The Panda

At this point it's best to just ignore this thread as people are either worshiping the deal or hailing it as the coming of the anti-christ.

Updated, anything I put as an alt I consider still in contention, my number 1 pick is the predicted winner and anything with Toss Up to the side I could see potentially missing the cut. My BP predicts are more on how many there are going to be rather than one of the alts swapping. Currently predicting 9 noms, but I could see as little as 7-8. Best Picture 1. Get Out 2. Lady Bird 3. Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri 4. Call Me By Your Name 5. The Shape of Water 6. The Big Sick (Toss Up) 7. Dunkirk (Toss Up) 8. The Florida Project (Toss Up) 9. The Post (Toss Up) Alts (in order): Mudbound (Toss Up), The Disaster Artist, I, Tonya, Phantom Thread, Wonder Woman, Logan, Star Wars: The Last Jedi Best Director 1. Guillermo Del Torro, The Shape of Water 2. Jordan Peele, Get Out 3. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk 4. Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird 5. Stephen Spielberg, The Post (Toss Up) Alts (in order): Sean Baker, The Florida Project (Toss Up), Luca Guadagnino, Call Me By Your Name (Toss Up), Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards (Toss Up), Rian Johnson, Star Wars: The Last Jedi Best Actress 1. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards 2. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water 3. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird 4. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya 5. Meryl Streep, The Post (Toss Up) Alts: Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul (Toss Up), Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game (Toss Up), Daisey Ridley, Star Wars: The Last Jedi Best Actor 1. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name 2. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour 3. James Franco, The Disaster Artist 4. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out 5. Daniel-Day Lewis, Phantom Thread (Toss Up) Alts: Denzel Washington, Roman J Israel Esq (Toss Up), Tom Hanks, The Post (Toss Up), Mark Hamill, Star Wars: The Last Jedi Supporting Actress 1. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird 2. Allison Janney, I, Tonya 3. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick 4. Mary J. Blige, Mudbound (Toss Up) 5. Hong Chau, Downsizing (Toss Up) Alts: Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water (Toss Up), Tiffany Haddish (Toss Up), Carrie Fisher, Star Wars: The Last Jedi Supporting Actor 1. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project 2. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards 3. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water 4. Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name (Toss Up) 5. Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes (Toss Up) Alts: Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards (Toss Up), Michael Stuhlberg, Call Me By Your Name (Toss Up), Patrick Stewart, Logan, Adam Driver, Star Wars: The Last Jedi Adapted Screenplay 1. Molly’s Game 2. The Disaster Artist 3. Call Me By Your Name 4. Mudbound (Toss Up) 5. Wonder (Toss Up) Alts: Logan (Toss Up), Wonderstruck (Toss Up), Victoria and Abdul (Toss Up), Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Toss Up), Wonder Woman (Toss Up), Blade Runner 2049 (Toss Up) Original Screenplay 1. Get Out 2. Lady Bird 3. Three Billboards 4. The Shape of Water (Toss Up) 5. The Big Sick (Toss Up) Alts: The Post (Toss Up), Phantom Thread, Dunkirk Cinematography 1. Blade Runner 2049 2. The Shape of Water 3. Dunkirk 4. Mudbound (Toss Up) 5. Call Me By Your Name (Toss Up) Alts: The Florida Project (Toss Up), Wonder Wheel (Toss Up), Darkest Hour (Toss Up), Star Wars: The Last Jedi Costume Design 1. Beauty and the Beast 2. Phantom Thread 3. The Shape of Water (Toss Up) 4. Blade Runner 2049 (Toss Up) 5. Wonder Woman (Toss Up) Alts: The Beguiled (Toss Up), Victoria and Abdul, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Murder on the Orient Express, Dunkirk, Darkest Hour Editing 1. Dunkirk 2. Baby Driver 3. The Shape of Water (Toss Up) 4. The Post (Toss Up) 5. Blade Runner 2049 (Toss Up) Alts: I, Tonya (Toss Up), Get Out (Toss Up), Three Billboards (Toss Up), Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Darkest Hour Makeup and Hair 1. The Shape of Water (Toss Up) 2. I, Tonya (Toss Up) 3. Darkest Hour (Toss Up) Alts: Beauty and the Beast (Toss Up), Wonder (Toss Up), Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 (Toss Up), IT (Toss Up), Star Wars: The Last Jedi Production Design 1. The Shape of Water 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. Dunkirk (Toss Up) 4. Phantom Thread (Toss Up) 5. Beauty and the Beast (Toss Up) Alts: Murder on the Orient Express (Toss Up), Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Get Out, Downsizing, Wonder Woman Score 1. The Shape of Water 2. Phantom Thread 3. Dunkirk 4. Blade Runner 2049 5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Toss Up) Alts: The Post (Toss Up), War for the Planet of the Apes (Toss Up), Three Billboards (Toss Up), Wonder Woman, Darkest Hour, Wonderstruck Song 1. Remember Me from Coco 2. This is Me from The Greatest Showman (Toss Up) 3. The Mystery of Love from Call Me By Your Name (Toss Up) 4. Stand Up for Something from Marshall (Toss Up) 5. Evermore from Beauty and the Beast (Toss Up) Alts: Mighty River (Toss Up), Visions of Gideon (Toss Up), Mystery of Love (Toss Up), It Ain’t Fair (Toss Up) Sound Editing 1. Dunkirk 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Toss Up) 4. War for the Planet of the Apes (Toss Up) 5. Baby Driver (Toss Up) Alts: The Shape of Water (Toss Up), Wonder Woman (Toss Up), Darkest Hour (Toss Up), Logan (Toss Up), Coco Sound Mixing 1. Dunkirk 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Toss Up) 4. Baby Driver (Toss Up) 5. Shape of Water (Toss Up) Alts: War for the Planet of the Apes (Toss Up), Beauty and the Beast (Toss Up), Darkest Hour (Toss Up), Wonder Woman (Toss Up), Logan (Toss Up), Coco (Toss Up) VFX 1. War for the Planet of the Apes 2. Dunkirk (Toss Up) 3. Blade Runner 2049 (Toss Up) 4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Toss Up) 5. The Shape of Water (Toss Up) Alts: Wonder Woman (Toss Up). Thor: Ragnarok (Toss Up), Beauty and the Beast (Toss Up), Alien: Covenant, Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Animated Feature 1. Coco 2. The Breadwinner 3. Loving Vincent 4. The Boss Baby (Toss Up) 5. Despicable Me 3 (Toss Up) Alts: The LEGO Batman Movie (Toss Up), Cars 3 (Toss Up), The Big Bad Fox and Other Tales (Toss Up), In This Corner of the World (Toss Up), Napping Princess (Toss Up), Ferdinand (Toss Up) Documentary 1. Faces Places 2. City of Ghosts 3. Jane 4. Strong Island (Toss Up) 5. Ex Libris (Toss Up) Alts: LA 92 (Toss Up), Chasing Coral (Toss Up), Last Man in Aleppo (Toss Up), An Inconvenient Sequel, Icarus, Abascus, Human Flow Animated Short 1. Revolting Rhythms (Toss Up) 2. Dear Basketball (Toss Up) 3. In a Heartbeat (Toss Up) 4. Cradle (Toss Up) 5. Lou (Toss Up) Alts: Negative Space, Fox and the Whale, Lost Property Documentary Short 1. Edith+Eddie (Toss Up) 2. Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405 (Toss Up) 3. Alone (Toss Up) 4. Ten Meter Tower (Toss Up) 5. Heroine (Toss Up) Alts: 116 Cameras, Ram Dass, Going Home, Kayayo: The Living Shopping Baskets, Knife Skills

I'd predict a Timothee win but his age. Oldman and Franco both seem like easy choice, but Kaluuya is oddly a dark horse as he's won a few (not just been nominated).

Chicago Film Critic Winners Best Picture: "Lady Bird" Best Director: Christopher Nolan, "Dunkirk" Best Actor: Timothée Chalamet, "Call Me By Your Name" Best Actress: Saoirse Ronan, "Lady Bird" Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe, "The Florida Project" Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf, "Lady Bird" Best Original Screenplay: Jordan Peele, "Get Out" Best Adapted Screenplay: James Ivory, "Call Me By Your Name" Best Foreign Language Film: "The Square" Best Documentary: "Jane" Best Animated Feature: "Coco" Best Cinematography: Roger Deakins, "Blade Runner 2049" Best Editing: Jonathan Amos and Paul Machliss, "Baby Driver" Best Art Direction: "Blade Runner 2049" Best Original Score: Jonny Greenwood, "Phantom Thread" Most Promising Performer: Timothée Chalamet, "Call Me By Your Name" Most Promising Filmmaker: Greta Gerwig, "Lady Bird"

Three Billboards, Get Out and Lady Bird are all politically relevant as well (and all of them would be answers to Hollywood controversies from this year and last year). They awarded a similar film to the Post, Spotlight, just two years ago and there isn't much indication that the Academy is necessarily going to award a movie as a political statement. Further, if the political statement aspect were true, you'd have seen SAG and other critics start following through. There's obviously room for other precursors to start giving the Post awards, but as of right now I don't think it's in contention.

DFW Critic Wins Best Picture The Shape Of Water Best Actor Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour Best Actress Sally Hawkins – The Shape Of Water Best Supporting Actor Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri Best Supporting Actress Allison Janney – I, Tonya Best Director Guillermo del Toro – The Shape Of Water Best Foreign Language Film The Square Best Documentary City Of Ghosts Best Animated Film Coco Best Screenplay Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird Best Cinematography Dan Laustsen – The Shape Of Water Best Musical Score Alexandre Desplat – The Shape Of Water The Russell Smith Award (Independent Film) The Florida Project

Maybe that argument plays out. But it is historically hard for late-comers in the race to become the major frontrunner. Especially when The Post is a movie that's liked, but isn't getting massive amounts of acclaim. It has a fair amount of people that don't like it, which is death when you're thinking of a preferential ballot that prefers the movie everyone likes and will place within their top 3 noms.

Not saying it can't happen, but Waltz was picking up more precursor wins than Streep is right now. If Streep gets both the BAFTA and Globe, I'd say she'd have a chance, but I don't think I'd predict that (maybe she gets the Globe, but I don't see her getting the BAFTA over Ronan or McDormand)

Yeah, last year you could have made the argument, "They didn't nominate La La Land because it didn't have an ensemble!" (And still remember, La La Land missed and lost the Oscar) But when your movie is ensemble based like the Post (as well as Shape of Water, Dunkirk, CMBYN, and The Florida Project) and you missed, it does indicate a lack of support from a major branch. That's especially true when your movie missed a lot of key nominations like CMBYN did with Hammer/Stuhlberg and The Post did with Streep and Hanks. Also, I think the Big Sick (despite a Globe miss in comedy) is a strong contender for the ninth slot, if there will be nine, now. I'd also say Mudbound, but I'm too skeptical of the academy shutting it out because of it being Netflix.

"Pfieffer's going to get nominated!" - Said Han before every precursor.

Streep isn't winning when there's a massive amount of love for McDormand, Ronan and Hawkins. It's worth noting Streep has also been getting a lot of major ignores from critics, which also correlate with Actress wins. If she missed the Globes, I wouldn't think her chances would be affected, but missing a SAG nom (especially when you already have three wins and your performance isn't receiving the type of acclaim your competitors are getting) is the deal breaker.

Kaluuya's definitely getting in. Also, it's worth noting there's a really high importance for a BP winner to have SAG nom (not necessarily a win) as it indicates major support from the actors branch of the academy. I'd say this puts the BP race between Lady Bird, Get Out and Three Billboards.

So what you're saying is Star Wars spoiler threads are our only chance to complain about the moderators without getting banned?

Houston Critic Awards Picture: The Big Sick Call Me By Your Name Dunkirk The Florida Project Get Out Lady Bird Logan The Post The Shape of Water Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Director: Guillermo del Toro, "The Shape of Water" Greta Gerwig, "Lady Bird" Christopher Nolan, "Dunkirk" Jordan Peele, "Get Out" Steven Spielberg, "The Post" Actor: Timothee Chalamet, "Call Me By Your Name" James Franco, "The Disaster Artist" Daniel Kaluuya, "Get Out" Robert Pattinson, "Good Time" Andy Serkis, "War for the Planet of the Apes" Actress: Sally Hawkins, "The Shape of Water" Frances McDormand, "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri" Brooklyn Prince, "The Florida Project" Margot Robbie, "I, Tonya" Saiorse Ronan, "Lady Bird" Supporting Actor: Willem Defoe, "The Florida Project" Richard Jenkins, "The Shape of Water" Sam Rockwell, "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri" Patrick Stewart, "Logan" Michael Stuhlbarg, "Call Me By Your Name" Supporting Actress: Holly Hunter, "The Big Sick" Allison Janney, "I, Tonya" Dafne Keen, "Logan" Laurie Metcalf, "Lady Bird" Octavia Spencer, "The Shape of Water" Screenplay: "The Big Sick," Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani "Get Out," Jordan Peele "Lady Bird," Greta Gerwig "The Post," Elizabeth Hanna and Josh Singer "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri," Martin McDonagh Cinematography: "Blade Runner 2049," Roger Deakins "Call Me By Your Name," Sayombhu Mukdeeprom "Dunkirk," Hoyte van Hoytema "The Shape of Water," Dan Laustsen "Wonder Wheel," Vittoria Storaro Animated Film: "The Breadwinner" "Coco" "Despicable Me 3" "The Lego Batman Movie" "Loving Vincent" Original Score: "Blade Runner 2049," Ben Wallfisch and Hans Zimmer "Dunkirk," Hans Zimmer "The Post," John Williams "The Shape of Water," Alexandre Desplat "War for the Planet of the Apes," Michael Giacchino Best Original Song: "Evermore" ("Beauty and the Beast") "I Get Overwhelmed" ("A Ghost Story") "Never Forget" ("Murder on the Orient Express") "Remember Me" ("Coco") "Visions of Gideon" ("Call Me By Your Name") Foreign Language Film: "BPM" "Blade of the Immortal" "First They Killed My Father" "The Square" "Thelma" Documentary Feature: "Faces Places" "Jane" "Kedi" "Step" "The Work" Visual Effects: "Blade Runner 2049" "The Shape of Water" "War for the Planet of the Apes" Poster: "Baby Driver" "It" "Logan Lucky" "Mother" "The Shape of Water" Texas Independent Film Award: "A Ghost Story" "Mr. Roosevelt" "Mustang Island" "The Secret Life of Lance Letscher" "Song to Song" Also African American Film Critic Society Awards BEST PICTURE GET OUT (Universal Pictures) BEST DIRECTOR JORDAN PEELE – GET OUT (Universal Pictures) BEST ACTOR DANIEL KALUUYA – GET OUT (Universal Pictures) BEST ACTRESS FRANCES McDORMAND – THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING MISSOURI (Fox Searchlight) BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR LAURENCE FISHBURNE – LAST FLAG FLYING (Amazon Studios/Lionsgate) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS TIFFANY HADDISH – GIRLS TRIP (Universal Pictures) BEST COMEDY GIRLS TRIP (Universal Pictures) BEST ENSEMBLE DETROIT (Annapurna Pictures) BEST INDEPENDENT CROWN HEIGHTS (Amazon Studios/IFC Films) BEST ANIMATED COCO (Disney/Pixar) BEST DOCUMENTARY STEP (Fox Searchlight) BEST FOREIGN THE WOUND (Kino Lorber) BEST SCREENPLAY GET OUT (Universal Pictures) BEST SONG “IT AINT FAIR” – DETROIT – THE ROOTS featuring BILAL (Motown Records) BEST NEW MEDIA MUDBOUND (Netflix) BEST TV SERIES (COMEDY) BLACK-ISH (ABC) BEST TV SERIES (DRAMA) QUEEN SUGAR (OWN) BREAKOUT LAKEITH STANFIELD – CROWN HEIGHTS (Amazon Studios/IFC Films) TOP 10 FILMS GET OUT (Universal Pictures) THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING MISSOURI (Fox Searchlight) COCO (Disney/Pixar) GIRLS TRIP (Universal Pictures) DETROIT (Annapurna Pictures) CALL ME BY YOUR NAME (Sony Pictures Classics) THE SHAPE OF WATER (Fox Searchlight) GOOK (Samuel Goldwyn Films) CROWN HEIGHTS (Amazon Studios/IFC Films) MARSHALL (Open Road Films) TOP 10 TV PROGRAMS QUEEN SUGAR: Season 2 (OWN) UNDERGROUND: Season 2 (WGN) INSECURE: Season 2 (HBO) MASTER OF NONE: Season 2 (Netflix) BLACK-ISH: Season 4 (ABC) THE HANDMAID’S TALE: Season 1 (Hulu) DEAR WHITE PEOPLE: Season 1 (Netflix) SHE’S GOTTA HAVE IT: Season 1 (Netflix) THE DEFIANT ONES (HBO) TIE: GUERILLA/SNOWFALL: Season 1 (Showtime/FX)

What a perfect way to watch The Emoji Movie

Australian Academy Awards Nominees AACTA International Award for Best Film “Call Me by Your Name” “Dunkirk” “Lady Bird” “The Shape of Water” “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” AACTA International Award for Best Direction “Call Me by Your Name” – Luca Guadagnino “Dunkirk” – Christopher Nolan “I, Tonya” – Craig Gillespie “Lady Bird” – Greta Gerwig “The Shape of Water” – Guillermo del Toro AACTA International Award for Best Screenplay “Call Me by Your Name” – James Ivory “Dunkirk” – Christopher Nolan “Get Out”- Jordan Peele “Lady Bird” – Greta Gerwig “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”- Martin McDonagh AACTA International Award for Best Lead Actress Judi Dench – “Victoria & Abdul” Sally Hawkins – “The Shape of Water” Frances McDormand -“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” Margot Robbie – “I, Tonya” Saoirse Ronan – “Lady Bird” AACTA International Award for Best Lead Actor Timothée Chalamet – “Call Me by Your Name” Daniel Day-Lewis – “Phantom Thread” Hugh Jackman – “Logan” Daniel Kaluuya – “Get Out” Gary Oldman – “Darkest Hour” AACTA International Award for Best Supporting Actress Mary J. Blige – “Mudbound” Abbie Cornish – “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” Allison Janney – “I, Tonya” Nicole Kidman – “The Killing of a Sacred Deer” Laurie Metcalf – “Lady Bird” AACTA International Award for Best Supporting Actor Willem Dafoe – “The Florida Project” Armie Hammer – “Call Me By Your Name” Tom Hardy – “Dunkirk” Ben Mendelsohn – “Darkest Hour” Sam Rockwell – “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”

You're right, it's not a dark horse contender...

Blasphemy! Deadpool is a very serious and adult funny book character!

There's a few factors that make it hard and go both ways. 1. Pre-Sales are becoming a bigger thing every year, especially with the advancement of reserved seating. 2. TFA was often advertised as a Christmas release, and received a lot of Christmas pre-sales. TLJ isn't really being advertised that way, which means its pre-sales may be more concentrated toward OW. 3. TFA potentially had more of a rush factor than TLJ, which would speak highly of TLJ being right behind it if we expect more walks ups and factor in more Christmas pre-sales for TFA. It's really hard to tell, but 2nd all time does seem very likely.

So we're looking at O/U 230m OW?

Phoenix Critics Circle Nominees BEST PICTURE Dunkirk The Florida Project Lady Bird The Shape of Water Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri BEST COMEDY FILM The Big Sick The Disaster Artist I, Tonya Lady Bird Logan Lucky BEST SCIENCE FICTION FILM Blade Runner, 2049 Okja The Shape of Water War for the Planet of the Apes BEST HORROR FILM Get Out Hounds of Love It It Comes at Night Raw BEST MYSTERY OR THRILLER FILM The Beguiled Get Out The Killing of a Sacred Deer mother! Murder on the Orient Express The Post Split Wind River BEST ANIMATED FILM The Breadwinner Cars 3 Coco The Lego Batman Movie Loving Vincent BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM BPM (Beats per Minute) In the Fade Raw The Square Thelma BEST DOCUMENTARY City of Ghosts Jane Step Whose Streets BEST ACTOR Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread James Franco, The Disaster Artist Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour Harry Dean Stanton, Lucky BEST ACTRESS Jessica Chastain, Molly's Game Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Margot Robbie, I, Tonya Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Mary J. Blige, Mudbound Holly Hunter, The Big Sick Allison Janney, I Tonya Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water BEST DIRECTOR Sean Baker, The Florida Project Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk Jordan Peele, Get Out Edgar Wright, Baby Driver BEST SCREENPLAY Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird Liz Hannah and Josh Singer, The Post Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Jordan Peele, Get Out Aaron Sorkin, Molly's Game BEST SCORE Alexandre Desplat, The Shape of Water Jonny Greenwood, Phantom Thread Benjamin Wallfisch and Hans Zimmer, Blade Runner 2049 Hans Zimmer, Dunkirk

Seattle Critics Nominations Best Picture Blade Runner 2049 The Disaster Artist Dunkirk The Florida Project Get Out Lady Bird Logan Phantom Thread The Post Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Animated The Breadwinner Coco The LEGO Batman Movie Loving Vincent Your Name. Best Director Sean Baker – The Florida Project Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk Jordan Peele – Get Out Denis Villeneuve – Blade Runner 2049 Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread James Franco – The Disaster Artist Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour Robert Pattinson – Good Time Best Actress Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Margot Robbie – I, Tonya Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird Meryl Streep – The Post Best Supporting Actor Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project Barry Keoghan – The Killing of a Sacred Deer Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Michael Shannon – The Shape of Water Patrick Stewart – Logan Best Supporting Actress Tiffany Haddish – Girls Trip Holly Hunter – The Big Sick Allison Janney – I, Tonya Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird Best Screenplay The Big Sick The Disaster Artist Get Out Lady Bird Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Original Score Blade Runner 2049 Dunkirk Phantom Thread War for the Planet of the Apes Wonderstruck Best Film Editing Baby Driver Blade Runner 2049 Dunkirk Get Out Lady Bird Best Cinematography Blade Runner 2049 Columbus Dunkirk The Florida Project The Shape of Water Best Production Design Blade Runner 2049 Dunkirk Murder on the Orient Express Phantom Thread The Shape of Water Best Costume Design Beauty and the Beast Blade Runner 2049 Darkest Hour Phantom Thread The Shape of Water Best Visual Effects Blade Runner 2049 Dunkirk The Shape of Water Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets War for the Planet of the Apes Best Foreign Language Blade of the Immortal BPM (Beats Per Minute) Frantz Raw Thelma Best Documentary City of Ghosts Ex Libris: The New York Public Library Faces Places LA 92 Step Best Ensemble Call Me by Your Name Get Out Lady Bird The Post Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Youth Performance Dafne Keen – Logan Sophia Lillis – It Brooklynn Prince – The Florida Project Millicent Simmonds – Wonderstruck Jacob Tremblay – Wonder Best Villain Dennis and various multiple personalities – Split – portrayed by James McAvoy Martin – The Killing of a Sacred Deer – portrayed by Barry Keoghan Pennywise – It – portrayed by Bill Skarsgård Philip Krauss – Detroit – portrayed by Will Poulter Richard Strickland – The Shape of Water – portrayed by Michael Shannon

San Diego Film Critics previous announced their noms, here are their winners Best Picture: GET OUT Runner Up: LADY BIRD Best Director: Greta Gerwig, LADY BIRD Runner Up: Christopher Nolan, DUNKIRK Best Actor: James McAvoy, SPLIT Runner Up: James Franco, THE DISASTER ARTIST Best Actress: Sally Hawkins, MAUDIE Runner Up: Sally Hawkins, THE SHAPE OF WATER Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell, THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI Runner Up: Willem Dafoe, THE FLORIDA PROJECT Best Supporting Actress: Tie Allison Janney I, TONYA Laurie Metcalf, LADY BIRD Best Comedic Performance: Daniel Craig, LOGAN LUCKY Runner Up: James Franco, THE DISASTER ARTIST Best Original Screenplay: Jordan Peele, GET OUT Runner Up: Greta Gerwig, LADY BIRD Best Adapted Screenplay: Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber, THE DISASTER ARTIST Runner Up: Virgil Williams & Dee Rees, MUDBOUND Best Documentary: JANE Runner Up: THE WORK Best Animated Film: MY LIFE AS A ZUCCHINI Runner Up: THE BOSS BABY Best Foreign Language Film: THELMA Runner Up: BPM (BEATS PER MINUTE) Best Editing: Jonathan Amos & Paul Machliss, BABY DRIVER Runner Up: Lee Smith, DUNKIRK Best Cinematography: Hoyte Van Hoytema, DUNKIRK Runner Up: Darius Khondji, THE LOST CITY OF Z Best Production Design: Paul D. Austerberry, THE SHAPE OF WATER Runner Up: Alessandora Querzola and Dennis Gassner, BLADE RUNNER 2049 Best Visual Effects: WAR FOR THE PLANET OF THE APES Runner Up: Tie BEAUTY AND THE BEAST DUNKIRK Best Costume Design: Tie Jacqueline Durran, BEAUTY and the BEAST Mark Bridges, PHANTOM THREAD Best Use of Music: BABY DRIVER Runner Up: CALL ME BY YOUR NAME Breakthrough Artist: Timothee Chalamet Runner Up: Barry Keoghan Best Ensemble: MUDBOUND Body of Work: Michael Stuhlbarg – THE POST, CALL ME BY YOUR NAME, THE SHAPE OF WATER

The Boss Baby has been hitting a LOT of animation precursors, I would not be surprised at an Oscar nom, especially since they've changed how they do the animation nominating process to be more broad.