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RyneOh1040

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Posts posted by RyneOh1040

  1. 9 hours ago, Gopher said:

    Dory - this is the only summer film that has ignited any interest. This year more than any shows when a family film clicks with audiences you can look forward to the money coming in for months to come. Not every animated movie can do it (poor Angry Birds barely cracked a hundred mil) but all of a sudden it feels like the average Disney animated pic can crack 300 no problem. Look forward to that happening with Pets and Moana to some degree as well. 

     

    Tarzan - the luckiest flop of the whole summer. BFG stole all the article headlines and it even came in a couple notches above tracking. And budget aside 39 mil is a huge accomplishment for a Tarzan reboot that looked this milquetoast and had seemingly no buzz. I guess sometimes the name is actually enough? I'm curious to see what legs look like, its IM seems really good. I guess you always need a couple movies in the middle to balance the marketplace. 

     

    Purge - the new Saw. These things make their budgets back before the film is playing for 18 hours. I guess the only question is if they'll go back to once a year or keep it every other year. Either way Uni is smart to keep them in the summer, this is the first moneymaker they've had all year. 

     

    BFG - this one is sad. Over a year ago I thought Spielberg, Dahl and Disney (not Touchstone, like Bridge of Spies or Lincoln) sounded like a really strange mix of sensibilities. A month ago I compared it to Alice 2 in that Disney really had no stake in this film being a success since Amblin split from Disney and the Mouse had far bigger priorities this summer. At the same time giant ugly Mark Rylance is not and will never be a summer movie selling point, and this needed outright raves from critics to convince families it was actually worth the money (not universal cries that this was minor Spielberg). Good news for the Beard is that Ready Player One has everything in its place to be a huge huge success (and Indiana Jones 5 is a license to print money). 

     

    IDR - in the summer of bombs this feels like the biggest swing and miss. 105 mil domestic and 350 mil worldwide is a third of the '96 film's UNADJUSTED gross. To think some of us including myself were calling 300 mil for this a couple months ago. 

     

    Swiss Army Man - this is the best movie of the summer and deserves more than an ok-ish wide expansion. Nothing is going to come close. The Daniels are going to become the Lord and Miller of the industry pretty soon. 

    i really, really, like this analysis (SAM is also my favorite of the year so far) but I do disagree with Angry Birds.  Comparing it to the Disney cannon is non sensical and I honestly think it's actually a pretty big success.  It had all the makings to be a huge flop (just the concept in itself is so nuts) but it's going to finish around 350 on a 75 million budget and that's nothing to scoff at.  I legitimately thought it would struggle to hit 50 domestic even up until OW.  But yeah, great analysis.

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  2. I started right when I got into high school which would have been around '03 following the HP series.  I had always seen Yahoo updates but somehow stumbled across BOM and got obsessed with the forums.  I didn't post very often but I lurked around for about 3 or 4 years before I posted more frequently.  Baumer, ShawnMR, Noctis were all some of the first posters I remember.  I'm obviously still stoked we have this but I have such a sense of nostalgia for that site and early Saturday morning estimates without the immediacy of social media.

    • Like 3
  3. 1 hour ago, pieman said:

    It's funny how everyone was predicting IDR's failure e.g. not crossing 100M but now, that it's doing much better than expected, people are calling it a disappoint.

    i've literally never seen a predict under 100.  i called 150 and quite a few posters said that it would easily do 200+.  so no, its just a disappointment domestically and people are calling it what it is.

    • Like 1
  4. 23 minutes ago, leftmurlin said:

    How packed were the theaters?

    I saw a 7 PM and it was probably 50% full.  But I was out of town in North Carolina and I saw another Thursday preview there earlier this year and there was MAYBE 5 people so I took it as a very good sign.  

     

    One thing else I'll add, sans spoiler, the entire bouey scene is just BEAUTIFULLY constructed and I feel like hits a home run where a lot of these kind of films would have dropped the ball.

    • Like 2
  5. Just now, ThatOneGuy said:

    Trying to convince my mom to see this.  She's terrified of horror movies but could handle the visit and 10 Cloverfield lane.  however, she was afraid of jaws when she saw it at 16 (she's  50 now).  Will she be able to handle it, or will I have to go to the movies by myself

    i think if she can handle cloverfield she can do this.  it's very much in that vein of consistently intense. 

    • Like 1
  6. Just got back.  A REALLY fun ride.  This all rests on Lively's shoulders and she more than carries it.  This could have been an incredibly campy film but she made it a nail biter.  After the first 15 minutes it really is just one held breath.  Perfect runtime for something like this as well.  Only one part left me a bit confused but it wasn't that distracting or much of a deterrent.  

     

    8.5/10.  Mainly based off Lively's performance but more than anything the film being aware enough to know it's not breaking the mold it's just being smart.

    • Like 1
  7. Yeah I'm convinced 450 is the floor, with 525 being the absolute ceiling.  I think people are expecting this to crumble at some point because it's not the absolute gold standard of what Pixar has done, but i think that has very little merit to families who will continue to bring their kids to this in droves.  The market is pretty much completely dead until Life of Pets which is still over 2 weeks away.  I just don't see the BFG as any kind of threat, it's a concept film for the modern public.  Families don't see films because they're 99% on RT. WOM is strong enough to really propel this thing, I think.  

  8. 4 hours ago, Baumer said:

    I'm kind of craving some good horror this summer. Hopefully The Conjuring part 2 and now this film are both really good.

    same.  doesn't it feel like its been years since something out of the genre really left an impression?  I was a big fan of It Follows but I just wish an incredible slasher film could come back and reinvent the game.

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