a2k

I though Gravity's trailers were very well done. The serene music, beautiful shots of earth, a sudden explosion, the metal parts flying towards you (obvious watch it in 3D plug), and then zooming out to leave teeny tiny Sandra Bullock rotating alone in the giant space...shivers

I felt Gravity could be something big when the teaser came out. Also it looked great for 3D viewing. Frozen promo/vibe were run of the mill.

Other surprises: The Conjuring - 41 million opening and a multiplier of 3.3 for a horror movie Hangover 3 - Expected a drop but not by this much H1 277, H2 254, H3 112

I am waiting for more accurate and reliable numbers from Nikki

Looking at about 32-34 million weekend going by the 2002 calender.

Not in the same league as Frozen or Gravity but I was surprised by Now you see me ( now you don't)

Frozen all the way. 1. Gravity nearly doubled expectations but it was a very unique film, shot in space and had a great director. So there was at least a tiny tiny room for a surprise run. Frozen was just another non-Pixar Disney computer animation. It was not supposed to do what it did no matter what. It took DM2 to be a sequel to a 250m movie to cross 350m and that was considered a surprise. 2. After Gravity's amazing 2nd weekend hold, it's great run started being predicted. Frozen on the other hand opened above expectations kept on surprising everyone week by week, hold by hold. Till 3 weeks after, people were saying 270+. As recently as this Monday folks were like "now 300 is a lock-in". Now it's 350.

Me preditcs: Hobbit 11.65 Frozen 10 Anchorman 9.75 Hustle 9.4 WoWS 7.8 Mitty 6.85 Mr. Banks 6.6

This BOM article makes a couple of interesting points (http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3766&p=.htm) 1. Too early to appreciate 47 Ronin's numbers. AvP:Requiem had a 9.5m christmas day and made 41.8m in it's entire run. 2. Django opened to 15m on christmas day and made 162.8m total. Same multiplier would take WoWS to 99.3m

Looking at 2002, even if Hobbit performs worse than all films, It can do: Thu 10.2 (+10%) Fri 11.2 (+10%) Sat 11.7 (+5%) Sun 9.1 (-22%) Weekend 32

This is the first time since 2005 that no movie topped 10mil on Christmas Day.

BOM updated http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/

More new movies does not equal more competition for old ones top 2 newcomers last year > all 5 this year Les Mis(18.1) + Django(15) = 33.1 WoWS(9.5) + Mitty(7.5) + Ronin(6.7) + Grudge Match(4) + Believe(1.2) = 28.9 Also, Mitty and Ronin separated by less than a million

I think it's going to average 2-3 million per day for the next 12 days. Will be around 405 by next weekend(Jan 3-5) and over take IM3 the weekend after.

Me too. We are true Believers. Rth

Wednesday numbers Wolf DoS Anchorman Mitty Ronin

That's a 70.4% christmas day jump. AUJ jumped 62.9% TT jumped 58.9% So it's great.

DoS gonna be number 1 on Thursday. It will increase and newcomers will show a drop, if 2002 calender is any indication. http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2002-12-26&p=.htm

Or people hoped it fell into the 'its so bad it's good' category

waiting on them numbers

Am sweating a bit for DoS

New releases not being received that well on RT by critics and users. WoWS is highest at 77% critics, 80% users. That too the early ratings from users who include director/actor fanboys. If WoM is meh, might help DoS and Hustle big time. Frozen doesn't need any help any more.

Truly songs and tales fall utterly short of your enormity, O Nikki the Stupendous

AUJ and LOTR:TT had christmas day jumps bigger than the previous friday bump AUJ 52.4 on Fri vs 62.9 on christmas TT 38.5 on Fri vs 58.9 on christmas DoS had a 70.9% jump on Friday. Mirroring AUJ would give it 85% increase on wed Mirroring TT would give it 108.64. 100+% is of course too high but 80% ball park with 9-9.5 million wednesday seems reasonable.