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Posts posted by RyneOh1040
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Really a fantastic Christmas weekend in general.
PB is the only real bomb and we all knew it wasn't going to recover off of a 100 million budget. Concussion and The Big Short will both be in the 10-12 range (really impressive for TBS with its theater count), Hateful Eight is having a phenomenal limited release, Joy is going to hit 20 million and finally put to bed the argument of whether or not J Law has drawing power, Daddy's Home is INSANE, I know America loves these type of comedies but dayyyuuum, and TFA, well. It's just beautiful.
Also, great to see Sisters increasing from last weekend, I think me and my mom are gonna check it out tonight. Love Fey/Poehler and especially Paula Pell.
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21 minutes ago, ddddeeee said:
Hopefully the 'nobody sees a movie for J-Law' crowd can take a seat because that movie has been sold as 'J-Law: The Movie.'
yassss.
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2 minutes ago, theendsnotnearitshere said:
I was only joking. Though her songs (especially from 21 onwards) are your typical pop bullshit ballads, but I guess when an obese British woman sings about her heartache it makes all the cringe go away cause IT'S SO REAL AND RELATABLE!
i bet you KILL at parties.
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1 minute ago, theendsnotnearitshere said:
SW I can understand for the most part, but how many spinsters are there on this planet, really??
if you're implying that's adele's demo you're insane. she has audiences of every age, color, and sex. that's why she's putting up the numbers she is.
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Also that's really great for Daddy's Home (even though it looks unbearable), Joy and The Big Short.
J Law is the real deal in terms of drawing power bc I'm a huge fan of hers, and loved SLP and liked American Hustle. But the marketing for Joy has been VERY confusing for me. Even my mom said she had no clue what it was going to be about but would watch it for her.
And isn't TBS only in around 1500 theaters? That's a fantastic start going into awards season.
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SW is just a force (pun intended) to be reckoned with. As a numbers nerd, feeling so so spoiled between this and the Adele album sales which both feel like once in a life time type runs.
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jesus at people actually saying 'i would be disappointed with a second weekend of 150'.
y'all go on.
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#StarWars may break another record - best TUE gross ever. Heading to high 30s tonight. Shd beat $35M TUE opening day of 2012 Spidey.
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Man, maybe i'm crazy but the RO predictions seems out of control to me! I understand how big of a brand it truly is, but damn. TFA is truly a perfect storm and regardless of whether or not it tops Avatar to take the domestic crown I don't see RO coming within 1/2 of it's DOM gross. 350-400 would be a fantastic result, in my opinion.
Maybe I'm wrong but I just don't think the franchise can keep pushing out 500 million grosses every year, we've just been spoiled lately and lost a bit of our discernment.
But back to the question, what's going to be make or break is whether Fantastic Beasts brings in GA. The teaser was obviously not enough to do it, but I think a proper one does have the power. Right now I see it along the lines of 300-315. Rogue One seems more likely to break the 350 threshold to me, so I'll give the DOM crown to RO. OS should be a tight race too, but I think FB might have the edge there. RO probably still comes out on top overall.
If FB can get DH2 reviews and an excellent trailer I think there's a legitimate rivalry. If not I don't think it will even exist.
And I'm a huge potterhead.
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Just got out of my second viewing. Audience was obviously more subdued than my 7pm preview but still felt energetic afterwards.
I had two days (today and tomorrow) back in Nashville to see my friends I haven't seen in almost a year but instead I went solo to a matinee .
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1 minute ago, CJ Ren said:
Shut up. That is unbelievable. I will believe it when I see it.
In Nashville one of our Regals stops matinees at 3, its insane.
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Just incredible. And deserved, really.
I think most of us thought this was possible but aired on the side of skepticism to avoid disappoint. Glad to see the hype truly being real.
Also, think it's nuts people are kind of shitting on a few posters bringing up there being a discrepancy between this and Potter's midnight. This won flat out, and no one is contesting that. But to try to argue that that there isn't a difference in going between 7pm and midnight during a work week is insane. There's NO CHANCE I would have went last night if it hadn't been for those 7pm showings. I'm not a die hard fan of the series but I love it enough but still, I would have waited. And the group of 7 that went with me would have most likely all done the same.
It in no way takes away from that MASSIVE number but I think you have to give Potter the respect it deserves for filling that many seats at midnight. Plain and simple. I know that's not the story this weekend, but it's not something to say isn't a reality either.
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What an absolute blast. Really think this is one of the those rare films where there's something for everyone.
I also don't know that I've ever seen audience reaction the way I did at this, not even with Potter.
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2 minutes ago, eXtacy said:
It should not be anywhere near as front-loaded as Potter
I agree completely. With Potter, NO diehard fan waited later than midnight. But for this I know many, many folks (especially 30+) who grew up on this series and are waiting for Saturday and Sunday, and even a weekday to let some of the hype burn off.
I still think we have a 250+ OW.
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1 hour ago, Baumer Fett said:
Well, anything over Potter is huge. And keep in mind, Potter's midnight is already huge. That didn't just eclipse the record, it fucking destroyed it.
Also, Potter was JUST midnights.
This is huge in it's own right, but that's something about Potter I'll never forget.
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I was on board (pun intended) with this book until about half way in. At that point, everything became predictable, the characters lost any sense of interesting factor they had and the conclusion was down right terrible.
I know everyone uses this comparison but it really is most accurate to say it's a very poor man's Gone Girl.
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Terrible for ITHOTS but really great for just about everything else.
Krampus is going to turn into a nice little sleeper hit and I'm glad, it was a ton of fun. Also good to see TGD save a little bit of face. Would be great to see it let its way to 150.
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Saw Spotlight yesterday. Will almost certainly be my second favorite film of the year behind The End of the Tour. Truly an ensemble cast at it's finest. Everyone has an equal role/screen time and everyone delivers. Brilliant screenplay and direction as well. Hope it continues to get some awards love and can make a play for 75+.
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I was not a fan of the first (thought it was the definition of 'meh') and for the most part this looks like more of the same.
But I will be seeing it strictly for Amell. He rules on Arrow and I want to see him in more big budget stuff. -
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Truly terrible for TGD. Still can't call it a bomb but this is the first sure fire miss from the Pixar cannon, box office wise. Hoping it will at least break even with the international market.
Fantastic for Krampus. Very hard to get that kind of movie to a 10+ OW in this time frame.
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Anything above 12 is a huge win for Krampus. That's an insanely hard sale for this time frame.
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1 minute ago, kayumanggi said:
I think that's around a 34% drop, which would be about 7% bigger than Frozen's.
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2 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:
Maybe it's me, but that seems like a terrible number.
no way! most films drop on Thanksgiving, around 25%.
that's a FANTASTIC number for Creed.
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Star Wars TFA 2nd Wknd Actual: 149.2M !!!
in Numbers and Data
Posted
It is big. No doubt a fantastic start. But limited releases are very tricky. Granted they're usually between 4-15 theaters in the NY/LA area but still even with just a 100 it's much, much easier to have a huge PTA. And it doesn't always translate. Steve Jobs is probably the most recent example. I don't think H8 will suffer the same fate, Tarentino films have done really well on a large scale but just know that most of the time you can take limited releases with a grain of salt.