The Panda

Yeah, I was agreeing with you there. It's looking like that 50% OW decrease from the first could actually happen. In regards to its trailer views, I think that's just another nail to say trailer views are global, therefore high views doesn't indicate where the interest is coming from (in this case, the higher views showed higher interest from OS).

I think JW2 will be more walk up based than I2, but not twice as walk up friendly (or anything like that). I reckon that could mean an OW in the low 100 range.

Ready for Monday numbers so we can get out first taste of those legs!

A- in CS terms is completely different than an A+ or even an A.

I also reckon I2 will climb up a bit given its BO and it’s currently only its OW

Just as a little fun experiment, I decided to look at how different metric ranked superhero movies. Pick the one you like the best as being the most objective. I also created a cumulative list in which I scored points based off each lists rankings (10 for number 1, 9 for 2-3, 8 for 4-5, 7 for 6-7, 6 for 8-10, 5 for 11-13, 4 for 14-16, 3 for 17-19, 2 for 20-22, 1 for 23-25) The methods I used for the BOT Reviews list was I multiplied the total number of reviews by 5, gave each A 4 points, B 3 points, C 2, etc. and divided over the max number of points to get a percentage. Cumulative Ranking 1. The Dark Knight - 70 2. The Incredibles - 56 3. Spider-Man 2 - 45 4. Black Panther - 44 5. Marvel's The Avengers - 41 6. Guardians of the Galaxy - 39 (tiebreaker due to a more placements) 7. Logan - 39 8. Avengers: Infinity War - 38 (tiebreaker due to a higher placement) 9. Incredibles 2 - 38 10. Iron Man - 36 11. Superman - 33 12. Captain America: Civil War - 32 13. The Dark Knight Rises - 31 14. X-Men: Days of Future Past - 27 15. Spider-Man: Homecoming - 26 16. Spider-Man - 25 17. Thor: Ragnarok - 24 18. Captain America: The Winter Soldier - 22 (tiebreaker due to a higher placement) 19. Wonder Woman - 22 20. Big Hero 6 - 21 (tiebreaker due to more placements) 21. Batman Begins - 21 22. Batman - 18 23. RoboCop - 17 (tiebreaker due to a higher placement) 24. Deadpool - 17 25. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - 16 (more placements) Top 25 Superhero Movies Based Off of WW BO 1. Avengers: Infinity War 2. Marvel's The Avengers 3. Avengers: Age of Ultron 4. Black Panther 5. Iron Man 3 6. Captain America: Civil War 7. The Dark Knight Rises 8. The Dark Knight 9. Spider-Man 3 10. Spider-Man: Homecoming 11. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 12. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 13. Thor: Ragnarok 14. Wonder Woman 15. Spider-Man 16. Spider-Man 2 17. Deadpool 18. Guardians of the Galaxy 19. The Amazing Spider-Man 20. X-Men: Days of Future Past 21. Suicide Squad 22. Captain America: The Winter Soldier 23. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 24. Deadpool 2 25. Doctor Strange Top 25 Superhero Movies Based Off of DOM BO (Adjusted) 1. Marvel's The Avengers 2. Black Panther 3. The Dark Knight 4. Avengers Infinity War 5. Spider-Man 6. Batman 7. Spider-Man 2 8. The Dark Knight Rises 9. Superman 10. Avengers: Age of Ultron 11. Spider-Man 3 12. Iron Man 3 13. Captain America: Civil War 14. Wonder Woman 15. Iron Man 16. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 17. Batman Forever 18. Deadpool 19. The Incredibles 20. Guardians of the Galaxy 21. Iron Man 2 22. Batman Returns 23. Superman 2 24. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 25. Suicide Squad Top 25 Superhero Movies Based Off of Rotten Tomatoes The Incredibles - 97 (8.3 Avg), 236 Reviews Black Panther - 97 (8.2 Avg), 378 Reviews The Dark Knight - 94 (8.6 Avg), 327 Reviews Incredibles 2 - 94 (7.8 Avg), 186 Reviews Iron Man - 94 (7.7 Avg), 268 Reviews Superman - 94 (8.0 Avg), 63 Reviews Spider-Man 2 - 93 (8.3 Avg), 268 Reviews Logan - 93 (7.9 Avg), 339 Reviews Marvel's The Avengers - 92 (8 Avg), 330 Reviews Spider-Man: Homecoming - 92 (7.7 Avg), 317 Reviews Wonder Woman - 92 (7.6 Avg), 376 Reviews Thor: Ragnarok - 92 (7.5 Avg Rating), 335 Reviews Captain America: Civil War - 91 (7.7 Avg), 364 Reviews Guardians of the Galaxy - 91 (7.7 Avg), 299 Reviews X-Men: Days of Future Past - 90 (7.5 Avg), 298 Reviews The LEGO Batman Movie - 90 (7.5 Avg), 277 Reviews RoboCop - 89 (7.8 Avg), 61 Reviews Captain America: The Winter Soldier - 89 (7.6 Avg), 276 Reviews Spider-Man - 89 (7.6 Avg), 238 Reviews Doctor Strange - 89 (7.3 Avg), 314 Reviews Big Hero 6 - 89 (7.3 Avg), 207 Reviews The Dark Knight Rises - 87 (8 Avg), 347 Reviews Captain Underpants - 86 (8.6 Avg), 117 Reviews) X-Men: First Class - 86 (7.4 Avg), 280 Reviews Hellboy 2 - The Golden Army - 86 (7.2 Avg), 244 Reviews Top 25 Superhero Movies Based Off of Metacritic The Incredibles - 90, 41 Reviews Black Panther - 88, 55 Reviews Superman II - 87, 12 Reviews Superman - 86, 11 Reviews Spider-Man 2 - 83, 41 Reviews The Dark Knight - 82, 39 Reviews Incredibles 2 - 80, 50 Reviews Iron Man - 79, 38 Reviews The Dark Knight Rises - 78, 45 Reviews Hellboy 2 - The Golden Army - 36 Reviews Logan - 77, 51 Reviews Guardians of the Galaxy, 76, 53 Reviews Wonder Woman - 76, 50 Reviews Captain America: Civil War - 75, 53 Reviews The LEGO Batman Movie - 75, 48 Reviews X-Men: Days of Future Past - 75, 44 Reviews Big Hero 6 - 74, 38 Reviews Thor: Ragnarok - 74, 51 Reviews Spider-Man: Homecoming - 73, 51 Reviews Spider-Man - 73, 38 Reviews Doctor Strange - 72, 49 Reviews Superman Returns - 72, 40 Reviews Hellboy - 72, 37 Reviews Despicable Me - 72, 35 Reviews The Crow - 71, 14 Reviews Top 25 Superhero Movies Based Off of IMDb The Dark Knight - 9.0 (1.9m Votes) Avengers: Infinity War - 8.8 (377k Votes) Incredibles 2 - 8.5 (17k Votes) The Dark Knight Rises - 8.4 (1.2m Votes) Batman Begins - 8.3 (1.2m Votes) Marvel's The Avengers - 8.1 (1.1m Votes) Guardians of the Galaxy - 8.1 (850k Votes) Logan - 8.1 (487k Votes) Deadpool 2 - 8.1 (157k Votes) Deadpool - 8.0 (739k Votes) X-Men: Days of Future Past - 8.0 (587k Votes) The Incredibles - 8.0 (548.7k Votes) Iron Man - 7.9 (798k Votes) Thor: Ragnarok - 7.9 (346k Votes) Captain America: The Winter Soldier - 7.8 (638k votes) X-Men: First Class - 7.8 (580k Votes) Captain America: Civil War - 7.8 (506k Votes) Big Hero 6 - 7.8 (339k Votes) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - 7.7 (387k Votes) Batman - 7.6 (299k votes) The Crow - 7.6 (149k Votes) Kick-Ass - 7.6 (479k Votes) Watchmen - 7.6 (432k Votes) X2: X-Men United - 7.5 (457k votes) Doctor Strange - 7.5 (427k votes) Top 25 Superhero Movies Based Off of Letterboxd The Dark Knight - 4.4 (110k Likes) The Incredibles - 4.1 (53k Likes) Logan - 4.0 (60k Likes) Avengers: Infinity War - 4.0 (42k Likes) Incredibles 2 - 4.0 (6k Likes) Guardians of the Galaxy - 3.9 (89k Likes) Black Panther - 3.9 (51k Likes) RoboCop - 3.9 (16k Likes) Captain America: The Winter Soldier - 3.8 (54k Likes) Thor: Ragnarok - 3.8 (50k Likes) Batman Begins - 3.8 (46k Likes) Big Hero 6 - 3.8 (40k Likes) Deadpool - 3.7 (77k Likes) Marvel's The Avengers - 3.7 (66k Likes) Captain America: Civil War - 3.7 (57k Likes) Spider-Man: Homecoming - 3.7 (48k Votes) Iron Man - 3.7 (46k Likes) Deadpool 2 - 3.7 (21k Likes) Unbreakable - 3.7 (14k Likes) The Dark Knight Rises - 3.6 (54k Likes) Wonder Woman - 3.6 (50k Likes) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - 3.6 (49k Likes) X-Men: Days of Future Past -3.6 (36k Likes) X-Men: First Class - 3.6 (28k Likes) Spider-Man 2 - 3.6 (25k Likes) Top 25 Superhero Movies Based Off of Awards Nominations The Dark Knight - Won 2 Oscars, Nominated for 8 (154 Wins and 155 Nominations) The Incredibles - Won 2 Oscars, Nominated for 4 (67 Wins and 55 Nominations) Spider-Man 2 - Won 1 Oscar, Nominated for 3 (24 Wins and 60 Nominations) Superman - Won 1 Oscar, Nominated for 3 (17 Wins and 21 Nominations) Big Hero 6 - Won 1 Oscar (16 Wins and 57 Nominations) Batman - Won 1 Oscar (9 Wins and 26 Nominations) Suicide Squad - Won 1 Oscar (16 Wins and 37 Nominations) Guardians of the Galaxy - Nominated for 2 Oscars (52 Wins and 99 Nominations) Iron Man - Nominated for 2 Oscars (20 Wins and 65 Nominations) Spider-Man - Nominated for 2 Oscars (17 Wins and 60 Nominations) Despicable Me 2 - Nominated for 2 Oscars (12 Wins, 65 Nominations) RoboCop - Nominated for 2 Oscars (11 Wins and 10 Nominations) The Mask of Zorro - Nominated for 2 Oscars (8 Wins and 16 Nominations) Batman Returns - Nominated for 2 Oscars (2 Wins and 27 Nominations) Marvel's The Avengers - Nominated for 1 Oscar (38 Wins and 78 Nominations) Logan - Nominated for 1 Oscar (22 Wins and 66 Nominations) Doctor Strange - Nominated for 1 Oscar (20 Wins and 64 Nominations) Iron Man 3 - Nominated for 1 Oscar (18 Wins and 61 Nominations) X-Men: Days of Future Past - Nominated for 1 Oscar (15 Wins and 47 Nominations) Batman Begins - Nominated for 1 Oscar (14 Wins and 72 Nominations) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 - Nominated for 1 Oscar (12 Wins and 43 Nominations) Superman Returns - Nominated for 1 Oscar (12 Wins and 40 Nominations) Iron Man 2 - Nominated for 1 Oscar (7 Wins and 42 Nominations) Captain America: The Winter Soldier - Nominated for 1 Oscar (5 Wins and 50 Nominations) Hellboy 2 - The Golden Army - Nominated for 1 Oscar (5 Wins and 28 Nominations) Top 25 Superhero Movies Based Off of BOT Reviews The Incredibles - 97%, 42 Ratings Spider-Man 2 - 95.3%, 38 Ratings The Dark Knight - 93.9%, 130 Ratings Logan - 92.3%, 91 Ratings X2: X-Men United - 92.2%, 22 Ratings X-Men: Days of Future Past - 91.9%, 123 Ratings Spider-Man: Homecoming - 90.5%, 74 Ratings Batman Begins - 90.4%, 54 Ratings Captain America: The Winter Soldier - 90.1%, 126 Ratings Incredibles 2 - 89.7%, 17 Ratings Guardians of the Galaxy - 89.6%, 135 Ratings X-Men: First Class - 88.3%, 64 Ratings Unbreakable - 88.3%, 15 Ratings Iron Man - 87.9%, 58 Ratings Superman II - 87.5%, 22 Ratings (Tie-broke over Superman for having more A scores) Superman - 87.5%, 22 Ratings Avengers: Infinity War - 87.3%, 114 Ratings RoboCop - 86.8%, 17 Ratings) Captain America: Civil War - 86.3%, 115 Ratings Black Panther - 85.2%, 93 Ratings Wonder Woman - 85.1%, 107 Ratings Spider-Man - 85.1%, 47 Ratings Marvel's The Avengers - 85%, 140 Ratings Hellboy 2 - The Golden Army - 84.1%, 11 Ratings Batman - 83.6%, 32 Ratings

Disney could be in for a record year They’re at 1.98b right now. Rough estimations I2 has another 500m left or so, that’s 2.48v Solo and IW have another 40m or so, 2.52b AMATW hits around 200m for 2.72b CR hits around 200m for 2.92b Nutcracker hits around 100m for 3.02b WIR2 does 200m of so in 2018 for 3.22b MPR does 140m or so in 2018 for 3.36b which is well over the record Then 2019 could go forward and break the record again 2018 holdovers do 225m or so Captain Marvel 300m for 525m Dumbo does 200m for 725m Penguins does 15m for 740m A4 does 680m for 1.42b Aladdin does 300m for 1.72b TS4 does 300m for 2.02b TLK does 700m for 2.72b Artemis Fowl does 100m for 2.82b Their slated live actions do 150m for 2.97b Frozen 2 does 400m for 3.37b Star Wars 9 does 450m in 2019 for 3.82b

Shay hating it is a seal of approval and a testament for why it’ll hold well in my books

There’s also only a few cases, adjusted where a 100m opener was followed by another 100m opener, those were Shrek the Third - Pirates 3 Shrek adjusted to a 161m OW, dropped 56% for a 70m Second Weekend to Pirates’ 153m Shrek 2 - Day After Tomorrow Shrek 2’s OW adjusts to 159m and dropped to 106m for its second weekend, where Day After Tomorrow opened in second to 101m. One of the few cases of two 100m weekend grossers in one weekend. The Matrix Reloded - Bruce Almighty Reloaded adjusted to a 139m OW, dropped to 56m in its second weekend while Bruce Almighty grossed 103m. Planet of the Apes - Rush Hour 2 Apes opened to 110m adjusted and fell 60% to 46m against Rush Hour 2s 109m The Da Vinci Code - X-Men: The Last Stand Code opened to 108m adjusted and fell 56% to X’s 143m Of all of these the Shrek comparisons are the best. Shrek 3’s drop is probably to steep as a comparison because of how disliked it, but AWE is probably going to be closer to how JWFK will open. The Shrek 2 comparison also shows that there’s precedent for two movies to be able to both do 100m in a single weekend, that may require JWFK opening near the lower end of its range though.

Maybe there really is something to these under 100m OW predicts?

Reported 48 Nazis on Twitter, and twitter reported back and said they only banned 15 of them. That’s 33 bans short of accetable moderation Twitter.

That IM is better than Dory’s (which also opened on FD weekend). That could mean we’ll see some better holds going forward this week too, as if it had sequel rush factor I’d expect it to have a worse IM.

It’ll be hard to make much of this, as I2 will sell like crazy in the weekdays. If JWFK doesn’t overtake I2 by Friday though it’ll have a problem.

26% of IW puts his at a 67m OW 58% of BP puts it at 118m OW 60% of DP 2 puts it at 77m OW 60% of Solo puts it at a 50m OW I think it’s safe to say JWFK will be more walk up friendly then all of these with the exception of possibly BP.

At the BOFFIES AWIT should get an automatic “worst BO run” for the cringe it induces each week with these fudges.

I guess I’m not the only one who had to deal with the clucking people (except there were adults doing it at my screening)

So 184m when you give back the money AWIT stole

I’d believe not as Deadline is saying 183m actuals and at this point they’d know

Except I only recently upped my OW predicts to 180m range, and where did it land? Wishes coming true or accurate prediction? Let’s wait and see!

@That One Guy Not 179m

I definitely agree it isn’t locked, realistically I’d still say it’s a hard multi to hit. But I do think it has a legitimate shot

@That One Guy laugh reacts to a 3.8x multi being doable while overlooking the fact that well-received animation clears that bar all the time. Didnt say it was locked, said it was definitely doable (which based off precedent it is)

So off a 184m OW, I2 needs a 3.8x multiplier to pass 700m, definitely in the doable range

1. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again 2. Christopher Robin 3. First Man 4. Ralph Breaks in the Internet 5. Mary Poppins Returns 6. Mary, Queen of Scots 7. Eighth Grade 8. A Star is Born 9. Venom 10. Bumblebee

I think Sunday was underestimated by a sizable amount, just from seeing the sellouts at the theater I went to today