The Panda

No. The makers of Dune stole from Star Wars, obviously.

I think it's safe to say Netflix botched Mudbound and it's bound to get shut out now. BP 1. The Shape of Water 2. Dunkirk 3. Call Me By Your Name 4. The Post 5. Get Out 6. Three Billboards Outside Ebbings, Missouri 7. The Florida Project 8. Lady Bird 9. The Big Sick 10. Blade Runner 2049 11. Darkest Hour 12. Molly's Game 13. The Disaster Artist 14. Logan 15. Wonder Woman 16. Stronger 17. Hostiles 18. Killing of the Sacred Deer 19. War for the Planet of the Apes 20. Star Wars: The Last Jedi

That's irritating on the academy's part, but also Netflix should realize they'll need to adopt a new release model to appeal to Academy voters. RIP Mudbound

Highly Likely Thor: Ragnorak Justice League Coco Star Wars: The Last Jedi Jumanji Pitch Perfect 3 Possible Kingsman Blade Runner 2049 A Bad Mom's Christmas Daddy's Home 2 Darkest Hour Ferdinand The Papers The Shape of Water Off-Chance Tyler Perry's Boo 2! Happy Death Day Thank You For Your Service/Only the Brave Murder on the Orient Express Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Lady Bird Wonder The Star The Disaster Artist Father Figures The Greatest Showman We need 7 from the possible or off-chance movies for the record. Not impossible at all, but could easily fall short.

Sad Blade Runner isn't doing better, but it's a sequel to a niche, cult, hard sci-fi movie, so this was always a possibility.

1. Blade Runner 2049 2. The Florida Project 3. The Shape of Water 4. Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri 5. The Post 6. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 7. Mudbound 8. The Disaster Artist 9. Lady Bird 10. Molly's Game

It's less about being a "real man" and more of realizing the demographic the media is really meant for. It's definitely weird for parents to take their young girls to a movie that's supposed to be meant for them, and then wind up in a theater half filled with adult single men. The connotation behind it is simply off-putting. There's also the sense that there's some things you'd expect people to age past. I understand this isn't as true as it used to be. But it makes me think of the bounce house and toy store from episode 1 of Master of None. If you're a man in your mid-30s there are definitely issues and social irregularities for playing in the toy store and jumping in the bounce house with the children. If you're taking your niece you'll be fine.

I mean you do you, but how other people perceive you is pretty important. I believe in being authentic to yourself, but sometimes it's good to realize being to authentic has social consequences.

I don't want to see it. It looks gag worthy, I'm definitely not the target demo, and I would be subjecting myself to public humiliation for stepping into the theater for any reason. It's one of those animated movies you'll be judged for seeing if you aren't a parent of a 3-10 year old girl (and even then you probably still will be). If you don't understand why, you should pay attention to culture.

I'd actually counter to think most 70% female, simply because of the brony fanbase and that the audience will be small enough for them to shift the percent.

I'd say an OW in the 40-50m range is quite possible given pre-sales. I don't want to jump the gun and say higher, but I wouldn't be totally shocked if it breaks the October OW record.

Blade Runner looks like it'll be the tech monster this year. I wouldn't lock it in for the win or anything, but it's very possible. If it gets a BP nod, then it'll be even more likely. Shape of Water and Dunkirk also have great chances. They like to go with flashy stuff.

Because it's not a good movie.

Logan and WW will both be BP/BD nominees before mother is.

I'm still thinking Darkest Hour gets in for some acting and tech cats but misses out on a BP nod.

The Shape of Water, Call Me By Your Name, The Post, Get Out, Mudbound and a few others all could possibly be seen as anti-Trump. Im not sold they'll go with a movie solely for a political message though. But if they do I think it'd either be The Post or Get Out (maybe Mudbound). Im kind of thinking The Shape of Water will take the win though, rn. That's my predict anyways.

The power of being the only family film in a Summer market for over a month.

There's a solid chance IT beats every comic book film that isn't GOTG2 or WW and places at #4 for the year, depending on how Ragnorak and Justice League fair.

If IT can manage a 3x multi off of this weekend it'll end up with around 343m DOM.

They were just early predicts. I think Get Out will be a bigger player than we're making it out to be. Im thinking Dees Rees has a great chance to get in too. Along with Guadagnino and Spielberg. It's still pretty open.

I don't think you could convince many non-brony adults to go see this, especially in theaters, no matter how good the reviews are.

Eh, Oscars have been more unpredictable the last few years. Since 2013, with the exception of Birdman, we had actual horse races or genuine shockers (like last year). This year it's just taking more time for a front runner to appear. I'd reckon once critic awards start there may be some more consensus.

I still think the audience for this is just to narrow for it breakout. Pretty much the female equivalent to Ninjago's audience.

If 3 Acting cats are all white and you have one minority nominated in supporting actress, there'll still be a diversity problem (there still is technically. In every cat, the average should be 2 minorities, 3 whites. Most cats are still white and white male dominated) There are some strong minority options. Especially if Mudbound gets traction. The only acting cat that doesn't have at least one great minority option is actress.