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Skyscraper might be like taking John Wick and stuffing it with non-action scenarios. If Skyscraper played like Die Hard, it would be more like John Wick. Instead, maybe the scenarios are spread out more like Stealth and Air Force One.

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Jumanji and Rampage were pretty backloaded with the uneven Thursday to Friday jumps for big event action pics. I think the mediocre numbers are from the movie itself when comparing with the openings of Tomb Raider, Maze Runner and Pacific Rim 2. Having Dwayne Johnson in the film I think is just made the movie what it is. The concept/vision is what sells these action movies and the Rampage concept vs Skyscraper concept vs Mission Impossible concept did not seem to favor Skyscraper this time around. If it was made 5 years from now, or 25 years ago, maybe it would be written differently. One word action titles have always had their own world and the large budget in Skyscraper shows the confidence they have in these pictures despite so many flops.

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the ones I've seen before... 1. Happy Gilmore - 97 2. You Don't Mess With the Zohan - 92 3. The Waterboy - 91 4. Billy Madison - 5. Funny People - 87 6. Anger Management - 85 7. Big Daddy - 85 8. Punch Drunk Love - 85 9. The Longest Yard - 82 10. Reign Over Me - 11. Mr. Deeds - 12. 50 First Dates - 13. Click - 14. Spanglish - 15. Hotel Transylvania 3 - 77 16. Blended - 75 17. Pixels - 68 18. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry - 19. Grown Ups - 66 20. Little Nicky - 63

Friday's top 10 made 50 million, so today should see 60 million or more.

not that I can think of.

boxofficeguru does a pretty good job with the write ups in the archives. they don't store their forecast articles, but they usually show OW predictions at the end of the article. Sometimes if something like War/Apes did mediocre with 55m, they will write it as a decent opening etc. at the bottom it will mention 'way off from the overoptimistic prediction of 80m'.

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can't believe Skyscraper did not open above the 40 million Safe House opened with.

Under the Skin was a good small project that she did. NSFW

Cinemascores for major releases. Black Panther - A+ Imagine - A+ Incredibles - A+ Love - A+ 12 Strong - A Avengers - A Deadpool - A Miracle Season - A Paddington - A Sgt. Stubby - A Acrimony - A- Ant-Man - A- Book Club - A- Jurassic World - A- God's Not Dead - A- Hotel Transylvania - A- Overboard - A- Midnight Sun - A- Peter Rabbit - A- Rampage - A- RP1 - A- Solo - A- 50 Shades - B+ AQP - B+ Death Wish - B+ Den of Thieves - B+ Every Day - B+ Game Night - B+ I Feel Pretty - B+ Maze Runner - B+ Oceans Eight - B+ Proud Mary - B+ Sherlock Gnomes - B+ Skyscraper - B+ Super Troopers - B+ Superfly - B+ Tag - B+ Adrift - B Blockers - B Breaking In - B Chappaquiddick - B Commuter - B Early Man - B Life of Party - B Pacific Rim - B Red Sparrow - B Tomb Raider - B Wrinkle in Time - B 15:17 to Paris - B- Bad Samaritan - B- First Purge - B- Hurricane Heist - B- Insidious 4 - B- Truth or Dare - B- Unsane - B- Winchester - B- Action Point - C+ Gringo - C+ Annihilation - C Strangers: Prey - C Hotel Artemis - C- Hereditary - D+ these are unreported: Forever My Girl Isle of Dogs Paul, Apostle Samson Traffik Tully Upgrade

are presales on Mamma Mia 2 suggesting something over 30 million OW?

I bet Skyscraper could get a sequel with half the budget and more action and go direct to video in the U.S., but a light release overseas. Hollow Man 2 did well in that deparment. First one was like a 100 million box office bomb with a big opening weekend for is time, a visual effect nomination. Second one direct to video.

I watched Skyscraper in 3D and it was not that bad...

predicted cinemascores: Hotel Transylvania 3 (A-) Skyscraper (A-)

I thought Skyscraper was pretty good. Most of it actually caught me by surprise. Neve Campbell is in it. Hotel Transylvania 3 was good, but I have not seen the first two. Both movies threw stuff at the screen and it was pretty colorful and entertaining, but I think if you were reviewing them like Ratatouille, maybe the wrong crunch on a piece of something and the review is soiled rotten. Skyscraper - (B-)82% Hotel Transylvania 3 - (C+)77% Look for all these movies to hold well, -25% in the coming weeks up against Mi6 and for Mi6 to tank with 40 OW and spread the wealth among other movies like Incredibles, Ant-Man, and Jurassic World

Ahhh! they cancelled that rub and tug film! I encourage anyone working in the sex industry to fire their bosses and work for themselves.

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what if they just re-release films. like every single movie from a specific year. does a theater holding a picture for a month feed the world to where the pictures would gross maybe an additional 1-50% if lucky?

Skyscraper will benefit from summer weekdays though. Something Jupiter Ascending failed to obtain.

$2,600,000 preview for Hotel 3 w/o the additional 1.2 advanced previews $1,950,000 preview for Skyscraper w/o super sneaks (I think) 2,950 locations from Skyscraper 3,276 from Hotel 3 Thursday @ 5pm + $9.16 avg. ticket price and purchases per location w/ this price. Hotel Transylvania 3 - ($2,600,000) divided amongst 3,276 theaters divided amongst avg. increment value/purchase of $9.16. ($2.6x10^6)(1/3,276 location)(1/9.16 purchase) = 86.6 purchase/location ~ 87 Skyscraper - ($1.95x10^6)/((3,276)(9.16)) = 72 purchases per location 87 purchases - HT3 71 purchases - Sky 4x the per theater average of Hotel 3 from Thursday to Friday would give (87/location)(4)($9.16)(4,267 location) = 13.6. w/ previews being 2.6 + 1.2, that is 17.4 OD. Would need a 19% from true Friday to Saturday to get to 16.2 Saturday. A casual 22.5% drop on Sunday makes 12.6 Sunday, 46.2. I think it will go between 3.5-4x previews, but 50 could be there too. If Skyscraper goes from 71 purchases Thursday to an amazing 210 purchases Friday 2.96x, that would make a full OD of $9.225m including previews. (7.275 minus previews) A 19% increase on Saturday to 250 purchase increments of value/3,762 location makes 8.66m, and 22.5% drop 6.71 Sunday, 24.6 full weekend. Ant-Man flopped on Wednesday and Thursday, so anything could happen.

but will it matter with the first few days? The Lost World kept increasing its first 3 or 4 days, and Pirates (2003) played like Jumanji at the BO too when it opened strong on opening day and maintained. Gone in 60 Seconds went 25/100. Skyscraper could do the same.

Skyscraper looks like it might crawl to 24-25M OW at most with the preview #. That might not stop it from hitting 100 million though. Jumanji opened pretty light too on Wed/Thurs and carried over, so maybe Sat & Sun will hit over 10 million.

huge Thursday drops so far... July 13th (today) is going to need some increases that are double the previous day in order to have good drops. https://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart Daily Domestic Chart for Thursday July 12th, 2018 ← Previous Chart Chart Index Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days - (7) Ocean’s 8 Warner Bros. $530,000 -23% 2,604 $204 $129,349,308 35 - (8) Tag Warner Bros. $310,000 -31% 2,157 $144 $50,043,650 28 - (11) Hereditary A24 $109,979 -34% 744 $148 $42,518,975 35 - (-) Three Identical Strangers Neon $79,989 -8% 51 $1,568 $1,336,774 14 - (-) First Reformed A24 $12,068 +51% 77 $157 $3,356,428 56 - (-) Show Dogs Global Road $12,001 -6% 132 $91 $17,612,660 56 - (-) Hotel Artemis Global Road $1,912 +14% 18 $106 $6,664,559 35