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Movie Math on youtube...

is Solo the most expensive films ever made?

is Solo contracted to keep all theaters for 3 weeks instead of 2, therefore retaining all 4,381 locations next week?? are estimates for Sunday looking to go up by +1-2%, or down.

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zzzzz

no cinemascore for Upgrade?

I remember after I saw It Comes At Night I got excited to read the initial feedback. it was the horror movie event of the year.

happy

too pull an all nighter and look at the chances or not to

is there a chance A Wrinkle in Time could hit 100m or dream on?

oh good I loved mother! from the first experience I had the first time I saw the trailer for Hereditary, I was thinking this might be the one to deliver a bit more spark than It Comes At Night and The Witch with their misleading advertising, Hereditary might be able to edge out something like a B- cinemascore.

lol. they will probably believe that if you announce that to them

okay but this is a box office theory forum. not a forum to 'quiet' those theorizers for a happier existence

or maybe Solo's bad BO performance was a way to dissuade Fox from giving the Avatar franchise to Disney

or a response to the 'Rules Don't Apply' marketing surrounding films like mother!

yeah but maybe they were trying to ruin Star Wars and the theaters and the box office would sink and Netflix would even/level it out. just a thought. what do I know, I ranked it #1 for the year so far.

I wonder if Solo bombing so hard was just to get people to turn to Netflix and create a market where Netflix makes big budget fx movies

I did not see much tv commercial on Action Point. I wonder if Action Point and Upgrade spend around the same on pure online advertising, maybe $5 million each. BH Tilt is supposed to do stuff like that I think and I have not seen much from Hereditary yet other then +100% reviews or whatever it says on paper.

19/43 of the Action Point predictions were 5 million or greater

2,500 theaters x $4,580 PTA = $11,450,000 + 0.75 previews = 12.2 OW

RTH Deadline my predix Solo 7.8 8.0 7.8 Deadpool 6.5 6.5 6.5 Adrift 4.4 4.2 4.225 (3.5 +0.725 previews) Avengers 2.7 2.9 2.7 Book 2.1 2.1 2.1 Upgrade 1.7 1.5 1.5 + 0.2 previews Party 1.0 1.0 Breaking .751 .75 Action P 0.78 .775 .78 Overboard .438 .44 and an analysis with my predict-ions for 3-day analysis Solo - 7.8 + 12.2 + 9.0 = 29.00 Deadpool - 6.5 + 9.5 + 6.5 = 22.5 Adrift - 0.725 + 3.5 + 4.225 + 3.5 = 12.0 Avengers - 2.7 + 4.7 + 3.1 = 10.5 Book Club - 2.1 + 2.9 + 2.0 = 7.0 Upgrade - 1.7 + 1.5 + 1.1 = 4.3 Party - 1.0 + 1.5 + 1.0 = 3.5 Break - 0.75 + 1.1 + 0.65 = 2.5 Overboard - 0.44 + 0.66 + 0.7 = 1.8 Action Point - 0.78 + 0.90 + 0.62 = 2.3 I saw a point in this thread where Empire said Show Dogs was looking better than Action Point. If Show Dogs averages 20 people per theater at $9 for the day, that is $180 per 2,327 theaters and multiplication would expand this number to $419,860, or 0.42 for Friday *(Overboard is #10 on Deadline with 0.44). If Show Dogs does 0.42 Friday and had a 4.0 weekend to Friday multiplier, Show Dogs would still likely place below Overboard with 1.68m.

I wrote down 13 reserved seating showings for Action Point and Upgrade for shows in between 945 and 11 from Northern California. Seeing the .775 number from Deadline would seem to make sense. I got...... 18, 6, 15, 15, 16, 4, 11, 36, 2, 1, 6, 5, 10 = 145 purchases, 11.2 average. prices seem to be well above $10. Just very vague, and I never do this one but I'm typing it here, assume the 11.2 avg is correct, assume the latest show represents half of the intake, so 22.4 people purchases per theater on Friday. avg ticket price $9.16 would be $205.184 avg per theater then, and times 2,032 locations gives $417,934. I do not think AP had any Thursday previews, maybe there were midnights and that those represented the first votes on Rotten Tomatoes, but also maybe. For Upgrade I got - 32, 41, 31, 40, 55, 24, 32, 18, 38, 8 = 319 purchases, 10 locations, 31.9 avg. using avg domestic ticket price $9.16 x 31.9 avg = $292.20 and using the method above of doubling the latest showing for Upgrade and then multiplying that result with the total locations of 1,457 theaters is .... $851,470.8. One number is 1.5 tonight, the second is 1.7. I would guess if the east and central time zone showings for Upgrade reflected 1.5 million, and the pacific was stronger and these averages support that, then Upgrade could maybe go to 1.7. But also Thursday preview could be 0.2 which is the delta/difference of the two numbers but not the physical change or movement of the number shrinking. most of the showtimes showed about $12-$15 per latest showing and maybe multiplying by $13.50 instead of the $9.16 used here could help inflate a little for the walkups. the numbers were collected about 5 min or before show starts. *Adrift looked bad with about 5 glances so maybe the number underwhelming from Deadlines 4.4 and closer to RTH's 4.2

I think the C+ for Action point is only second worst to the C that Strangers got for worst cinemascore of the year.

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does just one ambien, or 1/2, offer a powerful punch?