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Rovex

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Everything posted by Rovex

  1. Rovex
    I agree actually the first scene is a bit long and somewhat unnecessary. The point could have been achieved in 2 minutes. Other than that only minor trimming is needed here and there to save maybe 10 minutes.
  2. Rovex
    Wow sucks to be Portugal then..
  3. Rovex
    Busy again tonight here and the audience cheered and clapped at the end. The critics are (not for the first time) wrong. WOM is excellent.
  4. Rovex
    Nothing else managed to beat it, including that little Indy movie.. Avatar..
  5. Rovex
    you have an agenda here, you want this to fail, so you are only see it that way. Not going to mention any markets its doing well in i guess. How about when it breaks the Dec OW record in the US?
  6. Rovex
    Reviews might be effecting the opening, but WOM is good, it will have legs. $1B is still in play. Remember people were disappointed by Avatars opening and it took most of the following week before they realised we were in for something special. This isnt going to do that, but it will have legs.
  7. Rovex
    Im not comparing to ROTK anyway, im comparing to FOTR, even a fairly hefty drop in admission will see it to 900M+ OS.
  8. Rovex
    Here, tonights shows in 2D and 3D are sold out (one screen has 6 seats left, not together in pairs though which hurts chance of selling them). Keep in mind that we only had one cinema showing 2D on 2 screen for ROTK, now we have 2 cinemas showing on 2 (2D/3D) and 3 screens (2D/3D/HFR).
  9. Rovex
    Not a chance. I guess we will just have to wait and see.
  10. Rovex
    I agree, this is virtually trolling right now. The idea its getting 1.7 or 2B is out now, but 'only' 1B is not happening either.
  11. Rovex
    And lets not forget that the top critics, who are furthest away from GA reality, have this lower. Without them its 81%
  12. Rovex
    How can it already have dropped, its only been out for a matter of hours! Its selling very well here, and it will have legs. Everyone is panicking because its not opening to TA levels. Its December.
  13. Rovex
    Major decreases in Europe arent happening.
  14. Rovex
    Way too low, i think you location is blinding you to how popular it will be outside Asia. 600M is a lower split than any other fantasy and specifically LOTR. No way thats going to happen with 3D and expansion..
  15. Rovex
    Asians arent really into olde world euro-fantasy are they? At least not as much as the west.
  16. Rovex
    Its December.. Its the season for legs and yes the DOM December OW record is going down. You are still pinning your hopes on bad WOM, which i just dont think it will get. I have seen it twice.
  17. Rovex
    Its around 75% which is positive and HFR is a minority presentation. Im probably the only person i know that even knows RT exists at all.
  18. Rovex
    With who? The GA hasnt seen it yet and they are paying. Critical reviews are meaningless. Poor reviews didnt stop TPM or the Twilight series getting good bank.
  19. Rovex
    This is the problem you are pitching the DOM too low. Its NOT getting a bad reception because its not out yet. Critics reviews are fairly meaningless, not many people even read them. $300M is simply not going to happen, its going to be a lot more than that.
  20. Rovex
    Its called English irony, possibly to subtle for some of you to grasp i guess.
  21. Rovex
    So what you are saying is that the OS market will contract rather than expand for this over LOTR in terms of DOM/OS split, even though that hasnt happened for other franchises, whatever the quality of the movie.Thats the only way this is making less than 900M.
  22. Rovex
    Perfectly well. 900M is still very much possible. I still think its just in the low end of estimates.
  23. Rovex
    Yes.
  24. Rovex
    I agree about Cruise. I want to hate him, but i just cant.
  25. Rovex
    Yes we will, this will seriously challenge TA OS even at the low end of estimates. TA and its genre is less popular overseas than LOTR relative to DOM gross, by a lot. This is getting 25/75 to 30/70 split, it only needs about 375M DOM to pass TA oversea even with the low end of the split. At 25/75 375M means 1.125B overseas. I think it will fall in the middle at 28/72, which is about right for a non US-centric blockbuster.
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