The Panda

Oscar noms, social media hype, strong limited run, a film that appeals to a variety of people, very strong trailers.

I'd consider The Other Side of the Wind the Artist to the max. Instead of just being a nostalgic senback, it's an actually movie from a nostalgic director that never got much attention from the academy (or anyone) until after his career had mostly expired. Not only that, it will be the 100th Anniversary of Orson Welles, I don't see how anybody else can't see how this screams Oscar attention if they actually campaign it.

MLK Weekend 1.American Sniper - 85m / 100m (103m) 2.The Wedding Ringer - 21m / 25m (25m) 3.Paddington - 18.5m / 21m (21m) 4.Taken 3 - 13.4m / 14.5m (63.7m) 5.Selma - 9.1m / 10.5m (29.2m) 6.Into the Woods - 7.8m / 8.5m (116.3m) 7.The Imitation Game - 7m / 7.6m (51.2m) 8.The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies - 4.5m / 5m (244.9m) 9.Blackhat - 4.3m / 4.6m (4.6m) 10.Unbroken - 4m / 4.3m (108.6m) 11.Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb - 3.4m / 3.7m (104.6m) 12.Annie - 2.3m / 2.5m (82.7m) 23rd 1.American Sniper - 50.3m (174m) 2.Mortdecai - 15.4m (15.4m) 3.The Wedding Ringer - 12.3m (42.4m) 4.Paddington - 11.7m (37m) 5.Selma - 7.4m (39m) 6.The Boy Next Door - 7m (7m) 7.Taken 3 - 6.8m (73.4m) 8.The Imitation Game - 6m (59.8m) 9.Into the Woods - 5.3m (123.3m) 10.Strange Magic - 4.5m (4.5m) 11.The Hobbit: The Battle of Five Armies - 2.7m (248.6m) 12.Unbroken - 2.5m (112.1m) Super Bowl Weekend 1.American Sniper - 27.8m (216.3m) 2.Paddington - 7.7m (47.9m) 3.Project Almanac - 7.5m (7.5m) 4.Mortdecai - 7.4m (26.5m) 5.Black or White - 6.8m (6.8m) 6.The Wedding Ringer - 6.4m (52.2m) 7.Selma - 5.6m (47.4m) 8.The Imitation Game - 5m (67.5m) 9.Into the Woods - 3.9m (129.1m) 10.Strange Magic - 2.9m (8.6m) 11.Taken 3 - 2.8m (77.6m) 12.The Boy Next Door - 2.7m (11m) February 6th 1.Jupiter Ascending - 34.2m (34.2m) 2.SpongeBob: Sponge Out of Water - 27.8m (27.8m) 3.American Sniper - 21.4m (248.2m) 4.Paddington - 4.5m (54.1m) 5.The Seventh Son - 4.3m (4.3m) 6.Selma - 4.2m (53.8m) 7.The Imitation Game - 4.1m (73.6m) 8.The Wedding Ringer - 3.8m (57.7m) 9.Mortdecai - 3.4m (31.5m) 10.Black or White - 3.2m (11.9m) 11.Into the Woods - 2.9m (133.2m) 12.Strange Magic - 1.5m (10.7m) February 13th 1.Fifty Shades of Grey - 115.2m / 127m (127m) 2.The Kingsman: The Secret Service - 23.4m / 26.5m (26.5m) 3.SpongeBob: Sponge Out of Water - 21.4m / 25m (62.3m) 4.Jupiter Ascending - 19.8m / 23.1m (66.8m) 5.American Sniper - 17.5m / 19m (275.8m) 6.The Imitation Game - 4.2m / 5m (80.3m) 7.Paddington - 4.1m / 4.6m (60.4m) 8.Selma - 4m / 5m (60.9m) 9.The Wedding Ringer - 3.2m / 3.5m (62.8m) 10.The Last 5 Years - 2.7m / 3m (3m) 11.Into the Woods - 2.3m / 2.5m (136.8m) 12.Mortdecai - 2m / 2.4m (34.9m) February 20th 1.Fifty Shades of Grey - 38m (177.5m) 2.Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 23.4m (23.4m) 3.McFarland, USA - 18.7m (18.7m) 4.Kingsman: The Secret Service - 14.3m (46.5m) 5.American Sniper - 12.9m (293.2m) 6.SpongeBob: Sponge Out of Water - 12.6m (79.6m) 7.Jupiter Ascending - 10.5m (81.6m) 8.The DUFF - 5.2m (5.2m) 9.The Imitation Game - 3.5m (84.9m) 10.Selma - 3.2m (65.1m) 11.Paddington - 2.5m (63.9m) 12.The Wedding Ringer - 1.8m (65.2m) February 27th 1.Fifty Shades of Grey - 17.1m (203m) 2.Focus - 16.5m (16.5m) 3.Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 12.4m (42m) 4.American Sniper - 11.4m (310.2m) 5.McFarland, USA - 11.2m (35.4m) 6.Kingsman: The Secret Service - 9.7m (61m) 7.SpongeBob: Sponge Out of Water - 7.8m (91.1m) 8.Jupiter Ascending - 6.2m (90.8m) 9.The Imitation Game - 4.2m (91.2m) 10.Selma - 4.1m (71.2m) 11.The DUFF - 2.5m (9.4m) 12.Paddington - 1.6m (66.2m)

I'm saying Fifty Shades is already going to make bank, the question is only how much bank.

Don't forget Frozen, 9.1m on its 10th and that was a week after a holiday. 11th (Super Bowl weekend) 8.9m

It's the highest original pre-seller since the Hunger Games, those ticket sales aren't going to disappear. It's also the highest R rated pre seller on record.

Fifty Shades is going to be massive, deal with it.

After this, Gone Girl, Fifty Shades, Lone Survivor, etc. maybe Hollywood will start putting out some more adult oriented tentpoles.

I'm hoping this can achieve #1 domestic of 2014 that way hunger games doesn't break the trend of no franchise winning two years in a row. And even if you made the excuse of it didn't make its money in 2014, you can bring up Guardians made the most in 2014 not Mockingjay.

My guess is it follows Black Hawk Down, but I wouldn't be too surprised at this point if it played more like Passion.

My guess Fri: 30.5m Sat: 33.6m (10% increase) Sun: 21.8m (35% decrease) Mon: 17.4m (20% decrease) 3 Day: 85.9m 4 Day: 103.3m Then with each comparable multiplier Lone Survivor: 283.5m Black Hawk Down: 326.4m Zero Dark Thirty: 334.2m Passion of the Christ: 378m Gran Torino: 431.2m

If it's word of mouth and Oscar noms play an effect on legs it could be #1... 85m OW with Black Hawk Down's 4.08x multiplier and it has 346.8m

With glowing WoM and lots of Oscar nominations American Sniper (and a big emotional reaction to that), relevant topic, it should have very strong legs with this opening. I think Passion of the Christ should be a good comparison to it.

50 Shades is having pre-sales similar to the Hunger Games, 100-125m is looking like a good range for it.

Not that it matters, Fifty Shades is going to demolish those records in a couple of weeks.

So... Completely left field here, but IF 30m OD holds, it could be looking at s 4 day of 100m+, and IF it plays out like a normal Oscar film with strong legs than it could potentially win 2014 even though it made nearly all of its money in 2015.

Holy crap, wow. I just checked these numbers and those are absurd for Sniper. With Oscar nominations and a giant opening this could have a very large run.

I don't think Boyhood can miss editing, so that's 4. Original Screenplay is still a toss-up, but Boyhood should be able to take it.

The Other Side of the Wind is finally getting released this year after 30 years of trying to get it released. It is Orson Welles last movie. I really believe it could surprise in a Boyhood like manner.

It'd still be awarded to him after his death.

People told me the same about Boyhood last year.

I don't think they would give the win to John Huston, especially since DiCaprio is overdue, but given the academy loves to snub DiCaprio I could totally see John Huston winning for The Other Side of The Wind as a post-humorous acting win.

Congrats Films, your predictions that we all ridiculed were better than all of ours.

It's coming off of Birdman, striking the iron when its hot, and DiCaprio should help.

If The Other Side of the Wind makes it's release date for being the 100th anniversary of Orson Welles, it may be unstoppable at next years awards. We already saw with the Artist how nostalgic the academy can be, now take that and give the story, "Orson Welles' last movie he never finished, after over 30 years of work, lack of budget and support, and issues over rights, the film is finally being released on May 6th, the day of his 100th birthday." Especially since the Academy may feel they need to pay their dues to Welles for ignoring Citizen Kane, even booing when it won screenplay, and never awarding Welles with a directing Oscar.