a2k

If DoS goes down by 41% on Tuesday and Frozen drops by 35%, they will swap places

Because of Christmas Day falling on different days these estimates will be off but in the ballpark at least (Both Tangled and Toy Story 3 had a Frozen like thanksgiving Wednesday release): Tangled grossed 8.77 in it's 4th weekend and added 73 million more in rest of the run - 8.32 times the 4th weekend That'll take Frozen to 355 Toy Story 3 grossed 12.1 in it's 4th weekend and added 89 million more - 7.35 times the 4th weekend That'll take Frozen to 336 If Frozen does 9 times it's 4th weekend gross, it will end at 369 overtaking DM2.

It will be better than those. Tangled went down by 34%. Frozen could go down by half that. Would be cool if it edged Shrek 3(322 million) as the 6th biggest animated film only behind Shrek 2, Lion King, TS3, Nemo, DM2.

Ahem...unless we are underestimating 47 Ronin

Frozen could be #1 on Thursday. Children films drop on Christmas Day(40 -50%. Frozen could be about 10-20%) and while other movies show a 20%ish bump, these increase by about 100%.

It won't be #1 on Wednesday Children movies show a great hold on Monday but have a bad Christmas day. See Santa Clause 2(#8) and Treasure Planet(#12) in 2002 http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2002-12-23&track=santaclause2.htm&p=.htm Also Rise of the Guardians(#12) and Wreck It Ralph(#16) last year http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2012-12-25&track=guardians.htm&p=.htm

CF is performing better than New Moon and Deathly Hallows 1 (same release/holiday schedule) If it has same daily drops as New Moon it will reach 410. If it has same daily drops as Deathly Hallows 1 it will reach 427.

Agree ...except for Anchorman 2 It's estimated 38 million 5-day is not much over Anchorman's 36.5 million 5 day(Fri to Tue) 9 years of inflation ago

Percy Jackson LOL :lol: It's not wine 20th Century Fox. Won't get better as it ages.

Anchorman 2 is so

In 2002(same calendar), all movies in top 10 except LOTR 2 showed an increase in the following weekend - http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2002&wknd=52&p=.htm Frozen should defn increase.

Yeah, looks at 8.4 million if it drops 20% on Sunday (-38.5% from last weekend) New Moon dropped 43%, Breaking Dawn dropped 46.5% and Deathly Hallows 1 dropped 40.8%.

5.1 + 7.8 + 6.24 (if it drops 20% on Sunday) = 19.14 (-15% from last weekend)

Frozen should have an 18-20 million weekend with that Saturday. Still only a 10-20% from last weekend.

Seems Anchorman had a weekend multiplier of just 2.89 For their sake I hope they inflated Friday numbers

AUJ had competition from Jack Reacher, This is 40, The Guilt Trip and Monsters Inc 3D. All of them made about 36 million combined. DOS has had to compete with Anchorman, Hustle, Dinosaurs and Banks releasing/expanding, which will have a combined gross of 65+ million. Unlike AUJ it does not have 2 big releases(Les Mis and Django) next week. Hope don't cost a dime

New Moon, Breaking Dawn 1, Deathly Hallows 1 and CF have had the same release - the week before thanksgivings & on a Friday. New Moon made 1.387 on it's 29th day/5th Friday and added 25 million more during rest of the run. Breaking Dawn 1 made 1.278 on Friday and then added 19 million more. Deathly Hallows 1 made 1.320 on Friday and then added 33 million more. CF made 2.45 this Friday(estimates) If it behaves like New Moon it will end up with 409.56 If it behaves like Breaking Dawn 1, 401.80 If it behaves like Deathly Hallows 1, 426.65 So far it's performing way better than the Twilight movies and a little better than Deathly Hallows, so it should easily cross Iron Man.

Waiting for some numbers

agree. Also superhero movies demand a suspension of disbelief, but Batman escaping the nuke explosion and it's radius got a bit much.

Tommy Wiseau > Michael Bay

Nolan vs Cameron maybe an individual choice quality and entertainment wise. But when it comes to box office(obviously adjusted for inflation) Nolan is not nearly in the same league as Cameron.

Nikki has bad early sources along with bad multipliers. She reported 65-68 OW for DoS on it's release day and upped it to 71 mil as late as Sunday which was 2.5 million short of estimates.