’s Anatomy and AIW have a deep, shared audience that would skip GA in favor of a Thursday showing of AIW? You could make a case for TBBT in that regard but it is a huge leap to make the same claim about GA.

I have four Cameron movies on my list but Titanic and Avatar and not among those four. I also have four Michael Mann movies (including my #1) and four Christopher Nolan movies (but no Interstellar or Dunkirk). I don’t think any other director has more than two movies on my list.

I personally do not care much about box office records because they are almost always temporary. Time and inflation come for them all so investment in them is pointless. As for quality, you have a pretty low bar if you think the film is critically acclaimed. It’s a mediocre film (7.5 per critics on RT). It is certainly not worthy of the fangasms that have spewed forth all weekend. If you loved the film, that’s great. Enjoy it however you wish. Just be prepared that some people like myself find it ordinary while others dislike it entirely.

All of this can be said of AIW, especially if you substitute that one AIW subplot involving <insert character name here> for the Canto Bight stuff from TLJ. That fruitless AIW sequence doesn’t work except to consume time during a movie that is already too long.

Here's a Rotten Tomatoes update for AIW. All Critics: 84% 226 Fresh 42 Rotten 7.5/10 Average Rating Top Critics: 74% 35 Fresh 12 Rotten So my 6/10 rating for the film is just a little below the average RT rating.