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dxmatrixdt

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  1. MAd Max should drop 10% today while Pitch Perfect 2 could increase beyond 10% today.
  2. I guess Fault in Our Stars comparison not even close. However, I doubt Pitch Perfect 2 will be dropping 45% Monday, but it might only increase 67% next Friday.
  3. excellent for Furious 7. if that number holds up, it should clear American Sniper no problem for #2 movie (after Avengers) since Frozen and Catching Fire
  4. new - Pitch Perfect 2 - 51.91 - 51.91 new - Mad Max - 45.95 - 45.95 -50.35% - Avengers - 38.60 - 372.17 -59% - Hot Pursuit - 5.71 - 23.71 -38% - Age of Adaline - 3.63 - 37.64 -34% - Paul Blart 2- 3.53 - 62.95 -41% - Furious 7 - 3.20 - 343.43 -20% - Ex Machina - 2.81 - 20.07 -9% - Home - 2.79 - 165.76 -47% - Woman in Gold - 0.92 - 28.76 -55% - Cinderella - 0.76 - 197.39 -59% - Unfriended - 0.59 - 32.23 -60% - Get Hard - 0.42 - 88.67 -71% - the Longest Ride - 0.40 - 36.19 -48% - Insurgent - 0.40 - 128.32 -73% - Monkey Kingdom - 0.34 - 15.23 4-day weekend estimates new - Tomorrowland - 57.40 - 57.40 new - Poltergeist - 41.02 - 41.02 -21% - Avengers - 30.56 - 416.92 -35% - Mad Max - 29.79 - 91.90 -49.8% - Pitch Perfect 2 - 26.06 - 94.96 -41% - Hot Pursuit - 3.37 - 29.28 +0% - Ex Machina - 2.81 - 24.41 -34% - Age of Adaline - 2.39 - 41.50 -16% - Home - 2.33 - 168.77 -37% - Paul Blart 2 - 2.23 - 66.11 -33% - Furious 7 - 2.15 - 346.78 -1% - Woman in Gold - 0.91 - 30.11 -4% - Cinderella - 0.73 - 198.34 +2% - Get Hard - 0.43 - 89.28 -2.5% - Insurgent - 0.39 - 128.85 -52.5% - Unfriended - 0.28 - 32.76 -26.5% - Monkey Kingdom - 0.25 - 15.64 -40% - The Longest Ride - 0.24 - 36.60
  5. here is some info on discount second run theaters for 4 theaters in the Southern California region... the number represents the cumulative total of showtimes for the 4 theaters. New - It Follows - (5) New - Child 44 - (4) New - Kingsman - (14) Spongebob - 19 (down 2) American Sniper - 14 (down 3) McFarland USA - 13 (no change) Run All Night - 7 (no change) Do You Believe? - 4 (down 4) The DUFF - 3 (down 5) Paddington - 3 (no change) Big Hero 6 - 3 (no change) Night at the Museum 3 - 2 (no change) Chappie - 2 (no change) 50 Shades of Grey - 2 (down 2) Gone: Into the Woods, The Lazarus Effect, Imitation Game, Jupiter Ascending, and Focus.
  6. Insurgent, Jupiter Ascending, Chappie, Kingsman and Cinderella are possible nominees that have already been released
  7. another disappointing number and a disappointing day for a disappointing BO run
  8. Harry Potters PS - A+ COS - A+ POA - A+ GOF - A+ OotP - A+ HBP - A+ DH1 - A+ DH2 - A+
  9. here is my estimates that will change with a flicker of any number new - Avengers - 194.58 - $45,136 - 194.58 -60% - Furious 7 - 7.17 - $2,170 - 331.59 -47% - Age of Adaline - 7.00 - $2,340 - 24.17 -56% - Paul Blart 2 - 6.56 - $1,850 - 52.20 -58% - Home - 3.37 - $1,180 - 158.20 -1% - Cinderella - 2.75 - $1,950 - 194.04 -56% - Ex Machine - 2.37 - $1,850 - 11.01 -62% - Unfriended - 2.33 - $1,050 - 28.87 -52% - Longest Ride - 2.03 - $960 - 33.57 -51% - Woman in Gold - 1.63 - $1,450 - 24.54 -56% - Monkey Kingdom - 1.47 - $850 - 12.76 -70% - Get Hard - 1.14 - $780 - 86.16 -67% - Insurgent - 1.00 - $775 - 126.57
  10. here is some info on discount second run theaters on 4 theaters in the Southern California region... the number represents the cumulative total of showtimes for the 4 theaters. McFarland USA - 13 (new) Do You Believe? - 8 (new) Spongebob - 21 (down 2) American Sniper - 17 (up 4) The DUFF - 8 (down 3) Run All Night - 7 (down 5) 50 Shades of Grey - 6 (same) Paddington - 3 (down 3) Focus - 3 (down 5) Big Hero 6 - 3 (no change) Imitation Game - 2 (down 8) Chappie - 2 (down 4) Lazarus Effect - 2 (no change) Night at the Museum 3 - 2 (no change) Into the Woods - 1 (no change) Jupter Ascending - 1 (no change) GONE: Taken 3, Still Alice, The Gunman
  11. and top 15 549 - Avengers 315 - Jurassic World 290 - Inside Out 285 - Minions 250 - Ant Man 220 - Mission Impossible 5 195 - Ted 2 170 - Fantastic Four 2 160 - Tomorrowland 155 - Terminator 150 - Straight Outta Compton 145 - Spy 120 - Magic Mike 107 - Pitch Perfect 106 - Mad Max Top 10 - Worldwide 1) 1650 - Avengers 2) 970 - Jurassic World 3) 940 - Inside Out 4) 930 - Minions 5) 800 - Mission Impossible 5 6) 700 - Ant Man 7) 600 - Terminator 8) 595 - Tomorrowland 9) 550 - Ted 2 10) 545 - Fantastic 4 International weekends 1) Avengers 2) Jurassic 3) Mission Impossible 4) Terminator 5) Minions Domestic OW 1) Avengers 2) Jurassic 3) Ant-Man 4) Inside Out 5) Mission Impossible 5 lowest 1) Dope 2) Masterminds 2) Gallows 4) Self-Less - 30 5) Shaun and the Sheep - 35 HERE ARE YOUR FIRST PRE SEASON BONUS QUESTIONS THAT MUST BE ANSWERED BEFORE THURSDAY APRIL 30TH AT 6PM. THESE WILL BE WORTH A TOTAL OF 15,000 POSSIBLE POINTS. 15,000 IF CORRECT -5000 IF INCORRECT 3000 FOR TELLING ME THAT YOU ARE ABSTAINING Tell me, of these four films, which one will be the lowest grossing of the summer. Only these four films can you choose from. 1) Trainwreck - 50m 2) Southpaw 3) Aloha 4) The Man From U.N.C.L.E. FOR AN ADDITIONAL 10,000 Tell me, within 5 million dollars, what its gross will be. Anyone who calls this within 5 million dollars (note you MUST CALL THE CORRECT FILM TO QUALIFY FOR THE 5000 BONUS PTS) whether it is over or under the total, will get the 10,000 points. Second Bonus Question: Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the summer: Only these five films. 1) Masterminds 2) Fantastic Four - 170m 3) Terminator Genisys 4) Magic Mike XXL For 10,000 POSSIBLE bonus points, tell me, within 5 million dollars, what its gross will be. Anyone who calls this within 5 million dollars (note you MUST CALL THE CORRECT FILM TO QUALIFY FOR THE 10,000 BONUS PTS) whether it is over or under the total, will get the 10,000 points. Third Bonus Question: Tell me, of these five films, which will be the highest grossing INTERNAtIONALLY (NOT WW, ONLY INTERNATIONALLY....ALL FIGURES ACCORDING TO BOXOFFICEMOJO.COM)? 1) Terminator Genisys 2) San Andreas 3) Mission Impossible Rogue Nation - 600m 4) Ted 2 5) Mad Max For 15,000 bonus points, call the correct film within 25 mill. TRIPLE BONUS Here are your 16 bonus questions that have to be answered before the start date. Question 1: Will more than 3 films gross at least 110 million dollars Opening weekend domestically (3 day weekends count only) (no) Question 2: Will more than two films gross at least 50 million dollars on opening day? (yes) Question 3: Will any film this summer have a worldwide weekend of more than 280 million? (THIS WILL INCLUDE ANY 5 DAY WEEKENDS. WHATEVER IS REPORTED FOR THE ACTUALS ON MONDAY EVENING WILL BE THE NUMBER WE GO BY). But the weekend has to fall within the summer game dates. (yes) Question 4: Will any film make more than 51.5 million this summer in Australia? (yes) Question 5: Will at least two films make more than 55 million dollars this summer in the UK box office? (yes) Question 6: Will any film besides Avengers make more than 150 million in CHINA this summer? (yes) Question 7: Will at least 2 films make at least a billion mill WW this summer? (no) Question 8: Will at least 5 films, listed as a comedy (could be sci-fi comedy...horror comedy...must have comedy listed somewhere in the genre ) by Box Office Mojo, make more than 120 million dollars this summer? (no) Question 9: Will at least 3 action films released after May, have a WW gross of more than 500 million? (no) Question 10: Which combination of films will make more money domestically? 1) Terminator, Spy, Jurassic World 2) Entourage, Spy, Hot Pursuit, Poltergeist 3) Minions, Insidious 3, Self/Less, Straight Oughtta Compton 4) Avengers first ten days, Mafgic Mike XXL Question 11: Will any two films make more than 40 million in Russia this summer? (yes) Question 12: Will the top two films combined make more this summer than the next 5 films combined (domestic only)? So to avoid any confusion like we have last summer, the question reads like this.... top 2 spots add up to more than slots 3-7. (no) Question 13: Will any of the top 7 grossing sequels domestically this summer have a second weekend drop of less than 47.5%? (yes) Question 14: Will Avengers, Minions or Jurassic World have a Saturday increase minus the preview number? So take out the Thursday number and you get the true Friday number. You guys know the drill. yes to all threww Question 15: Will Minions outgross Avengers in at least two of these regions this summer? France - no Netherlands - no Venezuela - no Hungary - no PLAYERS: There may be more preseason bonus questions added before the start of the game. It is doubtful, but I hold the right to add a question if it seems right. The Ron Jeremy of all bonus questions This is a four parter: 1) Will Avengers make at least 600 million domestically? - no 2) Will Avengers make more than a billion internationally? - yes 3) Will Avengers do at least 25 million for previews - yes 4)) Will Avengers make at least 1.8 billion WW? - no Scoring: All questions you answer correctly are worth 7000 points. You can go for as many as you like. Here is the catch: Every answer you call incorrectly you lose 10,000 points. There are no points for abstaining, with one caveat down below. *** Even more bonus and more treachery: If you go 4/4 you get a 28,000 point bonus. So this means you will get a total of 56,000 points for this question (7000X4 plus 28,000 point bonus) However, if you go for all 4 you must get all four correct. If you get even one incorrect, you will lose 20,000 points. So what this means is, if you go for all four and even if you get 3/4 correct, not only will you NOT get the 11,000 but you will lose a full 15,000 points. This question is worth a lot of points for those ballsy enough to go for all 4, but it will kick your ass if you get too cocky. PLEASE READ THIS ONE CAREFULLY AND UNDERSTAND IT FULLY. IF YOU DO NOT, THEN ASK ME. ONCE THE GAME STARTS, CLAIMING YOU DIDN'T READ IT RIGHT WILL NOT BE AN EXCUSE. THE BOTTOM LINE IS IF YOU GO FOR ALL FOUR QUESTIONS, YOU ABSOLUTELY MUST GET ALL FOUR RIGHT IN ORDER TO GET POINTS. Remember, you don't have to answer any of them. Or you can answer as little as you want. It's totally up to you. You can choose to go for as many or as little as you want. ***CAVEAT*** If you choose to abstain from all 4, you will get 5000 for doing so. You must tell me if you are abstaining. NEW QUESTION: This is a four part question. Again, you have choices. Answer any part of the question. Each answer you get correct you will receive 7000 points. Each answer you get wrong, you will lose 7000 points. If you go for all four parts of the question, you must get all four parts correct. If you get even one wrong after going for it all, you will lose 7,000 points. You can go for all of it, none of it and some of it. Choice is yours. 17) Note*** Jurassic World does not qualify for this question A) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com gross more than 100 million dollars this summer? yes Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com open to more than 35 mill? yes C) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com have a second weekend drop of less than 47%? no D) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com have an opening day of more than 13 mill? yes Get any question right: 7000 Get any question wrong: -7000 Abstain from all four questions: 5000 Go for all four, and get all four correct not only will you get the 28,000, you get a bonus of 28,000. But you must go for all four to qualify for the bonus Double Secret Probation Bonus Question Very simple, but very dangerous. I'll give you a number, you tell me if Avengers will gross more or less than that number in said markets. 1) Russia: 42M - more 2) Germany: 31.5M - more 3) Portugal: 3M - more 4) China: 200M - more If you go for this question, you must get all 4 correct. This is not a partial question. If you get at least 3 of the 4 correct, you will get 50,000. If you choose to abstain from this question, you will lose 15,000 points. If you go for the question and you do not get at least 3 or the 4 correct, you will lose 30,000 points. Choose Wisely. The "Hey maybe you haven't been keeping up on current events but we just got our asses kicked pal" question of debauchery. Will Jurassic World and F7 combine to make more than Avengers in these markets? 1) Japan - yes 2) United Kingdom - yes 3) Columbia - yes 4) Mexico - yes Each answer will be yes or no. Nothing more. You must get at least three correct. Get three correct, get a bonus of 50,000, don't get three correct, lose 25,000, abstain, lose 10,000. 1) How many films will gross at least 100 million dollars this summer? You have a cushion of 1 film. So if you are off by 1, you still get full points. 18 2) How many films will make a billion dollars this summer? No cushion 1 3) What will the domestic total gross be for the top 3 horror films of the summer. II don't want to see anything but a number in your answer. Do not list the films. Cushion of 50 mill $250 4) How many films will gross at least 40 million opening day? No cushion 2 5) How many films will make at least 500 million internationally? cushion of 1. 5 6) Will Terminator Genisys and Pitch Perfect 2 and Insidious 3 combine to gross more than F7 domestically? yes 7) Will Ted 2 make more than Ted? NO 8) Will Tele love Mad Max and will baumer love Jurassic World? You must answer both. This is an honour system question. I will tell you right now that I think i will love Jurassic World. YES & YES 9) Will any film released in August gross 100 mill before the end of the game? YES 10) Will Self/Less make more than 40 million? NO 11) How many films will make at least 750 million WW? 1 cushion 5 12) How many films will make at least 30 million OD? 1 cushion 4 13) Will Magic Mike XXL have a bigger opening day than Terminator genisys? YES 14) Will Pan be one of the top 7 grossing films of the summer domestically? 15) Will Ant Man gross at least 500 mill WW? yes 16) Will any film gross 250 million in China? YES 17) Will any film have a WW weekend of more than 300 million (Avengers will only count from the time the game starts) YES 18) Will Mission Impossible gross more than 200 million? yes 19) Will Vacation gross more than 70 million? yes 20) How many films will gross at least 305 million this summer? 2 21) Will Avengers gross more than the first one? NO 22) Will any film besides Avengers make 25 million in Spain? NO 23) Will any film besides Avengers make 65 million in the UK? YES 24) Will Entourage make 100 mill or more? NO 25) Will Avengers drop less than 55% second weekend? NO
  12. i made these up... -48% - Black or White - 15,000 - $360 - 21.548 -35% - Big Hero 6 - 17,000 - $310 - 222.429 -30% - Taken 3 - 19,000 - $468 - 89.198 -41% - Night at the Museum 3 - 24,000 - $320 - 113.559 -17% - The Imitation Game - 34,000 - $570 - 91.074 -17% - The Gunman - 38,000 - $380 - 10.627 -23% - Still Alice - 40,000 - $400 - 18.635 -32% - Jupiter Ascending - 52,000 - $430 - 47.314 +48% - The Lazarus Effect - 59,000 - $425 - 25.563 -28% - The DUFF - 72,000 - $440 - 33.854 -24% - 50 Shades of Grey - 72,000 - $480 - 166.079 -17% - Paddington - 80,000 - $465 - 75.594 -34% - Chappie - 90,000 - $600 - 31.486 -30% - Focus - 104,000 - $554 - 53.795 -37% - McFarland USA - 129,000 - $680 - 43.171 -11% - Run All Night - 134,000 - $615 - 26.380 -52% - Do You Believe? - 178,000 - $688 - 12.543 -30% - The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - 209,000 - $865 - 32.443 -25% - Spongebob - 270,000 - $940 - 162.069 -51% - It Follows - 398,000 - $993 - 14.059 +14% - American Sniper - 435,000 - $1,079 - 348.356 -21% - Kingsman - 540,000 - $1,270 - 124.461 new - The Water Diviner - 1.33 - $4,155 - 1.33 -29% - Insurgent - 2.92 - $1,400 - 124.73 -25% - Cinderella - 3.03 - $1,500 - 190.82 -29% - Woman in Gold - 3.28 - $1,654 - 21.41 -31% - Get Hard - 3.39 - $1,489 - 83.55 -25% - Monkey Kingdom - 3.45 - $1,715 - 10.16 -42% - The Longest Ride - 4.08 - $1,300 - 30.11 new - Little Boy - 4.10 - $3,927 - 4.10 +496% - Ex Machina - 4.77 - $3,800 - 6.17 -58% - Unfriended - 6.60 - $2,377 - 25.51 -23% - Home- 8.13 - $2,454 - 153.61 new - Age of Adaline - 13.50 - $4,513 - 13.50 -41% - Paul Blart 2 - 13.95 - $3,840 - 42.40 -40% - Furious 7 - 17.44 - $4,580 - 319.72
  13. here is some info on discount second run theaters on 4 theaters in the Southern California region... the number represents the cumulative total of showtimes for the 4 theaters. Spongebob - 23 (down 3) American Sniper - 13 (up 9) Run All Night - 12 (up 4) The DUFF - 11 (down 3) The Imitation Game - 10 (up 1) - has been playing very long so far... Focus - 8 (down 5) Chappie - 6 (down 4) 50 Shades of Grey - 6 (up 4) Paddington - 6 (down 5) Taken 3 - 3 (down 1) Big Hero 6 - 3 (down 1) Night at the Museum - 2 (no change) Into the Woods - 1 (down 2) Jupiter Ascending - 1 (no change) Gunman - 2 (debut) Still Alice - 2 (debut) the Lazarus Effect - 2 (debut)
  14. It seems if Cinderella approaches 200, Insurgent may have to follow and approach 135!!! That would give at an official 10% drop
  15. -53% - Furious 7 - 28.05 - $7,077 - 293.40 (new) - Paul Blart 2 - 22.70 - $6,247 - 22.70 (new) - Unfriended - 18.20 - $6,646 - 18.20 -48% - Home - 9.68 - $2,775 - 141.99 -40% - The Longest Ride - 7.83 - $2,320 - 24.48 (new) - Monkey Kingdom - 5.00 - $2,484 - 5.00 -15% - Woman in Gold - 4.64 - $2,307 - 16.00 -45% - Get Hard - 4.52 - $1,703 - 77.97 -36% - Insurgent - 4.27 - $1,678 - 120.73 -43% - Cinderella - 4.04 - $1,673 - 186.49 -48% - It Follows - 1.00 - $1,059 - 14.36 Kingsman - 660k - $1,187 - 125.640 Do You Believe? - 454k - $1,012 - 12.313 American Sniper - 415k - $933 - 347.798 The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - 390k - $1,113 - 32.170 McFarland USA - 207k - $763 - 42.958 Focus - 198k - $754 - 53.676 Spongebob - 189k - $725 - 161.541 Chappie - 150k - $625 - 31.347 Run All Night - 147k - $575 - 26.175 Paddington - 120k - $621 - 75.508 The DUFF - 111k - $592 - 33.761 50 Shades of Grey - 107k - $618 - 165.972 Jupiter Ascending - 93k - $621 - 47.253 Night at the Museum 3 - 64k - $560 - 113.546 The Gunman - 57k - $475 - 10.579 The Imitation Game - 48k - $641 - 91.027 The Lazarus Effect - 36k - $480 - 25.488
  16. my opening weekend predictions for new films tend to reflect the upper end of the films potential. I had Monkey Kingdom at 10, Unfriended at 25, and Paul Blart at 21. I am saying this just to highlight Paul Blart opening on the higher end.
  17. good jump for Insurgent and Longest Ride. not good for Monkey Kingdom.
  18. hopefully Phantom Menace will get re-released again to retake its spot near the top of the rankings
  19. here are some guesses.... assuming Furious 7's per screen average jumps 191% from Thursday to Friday (similar to Hunger Games in 2012), it will average $2,110 per theater. this week, Furious 7 has 3,964 theaters. multiplying these together gives me my Friday guess... ($2,110)(3,964) = 8.36 million Here is a list for this.. +190% Furious 7 ($2,110)(3964) = 8.36 +250% Home ($679)(3488) = 2.37 +180% Longest Ride ($683)(3371) = 2.30 +100% Woman in Gold ($776)(2011) = 1.56 +200% Get hard ($552)(2655) = 1.47 +200% Cinderella ($414)(2414) = 1.00 +250% Insurgent ($434)(2542) = 1.10 +250% It Follows ($319)(941) = 0.30 +250% Kingsman ($326)(556) = 0.19
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