mahnamahna
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Posts posted by mahnamahna
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3 minutes ago, CJohn said:
So it is gonna be one of those weekends, heh?
Should do solid enough for the second weekend of May (traditionally a weak spot)
- Captain America - Civil War: $77 million ($300 million)
- The Jungle Book: $18.5 million ($312 million)
- Money Monster: $16 million
- Mother's Day: $6 million
- The Darkness: $5 million
Hopefully Nice Guys and Angry Birds overperform next weekend to offset Neighbors 2's $25-35 million OW.
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$435-445 million DOM puts it Deadpool, Zootopia, BvS and Jungle Book by a considerable margin and is a 50%+ increase from Winter Soldier. Plus, Dory and Rogue One might not pass that figure, so it has a chance at #1 for 2016 DOM.
However, I'm thinking Dory and/or Rogue One will finish at least slightly above CW.
Either way, Disney's having a phenomenal year
they' just might have 7 of the top 10 DOM spots for this year (Dory, Rogue One, Civil War, Moana, The Jungle Book, Zootopia, SW7's $284.7 million from 2016; Deadpool, BvS and Pets/SS/Fantastic Beasts taking the other 3 spots)
30 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:MD is only down 32% from last week. A lot of people are severely overestimating how much it's going to drop this weekend.
As the only film targeting women over 30 from now until August/September, it just might leg its way to $50-60 million DOM.
Unlike Valentine's Day, Christmas or Halloween, there's nothing about Mother's Day that makes people immediately discard it after the day passes.
Now, it'll just look like an appealing date night movie.
$7-8 million sounds reasonable for its third weekend.
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Something from La La Land will win, so long as the film gets decent reviews and some Oscar buzz.
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1 minute ago, The Stingray said:
I am ashamed to say that I have only seen one Hitchcock film (Psycho). My pre-1970s "cinematic knowledge" is pretty lousy.
See Vertigo, North by Northwest and Rear Window. Id also recommend The Lady Vanishes and Strangers on a Train.
You can skip The Birds until you've seen every other major film of his
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1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:
Matrix 3 but no original?
There's multiple people with Speed Racer in their top 100, so this isn't the craziest WachioskI-related inclusion
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6 minutes ago, cookie said:
Rouge One has a strong chance of passing BvS's total before the year ends even. It has two more days of December than TFA and even if it only does half the gross it could pass BvS by December 31st.
Disney's DOM for 2016 should surpass $2.5 billion.
Finding Dory: $330 million
Rogue One: $315 million
Captain America - Civil War: $300 million
Moana: $245 million
Doctor Strange: $155 million
Alice Through the Looking Glass: $140 million
Pete's Dragon: $100 million
The BFG: $85 million
The Jungle Book: $55 million
The Light Between Oceans: $40 million
The Queen of Katwe: $15 million
Zootopia: $10 million
Even with these fairly conservative numbers by 12/31/16, Disney would have $2.9 billion for the year.
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9 minutes ago, moviesRus said:
I don't see Apocalypse outgrossing DOFP domestically with such weak buzz and reviews.
After seeing the reviews for Angry Birds/X-Men/Neighbors 2/Alice 2, I'm inclined to revise my May 2016 predicts
- Captain America - Civil War: $480 million
- X-Men - Apocalypse: $190 million
- Alice Through the Looking Glass: $165 million
- The Angry Birds Movie: $110 million
- Neighbors 2: $90 million
- The Nice Guys: $75 million
- Money Monster: $25 million
- The Darkness: $5 million
Hopefully June, July and August have some films that finish between $190-299 million DOM.
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1 hour ago, Lordmandeep said:
I think legs will bebe good.
There is no film seeming to break out and memorial day openers look poor.
1Angry Birds could break out. And X-Men should still do $220-260 million DOM. I do admit that Neighbors 2 and Alice 2 are wild-cards.
40 minutes ago, a2knet said:Wed 9.4
Thu 8.7
Fri/2W 21/77
Way too harsh for Wednesday. 35% drop?
Wed - 10.4
Thurs - 9.8
Fri - 23
Sat - 35
Sun - 24
$82 million 2nd weekend ($308 million)
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1. Toy Story
2. Forrest Gump
3. Toy Story 2
4. It's a Wonderful Life
5. The Dark Knight
6. E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial
7. Aladdin
8. The Muppet Movie
9. Grave of the Fireflies
10. Star Wars Episode IV
11. Jurassic Park
12. Dumbo
13. Back to the Future
14. One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest
15. The Graduate
16. 2001: A Space Odyssey
17. Christmas Vacation
18. Beauty and the Beast
19. The Incredibles
20. The Wizard of Oz
21. Boyz in the Hood
22. The Sound of Music
23. Mr. Smith Goes to Washington
24. Dead Poets Society
25. The Breakfast Club
26. Monty Python and the Holy Grail
27. Rosemary's Baby
28. The Prestige
29. The Elephant Man
30. The Lion King
31. Planet of the Apes (1968)
32. Schindler's List
33. Mary Poppins
34. Star Wars Episode V
35. The LEGO Movie
36. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
37. North by Northwest
38. Roman Holiday
39. Singin' in the Rain
40. Toy Story 3
41. Raiders of the Lost Ark
42. United 93
43. Who Framed Roger Rabbit
44. The Searchers
45. Kiki's Delivery Service
46. Shrek
47. Anchorman (2004)
48. The French Connection
49. Cinema Paradiso
50. Invasion of the Body Snatchers (1956)
51. Saving Private Ryan
52. The Big Lebowski
53. Spirited Away
54. O Brother, Where Art Thou?
55. Spider-Man 2
56. Once
57. Network
58. The Shawshank Redemption
59. Ferris Bueller's Day Off
60. Inside Out
61. Stand by Me
62. Edward Scissorhands
63. The Sandlot
64. Finding Nemo
65. The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring
66. Zootopia
67. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
68. Willy Wonka and the Chocolate Factory
69. The Bourne Ultimatum
70. Ace Ventura: Pet Detective
71. Spaceballs
72. Vertigo
73. Big
74. Rocky
75. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
76. Breakfast at Tiffany's
77. His Girl Friday
78. Memento
79. The Princess Bride
80. Young Frankenstein
81. The Perks of Being a Wallflower
82. Titanic
83. The Goonies
84. Monsters, Inc
85. Liar Liar
86. The Purple Rose of Cairo
87. Airplane!
88. Pinocchio
89. The Avengers (2012)
90. Blazing Saddles
91. Guardians of the Galaxy
92. Amadeus
93. Elf
94. The Day the Earth Stood Still (1951)
95. Blue Velvet
96. An Affair to Remember (1957)
97. Being John Malkovich
98. Hoosiers
99. The Truman Show
100. A Christmas Story
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The most obvious example is Mary Poppins
Regardless of what Travers thought, the film is better in every way. Without Disney's help, almost no one would remember and look fondly upon P.L. Travers' stories.
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19 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:
"Christmas Day" could be huge with just the right schmaltz.
Maybe that's WB's untitled PG-13 comedy for December 2017
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50 minutes ago, cannastop said:
It probably has to do with a certain traditional celebration that happened yesterday.
I can't remember what it was called.
Still, $6.1 million is nearly 75% of its OW. And given its awful reviews, $3.5-4 million Sunday would make far more sense.
I don't expect it to crash next weekend, either. $40 million+ DOM should happen.
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3 hours ago, a2knet said:
Great for TJB. Goes up by 3.3m for just over 25m. ~42% weekend drop.
I'd say Mother's Day had a more impressive increase.... $3.5 million to $6.1 million!
At least JB has critical acclaim and spillover from Civil War going for it... Mother's Day only has the titular holiday.
It might get a 4x-5x without having to do much at all, since I don't think it'll drop much over the next month. As the only option for older women, it could potentially do $45-50 million DOM when all is said and done.
JB rebounded nicely, though. It should do $19-20 million next weekend and stay on track for $340-350 million DOM
Hopefully Zootopia gets a MD boost and gets to $3-3.5 million this weekend.
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$36 million
$118 million
I don't expect big numbers for this, even if reviews are good. It'll have Alice 2 and TMNT 2 taking away family audiences over its second and third weekend. By the time it gets some breathing room, Dory arrives on the scene.
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9 hours ago, lilmac said:
With the 'summer season' barely started, does anyone highly anticipate any of the remaining summer 2016 movies?
Independence Day 2, XMen, Finding Dory, Mutant Turtles 2, Suicide Squad, Bourne, etc. will open big and quite a few will be enjoyable but there don't seem to be any upcoming 4 quadrant behemoths either. Normal blockbusters...which is fine.
Finding Dory is definitely 4-quadrant... its G rating makes it accessible to young kids and if it ends up being an excellent followup, buzz could be through the roof.
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With 6 down, 30 to go:
- Neighbors 2
- The Angry Birds Movie
- X-Men: Apocalypse
- Alice Through the Looking Glass
- TMNT 2
- The Conjuring 2
- Finding Dory
- Central Intelligence
- Independence Day - Resurgence
- The Secret Lives of Pets
- Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates
- Ghostbusters
- Star Trek Beyond
- Jason Bourne
- Suicide Squad
- The Founder
- Sausage Party
- Sully
- The Magnificent Seven
- Storks
- The Birth of a Nation
- The Girl on the Train
- Doctor Strange
- Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk
- Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
- Moana
- Rogue One
- Passengers
- Sing
- Silence
I don't know if 2016 will break the record or not... requires a lot of wild-cards to overperform.
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- Kung Fu Panda 3
- Deadpool
- Zootopia
- Batman vs. Superman
- The Jungle Book
- Captain America - Civil War
- Neighbors 2
- X-Men: Apocalypse
- Alice Through the Looking Glass
- TMNT 2
- The Conjuring 2
- Finding Dory
- Central Intelligence
- Independence Day - Resurgence
- The Secret Lives of Pets
- Star Trek Beyond
- Jason Bourne
- Suicide Squad
- The Magnificent Seven
- Storks
- Doctor Strange
- Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
- Moana
- Rogue One
- possibly Passengers or Sing (depends on how strong Wed/Thurs are)
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9 minutes ago, The Futurist said:
Honestly, I think Rogue One, Passengers and Sing will all thrive off of one another similar to I Am Legend/Alvin/National Treasure 2 in December 2007.
Rogue One - main draw/tentpole for Christmas/New Year's ($400-500 million)
Sing - alternative for families in wake of Rogue One sellouts ($150-200 million)
Passengers - alternative for adults in wake of Rogue One sellouts/crowd-pleasing Oscar contender (winning some technical Oscars) - ($125 million-$275 million)
I do think Assassin's Creed will stumble due to those three looking more appealing options for families and adults alike. Silence will be more of a leggy Oscar contender, so its Christmas/New Year's numbers don't have to be huge.
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2 hours ago, cannastop said:
It's a bit too late to post lists here.
Not really... we've only had 6 $130 million+ grossers thus far.
We have no clue how the majority of this year's top grossers will perform
If it were November, yes, but we're not even half way through 2016 yet.
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Would like to see this for the top 20 (top 10 in bold)
- Finding Dory: $485 million
- Rogue One: $470 million
- Captain America - Civil War: $420 million
- Moana: $375 million
- Deadpool: $360 million
- The Jungle Book: $350 million
- Zootopia: $340 million
- Batman vs. Superman: $330 million
- Suicide Squad: $305 million
- The Secret Lives of Pets: $285 million
- Passengers: $260 million
- Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $245 million
- Doctor Strange: $220 million
- Jason Bourne: $210 million
- Central Intelligence: $205 million
- X-Men - Apocalypse: $185 million
- Independence Day - Resurgence: $180 million
- Star Trek Beyond: $175 million
- Sing: $170 million
- Alice Through the Looking Glass: $155 million
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On 5/6/2016 at 2:15 PM, NCsoft said:
Well that's interesting! I would almost for sure bet on Kingsman 2 increasing from the first one, after the good reactions from audiences and critics.
That's pretty much what I think will happen Pirates 5 as well, maybe fatigue will even finally kick in internationally
1You have to consider all of the action movies scheduled in June:
- Bad Boys 3
- Wonder Woman
- World War Z 2
- The Mummy
- Transformers 5
- Uncharted
With POTC 5 over Memoria Day weekend, and GotG2/Baywatch in early-mid May, the tentpole market is packed to the brim.
I don't see Kingsman 2 increasing with the massive amounts of competition. Kingsman 1 held well partially because it had essentially zero competition until Furious 7.
$110-115 million would be solid considering those 6 are slated for June and POTC 5 will roll over into the first couple weeks of June.
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1 hour ago, CoolioD1 said:
i'm pretty sure i called this as best reviewed video game movie ever a while back btw.
not really a hard call at all
there's never been a truly well-done film based on a video game... Super Mario Bros, Resident Evil, Silent Hill, Mortal Kombat, Prince of Persia - all ranging from awful to mediocre.
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5/13-5/15
1. Captain America - Civil War: $81.5 million ($304 million)
2. The Jungle Book: $20 million ($313 million)
3. Money Monster: $13 million
4. Mother's Day: $6 million ($32 million)
5. The Darkness: $3.5 million
6. The Huntsman Winter's War: $3 million ($45 million)
7. Zootopia: $3 million ($332 million)
8. Keanu: $2 million ($18 million)
9. Barbershop 3: $2 million ($51 million)
10. The Boss: $1.5 million ($61 million)
5/20-5/22
1. Captain America - Civil War: $51 million ($380 million)
2. Neighbors 2: $38.5 million
3. The Angry Birds Movie: $32 million
4. The Nice Guys: $11 million
5. The Jungle Book: $10.5 million ($326 million)
6. Money Monster: $4.5 million ($16 million)
7. Mother's Day: $3.5 million ($37 million)
8. The Huntsman Winter's War: $2 million ($48 million)
9. Zootopia: $1.5 million ($334 million)
10. The Darkness: $1.25 million ($4 million)
5/27-5/30
1. X-Men - Apocalypse: $104.5 million/$130 million
2. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $46 million/$57.5 million
3. Captain America - Civil War: $32.5 million/$40 million ($434 million)
4. The Angry Birds Movie: $24 million/$30 million ($70 million)
5. Neighbors 2: $19 million/$22.5 million ($71 million)
6. The Nice Guys: $9 million/$10.5 million ($28 million)
7. The Jungle Book: $5.5 million/$7 million ($334 million)
8. Money Monster: $3 million/$3.5 million ($21 million)
9. Mother's Day: $2.25 million/$2.75 million ($41 million)
10. Zootopia: $1 million/$1.5 million ($336 million)
6/3-6/5
1. TMNT 2: $42 million
2. X-Men - Apocalypse: $40.5 million ($191 million)
3. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $20.5 million ($89 million)
4. Captain America - Civil War: $15 million ($455 million)
5. Me Before You: $14 million
6. The Angry Birds Movie: $12 million ($86 million)
7. Neighbors 2: $8 million ($84 million)
8. Popstar: $6 million
9. The Nice Guys: $5 million ($34 million)
10. The Jungle Book: $3 million ($338 million)
6/10-6/12
1. The Conjuring 2: $47.5 million
2. Warcraft: $26 million
3. Now You See Me 2: $20.5 million
4. TMNT 2: $18 million ($74 million)
5. X-Men - Apocalypse: $16 million ($218 million)
6. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $10 million ($105 million)
7. Me Before You: $9 million ($28 million)
8. The Angry Birds Movie: $8 million ($98 million)
9. Captain America - Civil War: $7 million ($467 million)
10. Neighbors 2: $4 million ($91 million)
6/17-6/19
1. Finding Dory: $138 million
2. Central Intelligence: $53 million
3. The Conjuring 2: $20.5 million ($84 million)
4. Warcraft: $11 million ($47 million)
5. Now You See Me 2: $9 million ($37 million)
6. TMNT 2: $7.5 million ($87 million)
7. X-Men - Apocalypse: $7 million ($231 million)
8. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $5.5 million ($114 million)
9. Me Before You: $5 million ($36 million)
10. Captain America - Civil War: $4 million ($474 million)
6/24-6/26
1. Finding Dory: $82.5 million ($294 million)
2. Independence Day - Resurgence: $69.5 million
3. Central Intelligence: $31 million ($110 million)
4. The Conjuring 2: $9.5 million ($101 million)
5. Free State of Jones: $5.5 million
6. Warcraft: $4.5 million ($55 million)
7. Now You See Me 2: $4 million ($44 million)
8. TMNT 2: $3.5 million ($93 million)
9. X-Men - Apocalypse: $3 million ($237 million)
10. Me Before You: $3 million ($41 million)
7/1-7/3
1. Finding Dory: $45 million ($381 million)
2. The BFG: $33 million
3. Independence Day - Resurgence: $26 million ($118 million)
4. The Shallows: $20.5 million ($33 million)
5. Central Intelligence: $17 million ($142 million)
6. The Purge - Election Year: $14 million
7. The Legend of Tarzan: $10.5 million
8. The Conjuring 2: $3.5 million ($107 million)
9. Free State of Jones: $3 million ($10 million)
10. Me Before You: $2.5 million ($46 million)
7/8-7/10
1. The Secret Lives of Pets: $68 million
2. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $27 million
3. Finding Dory: $21 million ($422 million)
4. The BFG: $17.5 million ($67 million)
5. Independence Day - Resurgence: $15.5 million ($149 million)
6. The Shallows: $13 million ($58 million)
7. Central Intelligence: $8 million ($157 million)
8. The Purge - Election Year: $6 million ($25 million)
9. The Legend of Tarzan: $4 million ($19 million)
10. The Conjuring 2: $2 million ($111 million)
7/15-7/17
1. The Secret Lives of Pets: $43 million ($152 million)
2. Ghostbusters: $32 million
3. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $16 million ($58 million)
4. Finding Dory: $14 million ($449 million)
5. The BFG: $10.5 million ($87 million)
6. The Shallows: $8.5 million ($74 million)
7. Independence Day - Resurgence: $8 million ($164 million)
8. The Purge - Election Year: $4 million ($32 million)
9. Central Intelligence: $3.5 million ($164 million)
10. The Infiltrator: $3 million
7/22-7/24
1. Star Trek Beyond: $64.5 million
2. Ice Age 5: $30.5 million
3. The Secret Lives of Pets: $20.5 million ($191 million)
4. Ghostbusters: $14 million ($58 million)
5. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $10.5 million ($78 million)
6. Finding Dory: $7 million ($462 million)
7. Lighrs Out: $6 million
7. The BFG: $5 million ($96 million)
8. The Shallows: $4 million ($82 million)
9. Independence Day - Resurgence: $3.5 million ($171 million)
10. Central Intelligence: $2.5 million ($169 million)
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14 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
I don't buy that. I think having two big cbms opening before it plus the combo of ZOOTOPIA and THE JUNGLE BOOK has had an effect. The GA, particularly families, won't spend for a movie every month. This is the first time we've had FOUR 300 M films before the summer season.
The fact that $160-180 million was always the realistic OW number for Captain America 3 might also have an effect.
It's doing exactly what people expected it to do before the hype went through the roof.
People were predicting $120-140 million OW before hype kicked in.
I don't think $450-500 million DOM would be remotely disappointing considering that's a $190 million+ increase over Cap 2's DOM
And unless Dory or Rogue One break out, it'll likely be #1 for 2016.
they' just might have 7 of the top 10 DOM spots for this year (Dory, Rogue One, Civil War, Moana, The Jungle Book, Zootopia, SW7's $284.7 million from 2016; Deadpool, BvS and Pets/SS/Fantastic Beasts taking the other 3 spots)
Best Original Song 2016
in And The Winner Is...
Posted
Because La La Land is more Oscar-friendly (live-action musical, director of Whiplash, Ryan Gosling, etc) than Moana.
It'll likely win Best Comedy/Musical at the GG, while Moana won't even be nominated. Plus, it could get nominated for Best Director, Actor, Actress, Screenplay, Sound Mixing and Editing, while Moana most likely won't
I just see La La Land getting more Oscar love, while Moana enjoys tremendous BO success to help top off Disney's already spectacular 2016.