RyneOh1040
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Posts posted by RyneOh1040
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Variety is reporting 10 million OD for both Into the Woods and Unbroken.
Huge.
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This is my favorite post of the year.
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Of course Streep is a living legend. But tell that to Daniel Day-Lewis and the box office total of "Nine." I would have had the movie posters include the faces of both Streep and Kendrick 50/50.
Finally starting to understand what white girls mean when they say 'I can't' because I can't with that logic.
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Into the Woods will come in below expectations because there is too much kids/family fare competing against it (Museum, Annie, Big Hero 6). I would go with a 4 day total in the upper 30s.
What is interesting about ITW is that the trailers/marketing have focused on Streep instead of Kendrick. Streep isn't a box office draw. Kendrick would appeal more to girls b/c of the Pitch Perfect fanbase (DVD sales of Pitch Perfect are very high). The Giver flopped.
Lolololol.
Trolls be trollin. Was Pitch Perfect a sleeper hit? Sure. Do I love Kendrick and wish to marry her? Yep. Does she even scratch the surface on the accomplishments of Streep or what her name brings to a film? Hell no.
And a 4 day total in the upper 30's would not be below expectations, it would be quite good.
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Into The Woods, yes. That is where the audience for Annie will go when they hear the bad WOM and reviews for it. Unbroken - ehhh, not so much. No Golden Globe nods, no name actors. Only 75 domestic for that.
Into The Woods has the quality to be big I can tell you that. I saw it last week and was kind of blown away at how good it is. I'm not a huge fan of musicals but I loved it. The 2200 theater count is alarming though, I thought this would be around 3200-3400 OD.
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You don't get to that big of an opening unless you're a very highly anticipated sequel(usually). So The Hunger Games absolutely belongs in the same conversation as Avengers/TDK/TDKR as far as opening weekend and multipliers are concerned.
I'm not saying it doesn't belong in the same conversations but I'm saying those three films you just listed have MUCH greater factors working in their favor than this franchise EVER will. When you draw straight line comparisons (i.e. CF had the worst multiplier of the 4) between them it seems ridiculous to me because of course it was going to. The fact that it's even in the conversation when those films had so much more going for them is the feat.
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Okay, you guys are right. It's a complete mystery why this movie will make 100m less than its predecessor.
Oh, I think the answer is simple enough. It's an unnecessary film that is half of a story. But I've never commented on that, only biased comparisons.
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So, we can only compare it to third movies in a series of 3 books turned into 4?
No, but you certainly can't put it on the same playing field as the finale of one of the most beloved series of the past two decades (TDKR), a film that was literally the event of year after Ledger's death (TDK), or a film that took Marvel 5 plus years and 5 plus films to lay the groundwork for.
Surely you see that's biased?
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I like this forum but way too much overreaction as always. Still going to make in the 350 range.
350 would be best cast scenario. 310-315 is more realistic, which for what this is (a cash grab) is fine.
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Better legs than virtually every other big opener except those ones.
Exactly, and most of those are biased comparisons.
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Who's only comparing it to a movie that opened at 90? It had worse legs than TA. Worse legs than TDKR. Worse than TDK.
TA is a terrible comparison and TDK is even worse.
I'll give you TDKR but I don't think comparing the final film in a trilogy and the second in a series of four is fair either.
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...which were solid enough but hardly anything spectacular, even given the huge OW.
I disagree completely. A sequel that neared a 3 multiplier after a 158 million OW for the young adult audience is pretty spectacular.
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It's a film that nobody wanted. In the first part of the book nothing happens. It's still impressive that it will do near 300m domestic and 750m WW. Lionsgate must be happy even though they screwed up the marketing for this. MJ2 will be huge, I'm sure. It faces much difficult competition though.
Agree with all of this.
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I think the only really disappointing thing about the Mockingjay number is that it's lower than BD Part 1. I just think it was impossible for this to have the momentum of the first two, especially when those two were much more friendly to the general audience. I do think that if it opens in the DH Part 1 range, then Guardians officially wins the year. There's just no reason for this to have great legs. I think 310-315 seems like a solid place for it to land.
Part 2 will still be huge.
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Just got back from Mockingjay...as a fan of the franchise I think it was well done but overall unnecessary. The first hour is a real drag. The back half is solid but its easily the weakest film of the three. There is one scene in the last 10 minutes of the film that I found to be very unsettling. Much more intense than I had pictured it from the book. I think Moore is a good add here, and did a great job with President Coin. I think if this opens in the 125-135 range, that's just fine.
The real story for me at my viewing was the Pitch Perfect 2 trailer. My audience LOST it and knew what it was with only the 'Cups' rendition playing before any cast were even shown. I know the first has found a wide audience but I think next May this is going to surprise some people with just how high it opens. I think 40-50 million OW is a very realistic possibility. It's also been trending on Twitter for TWO DAYS now. Ridiculous.
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40 million (which is obviously going to fluctuate at this point) would be almost best case scenario for this. Pretty huge.
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Just got back from Interstellar in IMAX and I'm surprised to see estimates have dropped so much...wasn't 21-23 million OD on the table earlier? Still a fine result.
I need to see the film again, but I definitely feel like the RT score is pretty spot on. I will always love Nolan for his vision and ambition, but INTERstellar is a fitting title; it's somewhere between good and great.
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8 million for Addicted at 846 theaters (a movie I had to Google) is kind of insane...
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SON OF A BITCH.
sorry, but I've been going there since I was 12 years old...and I loved the layout.
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The scene in Gone Girl where Rosamund Pike
waits for Neil Patrick Harris to ejaculate inside her and then grabs the box cutter and slits his throat open
is one of the best of the decade.
I looked at my friend as we walked out and said 'i hate to throw around the word iconic...but that scene truly will be remembered'
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Hell yes, Gone Girl. HELL YES.
Film of the year for me. I mean, the book was good, but the film was a damn near masterpiece.
Would be an absolute shame if Affleck, Pike and Fincher get overlooked come Oscar season. They put in serious work.
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That hold for TMR is just aces...100 is in play.
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YOU DO YOU, MAZE RUNNER
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That seems like a shit hold for MR
Nah. 50-55% would be respectable for the genre.
Friday, Dec. 26 Box Office: Hobbit 15.6, Unbroken 12.3, ITW 12.2, NATM 7.4 (full BOM weekend #s on p14)
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Really just terrific numbers for Hobbit, Unbroken, and Woods. I know Unbroken has really shocked a lot of people but ITW success can't go unnoticed either. This could have easily made about half of what it's going to make, given the theater count. Musicals are always a tough sell. Still confused why Disney didnt put this is 3500 theaters, it would have rivaled hobbit for first place over the weekend.