The Panda

Ninjago's underperformance makes sense, I'm just a little surprised that even with a barren family market it couldn't find an audience. I expect Pony will find the same fate next week. This sets things up well for Coco, The Star or Daddy's Home 2 to breakout. There's nothing for families until them (although I'll say mostly Coco, as I am expecting the other two to disappoint now).

To be fair, Apes 3 would be an easy green light given the success of Apes 2. The problem was they did a terrible job marketing Apes 3 (and despite being the best of the three, it was the least commercially accessible of them).

A lot of Acting predicts are looking really white. I'm willing to bet the academy will still be on alert of starting another "Oscars so white" controversy.

I didn't realize Stronger's reviews were that good, maybe Gyllenhaal has a chance

Del Torro And Nolan are both highly likely Im skeptical about Spielberg getting in unless the Post is simply brilliant. Guadigino is quite possible, but there's been a lot of surgers lately with more heft. I think Dees Reese and Greta Gerwig both have decent chances Jordan Peele could get in, depending if Get Out can get a surge of critics awards ala Fury Road. Plus it'll need a few tech noms in order to get a BP nom. Villeneuve is another possibility given how much love 2049 is getting. Big tech movies like that get a lot of director love. I'm not sold on Darkest Hour yet. It'll get a heavy push, but I could see it flopping in the non-acting cats based on reviews.

Peele is for Get Out, Gerwig is for Lady Bird. Im hoping we can at least have 1 female director nom this year.

Best Picture 1. The Shape of Water 2. Dunkirk 3. The Post 4. Call Me By Your Name 5. Get Out 6. Blade Runner 2049 7. Lady Bird 8. Three Billboards Outside Ebbings, Missouri 9. The Florida Project 10. Mudbound 11. Darkest Hour 12. The Big Sick 13. The Disaster Artist 14. Wonder Woman 15. Logan 16. Wonder Wheel 17. Molly's Game 18. PTA Movie (I think it gets delayed) 19. I, Tonya 20. Star Wars: The Last Jedi Director 1. Nolan 2. Del Torro 3. Peele 4. Gerwig 5. Villeneuve 6. Guadagnino 7. Spielberg 8. Reese Actress 1. Ronan, Lady Bird 2. Hawkins, Shape of Water 3. Streep, Post 4. McDormand, Billboards 5. Chastain, Molly's Game 6. Stone, Battle of the Sexes 7. Winslet, Wonder Wheel 8. Dench, Victoria and Abdul Actor 1. Oldman, Darkest Hour 2. Chalamet, Call Me 3. Hanks, Post 4. Franco, Disaster 5. Washington, Roman 6. DDL, PTA (if it comes out) 7. Najiani, The Big Sick 8. Jackman, Logan Supp Actress 1. Metcalf, Lady Bird 2. Hunter, Big Sick 3. Spencer, Shape of Water 4. Chau, Downsizing 5. Blige, Mudbound 6. Scott Thomas, Darkest Hour 7. Janney, I Tonya 8. Leo, Novitiate Supp Actor 1. Dafoe, Florida Project 2. Stuhlberg, Call Me 3. Rockwell, Thres Billboards 4. Mitchell, Mudbound 5. Jenkins, Shape of Water 6. Hammer, Call Me 7. Mendehlson, Darkest Hour 8. Shannon, Shape of Water 9. Stewart, Logan 10. Shannon, Shape Adapted Screenplay 1. Call Me By Your Name 2. Mudbound 3. Blade Runner 2049 4. Molly's Game 5. The Disaster Artist 6. Last Flag Flying 7. Logan 8. Victoria and Abdul Original Screenplay 1. Shape of Water 2. The Post 3. Get Out 4. Lady Bird 5. The Big Sick 6. Three Billboards 7. Darkest Hour 8. The Florida Project Cinematography 1. Dunkirk 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. Shape of Water 4. Get Out 5. Call Me By Your Name 6. Darkest Hour 7. Wonderstruck 8. Logan Editing 1. Dunkirk 2. Get Out 3. Blade Runner 2049 4. The Shape of Water 5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 6. Darkest Hour 7. Baby Driver 8. Call Me By Your Name Costume Design 1. Beauty and the Beast 2. Darkest Hour 3. The Greatest Showman 4. Shape of Water 5. Blade Runner 2049 6. PTA Movie 7. Dunkirk 8. Wonderstruck 9. Wonder Woman Hair and Makeup 1. The Shape of Water 2. IT 3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 4. Beauty and the Beast 5. Darkest Hour 6. Star Wars: The Last Jedi Animation 1. Coco 2. Animal Crackers 3. Birdboy: The Forgotten Child 4. The Breadwinner 5. Despicable Me 3 6. Ferdinand 7. Captain Underpants Production Design 1. The Shape of Water 2. Beauty and the Beast 3. Blade Runner 2049 4. The Greatest Showman 5. Dunkirk 6. PTA Movie 7. The Beguiled 8. The Papers Original Score 1. Dunkirk 2. The Shape of Water 3. Blade Runner 2049 4. The Papers 5. The Greatest Showman 6. Darkest Hour 7. Wonder Woman 8. Star Wars: The Last Jedi Sound Editing 1. Dunkirk 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. Baby Driver 4. The Shape of Water 5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 6. Darkest Hour 7. Wonder Woman 8. Logan Sound Mixing 1. Dunkirk 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. The Shape of Water 4. The Greatest Showman 5. Baby Driver 6. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 7. Wonder Woman 8. Beauty and the Beast Visual Effects 1. Dunkirk 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. The Shape of Water 4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 5. War for the Planet of the Apes 6. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 7. Wonder Woman 8. Logan 9. IT

It depends on the type of hit too. Kingsman was an counter-market action hit in an open market. I don't think it stuck with the public conscious beyond a few online fans. Add that with poor reception in a more crowded September (which by nature can have hits but can't support as many movies as say July) and a decrease makes sense. It's still doing decently well, but we probably won't get Kingsman 3.

THESE REVIEWS!! Hail Villeneuve, he can do no wrong AND he's releasing this on my birthday.

All of the emojis should be Panda faces

What's the pictures for our straight likes though, those are just boxes for me.

Yeah, the first one was novel but these last two just came across as obnoxious.

I love the Pikachu reactions

The flops from this Summer flopped from no interest, didn't have anything to do with release dates.

Handmaid's Tale was really good, so props to its win, it's worthy of it.

mother! Was a risk and experimental. I'll give them that. But the thing about risks and experiments is they don't always work. So when one doesn't, don't defend it as one that does.

That's a fantastic drop for IT. Horror should be frontloaded, especially off of such a massive OW. It could be heading for around a 3x+ multi.

It's also harder to have massive Saturday jumps when IT's second weekend is still going to be over the previous horror movie OW record.

Mother! really is pretty awful.

TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Star Wars: The Last Jedi - 800m 2) Thor: Ragnarok - 340m 3) Justice League - 340m 4) Black Panther - 260.4m 5) Coco - 225.8m 6) A Bad Mom's Christmas - 142.8m 7) Pitch Perfect 3 - 122.8m 8) Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle - 120.7m 9) The Shape of Water - 110.6m 10) The Post - 108M 11) Peter Rabbit - 102m 12) 12 Strong - 95m 13) Cloverfield Movie - 92m 14) Fifty Shades Freed - 87m 15) Ferdinand - 85m Backup 16*) The Greatest Showman - 81.2m *Only used if a film above exits the game B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Star Wars: The Last Jedi - 225m 2) Justice League - 150m 3) Thor: Ragnorak - 135m 4) Black Panther - 112.4m 5) Coco - 57m 6) Fifty Shades Freed - 42m 7) Pitch Perfect 3 - 36m Backup 8*) Peter Rabbit - 35m *Only used if a film above exits the game C: Worldwide top 12: 1) Star Wars: The Last Jedi - 1.75b 2) Thor: Ragnarok - 875m 3) Justice League - 825m 4) Coco - 620m 5) Black Panther - 575m 6) The Shape of Water - 325m 7) Fifty Shades Freed - 315m 8) Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle - 310m 9) Ferdinand - 305m 10) The Post - 275m 11) The Greatest Showman - 250m 12) Peter Rabbit - 245m Backup 13*) The Maze Runner: The Death Cure - 230m *Only used if a film above exits the game D: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M A Bad Mom's Christmas B: 200M Coco C: 300M Justice League D: 400M Thor: Ragnarok E: 500M Thor: Ragnarok RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game: A: $1.5B Star Wars B: $1B Thor: Ragnarok C: 800M Justice League D: 600M Coco E: 400M The Shape of Water RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month: A: October (20th and 27th releases only) Jigsaw B: November Thor: Ragnarok C: December Star Wars D: January Horse Soldiers E: February Black Panther DO NOT ALTER THE TEMPLATE! JUST ADD IN YOUR ANSWERS AS REQUIRED. FOLLOWING THIS ONE SIMPLE INSTRUCTION WILL LAND YOU 20,000 BONUS POINTS

I'm interested to see It's Sat number. That Friday will lead to a high 50 to low 60m weekend.

Didn't see this till now. Mother could easily go under 20m DOM, it's bombing hard. I don't know if the Snowman will be a huge hit, but id give it the advantage just based on how poorly mother! Is going to do.

There's a large range of second Friday increases. Movies that skew more young adult/college aged (IT) and horror movies both tend to have larger Friday jumps and decent sized Saturday jumps in September versus more typical r rated adult fare. I think 140% is about the min it increases, but I don't feel comfortable saying an absolute max when there's been some ridiculous second friday jumps for horror in September and October

This is what I have for the movie: Lol. Wtf was that? D

Some comps based on other Sep/Oct hits The Visit: 85.5m Insidious Chapter 2: 82.6m Bad Grandpa: 81.1m The Scorch Trials: 71.3m The Maze Runner: 63.3m Taken 2: 62.7m The Equalizer: 61.9m Annabelle: 60.4m Gravity: 58m Paranormal Activity 3: 56.4m Sully: 55.4m Gone Girl: 46.9m I think low to mid 60s are a good bet. But we've never had a movie like IT in this season before.