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Rovex

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Everything posted by Rovex

  1. Rovex
    So what do we think skyfall needs OS to pass the attendance of The Avengers? I realise its almost impossible to calculate, but estimate of $780M?
  2. Rovex
    2016? It will be a forgotten old relic by then, they have to be insane. Lucky to get $80M DOM, even if the games are still around then, if they aren't it will TANK, less than $30M.
  3. Rovex
    We have to remember it is christmas.. Even a December record in many countries would only be 5th or 6th for the year at best. The current December US record is would only be 6th for 2012, even $100M is still only 5th.
  4. Rovex
    I dont think Man of Steel will do that well here. It will do ok, but it wont be near the biggest of the year.
  5. Rovex
    For TH.. At my local cinemas the 2D Thursday showings are 90% full, with Friday and Saturday still only 60%. This isnt unusual though and the bookings are picking up fast. We have more screens than we really need here. They rarely sell out, they didnt for BD2 ,TA or TDKR, even Skyfall had free seats for walk-up trade.3D is still slow in the older, larger cinema, but thats usual. The newer Vue is filling up well now and HFR is picking up slowly to.EDIT:3D at Vue is now at 90%, with only one VIP (premium) seat left on Thursday. Friday is at 75%.3D HFR is at about 50%, but it was way way down. I think the reviews might be putting people off the HFR, but not the movie as a whole.
  6. Rovex
    LOL you are out of your mind if you think that.
  7. Rovex
    Thats because Bloom has such a narrow range. He is ok as an elf, and as himself, thats it. Playing yourself in everything is fine if you have a personality. it didnt do Judy Dench any harm, but Bloom was at his limits playing an elf.
  8. Rovex
    There isnt enough 'like' in the world to cover this..
  9. Rovex
    Well he was trained to do that sort of thing, that's all the explanation I needed. If you want to know how he did it watch Batman Begins..
  10. Rovex
    Its amazing how people pick apart TDKR yet leave TA alone. I mean the entire movie is one massive plot hole after another. That doesnt stop it being entertaining.As for the 7/10 for Skyfall, thats fine, but it means Battleships and BD2 should be under 5.. Under 3 really.Bruce got out of the pit because he's Batman. End of, you need no more explanation than that.
  11. Rovex
    Claiming a movie is 'better' than TDKR is one thing, but giving Battleship 9/10, BD2 9.5/10 and Skyfall 7/10 is a crime against humanity.
  12. Rovex
    Very happy that one of my local multiplexes has just announced its showing in HFR 3D. Its only 300 yards from my house! Its the only one within about 80 miles to do so.
  13. Rovex
    You can try to break it down country to country, but the easiest way is just to check the LOTR splits. It was about 35/65. Given that the international market has expanded a lot more than the US market, its a shorter movie, its gained awareness over the last 10 years and that 3D does better internationally i dont think its unreasonable to expect a 28/72 split this time round, as many movies do. Just feed in your DOM gross of choice.350M = 900m OS400M = 1.028B OS450M = 1.157B OSThis follows the trend of Fantasy generally. Harry Potters split slowly increased toward the OS gross as the years went on, as did LOTR. The only movies that dont do this are the American cultural icons like SW, TA, Batman, Spiderman etc, they are relatively less popular OS.
  14. Rovex
    We've had a real lack of disaster movies this year, a totally wasted opportunity.
  15. Rovex
    I never really understood why that came out in 2009. Wouldnt it have been better to release it in, you know, 2012??
  16. Rovex
    Ok, 'accept it' then..
  17. Rovex
    Let them, its Darwinism, which is pretty ironic really given that most of them are religious nuts and probably dont even believe in it.
  18. Rovex
    He already had his banker for the 2012 awards, Moneyball. Sorry, just dont like the guys style.
  19. Rovex
    Depends if you like his thing or not, i dont. Its just the feeling i get every time i see one of his recent movies.
  20. Rovex
    Problem is all these movies he's doing just end up feeling like he is saying 'Gimme an Oscar.. pleeease.'. Its almost desperation and you can see it in the movies themselves.
  21. Rovex
    So. You said, specifically, that TA2 and SW would cause TH to drop out the list. Dont back-pedal, it makes you look weak.
  22. Rovex
    Not really. Its going to get a 28/72 split give or take a little, thats a bit more OS than ROTK, which is expected given 10 years of international expansion. Feed in the likely DOM figures and you get your answer..
  23. Rovex
    Lets wait and see shall we. The only way it will happen is if for some reason SW and TA break from their usual 40/60 split and there is no reason to suspect they will, even a huge event movie in 2012 couldnt break the pattern. Given that Fantasy always splits nearer 30/70 or even 25/75, TH is going to be right up there for some time.Simple fact is you massively over estimate how much the international market likes Americana. SW and TA is that, TH, Potter, even Avatar are not. Toy Story, very American, low OS gross, Ice Age, nationality neutral, huge (relative to DOM). Your bias isnt allowing you to see the big picture!I just dont see the next Avengers matching the first WW, not by at least $250M and SW has no chance, simply not going to happen.
  24. Rovex
    I see TH landing over DH2 worldwide maybe matching TA, due to a high OS split, I dont see SW7 or TA2 doing that, they dont have the international appeal. TA2 wont get within $100M of TA DOM.
  25. Rovex
    Superhero, SW and comic book movies NEED the US market to be a success. TH and Avatar dont. Look at the splits and you wil see how relatively less successful hero movies are internationally.
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