RyneOh1040
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Posts posted by RyneOh1040
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Congrats to Zootopia for officially joining the billion dollar club. Disney owns us all.
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Bad 60% 2nd wknd stumble for #Alice w/ just $10.7M. Will finish at near $75M - below Tomorrowland, LoneRanger & maybe JohnCarter too.
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#Popstar flops w/ puny $4.6M opening wknd & dismal $2k avg. This is what Hollywood gives financing + mktg/distribution support to.
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Final NorthAmerican gross for #XMenApocalypse will end up similar to opening wknd of #BatmanvSuperman & 1st 5days of #Deadpool.
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#XMenApocalypse on track to finish domestic run at near $165M. That's a mere 5% better than 1st #XMen from 2000 & much fewer tix sold.
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THE LOBSTER made an estimated $1.55M this weekend and has now earned $4.00M total. #TheLobster
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#XMen #Apocalypse plunges 66% in 2nd wknd to $22.3M for cume of $116.5M. Just like 67% of LastStand 10yrs ago after same holiday launch.
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Strong $18.3M opening wknd & $6757 avg for #MeBeforeYou powered by 81% female aud. Glowing A CinemaScore despite mixed reviews.
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6 minutes ago, nilephelan said:
TMNT 2 around $12.9m
X-Men around $9.2m
MBY around $6.2m
Popstar around $1.75m
Alice around $4.5m
If these are true then lol at TMNT 2.
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9 minutes ago, bapi said:
Guess NYSM2 will be lucky to finish with 80M DOM total. And don't think TC2 will be able to top TC1 with 137M.
I'm not saying it won't happen but I think TC2 has to be separated from ALL talk of the other sequels. That is literally all they have in common. Horror films behave so differently and there has been literally no horror breakout film that I can think of in the past year. Most people loved the first and the early reviews for this are strong. I think it has the strongest chance of everything outside of FD of outgrossing the original. Don't think legs will be as strong but if it can open to 60-65 (which I think is def. possible) it can make up the difference.
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9 minutes ago, Captain Craig said:
There are plenty of movies no one "asked for" that turn into some kind of hit.
It may flop, it may not but the "no one asked for it" is not a sturdy answer. Maybe they are marketing it in places you don't see. That happens with me for some films. I later find out they blitz a few stations I don't frequent for 'x' film.
boom.
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3 minutes ago, filmlover said:
Everybody knows that.
However, unless everything goes wrong, I don't see this one making below the most recent Transformers movie. Especially when the marketplace will be starved for an action event film at that point.
The original poster compared the two, not me. And I think we have to take those differences into account. And again my original post was in regard to saying I don't think it can match the original. 245 still wouldn't do that, obviously. I could be way off, but I just don't get the vibe that many people are excited for this film. Is there any tracking out yet? I'm also interested to see if Tarzan can get great reviews because I do think it could be a factor. It's a huge uphill battle but if it's a great film and could surprise like Planet of the Apes did a few years back it could certainly cut into ID legs.
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4 minutes ago, RandomJC said:
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3 minutes ago, filmlover said:
Are we really arguing that Independence Day isn't considered iconic? lol. And I only like the movie.
maybe not that it's not iconic but it's nowhere NEAR the level of classic of JP.
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5 minutes ago, zenithtim said:
Exactly, waiting 20 years for a 200M sequel to a movie that is NOT considered a classic is suicide, and ID2 will be lucky to gross 150M domestically.
pretty much same.
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4 minutes ago, babz06 said:
It's a dumb popcorn flick though, like Jurassic World. From a well liked classic summer movie, and people do want to see the cast again. I think you're wayyy off. 150m is the floor (imo)
I'm currently predicting 87m OW/ 340m DOM for Independence Day Resurgence.
maybe but i don't see that at all. JW had everything going for it. I don't think you can put ID and the JW series in the same category AT ALL. JP is a modern classic, ID is not (it is exactly what you descried a dumb popcorn flick and i'm not downplaying that sometimes thats great). Chris Hemsworth is also the exact opposite of Chris Pratt. JW had really solid trailers and there was a ton of buzz. I haven't seen that at all for ID. Again, we'll just have to wait. But I'm not buying that because the first film was a hit 20 years ago people want another.
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Absolutely awful for Turtles and definitely a win for MBY. A popular book plus very smart leads is going to lead to a big win for the studio.
In regards to the rest of the summer, the ONLY sequels I think have a shot at outgrossing their predecessors are Conjuring 2 and Dory. The Conjuring will be going off a lot of good will from the first and early reviews seem to indicate this is on par with the first. Legs probably won't be as strong but I think if it can open to 55-60 it can make up the difference. Dory will win the summer. I'm not trying to sound crazy but I think theres an OUTSIDE shot of 500. 400 seems the floor to me (I know that will get some backlash) but I think it and the Incredibles are the only Pixar films people are really excited to see a sequel for. Secret Life of Pets could obviously squash Dory's changes of going atmospheric if it doesn't have a huge rush but I think it will. It's a true 4 quadrant film.
The one thing I'm really confused on is people thinking Independence Day will pass the original. The trailers have been really poor and every time I see it before a film (including last night before Turtles) I feel like there's no audience reaction. It's just shit blowing up with terrible one liners. Goodblum helps but I just can't see this being a big hit and would legitimately not be surprised if it doesn't out open the original. Seems like a 150 grosser to me.
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7 hours ago, CJohn said:
I was legit shocked. I am not sure if they told her she was doing a Ninja Turtles movie tbh. I saw tears in her eyes and shit. Meanwhile the Arrow dude and Megan Fox would just do hot stuff for the target audience to be quiet and look at them instead of noticing they have no idea how to act.
And Tyler Perry was hysterical. He knew he was doing a massive piece of shit and he enjoyed every minute.
lol, the TP comment is spot on. the laugh.
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this shit was TERRIBLE. I didn't like the first one (but I like Arrow and wanted to see Amell as CJ) but I would rather watch it 100 times than suffer through this. Less than five movies I've ever walked out of it and this was very close.
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The newest trailer that was before X-Men made SS seem like the Harley Quinn show. I totally get it because it looks like Margot knocked it out of the park and they're doing the solo film but the tone seemed quite different from the initial one. I also read somewhere that there was reshoots because audience reaction was that it wasn't funny enough, did anyone else see that?
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9 minutes ago, Baumer said:
of course she's a draw. But the X-Men 4 comic books are bigger than Jennifer Lawrence. You're not going to get 30 to 40 year old women who are Jennifer Lawrence fans will rush out and seeing X-Men movie just because she's in it.
thank god someone gets it.
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PSA: Brink! is coming on Disney Channel in 10 minutes for anyone who wants to relive it in all its glory.
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7 minutes ago, CJohn said:
He probably meant the ceiling WW (and X3 only did like 1M more than DoFP DOM).
exactly.
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9 minutes ago, moviesRus said:
How can DOFP be the ceiling when Last Stand actually made more several years earlier (domestically).
Clearly I mean with the new cast. There's no going back to the original trilogy. The numbers just won't hit that again. I meant in this second phase (and also WW).
Weekend #s June 3-5: TMNT2 35.25m, X:A 22.3m, MBY 18.27m, Alice 10.69m, Birds 9.775m
in Numbers and Data
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Really bummed Nice Guys didn't find more of an audience. A really fun film.