Ando918

Not looking very promising for Million Ways to Die. I think the title is a problem for mainstream audiences looking for basic entertainment. It will still connect with McFarlane's fan base with a 20 million OW, but the title is too long and too dark sounding for the mainstream.

I'm planning on seeing Captain America 2 on Sunday. This will be a good decision, yes? I'm usually not a big fan of comic book movies or deafening visual effects spectacles, but the 90% approval rating on RT and good word of mouth makes me believe that it has a good script that can appeal to adults. Heard that much of the film feels like a Soviet conspiracy thriller rather than a little kids movie. If this is correct, I will go see it.

I agree. The movie is going to be stuffed with so many characters that not one of them will be developed. They didn't even try to develop Clark and Lois Lane at all in Man of Steel. It is going to be a terrible plot like Spider-Man 3 combined with the non-stop, ugly visual effects of a Michael Bay movie. Not a healthy combination.

Crap, it looks like TOW had its target audience show up once again this weekend. There is no hope for the human race.

El Capitan is still charging on MovieTickets.com now...right behind TOW. Doing even better than it was at 2 p.m.

Even though Movietickets.com is just a small sampling, I would not be surprised if the Captain has a big Saturday that allows it to have a 9 million dollar weekend. The Saturday numbers could be something like TOW - 5 million, Captain - 4 million, and then Captain gets 3 million on Sunday.

Over the last 3 hours, Captain 2 has moved up significantly on Movietickets.com. It was at 1% very early this morning and is now at 3%, just behind TOW. I know that's just a small sampling and that few people seeing a movie in its 4th or 5th weekend would be using that, but it probably means another good Saturday for the Captain.

Well, rather than get myself upset about the weekend box offfice numbers for TOW again - I guess I just need to accept that fact that some moviegoers are fans of really dumb comedies. (Take Sandler's career, for example). I just could not believe that women would be so interested in seeing a movie that stars 3 women, but does not pass the Bechdel Test and where the story revolves around a man. I expect my own gender to be fans of terrible movies (Transformers, Bay, Sandler, Snyder, etc.), but I always figured that females had somewhat higher standards with their movie choices. On the bright side, the U.S.A. / Canada have a combined population of about 350 million people, but TOW has only sold about 5 million tickets. Thus, it makes me feel a little better to know that about 345 million of us have chosen NOT to see TOW.

What is the Friday number for The Other Woman? Is it less than 5 million? Anybody know yet?

Yeah, adjust for population increase in U.S. / Canada as well. I would guess that the population has boomed 5% in the past decade. Combine that with IMAX screens, and Raimi's Spider-Man 2 would have made over 460 million domestic adjusted for the year 2014. Also, it had a 4 times multiplier and Roger Ebert named it his #3 best film of 2004, up there alongside his art house Oscar pick films.

Raining now in Chicago where I live, and the national radar also shows rain over much of Florida. Both are in the top 5 metropolitan areas population-wise. Probably won't have an effect on the official numbers that come out tomorrow, but am just letting people know.

I'm still not sold on Godzilla being a hit at the U.S. box office. Overseas? Maybe. I look at Pacific Rim or other monster movies who haven't done spectacularly, and wonder just how much U.S. summer audiences (teenage boys) care about stories from 1950. I'm not sold on its box office strength yet, and think it could only end up making 150 domestic.

If ASM2 opens with a crappy 80-85 OW as is expected, the total domestic numbers for both How to Train Your Dragon 2 and Maleficient should probably be raised. Since Pixar does not have a movie this summer, and I also think Transformers 4 looks weak (audiences will be tired of it), those 2 family friendly movies are now looking very, very strong.

Didn't the last SM movie open a Tuesday before the 4th of July weekend? That helped it a lot in getting off to a jump start in its first 7 days. And it also benefitted from little kids being off from school on weekdays in July. The kids are going to be in school on weekdays during the month of May. Last one made 144 million in its 1st 7 days. This one won't come close to that total in its first 7 days. Will only make 210 or 220 domestic.

I can't believe that some people here are spinning this terrible 8.7 Thursday night number into a positive. The WOM is not going to be good given the Flixster and RT critics scores. It is going to have a weak 2.5 multiplier like MOS did. It has the same RT score (55%) as MOS. Same kind of ballpark numbers as Thor 2. The domestic total is not going to be good. And "claming" rainy weather in the central part of the country tonight isn't going to help. If anything, a little bit of rainy/drizzly weather encourages people to go to the movies.

Looks to me like this is probably headed towards an OW of 80 million. That is pretty terrible when you consider that it is not going to have the legs of Captain 2, considering Captain 2 has a 93% Flixster score and 90% RT score from critics. I hope the same kind of OW crash happens to Transformers 4 - so studios get the message that they are going way, way overboard with the number of sequels and reboots.

I have never read any Spider-Man comics, but I do believe that Spider-Man 2 from 10 years ago is a near perfect movie that balances character study with action, with seamless editing and perfect pacing. I haven't seen this new Spider-Man movie, but I think judging by the subpar opening weekend numbers that are coming people can sense when you are simply showing up for a paycheck because you are contractually obligated to make more Spider-Man movies vs. being really passionate about the project and making a film that you truly want to make. Seems like audiences (and critics) sense that this is just a cash cow, and they are reacting accordingly.

Where is that good WOM for The Other Woman? Its percentages for Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday look almost identical to the percentages for Transcendence.

Okay, but TOW also has the same IMDB score as Transcendence. I was under the impression that a 6.4 score on IMDB is pretty low, considering the average user there seems to give movies about a 7.5 on average.

It has had the same kind of Monday-Tuesday fall as Transcendence (percentage-wise). I think it will fall 50% next weekend for a 12.5 weekend.

I guess there are a few exceptions with movies like Growns Ups or Transformers movies doing very well with terrible reviews, but as a general rule I think terrible reviews really hurt a movie's legs. Especially if it is "trying (i.e. faking)" to aim for an adult audience, like TOW. I will be shocked if TOW shows good legs with females over the age of 25 over the next 2 weekends. Good marketing can give it a strong opening 3 days, but it can't hide its true nature for long.

Critics matter somewhat, especially with movie-going audiences over the age of 40 who do not show up on opening weekend. I have a hard time believing that movies like Hunger Games, Gravity, Frozen, The Dark Knight, Captain America 2, etc. would do as well as they did if they had a 25% approval rating on RT instead of a 90%. The most TOW is going to make is 70-80 million domestic.

The last 13 movies that Cameron Diaz has starred in have a "Rotten" score on Rotten Tomatoes. 13 in a row, including TOW. Maybe studio executives believe that the way to make money off of her is to turn her into a female version of Adam Sandler from now on - I have no idea. That is where the money seems to be, though - so who knows. http://www.rottentomatoes.com/celebrity/cameron_diaz/

Impressive overseas numbers for Divergent - 93 million. Now at 233 million worldwide.

John Tucker Must Die fell 55% in its 2nd weekend, with the same concept, same RT score, and same audience reviews as The Other Woman.