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a2k

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  1. Saw Frozen for the 2nd time. Was sold out. Way less kids then I was expecting. A lot of early teenagers and grown ups. The movie got a great reaction from start to end. Something tells me this is not falling big post holidays. Went to see American Hustle on Thursday. Was sold out. Saw about 75-80% of the movie and then a guy a few rows ahead got seizures. Paramedics were called and the theater was evacuated (he had stabilized by then so am sure he is ok). Loved what I saw. Will go back and watch it again this weekend.
  2. Also, WDAS is managed by John Lasetter(Toy Story, Toy Story 2, Cars, Cars 2, A Bug's Life) and Ed Catmull(formerly at Pixar. Now president of Pixar and WDAS)1. So obviously Pixar has had a big role to play in WDAS's 2D to 3D transition. That's why the giant buyover. I don't think they are going head to head. More like side-by-side looking at former Pixar folks managing WDAS. 1 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Walt_Disney_Animation_Studios
  3. I know we kinda threw the 2002 calendar out of the window after some movies dropped last Friday, but taking the percentage of Mon + Tue + Wed (Dec 30, Dec 31, Jan 1) as a percentage of the Jan 3-5 weekend from some 2002 movies, Frozen's estimates for the weekend.: Formula - (Mon+Tue+Wed of Frozen)/(Mon+Tue+Wed of 2002 movie) * (Weekend of 2002 movie) Chamber of Secrets 23.692/(1.822 + 1.737 + 2.128) * 4.653 = 19.384 Wild Thronberrys: 23.692/(2.094 + 1.898 + 2.156) * 5.510 = 21.233 Treasure Planet: 23.692/(0.477 + 0.440 + 0.517) * 1.155 = 19.082 Santa Clause 2: 23.692/(0.566 + 0.541 + 0.545) * 0.816 = 11.702 I love doing box office calculations
  4. @Hiccup: Deathly hallows part 1 and Breaking dawn part 1 both reduced < 10% over it's predecessor, why would HG:MJ part 1 reduce by 20%? (something's wrong with windows 8 + ie...it's not letting me reply to someone, just lets me post something new. sorry for my seemingly context-less posts)
  5. HG:MJ 1 needs 357m approx. for 1st 3 HG films to overtake Batman triology.
  6. I would compare 1st movie of a sequel with 1st of another, and so on. Batman begins - 205, HG - 408 TDK - 533, HG:CF - 420 TDKR - 448, HG:MJ 1 - ?
  7. If there had been 8 batman, bond, star wars, narnia, twilight, hungergames, shrek, spiderman, transformers or lotr movies from 2001-2011, what would have been the difference between the highest and lowest in the series? Potter's domestic and international consistency was amazing. Why wasn't narnia crack cocaine? (292m then 155m then 105m then over) Why did Tolkien fans disappear. Hobbit 1 & 2 are behind all potter films adjusted for inflation.
  8. Potter couldn't manage even 2...yes. But which other series has had 8 movies in 10 years?
  9. Nolan's sequel decreased by about 16%, CF will improve upon it's predecessor by about 5%. I think that is pretty cool for CF.
  10. CF will be the first movie to be a 400m+ grossing sequel to a 400m+ grosser and increase upon the previous movie's gross
  11. DoS has put up good numbers. AUJ's mon + tue + wed = 20.7m (64.7% of it's 3rd weekend, 56% of 2nd weekend, 24.5% of ow) DoS's mon + tue + wed = 19.8m (68.3% of it's 3rd weekend, 62.8% of 2nd weekend, 26.5% of ow) DoS's thu will be higher than AUJ even with a 50% drop, so has had a good hold during holidays
  12. Regarding Frozen's "disappointing" number, A tue, wed and thu of 6m, 9m, 6m = 21m 3-day A tue, wed and thu of 7m, 8.5m, 6.5m = 22m 3-day Being steady >> Biggest single day number
  13. No doubt that DoS studio estimates tomorrow will be above Nikki's, like every other single time. EDIT: Just saw that Rth says 6.9m as opposed to Nikki's 5.6m. AUJ made 6.9 too.
  14. It's not ludicrous because the thread is specifically about KK's ow, and the 9m opening day being focused on. Not it's legs, dom total or ww total. Considering it's mega hype and initial reactions after it's opening, whether or not you agree with how good/bad the opening was, the thread imo is legit. As Baumer said, the 9m wasn't bad at all in hindsight. It was a non-3d 3 hour long 1933 based fiction, with families opting for Narnia at that time. Even Wolf of Wall Street, a non Christmasy 3 hours long 2d film, with Leo and Scorsese gets 35m over 5-days. That's how December is. Kong is the 9th biggest opener in December (despite Wed opening softening the weekend). 7 of the 8 movies above it are based on books and other one's Avatar which was in 3d. So I don't think much went wrong with Kong, but it does deserve a discussion i guess, going by the general perception.
  15. I now am of the opinion that KK's opening was pretty big. Adjusted for inflation, the 3-day is 62.5m (non Friday opening. Else would have been bigger) Add to it that December movies are backloaded the opening was great. What is the highest opening in December, till date, for a 2D film - 77.2 by I Am Legend What is the highest opening in December, till date, for a 2D film not based on a book - King Kong The 8 movies above it are either based on books(LOTR, Narnia, Hobbit, Sherlock, I am Legend) or Avatar, which was in 3D http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/month/?mo=12&p=.htm The only thing appealing about Kong was the special effects from the guy responsible for the LOTR shenanigans. Else, like with any fictional story set in 1930s, it's appeal is limited. Women especially are put off by the Kong-Ann treatment. The December opening for the 3 hour 7 minute 2D movie not based on a book was damn good. Watson, the case is solved
  16. I think WoWS will have a good long run. It'll be the least affected by the end of holidays.
  17. AUJ deserved less. Things always even out. If DoS develops enough goodwill, it will show in TABA's numbers.
  18. Probably there is something called over-hype, which intimidates instead of exciting the audience. this is how movies speak to you: movies with no hype - watch me or not. whatever low hype - watch me hype - please watch me. will be fun. high hype - watch me! i promise you, you will have a lot of fun. not kidding king kong - i. am. unreal. unlike, anything you ever dreamt off. watch me and you'll go
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