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Elessar

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Everything posted by Elessar

  1. Elessar
    You can't just take away midnights, they influence the rest of the run.Look at another example, Spiderman 3, it didn't even manage $340m with a similar opening (with better IM) and Memorial Day on its 4th weekend.Now, THG seems to have better WOM and it very well might hit $400m but i repeat, it's not guaranteed.
  2. Elessar
    Agreed.It has a pretty good shot at $400m but it's not a lock.
  3. Elessar
    No, $350m (assuming a $155m opening weekend).
  4. Elessar
    I could be wrong but i think TA is not going to break any records.
  5. Elessar
    I'm pretty sure Spiderman 3 sold more tickets than TDK on opening weekend. TDK had IMAX and skews older (pricier tickets).
  6. Elessar
    Again, not at all. Depends on how naturally frontloaded it is.
  7. Elessar
    Not at all.
  8. Elessar
    Of course it could.-60% of $155m = $62m
  9. Elessar
    I'd wait till next weekend before declaring $400m a sure thing.
  10. Elessar
    No.
  11. Elessar
    We won't have four $400m grossers in one year.
  12. Elessar
    As far as i can see, this is the official studio estimate, should be pretty accurate.
  13. Elessar
    Saturday might drop from the friday-without-midnight-tally but i believe not much since we are not in summer, even BD1 dropped only slightly.
  14. Elessar
    Looks like i might have to eat my words. With a $66m Friday, $46m without midnights, this might still do $150m for the weekend, or come close at least.Fri: $66mSat: $48mSun: $37m--------------------WKND: $151m
  15. Elessar
    No you went nuts and clicked too many times. Patience is a virtue.
  16. Elessar
    I hope you're right.
  17. Elessar
    Same here.
  18. Elessar
    Like all Pixar films.
  19. Elessar
    But that's the thing, these things don't shift suddenly by a huge amount, they develop gradually over time.Appeal is the right word and it has a lot to do with it.
  20. Elessar
    At best that affects a movie's gross by 5%, all of that put together.
  21. Elessar
    If moviemakers / studios would know the exact formula, what it is that makes people go to watch movies, there would only be breakouts. Moviemaking is not an exact science.
  22. Elessar
    Bingo. People don't suddenly go more to theaters because the calender year has switched from 2011 to 2012.
  23. Elessar
    Music helps movies, too. Music is very underappreciated for some reason.
  24. Elessar
    It might, true. But Beauty and the Beast only increased 20% without midnights.
  25. Elessar
    Safe House will be a tad bigger than expected, TPM will not make 30m with an 11m friday.
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