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my upcoming fantasy weekend predictions for the next 4-5 weeks will probably have a scenario drawn where Hereditary goes to 40m.

dollar per theater average % decline from weekend to weekend assuming all estimates are exact (thurs previews removed) Blockers - 0.73 Super Troopers - 0.60 A Wrinkle in Time - 0.89 Isle of Dogs - 0.76 Black Panther - 0.85 I Feel Pretty - 0.72 Show Dogs - 0.98 Action Point - 0.37 A Quiet Place - 0.72 Breaking In - 0.695 Overboard - 0.67 Life of the Party - 0.82 Upgrade ~ 0.50 Book Club - 0.675 Adrift - 0.464 Infinity War - 0.81 Deadpool 2 - 0.64 Solo: Star Wars - 0.52 Putting in these #s for PTA during weekdays gives (0.4 Action Point, 0.5 Adrift) Solo - 6.16 = 182.27 DP2 - 6.18 = 284.85 IW - 3.20 = 657.93 Adrift - 2.54 = 24.28 Book Club - 3.05 = 59.93 Upgrade - 1.16 = 10.37 Life of the Party - 1.09 = 51.36 Overboard - 0.53 = 48.09 Breaking In - 0.62 = 44.61 A Quiet Place - 0.53 = 185.99 Action Point - 0.47 = 4.92 Show Dogs - 0.49 = 16.86 I Feel Pretty - 0.073 = 48.69 Black Panther - 0.068 = 699.456 Isle of Dogs - 0.055 = 31.64 A Wrinkle in Time - 0.070 = 98.208 Super Troopers - 0.0195 = 30.19 Blockers - 0.038 = 59.81 Rampage, Ready Player One, Sherlock Gnomes not reported looking at the above PTA ratios and I will assign 0.85 to all 3 of them that gives them weekend estimates of... - Rampage (403 locations)($1,236 last weekend PTA)(0.85) = 0.42m (-32%) 95.86 - Ready Player (248 locations)($926 last weekend PTA)(0.85) = 0.20m (-20%) 136.40 - Sherlock Gnomes (210 locations)($653 last weekend PTA)(0.85) = 0.12m (-26%) 43.12 and then weekdays... Rampage - 0.22 = 96.08 Ready Player One - 0.11 = 136.51 Sherlock Gnomes - 0.076 = 43.20

good for Solo. just what it needs for topping 500 million worldwide

HUGE # for Upgrade

zzzz

early early estimates, Do we get it? "No!" Do we want it? "Yeah!" Infinity War 1.82 + 3.0 + 1.98 = 6.80 Hereditary 5.18 + 4.6 + 3.12 = 12.90 Solo: Star Wars 4.0 + 6.5 + 4.8 = 15.3 Deadpool 2 3.8 + 5.8 + 3.9 = 13.5 Oceans Eight 15.8 + 15.2 + 11.0 = 42.0 Book Club 1.26 + 1.7 + 1.24= 4.20 Adrift 1.5 + 2.1 + 1.5 = 5.1

too bad Adrift and Upgrade fell down to 5m/2m because those are preeeetttttyyyy biiiiggggggg drops.

zzzz

animated/family/kid friendly films winding down in their last weeks during June gradually start to see lighter declines during progressing weekdays. If certain film stays in ~150 theaters, it should gain small #s.

I went ahead and took the cinemascores of all the 2017 films in major release from Jan 1st to the 2nd week after MLK weekend. A Dog's Purpose - A Beauty and the Beast - A Fate of the Furious - A Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - A Megan Leavey - A Monster Trucks - A Power Rangers - A The Shack - A The Smurfs - A Wonder Woman - A Born in China - A- The Boss Baby - A- Everything, Everything - A- Get Out - A- John Wick 2 - A- Lego Batman - A- Logan - A- Pirates of the Caribbean 5 - A- The Promise - A- Space Between Us - A- XxX - A- Baywatch - B+ Captain Underpants - B+ Fifty Shades Darker - B+ Going in Style - B+ King Arthur - B+ Kong: Skull Island - B+ Rock Dog - B+ Sleepless - B+ Split - B+ Underworld 4 - B+ Alien: Covenant - B Before I Fall - B Diary of a Wimpy Kid 4 - B Fist Fight - B Ghost in the Shell - B The Great Wall - B Resident Evil 5 - B Snatched - B CHIPS - B- The Mummy - B- A Cure for Wellness - C+ Collide - C+ Life - C+ The Bye Bye Man - C Unforgettable - C Phoenix Forgotten - C- Rings - C- The Circle - D+ It Comes At Night - D these are unreported: The Belko Experiment The Case for Christ Free Fire How to be a Latin Lover

@lilmac BP should be able to get to 700m if it plays out naturally without split screen help from Incredibles 2. A Wrinkle in Time was at 97.947 after last Sunday. Mon-Thurs it made on a daily basis.... 20k + 26k + 22.5k + 24k to get to 98.040. It made an estimated $30,000 on Friday upping the total to 98.070. If it averages 20k/day*30 days that is only another 600,000, but it could make it if it relies solely on double features with Incredibles 2!

here are increases from real Friday to Saturday for the following films (and what Hereditary Sat # would be with this using 3.878/5.184 for Friday) Blair Witch +7.6% = 4.173 mother! +14.7% = 4.448 It Comes At Night +17.4% = 4.553 The Witch +26.7% = 4.913 The Gift - +27.7% = 4.952

I had a hard time following The Witch because of the accents. I don't remember if An American Haunting had accents as well, but both of those would be good for a re-watch with subtitles.

I think The Mummy Returns and then The Phantom Menace were the first two movies to get 2 million units OW. Then it peaked with Finding Nemo for about 10 years until Frozen. That is my guess. I don't think The Dark Knight did groundbreaking numbers, so I never really followed home video market since there is not much easy access to believable numbers.

ouch. TLJ did 1.94 units Blu Ray then Maybe BP will be the last blu ray to pass 2m units sold Opening Week then

still pretty good considering blu-ray/dvd sales on there have been diminishing and very uneventful for virtually everything. I would not be surprised if this is the last movie to crack 2.38 million units OW for the blu ray.

damnit, Shiekh predicted the same 3.5m for Hotel Artemis that I did. Upgrade is looking at -60% with deadlines estimate, probably whoever nails that will go +5 in the placements

hopefully good wom will prosper from Hereditary because of the concepts driving the movie (not seen it yet). Not much horror competition until Unfriended 2, unless an indie breaks out.

last week had the first C-cinemascore in months with the C+ for Action Point this week kept up the pace with the two worst cinemascores of the year. here are all the reported ones so far. Black Panther - A+ Imagine - A+ Love - A+ 12 Strong - A Avengers - A Deadpool - A Miracle Season - A Paddington - A Sgt. Stubby - A Acrimony - A- Book Club - A- God's Not Dead - A- Overboard - A- Midnight Sun - A- Peter Rabbit - A- Rampage - A- RP1 - A- Solo - A- 50 Shades - B+ AQP - B+ Death Wish - B+ Den of Thieves - B+ Every Day - B+ Game Night - B+ I Feel Pretty - B+ Maze Runner - B+ Oceans Eight - B+ Proud Mary - B+ Sherlock Gnomes - B+ Super Troopers - B+ Adrift - B Blockers - B Breaking In - B Chappaquiddick - B Commuter - B Early Man - B Life of Party - B Pacific Rim - B Red Sparrow - B Tomb Raider - B Wrinkle in Time - B 15:17 to Paris - B- Bad Samaritan - B- Hurricane Heist - B- Insidious 4 - B- Truth or Dare - B- Unsane - B- Winchester - B- Action Point - C+ Gringo - C+ Annihilation - C Strangers: Prey - C Hotel Artemis - C- Hereditary - D+ these are unreported: Forever My Girl Isle of Dogs Paul, Apostle Samson Traffik Tully Upgrade

preview guesses, Oceans = 2.5 - 3.5 Hereditary = 1.0 - 1.5

Oceans Eight starts in a little over five hours, 4:00pm E.T.

so far Life of the Party(.435) and Book Club(1.28) are above Monday if Wednesday = Monday

^^ rounding some of the above numbers... - IW could do 1.11 Thursday - 648.00. 7.0M (-33%) 7th WKND, 655M TOTAL. - Book Club another 1.10 Thursday - 52.50. 3.50M (-50%) 4th WKD, 56.0 TOTAL - Upgrade + 0.50 / 7.10. 10M likely before BH-Tilt looks at what theaters to keep - Adrift + 1.14 / 16.00. - RP1 +0.03 / 136.20 - BP + 0.03 / 699.22 - Pretty + 0.03 / 48.48 - Wrinkle + 0.02 / 98.03

if Wednesday = Monday Solo (-25.6%) - 2.96 - 158.90 Deadpool (-22.3%) - 2.65 - 263.21 Adrift (-31.5%) - 1.23 - 15.86 IW (-25.2%) - 1.16 - 646.89 Book (-34.6%) - 1.09 - 51.40 Upgrade (-17.1%) - 0.60 - 6.60 Party (-35.2%) - 0.42 - 47.83 Breaking (-29.6%) - 0.32 - 42.45 Action (-26.6%) - 0.30 - 3.39 Overboard (-33.5%) - 0.22 - 46.26 AQP (-18.0%) - 0.24 - 184.29 Dogs (-31.2%) - 0.22 - 15.36 Rampage (-32.6%) - 73k - 95.37 Pretty (-28.9%) - 37k - 48.45 RP1 (-17.1%) - 34k - 136.17 BP (-10.4%) - 30k - 699.19 Wrinkle (-24%) - 20k - 98.01

this is like the nu-metal bands during the millennial gen😁eration ☣️