The Panda
-
Posts
25,878 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
99
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Everything posted by The Panda
-
Some comps based on other Sep/Oct hits The Visit: 85.5m Insidious Chapter 2: 82.6m Bad Grandpa: 81.1m The Scorch Trials: 71.3m The Maze Runner: 63.3m Taken 2: 62.7m The Equalizer: 61.9m Annabelle: 60.4m Gravity: 58m Paranormal Activity 3: 56.4m Sully: 55.4m Gone Girl: 46.9m I think low to mid 60s are a good bet. But we've never had a movie like IT in this season before.
-
That's a pretty steep drop and narrow range. It isn't going to perform like summer weekends lol
-
Yeah, no der Spidey's summer weekdays will be way over IT's September weekdays. Horror films are weekend films too.
-
I think Monday spillover vs Florida opening back up and no NFL will cause Wed to be flat with Mon. You have to remember IT had quite a few things diluting its Sunday and Monday numbers. It could definitely lead to some stronger holds starting tomorrow and going through the weekend
-
That's a fine drop. I also definitely think this is a weekend film. I think Tuesday will be a fair amount over 10m though I also think Florida theaters were closed till tomorrow Im expecting a weekend drop in the 50% range, but it could have an easier drop simply because of the conditions diluting the opening.
-
If you reckon 4-6% of the population couldn't see IT on Sat/Sunday due to Irma, IT's weekend would have been around 127m without it. Without it being NFL opening day probably over Deadpool. -
I was just meaning total net profit. Dollar returns for Get Out are near impossible to beat due to how cheap it was.
-
The problem with Jan is if your movie is ready by then (and not trash) you myswell either release it in December or do a limited rollout for a chance at an Oscar nom (even if just a tech or something).
-
I think IT is bound to be the most profitable movie this year, besides The Last Jedi. It's already made practically 3x its budget DOM alone. What's also funny is it looked like a big budget movie, despite having a pretty small one. There were only a few small moments where the small budget showed.
-
-55% drop seems very harsh for Sunday, it's possible but I think actuals will put it over 120m OW
-
LOL, my weekly scores were so great. Too bad my preseasons were trash
-
Lol, 2nd in weeklies, everything else is going to kill me.
-
Also, I'll update my regression data eventually, but this is just more proof trailer views do correlate with large openings and DOM totals (with some exceptions of course)
-
This is just making me wish I had stanned even harder.
-
WoM for this is really good. I've heard conversations and references all throughout the day. I think a 3x multi is possible.
-
Maybe IT can challenge WW for #3 of the year? This OW is definitely insane. I predicted a massive 105m OW for it and I was apparently low balling.
-
44m is absolutely insane! With no Hurricane that would have likely been 47m or so. Looking at 125m - 135m OW if that sticks. Deadpool could be in jeopardy.
-
Get Out was really impressive but WoM hits aren't as crazy as what IT's pulling rn imo. Now, if IT collapses after this I'll probably agree with you. But 100m OW for an R horror film is really insanity.
-
I'd also recommend to everyone to see this while it's packed. It's the kind of blockbuster that works really well with a full house.
-
Also, Annabelle is probably benefitting from double features and spillover from sellouts. Not that surprised it's holding well.
-
I do think IT is going to be the BO story of the year. WW and BATB were both insane, but they were still both behemoth, family friendly properties, releasing in BO friendly time periods. IT isnt just a hard R property, but it's a hard R horror film. It beat the horror OW record and September OW record in its OD. It's also doing all of this in September, on NFL opening weekend, with a hurricane shutting down maybe 4-6% of its audience, while also not being a holiday weekend at all.
-
IT previews O/U mother! DOM?
-
It'll really come down to the legs. I think IT is also benefiting from the fact that audiences are hungry for quality films that are different from the typical blockbusters coming out with a small dose of nostalgia and familiarity.
-
Currently thinking Under 300m. Don't want to make a club because it's just going to turn into a flaming trash pile.
-
So... How many comic book films will IT beat at the BO this year? I think Logan Spider-Man: Homecoming Thor: Ragnorak Justice League
