yjs

that's still quite a lot

POTC5 is a big question mark, what if it does something laughable like $120m? back-to-back Pixar releases I can really see them go either way, too. One thing I know for sure is DM3>Cars 3.

just came to the forum as soon as I saw this. WHAT IS HAPPENING!!!!!

I was wondering if this thread will go on till Thursday or Sunday.

Sing is #1 at MT, wow!

it's kinda exciting to finally have another $500m movie since TDK, they always fell on the either $400m or $600m range

I've always wanted them to make a darker film, something that is like an extension of this scene, giving it a full feature treatment: that being said, I would have loved Bluebeard, Donkeyskin or the Juniper Tree.

I'm actually just trying to lower my expectation as much as possible just not to be disappointed. haha

with Christmas eve falling on a Saturday $33M for a family film is VERY good. It'd probably gross about $55M~$60M more in the next couple of days from Tuesday to Thursday. here are some other results (3-day grosses and multipliers) from movies that opened on Dec 21st in the years with the same date configuration (2005, 2011) it's kinda long so I will hide it with a spoiler tag.

it was supposed to do better as a family film cause it'll see a much harsher drop on Saturday that is falling on a Christmas eve, and if it falls just about 30% from Friday its Saturday will be more than 60% lower from last week. TS2 FSS fell about 15% and Tangled 27% on the Christmas weekend, now this will fall about 40% if lucky. but then again, different daily configuration to direct comparisons. honestly I gave up following its run during this time of the year, it's all too confusing.

at this point I'd be happy if it manages to go over $600M WW but I'm not even sure anymore. got a hunch that it might not do well in Korea either.

I mean the overall underwhelming box office performance of Moana overseas is embarrassing for what it is as a Disney tentpole release since it's more pulling off a Storks/Home/Hotel Transylvania range numbers. It would probably fail to hit $300M overseas gross. But then again I just found out it's not that uncommon for a Disney film to do $10M~$15M in Germany, I was misguided and thought it was more of a $30M~$40M market thanks to the success of Tangled, Frozen and Zootopia.

you mean, 81.2M.

That Germany numbers is a bit embarrassing ??‍♂️

Maybe I was panicking too early on with the Moana numbers. I thought it started to trail behind TS2 and even Tangled but guess it was more about the different configuration like @DamienRoc said.

digression here, but I saw Things to Come last week and it was terrific. Wonder if Elle is even better.

Tintin had a $3.3M preview from French Canada so true 6-day was more like $19.8M. Still good legs, tho.

to simply answer the question, yes. think it will reach the height of those two movies. both of those movies' total admissions were about 3.4M and LLL's already flirting with 2M after three weeks, so it's definitely feasible. if I may add more notes, while both Begin Again and About Time showed phenomenal performances here, they were only big for what they were, not like big big, more like a sleeper, "$15M-DOM-grosser-did-$25M-in-Korea-out-of-nowhere" phenomenon which was purely driven by WOM. LLL on the other hand, while I first saw it as a similar entry to the other two, but in fact it's much less indie and more like a $100M player which also has a bit of a novelty factor as an Oscar contender, so it breaking out might not be as surprising as the other two did so, but still, it's more of an arthouse choice for the regular filmgoers and it hadn't even opened wide in the US yet which means it didn't have the "it's a hit in the US" card to play, so it being afloat on its own merits and WOM in Korea is still very admirable. Les Mis opened in the Christmas frame and did 5.9M admissions and I wonder if LLL could hold well during Christmas and hit 4M here.

seems it'll pass 2M admissions after this weekend in South Korea.

oh honestly I don't mind the idea of Disney monopoly dissolving at all, if there has been one anyway. WDAS for the last decade was a has-been 2nd-rate studio till they barely made a come back 6 years ago and Frozen is their only film that was the #1 animation of the release year (Tangled was #5, WIR was #4, BH6 was #2 and Zootopia and Moana #3 and #5, respectively) and Pixar, even in its heyday it was pretty neck and neck between them and Dreamworks, at least box office wise. I appreciate indie animated studios like Laika or Aardman and was thrilled for the LEGO movie's huge success. But Illumination, it just feels they're over-rewarded for their actual efforts at filmmaking. Every single film since DM2 was a $300M hit. so, the sentiment is more like: "how do they do it?!" Like, Disney tried real hard to make a come back, investing a lot of money and time for their projects, developing all the new expensive techs and stuff (which gave Tangled an insane $260M price tag), and now they are back on the top of their games with producing two of their best-reviewed movies, and yet they both lost at the DOM box office to Illumination's seemingly safe cashgrabs with half the production budget and creativity. I mean, Atlantis losing to Shrek or Bolt losing to Kung Fu Panda or even Tangled losing to How to Train Your Dragon were all perfectly okay but Zootopia losing to Pets and Moana losing to Sing back-to-back, it kinda felt like a slap on the face. Having said that, I am aware that all this whining looks elitist and some (if not many) people here would think those movies from Disney and Illumination are not that different in terms of quality as Disney fans try to make out to be, and some others would feel the same way about Kubo not doing better than Zootopia or Moana. So just take it as an unreasonable "proud-fan meltdown" moment it's not like "we need to conquer and dominate but they are on our way! non-Disney movies should not be beloved", more like "we've absolutely done our best and why we still came in second when they didn't seem to be trying THAT hard?"

yikes for that 26% daily drop for Moana. guess it was unavoidable.

yeah even $75m is great for Sing, just with that $250m is almost locked.

sweet, thanks!

I was curious, how did they play out