harry713

Physical, The Morning Show, Severance, Platonic and Silo are all good to great shows. Never got into Ted Lasso. Foundation was ok. See was awful. I can currently justify $10 for Apple more than $16-22 for Netflix.

I hope Tay can make the London premiere to pay respects like Bey did for TET premiere. She has a show Nov 25th so London would be her only Ren premiere opportunity.

I'm actually not surprised. They've been beefing up content for awhile now and it's starting to show. https://www.techradar.com/streaming/sorry-netflix-apple-tv-plus-is-now-the-best-streaming-service-for-original-tv-shows

I don't think it will miss 20m but I do think its OW cap is probably 30m. There's still some mystery surrounding this project that TET didn't have. It's not a straight concert film so if the entire package is well received and fueled by strong WOM I could see it getting more walkups that TET did.

Didn’t see this mentioned here or in the weekend thread oddly enough, but second weekend came in 2.3m higher than estimates (33.2m vs 31m) after a very strong Sunday hold and (I think) a revised Saturday. This weekend should do another 17m or so, plus about 3m thurs. 170m DOM possible.

If I were her I'd wait till the tour ends next Nov to release the film on digital/bluray. It could be released right before the holiday season kicks off. I mean Black Friday follows her final tour date by 5 days...

without

Glad TET will again take the crown this weekend since Cruel Summer is going #1 on next weeks BB Hot100 chart. The headlines Monday will read 'Taylor tops the box office and billboard charts simultaneously'.

Wow that's about 1m more than I expected. I wonder if the suppression of weekdays will factor into the Thurs-Fri jump. I definitely think 30m is the floor now. Somewhere between 30-40m probably.

No, because it's really not a superhero movie, not the Marvel/DC type people are accustomed to (and tired of) anyway.

If she’s just shy of a record-breaking opening that’s all the Swifties need to hear.

Which songs?

I mean if the rest of the weekend does 97.2m they'll probably be pleased with the decision to open early.

But the film is based on the actions of a living, breathing white savior; someone now being investigated for … *checks notes* … sexual misconduct.

Taylor really is everywhere right now.

Comparing tour gross to concert film box office isn't easy, but I'll give it a go. The Ren world tour grossed nearly 600m. Numbers for Eras so-far aren't available, but informed estimates have it ending with roughly 1.5b. So, when all is said and done, Bey's tour will gross about 40% of what Taylor's will. Another factor here is the number of shows. Ren had 56, or 38.4% of Eras 146 shows. It's interesting, in terms of per-show grosses, they should be about identical. Now, this doesn't mean Beyonce could have simply doubled/tripled her shows and had the same demand for her pricy tickets on a larger scale, so we can't assume if they release in the same number of theaters they would haver the same demand there. I actually think somewhere between 35-40% of Eras is a good scale to look at it from. If Eras opens to 125-150m (to be rather conservative at this point) I can see Ren opening anywhere between 45m - 60m, with the potential to open as high as 75m if everything aligns just right. At roughly $25 atp that would "only" be 3m tickets.

Oh wow, just 9m away. They need to re-release/expand the film in SK. 😅

I think she'll surpass that in the opening weekend given the ATP and the insane demand for the concerts, not to mention showings are confined to extended-weekends only which will condense grosses and inflate those days. A 50m total gross would only be about 2m in sales...

MCU average runtime for all films is 2 hrs 12 min. At nearly 30 mins shorter The Marvels does feel notable in comparison.

Paw Patrol should have a great weekend multiplier. I could see 25m happening, which would be about the best outcome I’d expect for it.

And honestly, just topping the first week of the 1989(Stolen Version) would be unreal. Everything after that is just icing on the cake.

I think presales were reported to have topped 800k, and we still have almost a month to go, and I think by release it could be close to 1m in presales. Add 300-400k purchases the week of, and an additional 300k equivalent units from first week streams and I think she could top Midnights at this point. 1.6-1.8m is my guess at this point. 1989 is her biggest era by far so it's going to get the most casual courtesy spins from streamers of all her TV's.

No one is forcing anyone to purchase her products. I'm a fan and I bought one vinyl edition of her upcoming album, even though she released more than half a dozen other versions for fans to collect. I just don't care. And it doesn't make me more or less a fan, I simply do not want to manage owning and organizing all that extra stuff, and I find it to be a personal waste cause I'm not creating some massive display shrine in my home. I went to the tour once, and I'll be seeing the concert film once, on opening night. What might be odd is that Taylor is the only musical artist left/currently who can pull large numbers and create massive success with a physical product, and the various versions definitely help that. It's not odd that she, like all other artists, participate in it.

And an undeniable theatrically financial success. Though I do speculate it may take a couple more half-billion+ earners for Pixar to replenish the well of riches the company had up to 2020.

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